9/24/04
For the last fifteen years I have had a very good friend I refuse
to be honest with in regards to sports betting or fantasy football.
In all other areas I am very up front with him, as I am with all
my friends, but five years ago I learned being honest can hurt.
My friend is what I call a KOD; a Kiss Of Death. I began
to suspect it when we would talk about picks on parlay tickets and
he would say things like, "Wow, I really like that one. It
has to be a lock," then the team would go down in flames. Still,
it was fantasy football where he showed his true powers. He was
the one who looked at my selections of Steve Young and Jerry Rice
and told me I had a lock on the season. Of course neither player
survived the first week. For Jerry Rice it was a season ending knee
injury while for Young it was the beginning of a concussion filled
end to a great career. I love the KOD but I never share parlay picks
and always mislead him regarding my fantasy selections. I still
blame him for telling me the Raiders would be back last season after
the Super Bowl loss; the man has tremendous power which should never
be tapped unless disaster is on the bill of fare.
With this kind of experience in mind, reality reared its ugly
head this last Saturday. The reality was I could also be a KOD
in regard to any running back I select to be a part of my fantasy
team.
It was frustrating enough NFL Ticket was not going to air the
Titans and Dolphins game live. Instead when I clicked on to the
channel I read the horrible news
."to be shown on tape
delay." Alone it was frustrating enough, but it was only
the beginning. I quickly went to NFL.com
to begin tracking the game. As I fixated on the computer I indulged
myself with the college games available. The computer was actually
an interesting way to follow a pro game without interfering with
the "live" action on my television. I was really tracking
my second round pick, my first running back, Chris Brown playing
for the Titans. I watched the little lines on the computer generated
field grow as Brown began to rack up yards. I was actually getting
excited when I saw the long line indicating a 52 yard run and
near touchdown for my guy, then he went quiet.
Suspecting injury, I began to search the site for some kind of
news; no luck. I quickly turned to the live action of college
football on ESPN just to see if the "bottom line" had
some kind of news; nothing there. It was not until later in the
day I found out Brown had an ankle sprain of some sort. Even later
I found out he was day to day meaning it may not be too bad, or
it could be something which would nag him all season. It was at
this point I had a revelation; I drafted him and may have endangered
the career of an emerging young back with star potential.
I began to suspect I had the potential of being a KOD a few
years back when five of my running backs crashed and burned the
first few weeks of the season. By the sixth week I was begging
for free agents or an owner who would be willing to trade with
me. Needless to say it hurt my chances for success during the
playoffs. During the next season the story was very much the same
as I limped towards the end with "three yards and a cloud
of dust" Eddie George as my strongest back, but last season
was the worst.
I began 2003 with Ahman Green, William Green, Amos Zereoue,
Garrison Hearst and Brian Allen of the Colts. Brian Allen looked
great in pre-season, but he failed to make the final cut. After
week one I traded Ahman for Randy Moss, Laveranues Coles plus
a lesser receiver. I figured I still had three starters and the
ability to trade a couple of receivers for another quality back;
wrong. Thinking was my first mistake. I had success during the
season as Moss did me well; so did Santana Moss and Chris Chambers,
my problems began with the ineffectiveness of Amos. By the midpoint
of the season it was apparent "Famous Amos" was going
to be relegated to the bench. Because I was having some success,
no one was really open to a trade, then things blew apart. William
Green was arrested while under the influence, then he got stabbed
by his significant other. I quickly picked up James Jackson who
looked great playing until he blew out his knee making him a loss
for the season. I entered the playoffs with nothing at running
back except for a fading Garrison Hearst and an under utilized
Tyrone Wheatley (I got him off the waiver wire). Needless to say
the playoffs were a disaster. I still finished in the money paying
for the season. I considered "break even" a win for
the yeare as the best result given the circumstance. With this
kind of luck in mind, I will allow owners to know what my running
back stable for this season so they can begin trading or off loading
these guys before they get broken, stabbed or arrested.
My first running back pick, after I tagged Randy Moss from the
fourth draft position, was Chris Brown from the Tennessee Titans.
