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Dave's Take
10/15/08
  • Let's start in Dallas where it seems like all of the bit news is emanating from this week. The Cowboys foolishly gave up a bountiful of draft picks for the Lions Roy Williams and will sign him to a long-term contract extension. Williams will start his Dallas tenure catching balls thrown by backup Brad Johnson due to Tony Romo's broken little finger on his throwing hand. Of course, Brad Johnson is likely a better passer than Dan Orlovsky, the Lions new starter with Jon Kitna going on injured reserve. Williams is likely to encounter numerous roadblocks in attempting to produce right away in Dallas. First off, he needs to learn the offense. Second, he will be the team's third option in the passing game behind Terrell Owens and tight end Jason Witten. Third, he will likely have three or four games to get acquainted with Johnson and then will need an adjustment period when Romo returns.

  • As for Patrick Crayton owners, he may have a week or two of decent production remaining before it's time to cut bait on him. Simply put, there aren't going to be enough passes thrown in Dallas to soothe all of the egos and for there to still be scraps for Crayton. Once Williams is reasonably up to speed, Crayton should be off your roster.

  • Moving on to Romo, clearly he's worth holding on to and if you're desperate for a replacement, here's a name to consider - Bears quarterback Kyle Orton. Quietly, Orton has put together has a strong season and the Bears face some porous secondaries over the remainder of the season (the Vikings and Packers twice, Rams and Lions). After a rather most first two games (299 yards passing with no touchdowns or interceptions), Orton has thrown for 1,087 yards, eight touchdowns and four interceptions over the past four games.

  • One name Romo owners should not consider is Dan Orlovsky. Orlovsky was only completing 55% of his passes with Williams in the lineup and it's a big drop from Williams to either Shaun MacDonald or Mike Furrey. With Michael Gaines not contributing at tight end and Rudi Johnson not much of a receiving threat out of the backfield (most receptions in a season is 23), Orlovsky will be looking Calvin Johnson's way early and often. Look for Johnson's yardage totals to increase but his touchdowns opportunities to take a hit as Detroit will struggle to move the ball. With Orlovsky in the final year of his contract and Drew Stanton, last year's 2nd round pick, more likely to be the team's future at the quarterback position, don't be surprised if Orlovsky's stay as the team's starter is short lived.

  • Generally it's not worth mentioning when a fullback goes down but 49ers running back Frank Gore may suffer slightly with the loss of fullback Zak Keasey. Keasey barged his way onto the roster during training camp based on his fearless style but will miss the remainder of the season with a torn biceps tendon. Keasey's most important role was as a blocker in short yardage situations and it appears the 49ers will move tight end Delanie Walker into this role. Walker has the requisite size for the role but many tight ends struggle when blocking at the fullback position because they aren't used to hitting a moving target.

  • Just when it looked like Rams running back Steven Jackson was poised to begin fulfilling his top five FF draft status, the team's offensive line begins breaking down. Left tackle Orlando Pace is questionable this week with a thigh injury and left guard Jacob Bell maybe out with a sprained foot. The problem for the Rams is that Adam Goldberg is their top backup at both positions.

  • The Ravens have leaned heavily on their running game this season and they also have injury issues along the offensive line. Promising second year guard Marshal Yanda will miss the rest of the season with a sprained right knee and left tackle Jared Gaither, also in his second season, is banged up with shoulder and knee injuries. Look for the team's rushing attack to suffer as well as rookie quarterback Joe Flacco. Flacco has showed decent poise for the most part this season but the bottom line is that in five games he has thrown one touchdown against seven interceptions and a lost fumble while playing against generally poor defenses including the Browns, Bengals and Colts.

  • In New York, the torch may have finally passed from Amani Toomer to second year wide receiver Steve Smith. Smith, the team's 2nd round pick last season, has 18 receptions for 181 yards over the past three games while Toomer has only nine receptions for 128 yards over the same period and was held without a catch this past week.

