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Projections & Rankings Update – 9/2/14


By: — September 2, 2014 @ 1:08 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 9/2/14

Final scheduled update of the year. Post roster cut to 53 players. A lot of movement at the bottom end of each position as teams fill out the back end of their rosters.

Quarterbacks

  • Matt Schaub (-30) – Whether our not Schuab’s elbow had anything to do with it, the Raiders are already looking towards the future.
  • Derek Carr (+25) – He gets the start Week 1 in Oakland and the Raiders hope he keeps the job for good.
  • EJ Manuel (-8) – You don’t pay Kyle Orton $5 million to ride the bench. Manuel should be avoided in fantasy drafts.


Running Backs

  • Ben Tate (+6) – The coaching staff thinks rookie Terrance West still needs some seasoning before he’s ready for a significant workload.
  • Knowshon Moreno (+6) – I flip-flopped Moreno and Miller this week. I think it’s only a matter of time before Moreno proves to be the better all-around RB.
  • Dan Herron / Isaiah Crowell / Latavius Murray – All No. 3 running backs got slight bumps. Sleeper material.

Wide Receivers

  • Michael Floyd (-1) – Bumped his projections down just a bit as John Brown looks like he’s going to be a significant part of the offense.
  • Miles Austin / Andrew Hawkins (+4) – They are your starting receivers in Cleveland, for what it’s worth.

Tight Ends

  • Rob Gronkowski (+1) – Gronk claims he’s going to play Week 1 in some capacity. Look for him to be limited early in the season.

Kickers

  • Cairo Santos (#15) – Beat out Succop in Kansas City.
  • Ryan Succop (#28) – Signed by Tennessee.
  • Brandon McManus (#25) – Will kick for Denver while Prater serves his suspension.
  • Patrick Murray (#30) – Kicking for the Bucs.
  • Cody Parkey (#17) – Beat out Henery in Philadelphia.
  • The Saints apparently want to go for two every time.

Projections & Rankings Update – 8/28/14


By: — August 28, 2014 @ 1:19 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 8/28/14

Quarterbacks

  • Shaun Hill (+5) – It appears the Rams are comfortable with Hill as their starter for the foreseeable future.
  • Cam Newton (-1) – Getting bad vibes about this team the closer we get to the start of the season.

Running Backs

  • Jamaal Charles (-2) – Speaking of bad vibes… I still love Charles but the injuries to the o-line, poor play by Eric Fisher and multiple injuries throughout the team have the Chiefs trending downward. Just a slight bump down for Jamaal.
  • Doug Martin (+3) – Rookie Sims is out and addition of Mankins should help every so slightly.
  • Reggie Bush / Joique Bell – A slight shift in distribution between the Detroit RBs.
  • Pierre Thomas (-8) – Ingram and Robinson are ready to be the main runners on first and second down. Thomas stays as a receiving threat and is a better value in PPR leagues.

Wide Receivers

  • Josh Gordon (dropped) – His appeal was lost. Gordon will miss the entire 2014 season.
  • Brandin Cooks (+7) – Tacked on some yardage to Cook’s receiving totals.

Tight Ends

  • Rob Gronkowski (+2) – Sure would be nice to see Gronk get some quality practice time in next week.
  • Tim Wright (+23) – Wright improved his fantasy stock by landing in New England. He’s on the back-end of the TE2 radar until his usage in the offense becomes clear.

Kickers


Projections & Rankings Update – 8/25/14


By: — August 25, 2014 @ 10:13 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 8/25/14

Unscheduled updated for WR Wes Welker (concussion) K Matt Prater (4-game suspension) and QB Sam Bradford (ACL).

Quarterbacks

  • Sam Bradford (dropped) – Tough break for the Rams as they lose their signal-caller for the second-straight year.
  • Shaun Hill (#28) – Hill be the Week 1 starter but isn’t even a QB2 at this point. He will be available on your waiver wire if he shows well during Weeks 1 and 2.

