12/19/06
As we all know Hindsight is 20/20. This weekly column is devoted
to learning from common mistakes and serves as FFToday’s “Fantasy
Football Confessional.” Although it was another putrid
week for my FFTOC team, my showcase teams both advanced to the
championship game—one in dramatic fashion. My defending
championship team came back from a 25-point deficit after Steve
McNair left the game with zilch on the fantasy scoreboard—thanks
to a 4th Quarter touchdown reception from Reggie Brown, a fellow
UGA alumnus I might add (fellow Dawgs have to stick together).
Here are the box scores for my two teams advancing to the championship
round:
SOFA Auction League
Fantasy
Guru |
FF
Today |
Player |
Pts. |
Player |
Pts. |
Rivers, Philip SDC QB |
3.68 |
Pennington, Chad NYJ QB |
18.66 |
Fargas, Justin OAK RB |
6.3 |
Jones-Drew, Maurice JAC RB |
23.5 |
Jackson, Steven STL RB |
24.7 |
Tomlinson, Ladainian SDC RB |
33.4 |
Cotchery, Jerricho NYJ WR |
11.6 |
Driver, Donald GBP WR |
14.7 |
Harrison, Marvin IND WR |
34.6 |
Holmes, Santonio PIT WR |
11.5 |
Williams, Roy DET WR |
2.1 |
Wayne, Reggie IND WR |
21.4 |
Heap, Todd BAL TE |
10.8 |
McMichael, Randy MIA TE |
8.1 |
Tynes, Lawrence KCC PK |
9.0 |
Scobee, Josh JAC PK |
5.0 |
Vikings, Minnesota MIN Def |
6.0 |
Patriots, New England NEP Def |
25.0 |
Total: |
108.8 |
Total: |
161.3 |
|
Money well spent on LT, but Pennington, Holmes, and the Pats
defense have been excellent waiver wire options once Kurt Warner,
Amani Toomer, and the Colts defense were no longer viable starts.
As you can see, I still have trouble pulling the trigger on Vince
Young despite threatening to start him on almost a weekly basis.
This time the match up of Pennington versus the Vikings porous
pass defense was too enticing.
Fantasy Auctioneer Expert Invitational
Talented
Mr. Roto |
FF
Today |
Player |
Pts. |
Player |
Pts. |
Brady, Tom NEP QB |
13 |
McNair, Steve BAL QB |
0 |
Lewis, Jamal BAL RB |
14 |
Jackson, Steven STL RB |
24 |
McAllister, Deuce NOS RB |
12 |
Jones-Drew, Maurice JAC RB |
19 |
Glenn, Terry DAL WR |
9 |
Brown, Reggie PHI WR |
13 |
Henderson, Devery NOS WR |
2 |
Clayton, Mark BAL WR |
4 |
Walker, Javon DEN WR |
14 |
Driver, Donald GBP WR |
7 |
Witten, Jason DAL TE |
5 |
Heap, Todd BAL TE |
5 |
Wilkins, Jeff STL PK |
8 |
Scobee, Josh JAC PK |
6 |
Bears, Chicago CHI Def |
6 |
Ravens, Baltimore BAL Def |
10 |
Total: |
83 |
Total: |
88 |
|
I completely lucked out in this game. In fact, I should have
started Santonio Holmes over Mark Clayton and the risk of using
too many Ravens in one lineup nearly cost me. Still, I drafted
for consistency at the receiver position and Driver, Brown, and
Heap have rewarded me here.
As for the FFTOC, I can look at it two ways: I either had two
players save me from a beat down or I wasted two excellent efforts
with poor receiver choices.