  • Chiefs general manager Carl Peterson has made numerous poor personnel decisions recently (rebuilding a year late, signing Larry Johnson to a lucrative long term contract, drafting and going with Brodie Croyle at quarterback) and he finally admitted another major blunder this week with the release of linebacker Napoleon Harris. Harris was an ill fit in the middle linebacker position in the Chiefs defense and was replaced this season by journeyman street free agent Pat Thomas who had one career start in three seasons prior to this year. Peterson signed Harris to a $24.5-million, six-year contract that included $7.5-million in guarantees and the Chiefs will end up paying Harris just under $8.5-million for 16 games of work. In case you're wondering, Peterson's 2008 free agent signing at the position was former Falcon Demorrio Williams who signed for $16.5-million over five years with $5.5-million guaranteed. He opened the season on the bench and has started the last two games due to Donnie Edwards' injury issues.

  • Pittsburgh rookie wide receiver Limas Sweed has yet to take the field despite the team's hopes the 2nd round pick could contribute early in his career, especially in the red zone. However, Sweed gets a chance this week due to a shoulder injury suffered by Dallas Baker, the team's 7th round pick in 2007. Steelers coach Mike Tomlin commented that Sweed needs to work on his route running, catching the football and knowing his assignments. Based on that, don't expect much from Sweed in 2008.

  • Sticking with the wide receiver bust theme, the Jaguars have apparently given up on involving their prized free agent signing this off-season, Jerry Porter, in their weekly game plans. Head coach Jack Del Rio said Porter isn't a part of the team's plans at the moment and the fact Porter has been targeted twice in three games and is either fifth or sixth on the team's depth chart tells you what his prospects are for this season.

  • Keeping with the Jaguars, it looks like there might be hope for tight end Marcedes Lewis after all. Despite the team's weak group of wide receivers since he entered the league as a 1st round pick in 2006, Lewis has not contributed much from the tight end position. However, he had a career high 64 yards and a touchdown this week and is on pace for just under 500 yards and six touchdowns.

  • The Eagles finally gave up on running back Tony Hunt this week. The team's 3rd round pick last season, it was readily apparent early on that he was not a good fit in the team's offense and was moved to fullback this season. However, he quickly lost the job to converted defensive linemen Dan Klecko and the team finally gave up on him this week. Since the team took Brian Westbrook in the 3rd round of the 2002 draft, they have failed miserably finding talent in that round of the draft. Busts from that round include Hunt and fellow running back Ryan Moats, wide receiver Billy McMullen and cornerback Matt Ware.

  • If you're looking for a sleeper IDP defensive back consider Bears cornerback Corey Graham. Since subbing in for the injured Nathan Vasher two games ago, Graham has recorded 13 solo tackles, four assisted tackles and a forced fumble.

  • Another IDP player to consider is Texans cornerback Dunta Robinson. Generally ranked as a top 10 defensive back, Robinson has been on the physically unable to perform list thus far in 2008 as he recovered from torn ligaments in his knee suffered in October of last season. Unlike many players that are coming off the PUP, Robinson is actually ready to contribute and only needs to get in game shape (players on the PUP are not allowed to practice). With second year player Fred Bennett struggling and DeMarcus Faggins in the starting lineup, look for Robinson to be the team's nickel back for a week before being inserted as a starter.

  • Browns quarterback Derek Anderson finally came alive this week with a 310-yard, two touchdown, no interception performance against a tough Giants defense. However, with tight end Kellen Winslow's future as yet undetermined and road games against Washington and Jacksonville on tap followed by a home date with the Ravens, it's time to sell high on Anderson.

  • The speculation with the Broncos backfield is that rookie Ryan Torain will step into the mix and take carries away from the Selvin Young, Andre Hall and Michael Pittman committee. However, with Pittman as the starter, Young as the backup proving valuable and Hall the team's kick returner, Torain may have a tough time being active on game day.