Wide Receivers

  • Wes Welker (-20) – Welker has three concussions in 10 months. Even if he’s ready for Week 1, his injury risk pushes him below Sanders.
  • Emmanuel Sanders (+14) – Sanders will have a bigger role inside and out if Welker misses any time.
  • Danny Amendola (-10) – I still think Amendola is a decent value at his current ADP (10.09) but he’s not on the field in two-WR sets, limiting his opportunity.
  • Allen Hurns (#101) – Inserted the UDFA receiver in Jacksonville.

Kickers

  • Matt Prater (-20) – Four-game suspension makes Prater undraftable in re-draft leagues. There are plenty of kickers and no reason to carry two on your initial roster.

Projections & Rankings Update – 8/21/14


By: — August 21, 2014 @ 10:36 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 8/21/14

Note: No change to Le’Veon Bell or LeGarrette Blount until we get a better idea of the punishment they may or may not receive as a result of their dope arrest last night.

Quarterbacks

  • Matthew Stafford (+1) – Added a passing TD to Stafford’s totals.
  • Jay Cutler (+1) – I really like Cutler’s ceiling this season. Health will be the only thing that keeps him out of the top ten.
  • Cam Newton (-2) – Personnel concerns are enough to kicked him down a Tier.

Running Backs

  • Doug Martin (N/A) – No change as Sims’ injury reflects more on backups Rainey and James.
  • DeMarco Murray (-2) – Been debating all season how heavy Murray’s use will be in this offense. Still like him a lot but decided to scale him back as I expect Dunbar’s role to more than just change-of-pace.
  • Christine Michael (-7) – Robert Turbin has the trust of the coaching staff. If Lynch goes down, a committee approach will likely be used.
  • Chris Polk (-10) – There is no handcuff for McCoy right now. Polk’s hamstring injury is such a concern the team acquired Kenjon Barner from Carolina.

Wide Receivers

  • Jordy Nelson (+1) – Slight bump for the Packers’ receivers as it appears no true threat at tight end is going to emerge.
  • Randall Cobb (+2) – See above.
  • Jeremy Maclin (-4) – I love Maclin’s ceiling but his injury concerns are growing.
  • Markus Wheaton (+8) – Ranked too low originally. The kid has upside value if he can hold onto the No.2 receiving spot.

Tight Ends

  • Vernon Davis (-2) – The more I study, the more I like Crabtree to steal the show in 49ers passing game this season. Davis is TD-dependent and will be hard-pressed to notch double-digit scores this season.
  • Antonio Gates (-2) – Adjusted the distribution between Gates and Green.

Projections & Rankings Update – 8/14/14


By: — August 14, 2014 @ 2:59 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 8/14/14

Lot’s of minor tweaking this week as camp news and notes starts to solidify my opinions on how the offenses across the league are shaping up. Here are some of the biggest movers as week head into Week 2 of preseason action.

Quarterbacks

  • Robert Griffin III (-1) I removed some of RGIIIs rushing yardage as I get this sense he’s going to attempt to stay in the pocket more this season.
  • Johnny Manziel (+7) Even if Hoyer starts the season, it won’t be long (likely Week 5 after Cleveland’s bye in Week 4) before Manziel takes the field as the starting QB.

Running Backs

  • Doug Martin (-4) – Won’t be the workhorse like he was back in 2012.
  • Jonathan Grimes (+33) – Release of Andre Brown, gives Grimes a good shot be Foster’s backup.
  • James White (+7) – Still holding sleeper status for the casual ff owner.

Wide Receivers

  • Wes Welker (-5) – Love Welker in his swan song season in Denver but initial yardage total was too high.
  • Eric Decker (+5) – Original projections were a touch too low.
  • Terrance Williams (+6) – The Cowboys are going to be throwing a ton, making up inefficiencies on defense.
  • Brandin Cooks (+9) Want to hear more from practice and watch the next two pre-season games, but Cooks may climb into WR30 area by late August.
  • Kenny Britt (+20) – Running as a starter, but you can’t help but think Britt is teasing us fantasy owners again.

Tight Ends

  • Travis Kelce (+10) – Great talent and speed for a TE, but needs to prove he can stay healthy. He’s an upside pick as a TE2.