FFTOC Update |
Pos |
Player |
Pts |
Comments |
QB |
P. Manning |
36.28 |
Wasted this great game due to my receiving
corps |
RB |
M. Barber |
21.6 |
My team started well, but see the beat
down below… |
RB |
R. Bush |
3.3 |
BAM!!! |
WR |
D. Stallworth |
0.5 |
BOOM!!! |
WR |
E. Kennison |
4.3 |
POW!!! |
WR |
M. Booker |
0.0 |
CRASH!!! |
TE |
C. Cooley |
8.0 |
Satisfactory. |
K |
Jay Feely |
10.0 |
Figures my kicker is among the high
scorers for this sorry lineup. |
DEF |
Jacksonville |
3.0 |
Meh… |
|
Total |
86.99 |
If this doesn’t end my hopes, then a
major miracle must be on the horizon. |
|
Maurice Jones Drew Was A Better Start
Than Fred Taylor
When a player like Taylor has a bad hammy or groin and is slated
to gut it out, you know that’s not a good sign. Taylor is
an explosive runner in terms of his movement and acceleration.
He makes some of the most violent cuts in the game. You don’t
start a runner with a muscle issue that has this kind of style
if you have a more viable option. Now that Drew is banged up,
I might have to take this advice for my championship game next
week. The one thing going for me is Drew’s youth and the
fact Taylor will be out. The worst-case scenario is I start Cadillac
Williams for the first time in weeks against the Brown. With Rattay
jump- starting the offense against the Bears, this suddenly doesn’t
sound like such a bad option.
The Titans Defense Would Be A Fantasy
Force
Three touchdowns off interceptions last week—are you kidding
me? Just how many fantasy owners had the Titans defense? Seriously,
yours truly drafted them in one league but only did so to bide
his time for a better defense to make its way to the waiver wire.
I’d love to see the percentage of teams that started the
Titans defense last weekend—I bet it was less than 3% of
owners overall.
Despite the fact that Tennessee continues to improve and play
hard, Jacksonville’s passing game has taken a step backwards.
David Garrard is not a consistent passer at this point, but the
receiving corps still has a long way to go with routes and concentration.
Kept My Mouth Shut About Marion Barber
III
If you know anything about my choices at RB this season you understand
that it’s probably good to go the opposite way when I’m
discussing options for your #2 back. In fact, I took my own cue
and started Barber III against the Falcons with the hope he’d
have a rebound game from his negative one-yard effort versus New
Orleans. The Cowboys #2 RB runs with such great balance and determination.
I think the more important question is whether Barber has earned
the opportunity to be the main back in Dallas in 2007. My personal
theory is that Barber is Parcells’ favorite and Jones is
the owner’s guy. I have a feeling there will be some sort
of shake up in 2007—a change in the depth chart or possibly
a trade if Jones makes a big enough stink (and Dallas can find
a way to deal him).
Nagging Feelings—Week 16
Is it time to dust Michael
Turner off and place him in your lineups in week 16? Philip
Rivers has been impressive for a first-year starter, but he’s
going to need to improve his play in January if the Chargers have
any serious hope of reaching the Super Bowl. San Diego’s defense
dominated Kansas City through three and a half quarters, but the
warm weathered environs of Southern California won’t serve as
the advantage that a cold-weather team might have in the playoffs.
Baltimore, New England, or Indianapolis’ offenses will probably
feel pretty good about playing January football in this climate.
This will place the pressure on the Chargers passing game and
I don’t believe Rivers is ready to perform at this level with
the consistency to help the Chargers advance. They better hope
to jump out early and the opposing offenses make enough mistakes
for San Diego to play ball control and bleed the clock.
I know it’s a meaningless game, but Jay Cutler clearly
outshined Matt Leinart in this match up between rookie quarterbacks.
That sick, 63-yard touchdown pass after rolling and quickly setting
his feet before delivering a rope while getting nailed by a pass
rusher demonstrated what I said in the 2006 Rookie Scouting Porfolio
about what separates Cutler from Leinart: The arm strength to
deliver a rocket throw from a variety of angles. Yes, I know the
Broncos have a better defense than the Cardinals, but Arizona
does have better skill players. Plus Leinart threw an interception
on a play where he also rolled to the opposite site of this throwing
motion, had to quickly set his feet, and take a hit. Cutler could
do it, Leinart couldn’t. It’s the difference between
a good quarterback that could be great in the right system and
a franchise player that could play in any system.
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