High-end NFL Player Comp(s):
Robbie Chosen (in his prime)
Low-end NFL Player Comp(s):
Josh Reynolds
Best Scheme Fit: Occasional
Z (flanker) who is likely best suited to operate as a primary
slot option to take advantage of his speed and minimize the number
of times he faces physicality off the line of scrimmage.
Best Team Fit(s): Chargers, Bills, Panthers,
Broncos, Colts, Steelers
Non-bolded times - Good examples of attribute Bolded times - Average/poor examples of attribute
* - How well does his skill set carry over
to the fantasy game? For receivers, a player needs to be a realistic
threat for 70 catches and 1,000 receiving yards at some point
early in their career to be a candidate for a perfect grade. Positional
scarcity at the pro level is also a part of the equation.
Positives
Long-striding deep threat who is unafraid to navigate the
middle of the field despite his slight frame.
Better after the catch than most receivers his size due to
his explosiveness (538 yards after the catch ranked 18th among
receivers in 2023 and more than doubled his previous career
high).
Displays an innate ability to create space, which should
make him a solid contributor on intermediate routes against
zone coverages at the next level.
Quick feet and release package allow him to avoid the jam
more often than not.
Understands the value of changing up the pace on his routes
and stacking his defender once he blows past him on vertical
routes.
Has a starter kit to be an above-average receiver in contested-catch
situations (good height, great body control, 32-inch arms and
39-inch vertical).
Negatives
Although he can be a savvy route-runner at times, he wins
more routes with speed (or the threat of it) than technique
at this point.
Lacks the necessary bulk and play strength to take advantage
of his explosiveness (39-inch vertical) in contested-catch situations
(7-for-19 in such situations in 2023 and 14-of-37 for his career,
per Pro Football Focus).
Nine drops and a 10 percent drop rate in 2023 are among the
highest marks at receiver in this draft class; focus drops and
hand positioning were the cause of several of them, however.
Limited route tree in college (mostly curls, slants, screens
and verticals) will likely delay his chances of regularly contributing
as a perimeter receiver until late in his rookie year.
Repeatedly proves blocking is important to him but lacks
the necessary bulk and play strength to hold up against more
physical defenders; also can be a little undisciplined in his
attempts to block.
Likely does not possess the frame to carry much more muscle
without sacrificing his speed.
Bottom Line
Receivers who do most of their damage as a result of the vertical
passing game (Franklin ranked eighth in FBS with 558 receiving
yards on throws of 20-plus yards in 2023) are boom-bust by the
very nature of the routes they usually run. Deep throws may consistently
deliver the biggest reward for an offense, but they also have
the lowest probability of being completed. Unfortunately, this
may be what Franklin becomes in the NFL - a boom/bust receiver
who is heavily dependent on the big play. Although the All-Pac-12
selection is not just a vertical receiver, it would be difficult
to say he is going to make a huge impact at the next level because
of his ability in the short and intermediate areas of the field.
Evaluators like prospects to have at least one trait that separates
them from the pack and it is unclear if Franklin has one. His
speed is certainly good enough to draw the attention of the defense,
but 176-pound receivers who struggle to outmuscle defenders in
contested-catch situations and cannot run routes like DeVonta Smith have long had difficulty sticking around in the league as
anything more than field-stretchers.
At the very least, Franklin should enjoy a long NFL career as
a deep threat. Beyond that, several factors will likely need to
fall in place for him later this month if he wants to be a regular
contributor. Although he showed the willingness to make tough
catches over the middle and pick up yards after the catch in college,
Franklin seems unlikely to hold up for very long if he is routinely
asked to do the former. As for the latter, he may never be strong
enough to shed tackles regularly. As such, Oregon's all-time leader
in receiving touchdowns may need to be paired with a big-armed
quarterback who understands "no risk it, no biscuit"
and is fine living with a vertical receiver who probably will
not give him much help on 50-50 balls. Franklin could conceivably
evolve into a great route-runner someday, but his limited route
tree at Oregon and the fact he is high-cut could make it hard
for him to hit the ground running in the pros. He could be maximized
early on as a vertical slot, which would enable him to mostly
avoid physical coverage and allow him to put his best tool to
use consistently.
Will Fuller and Anderson are two rare examples of receivers with
similar characteristics who were able to enjoy limited high-end
success despite their lack of physicality, while Reynolds may
be a more realistic version of what Franklin's new team should
expect - too much talent to be a third receiver and not diversified
enough to be a quality sidekick. Landing spot will almost certainly
determine which fate awaits the former four-star recruit, but
it is hard to imagine he will be anything more than a strong complementary
receiver who booms about as often as he busts.
Doug Orth has written for FFToday since 2006 and been featured
in USA TODAY's Fantasy Football Preview magazine since 2010. He
is also a high-stakes player who often appears as a guest analyst
on a number of national sports radio shows, such as Sirius XM’s
“Fantasy Drive." Doug is also a member of the Fantasy
Sports Writers Association.