The Fitzmagic tour makes a stop in South Beach this season as
Miami appears to be going full dolphin tank on the 2019 campaign.
Although it seems the team has their sights set on the first overall
pick in what could be a strong QB class in 2020, there is more
than a few players on the roster who garner fantasy consideration.
In eight games last year, Fitzpatrick ranked behind only Patrick
Mahomes in fantasy points per game. The journeyman gunslinger
started off white hot with three games of 400 plus yards and at
least three touchdowns, only to fizzle out and lose the starting
job to Jameis Winston.
There is a reason why Fitzpatrick is on his eighth team in 14
years. Fitzpatrick tends to throw into tight windows and force
plays, often resulting in turnovers galore and eventual benching.
With quarterback being the deepest position in fantasy football,
Fitzpatrick will not likely be owned in standard one-QB leagues.
But he will present a positive effect on his receivers like DeVante
Parker and Kenny Stills, as no other QB in the past five years
has targeted wide receivers more than Fitzpatrick.
The most significant boost to Kenyan Drake’s fantasy value
this offseason came with the departure of former head coach Adam
Gase, the supposed offensive genius who opted to give geriatric
tailback Frank Gore more carries than Drake despite the latter’s
clear superior talent.
We don’t know how the new coaching regime under Brian Flores
will handle their running backs. Hopefully spending the previous
few seasons game planning against Drake will give Flores insight
into the skill set the fourth-year running back possesses.
Drake should garner more consideration in PPR formats based on
the fact that he secured 53 of his 73 targets for 477 yards and
five touchdowns last season compared to only 120 carries. However,
he does still carry value as a high-floor pick in non-PPR leagues
based on his career-high nine total touchdowns in 2018.
Second round player Kalen Ballage will likely assume the Frank
Gore, early-down role in the offense and will most likely garner
at least 120 carries. But negative game scripts based on the poor
Miami defense should work in favor of Drake, especially as a receiver
out of the backfield.
The departure of Frank Gore to Buffalo presumably opens the door
for Ballage to become the early down and short-yardage tailback
for the Dolphins in 2019, with Kenyon Drake splitting carries
and working as the primary receiving back for Ryan Fitzpatrick
or Josh Rosen.
Of the two, Ballage is the better draft day bargain and more
of a value compared to Drake, however, Drake’s explosiveness
and receiving prowess give him a higher ceiling.
At 6’1”, 230 pounds, Ballage is a beast of a man
and fast for his size. However, he does not excel at making quick
cuts in space and is not a skilled receiver at this point in his
pro career.
It goes without saying that Parker has not lived up to his first-round
draft cost in his four seasons with the Dolphins. The former Louisville
Cardinal has just two receiving touchdowns in his last 24 games
and has never posted more than 750 yards in any season.
Instead of cutting Parker loose, the team signed him to a two-year,
$10 million contract this season. If you are going to phone in
the year with the hope of tanking for Tuoa, it makes sense to
give a gun-slinging quarterback like Ryan Fitzpatrick a big-bodied
wide receiver like Parker who can stretch the field and win contested
balls.
While many fantasy owners have been burned by Parker in the past
and won’t touch him with a ten-foot pole, if you are in
a deep league with ample bench space, taking a flier on Parker
in the last few rounds is worth the risk.
The addition of Ryan Fitzpatrick to the Miami passing game is
going to be a big plus for the wide receiving corps of Kenny Stills,
DeVante Parker, and Albert Wilson. Not only is Fitzpatrick a far
superior passer to Ryan Tannehill, but he also targets wide receivers
at a higher rate than any QB in the league.
For this reason, it is likely that one of the three wideouts
in the tandem will emerge as a fantasy weapon worthy of rostering.
Figuring out who that player will be is not an easy task, as Stills
and Parker are skilled downfield threats, while Wilson is a shifty
underneath option with game-breaking speed and elusiveness.
Stills has been the most consistent of the three over the past
few seasons and owns a significant advantage in the touchdown
column. Despite this fact, Parker’s upside and size give
him a higher ceiling for owners looking for a home run play.
In seven games last season before leaving with a season-ending
hip injury, Albert Wilson appeared to be on a breakout course
in his first season with Miami. The former Kansas City Chief posted
three double-digit performances, including six catches for 155
yards and two scores against the Bears.
Of the three wide receivers who may garner fantasy value for
the Dolphins in 2019, Wilson projects to be the best value in
PPR formats based on his likelihood of leading the team in targets
out of the slot.
Wilson is continuing to recover from a severe hip injury but
appears to be on track to return to the field Week 1 when the
Dolphins host the Ravens.
TE Mike Gesicki
(2018 TE Rank - No.89, 1.4 FPts/G)
Mike Gesicki proved the conventional narrative that rookie tight
ends do not do well in the NFL. With just 22 receptions for 202
yards and zero touchdowns in 14 games, the former second-round
pick out of Penn State was missing in action last year.
It is possible that Gesicki could see an uptick in production
as the poor man’s version of Rob Gronkowski in the new offense
run by former New England Patriot offensive coordinator Chad O’Shea.
It is also possible that he continues to have zero fantasy value
and gets benched in favor of Dwayne Allen or A.J. Derby.