Projections & Rankings Update – 8/7/14


By: — August 7, 2014 @ 1:57 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 8/7/14

Quarterbacks

  • No changes.

Running Backs

  • Arian Foster (-3) – Injury risk is growing by the minute.
  • Andre Ellington (+3) – Bumped up his receiving yardage slightly.
  • Steven Jackson (-7) – See Foster above.
  • Dexter McCluster (#67) – Shifted him from WR to the RB group but don’t see him making a Danny Woodhead type impact.
  • David Wilson (cut) – Dropped from the rankings. Very sad.

Wide Receivers

  • Wes Welker (-5) – Love Welker in his swan song season in Denver but initial TD total was too high.
  • Emmanuel Sanders (+7) – Don’t think he’ll duplicate Decker’s numbers but you can’t deny the opportunity is there.
  • Dwayne Bowe (+6) – Weak secondary, tough schedule, means the Chiefs will be playing from behind a lot this season. Bowe is widely undervalued.
  • Aaron Dobson (–7) – Spending too much time in the trainers room.

Tight Ends

  • Mychal Rivera (+10) – Moves back into the starting role with Ausberry (knee) out.
  • Jace Amaro (-13) – Predictably, the rookie TE is struggling picking up all his responsibilities at the NFL level.

Projections & Rankings Update – 7/31/14


By: — July 31, 2014 @ 12:38 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 7/31/14

Quarterbacks

  • Kirk Cousins (+6) – Really like Cousins to succeed should he find himself in a starting role.

Running Backs

  • Christine Michael (+7) – Didn’t increase his projections but the upside value is tremendous and warrants a move up in the rankings.
  • Ronnie Hillman (+13) – He’s been running with the two’s enough. Time to flip-flop him and Anderson.
  • C.J. Anderson (-13) – Slight adjustment as Rice receives only two-game suspension.
  • Carlos Hyde (+9) – Loss of Kendall Hunter (ACL) improves Hyde’s chances of making an impact.
  • David Wilson (-10) – Suffered a stinger and will be held out for a few days. Not good for someone coming off a serious neck injury.

Wide Receivers

  • Antonio Brown (+1) – Back to back 100-catch seasons?
  • Victor Cruz (+3) – Cruz is shaping up to be a target monster in the Giants new offense.
  • Cecil Shorts (-7) – Shorts has battled nagging hamstring and calf issues the entire offseason.
  • Ace Sanders (–15) – Will miss the first four games.

Tight Ends

  • Robert Housler (-11) – Lost his starting job to John Carlson and doesn’t fit Arians’ offense well.
  • Jace Amaro (-6) – Predictably, the rookie TE is struggling picking up all his responsibilities at the NFL level.

Projections & Rankings Update – 7/24/14


By: — July 24, 2014 @ 11:02 am
Filed under: Forecast

Player Projections, Rankings & Cheatsheets
Change Log – 7/24/14

Quarterbacks

  • Tom Brady (+1) – Positive news on Gronk bumps Brady’s TD total up by one.

Running Backs

  • Doug Martin (-4) – Hard to envision Dougie getting 300+ carries as Bucs lean towards RBBC.
  • Bishop Sankey (-4) – I expect Sankey to lead the RBs in production but McCluster and Greene will keep the rookie out of RB1 territory.
  • Ray Rice (+1) – Slight adjustment as Rice receives only two-game suspension.
  • Bernard Pierce (-3) – I was expecting Rice’s suspension to last four games.
  • David Wilson (+10) – Positive news on Wilson (neck) has him fantasy relevant again.

Wide Receivers

  • Mike Wallace (+2) – Starting to prefer Wallace over other high-end WR3 options.
  • Sidney Rice (dropped) – Retired from the league.
  • Doug Baldwin (+13) – Retirement of Rice solidifies Baldwin as No.2 wideout.

Tight Ends

  • Rob Gronkowski (+4) – Bump for Gronk as he has been cleared for camp but long injury history remains a big red flag.

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