12/14/04
As we all know Hindsight is 20/20. This weekly column is devoted
to learning from common mistakes and serves as FFToday's "Fantasy
Football Confessional."
Needing help to get into the playoffs rarely makes a fun night,
because anything can happenand last night's game proved it does.
I was 8-5 heading into the weekend after a lackluster second half
of the season that cost me a couple games down the stretch. But
all I needed was a win and one of three other teams to lose. Even
if I lost, I could get in if I outscored one team by 21 points.
So what happened? I win, but…
I Win, But... |
Pos |
Player |
Pts |
Comments |
QB |
D. McNabb |
12 |
Plummer was my second option…McNabb
did all right. |
RB |
A. Green |
6 |
That 79-yard screen pass TD getting
called back hurts. |
RB |
O. Smith |
11 |
I had Droughns-glad I didn't start him.
|
WR |
K. Johnson |
3 |
Decided to start him over Rod Smith
based on matchup-mistake. |
WR |
L. Fitzgerald |
3 |
Liked the match up-should have started
my other option-Galloway. |
WR |
J. Smith |
11 |
That diving catch shows he's still got
some years left in him. |
TE |
T. Gonzalez |
5 |
That facemask near the goal line that
stopped the TD hurt, too. |
K |
J. Carney |
9 |
As much as I don't like kickers, I sure
know how to pick them. |
DEF |
Bears |
2 |
Nothing special this week. |
|
Total |
62 |
|
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Although Galloway (17 pts) and Stallworth (7 points) were better
options than Johnson and Fitzgerald, it wouldn't have made a difference.
I still go 9-5 and miss the playoffs on tiebreakers. If I started
Galloway and both Gonzalez and Green scored, I might have gotten
in, but a game like last night just further illustrated that anything
can happen. Going into the MNF game, two of the three teams that
needed to lose were losing fairly convincingly. But to borrow from
Mike MacGregor, my team received quite a few groin shots. I wouldn't
be surprised if a ton of events from this game didn't completely
turn some contests upside down for plenty of owners.
- Drew Bennett gaining over 233 yards and 2 TDs and bringing
back one of the teams I needed to lose
my competitor will
be sending a thank you note to Eric Warfield and a huge gift
to William Bartee.
- Tony Gonzalez missing a TD by inches due to a Lamont Thompson
face maskthat wasn't even called!
- Chris Brownthis has become a huge tendency this season
for the second year Titangains close to one hundred yards
and a TD, only to sit out the second half.
- Eddie Kennison, possibly the most maddening receiver to have
in a lineup due to his inconsistency, catches two TDs. By the
way, I originally won a cheap bid on Kennison and promptly dropped
him at mid-season. I think I might have benefited from him last
night.
- Larry Johnson's two Tds? I'm sure quite a few owners took a
chance on Johnson and won big. I feel sorry for their opponents
that had more solid starting options this week that lost out.
- Derrick Mason going down in the first quarter on a punt return.
This also ruined my chances. One of my opponents to get into
the playoffs was winning by 8 points and his opponent for the
week had Mason tonight. Although that td made it close, it wasn't
enough.
- The ultimate kick in the family jewels? Anyone about to
squeak by with a win only to watch Titans TE Shad Meier throw the
ball away on an ill-advised hook and ladder play that wound up in
Kavika Mitchell's hands for a score! If this happened to you, my
condolences
On to the weekly files of 20/20 Hindsight
Joey Galloway would have over 100 yards
and two scores. San Diego's pass defense is statistically
speaking, a weak unit that gives up a fair amount of yards and
touchdowns per contest. This was a good match up on paper. The
scary part was starting a historically gimpy Galloway over more
consistent plays throughout the season.
Lessons Learned: Consistency
will make you competitive, but Galloway is an example of a player
getting hot down the stretch. His match ups down the stretch (New
Orleans and Carolina) could keep that trend going, unlike
Tatum Bell would get the call, respond
with a 100+, 2-TD day, and then possibly go down for the year?
Talk about roller coasters! This might be the ultimate screw-job
for several teams. First, there are the Rueben Droughns owners
that either: a) Were smart enough to bench Droughns in week 14,
knowing that Mike Shanahan is the most fickle ground game coach
in the NFL and Shanny-boy was drooling over Bell's performance
in week 13 to give Droughns the quick hook. b) Didn't bench Droughns
and watched Bell light it up.
Either way, Droughns owners might have seen this line up change
cost them their season unless they excellent depth and benefited
from a good day from that substitute RB on their bench.
Then there's those poor Bell owners that saw a player leave just
as fast as he arrived on the scene
another crazy way to end
a fantasy season.
Lessons Learned: Denver's RBs
are the ultimate crapshoot for fantasy owners. I'm leaving them
a lone next year unless the starter is clearly established in
the preseason. Even then, I'm not so sure
Reggie Williams could finally have a decent
day. Williams has struggled all year, but against a decent
Bears defense he actually got open in the red zone and accumulated
a respectable amount of yards to be a decent fantasy option.
Lesson Learned: Williams show
improvement down the stretchhe had some nice plays against
the Steelers in week 13but you're still taking a big chance
to put him in your lineup this season.
I would be wrong about Randy Mossand
never listen to Mike Tice. I must say, I didn't listen
to Tice and I started Moss this weekend to my benefit. But it's
understandable to have decided to sit the Vikings' star after
it was announced he'd have his plays limited in week 14. Of course,
just watching the game proved that Moss' explosiveness improved
tremendously from the last two weeks. Moss' 104 yardstwo
of his receptions were nice intermediate-to-deep routes that showcased
his regained ability to separatewere key things to see.
But the clincher was that ill-advised play that resulted in an
interception. Although it was a poor play, it was all you needed
to see as a Moss owner that is still alive in the playoffs (as
I am): you don't run a reverse pass with a receiver that's too
hurt to be explosive.
Lesson Learned: Start Moss
the rest of the way. As long as he doesn't have a set back, Moss
is ready to perform like a number one receiver.
Congratulations to those of you that survived this crazy weekend,
for those of you that didn't, Hindsight's a...
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