I heard words about his questionable durability all through the
pre-season, but he looked like a sure thing for a team desperate
for a break away back. So far he has had two solid weeks, but
I have a feeling the ankle injury from week one will nag him all
season and hamper his abilities. Better yet, with my luck, the
ankle will go out about week four and he will be lost for the
rest of the season. I am already evaluating his support crew.
The number two pick was Quentin Griffin from the Denver Broncos.
Griffin has also had his durability questioned, but the Denver
system is one of the best for running backs and I don't think
Shanahan would have let Portis go without having a quality replacement.
Griffin was with the team last year and, even though he is the
Denver coach, I have a great deal of faith in Shanahan's ability
to select running back talent. During the first week Griffin was
dynamite, week two was a different story. Though he had 95 totals
yards, he did not score yet he did manage to put the ball on the
turf and lose a fumble. Week three should be better for him as
Denver plays against the Chargers, but coach does not tolerate
people who fumble. I give Griffin a few more weeks after San Diego
then he will be replaced by Tatum Bell for the remainder of the
season.
As a back up to these two horses I selected Duce Staley. Staley
has been a solid, if not flashy, back who has played through injury
in one of the toughest cities in America; Philadelphia. In week
one he looked great running and catching the ball, until the team
got within single digit yards from the goal line. Once they got
there out came the Duce, in went The Bus. It happened two more
times. Staley may have gained 94 yards, but he never scored. The
Bus gained 93 yards less but scored all three rushing TD's. In
week two he was again the leading rusher, but his performance
had dropped off over thirty yards. With the absence of Maddox
at QB, and the elevation of rookie Roethlisberger to the number
one position, it might seem Pittsburgh would rely more on the
running game perhaps giving Duce a chance; not with my luck. Duce
will get the ball more both rushing and receiving. He will get
hurt in week five allowing The Bus to end a storied career as
the starter for a fading Steeler team.
My next potential victim was T.J. Duckett. I knew T.J. started
behind Warrick Dunn, but he had 11 TD's in 2003 and Dunn has always
been prone to injury. In week one he gained a total of seven yards
while Dunn exploded for 63 yards with two touchdowns. Week two
was barely better. T.J. gained almost 60 yards, but Dunn stole
the show with 44 yards plus two more scores. If this is a preview
for the season, Dunn will keep rolling and T.J. will be stuck
on the bench looking out at the field. For those who think Dunn's
injury may be a ray of hope for Duckett, don't forget
I picked
him; enough said.
Being the loyal, "give the guy a second chance" person
I am I reserved my last running selection for the guy who killed
me last season; William Green. Because Lee Suggs has been struggling
with injury Green got to start the first two games of the season.
The combined performance of those efforts was a total of 146 yards
with zero scores. This week he looks to be replaced by Suggs,
but don't expect him to stay on the bench. With extra time on
his hands Green will probably find time to mix it up with the
league's substance abuse police making this three strikes resulting
in a suspension. Green will finish the season at home where he
again runs the risk of serious injury from either a sharp object
or other deadly weapon. It is my sincere hope he can finish the
season alive.
Let this article serve as a warning. Being the Kiss of Death
is not a role I have selected; it is a role which apparently has
been forced upon me. I don't seem to have the same affect on any
other position so we don't need to go there but beginning with
the article "My Back is Killing Me" it seems my selections
at running back have been doomed, cursed, and maligned before
the season even really goes into full swing. Believe me, I would
love to think none of these fine players will face a short season
due to injury or mayhem, but the last few seasons have schooled
me otherwise. As owners in a free America you are welcome to do
what you wish if you have these players, but as the KOD consider
yourself forewarned. I wish you all the very best season, and
I even wish these guys better than that, but there is a nagging
voice in my head saying, "You have doomed them." Perhaps
I should use some reverse voodoo and let my friend know who I
have selected so he can curse them negating my curse and allowing
things to be fine?
Nah, the season has started, the fun has begun making it time
to let the chips fall where they may; I hope it is not on any
of my running back's heads.
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