Best Scheme Fit: Likely in
a spread offense that allows him to work out of the slot on a
regular basis and uses him on quick-hitters. Harry is not sophisticated
enough in his route-running at this point to be a team's primary
receiving threat or consistently win - outside of contested balls
- against quality pro perimeter corners.
Strengths
Strong frame serves him well in powering through grabby defensive
backs and/or tackle attempts. (3:02,
3:43, 89:52)
Simply too big for many smaller corners to challenge on contested
balls (0:50, 2:10, 2:18, 4:29, 6:00) and when he establishes position.
(1:20, 3:41)
Solid strong-handed catcher capable of making the highlight
grab outside of a normal receiver's catch radius. (0:40,
1:02, 1:33, 5:25, 5:49)
Displays excellent sideline and backline awareness. (0:13, 2:15, 5:34)
Did some of his best route "selling" on double
moves. (2:51, 6:12)
Able to contribute as a punt returner if necessary. (0:00, 117:55)
Concerns
Fails to create separation consistently (0:57, 1:07, 2:04, 2:30, 5:25, 5:37); too often pushes his defender
at the top of the route. (0:09,
0:52, 2:33)
Lacks crispness on cuts and breaks (2:04, 3:04, 4:39, 5:47, 6:59) and sometimes allows his defender
to run the route for him. (0:57,
5:09, 5:31)
Hasn't quite embraced the concept of consistently stacking
his defender on downfield throws (3:09,
4:25)
Not asked to run many kinds of routes in college; generated
a lot of production on tunnel/bubble screens and contested-catch
opportunities.
Showed a bit of edge as a blocker from time to time but does
not maul defensive backs in the way his strength suggests he
should; needs to be more consistent with his effort.
Bottom Line
Harry is a bit of an enigma in that he produced some huge run-after-catch
plays and is one of the strongest receivers to enter the draft
in recent memory, yet he wasn't able to create a great deal of
separation from college defensive backs, often resorting to pushing
off his defender at the top of his route or relying on his size
advantage on contested balls. There also aren't many examples
in which he made a defender look silly, which is not a prerequisite
to succeed in the NFL but something high-end receiver prospects
should be able to do on occasion against the likes of Texas-San
Antonio or Oregon State. This is often a telltale sign that a
receiver isn't the greatest route-runner, whether that means he
allows himself to get bumped off his path, rounds off his breaks
or something completely different.
Once the ball is in his hands, however, it's easy to understand
why he is one of the draft's top receiver prospects. And there
within lies the conundrum with Harry: is he a 230-pound "space
player," a downfield contested-catch wizard who was held
back a bit by a limited route tree or some combination of the
two? Historically speaking, there is very little precedent for
a 6-2 receiver carrying almost 230 pounds being able to thrive
in the NFL - Andre Johnson did, but he ran a 4.4. (Was the same
strength Harry displayed at the NFL Combine - 27 reps of 225 pounds
is tied for the fifth-best mark at the combine for a receiver
since 1987 - the reason why he appeared slower and less dominant
in 2018 than he seemed in 2017?) Players can add and drop weight
fairly easily, so his current build isn't what concerns me the
most. It's more that I think someone like Michael Gallup was a
better prospect last year than Harry is this year. While I think
Gallup came off a round later than he should have last year, he
went 81st overall. With that said, the number of ridiculous, only-he-could-make-them
catches Harry put on tape has to make evaluators wonder if there
isn't a significant amount of untapped potential.
Offensive coordinators have gotten better in recent years accommodating
their schemes to player strengths as opposed to jamming a square
peg into a round hole, so my less-than-glowing review on Harry
isn't an indication that he is destined to be an average pro receiver.
Harry strikes me as a player who will need to spend a significant
amount of time in the slot in between the 20s and see heavy usage
as a jump-ball specialist near the end zone to produce the kind
of numbers to justify his likely draft position. I don't see an
ability to be an "alpha" receiver in his future unless
he is able to improve his quickness, and even then I suspect his
ceiling is as a solid complementary receiver who does a lot of
his damage in the red zone. Given an elite quarterback who will
trust him in contested-ball situations, he may very well have
Dez Bryant-like upside though. With that said, first-round receivers
should theoretically make their quarterback look better rather
than need his quarterback to make him look better. I feel the
latter applies to Harry and, as such, there's not enough here
to make me believe he warrants a first-round pick.
Doug Orth has written for FF
Today since 2006 and been featured in USA Today’s Fantasy
Football Preview magazine since 2010. He hosted USA Today’s
hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday
in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst on a number of national
sports radio shows, including Sirius XM’s “Fantasy Drive”.
Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.