It has been said many times, by many people, that “defense
wins championships.” Well, I’m here to tell you that
even in this era of offense, where all the rule changes have favored
that side of the ball… it is still true.
Look at the results since Super Bowl 50. In every year, the Super
Bowl winner gave up fewer points during the regular season than
And in six of the seven games, the team which gave up the fewest
yards won. The only exception was the San Francisco 49ers in 2019,
who gave up 1,085 yards fewer than the Kansas City Chiefs and
Fewest Pts Allowed = Super Bowl
So how does this defensive trend apply to the 2022 season and
Super Bowl LVII?
The 2022 Philadelphia Eagles have given up fewer points and fewer
yards than the 2022 Chiefs. The Eagles yielded 344 points and
5,125 yards this season while Kansas City allowed 369 points and
5,579 yards. I’d love to say this guarantees my boyhood
favorite Eagles will win the Super Bowl, but I can’t. Because
it was Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes, of course, who beat
the trend and the 49ers in 2019. Still, it’s trending in
You want a guarantee on who wins the Super Bowl this season…
it’s the one who scores the most points.