No, it won’t be Aaron Rodgers throwing to Wilson this weekend.
That hope has been dashed. But whether it is Zach Wilson (concussion)
or Trevor Siemian, this should be a solid weekend for Wilson.
The Commanders’ pass defense has allowed a league-high 2,785
passing yards and 22 touchdowns to wide receivers. That’s
198.9 yards for the wide receiver room. Looking at the Jets receiving
corps, that is almost surely a 100-yard day for Wilson.
Normally, you would laugh at me for listing Stefon Diggs here.
But these are not normal times. Although he is still ranks ninth
among all receivers (17.4 FPts/G), he’s been AWOL since
Week 10. In his last five games, four have been under nine fantasy
points. He did produce well against the Eagles (doesn’t
everyone?) and the Chargers’ pass defense is pretty bad.
They rank 30th, allowing 39.5 FPts/G. This matchup is too good
to ignore despite his recent struggles.
DeAndre Hopkins had a horrible day in the first round of the
playoffs, but if you survived, then he’s a viable option
in Week 16. Despite just 21 receiving yards on two receptions,
he still saw nine targets and has seen 33 targets over the last
three games. The Seahawks’ pass defense has struggled of
late, allowing 40 fantasy points to opposing wideouts over the
last five games. Whether it’s Will Levis (sprained ankle)
or Ryan Tannehill, they both know how to feed “Nuk.”
The “squeaky wheel theory” worked to perfection in
Week 15. After zero catches on three targets in Week 14, McLaurin
noted “I ran a lot of cardio.” In the aftermath, McLaurin
saw 12 targets in Week 15, catching six for 141 yards and a score.
Much of that was from Jacoby Brissett on the final two drives,
but it still appears Sam Howell will start. Blowing up a second
time, against the Jets defense, is a much harder assignment. The
Jets rank No.1 against opposing wideouts allowing just 22.3 FPts/G
and a league-low four touchdown passes. McLaurin likely returns
to mediocrity-at-best and more likely single digits.
Nacua took advantage of an injured Cooper Kupp and a healthy
Matthew Stafford to establish himself early in the season. He
averaged 23.1 without Kupp, but is averaging just 13.01 points
when Kupp is on the field. Additionally, the Saints have the No.3
pass defense against opposing wideouts, allowing 27.4 FPts/G.
Since Kupp has averaged over 22 FPts/G over his last three games…
that doesn’t leave a lot for Nacua, Tutu Atwell and Demarcus Robinson.
People don’t pass much against the Panthers… primarily
because they have great success on the ground. As I stated earlier,
Aaron Jones should have a big day, leaving less for the receiving
corps. Reed is dealing with a toe issue which could can slow his
ability to cut and push off. It could limit his opportunities
in the run game as well as passing game. Christian Watson is also
dealing with health issues (hamstring) leaving the Packers short-handed
and Reed might give it a go even at a lot less than 100%. That’s
always scary and I’d prefer to find someone who at least
starts the game healthy.