Last Week's Projections: (9-7)
56.3%
Season's Projections: (120-71)
62.8%
San Diego (2-10) at Detroit
(4-8) 1:00 PM
Here's an eye popper to start the week. "Really bad" versus
"bad but getting better." The fact that Tomlinson doesn't
get the ball more often is so unbelievably annoying, and not just
from a fantasy perspective but also from the perspective of a fan
of the game. The Bolts did keep the game versus KC last week much
more interesting than expected, and give credit to both Tomlinson
and Doug Flutie. Flutie, despite my insistence that he wouldn't,
has made a difference in the offensive production. It also helps
when the receivers catch the ball. Maybe Drew Brees was the problem,
though I would argue that his problems were more the result of his
desire to win than his actually mechanics or abilities. Regardless,
this team (both of these teams for that matter) can play balls out
now that they have nothing to lose, AND NOW THEY SHOULD GIVE TOMLOINSON
30 CARRIES A GAME! Mark it down: if Shottie gives LT the ball 25+
times, the Bolts win. If not, it won't be so easy. The Bolts can't
afford to get into a scoring match with any team, and Detroit's
defense has played pretty well of late (they held Ahman Green to
57 yards last week, and 0 TD's). If the Bolts don't slow this game
down and use their running game to wear on the defense, it could
be another step towards a dismal season.
I was sitting there on Thanksgiving, a little too full of holiday
"cheer" to really care that both my picks that day were
going horribly, and all could think about was Joey Harrington.
Not too long ago, I put some nice words behind Harrington: I think
he's a great QB with amazing skills and a great mental grasp of
the NFL game, and with some real weapons I think he'd be not only
a great fantasy QB but also a regular on the highlight reel. I'll
say Harrington is not that fantasy stud NOW, but he's starting
to make a difference even though he's still working without Charles
Rogers. Don't get me wrong, the Lions are still far from a threat.
They have won 4 games by kicking you to death with field goals.
But give some props to Harrington: he's the guy getting Hanson
in field goal range. I honestly believe Charles Rogers could have
made a huge difference in the Lions' season, maybe even helped
them pick up another win or two. However, Rogers won't be in this
game and though the Detroit D is playing well this game will not
be a defensive battle. The Lions have to get the ball into the
end zone, and they can't continue to rely on 5 or 6 field goals
by Hanson to provide all the offense. The answer may be coming
(it's a long shot, but it's a change) in rookie RB Artose Pinner.
Pinner has been activated this week after spending the first half
of the season on the PUP list and spending the last few weeks
both with continued recovery from the broken leg he suffered during
his senior year at Kentucky as well as dealing with some personal
family issues. It sounds like Pinner will get significant playing
time in this game, and he couldn't ask for a better defense to
start his NFL career against (the Bolts give up an average of
145 yards rushing a game). I, obviously, wouldn't gamble on Pinner
for fantasy purposes, but keep an eye on him. If he can give the
Lions any kind of running game, the Lions could be tough opponent.
However, I think LT and Flutie will be too much this week for
the Lions. Plus, keep tabs on Quentin Jammer: the young CB had
a great game last week versus the Chiefs and if he can cover well
again this week, the Chargers could pick up a nice win.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: LaDainian Tomlinson, Doug Flutie, Joey Harrington,
Jason Hanson
2nd String: David Boston, Shawn Bryson, Artose Pinner, Az-Zir
Hakim, Eric Parker, Bill Schroeder, Mikhael Ricks, Steve Christie,
Bolt Defense, Detroit Defense
Prediction: Bolts 21, Lions 17
Chicago (5-7) at Green
Bay (6-6) 1:00 PM
The Bears are going to win the division. They are two games back
and if they win out they could make the playoffs. I also believe
that I will be making the roster of the Boston Red Sox this year
as the setup man between Curt Schilling and Keith Foulke. Then,
I will legally change my name to Nene, in honor of the Denver
Nugget player with the same name, and I will go on to earn top
honors as the NFL prognosticator of the century. The Bears have
been playing well, having won 4 of their last 6 games. Kordell
Stewart and, um, Brad Forsey had great games last week versus
Arizona. But, as we always say, don't take it to heart as it was
the Arizona Cardinals. Imagine what the A-Train could have done
it that one! He's over his viral bug and will be back to face
the Packers. The Packers don't sport the best rushing D out there,
giving up 113 yards a game. The Bears will need a big game from
the Train in this one if they hope to win. The Bears, historically,
have had trouble versus the Packers, especially on the Frozen
Tundra. It looks like Chris Chandler should be out and Stewart
is likely to get the start, and it should probably stay this way
for the remainder of the season (just my opinion). Stewart played
well versus Green Bay in their last meeting (201 yds passing,
71 yds rushing, 1 rush TD, but 2 picks). The key player could
be Justin Gage. The rookie WR has come on strong, and he's done
well with both QB's at the helm. By the way, has anyone seen David
Terrell? It seems he's come up missing, and he's not even mentioned
now that Gage has become the hot rookie in Chitown. If Booker,
White, and Gage can open up some yards against the Packer's passing
D (giving up 211 yards a game), and A-Train can play as well as
he has this second half of the season, the Bears could give the
Packers a real hard time. Trust me: nothing would make the Chicago
faithful happier than to see their team knock the Cheese out of
the playoff picture, and a loss this weekend would do it.
What happened to Ahman last week? It's turkey day, and the Pack
are looking for the Rams to take it to the Vikings (as they did),
and they don't take advantage. The thumb problem for Favre has
got to be driving the Cheeseheads nuts! He's dropping at least
a couple of balls in mid-throw every week, and though he's playing
well he doesn't seem to have the accuracy he's accustomed to show.
But it was very disturbing to see a guy that has run for at least
100 yards in 8 of 12 games this year struggle to run against the
Lions' defense. Every dog has its day, and Chicago is not likely
to stop Green for a second week in a row (the Bears are giving
up 122 yards rushing a game). Green will have to bear the cross
this week as the Bears' passing D has really stepped up in recent
weeks. The Bears are holding teams under 200 yards passing a game
in their last 7 games. With Favre's recent thumb problems and
Chicago's passing defense, all signs point to a big game for Green.
The Packers will need to keep their offense on the field as much
as possible, and running the ball early and often gives them a
great game plan to do so. The Pack is in the hunt for a playoff
spot, and with Minnesota struggling to hold them off the Packers
cannot blow another chance. The Bears will make this interesting,
and the Packers need to take advantage with a win here and then
look at what's left on the schedule (Chargers, Raiders, Broncos).
They could make the race for the NFC North interesting. That said,
this is the Packer and the Bears, and if you want to put your
money on the smart spot, put it on the Pack.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Ahman Green, Anthony Thomas, Brett Favre, Javon Walker,
Bubba Franks, Paul Edinger, Ryan Longwell
2nd String: Kordell Stewart, Marty Booker, Dez White, Justin Gage,
Donald Driver, Desmond Clark, Chicago Defense, Packer Defense
Prediction: Bears 13, Packers 20
Indianapolis (9-3) at
Tennessee (9-3) 1:00 PM
What a loss for the Colts last week! One freakin' yard. Seriously,
how many of you didn't see that play coming? I took one big lesson
away from that game: Indy can't continue to get in these big come-from-behind
situations, and they also can't count on winning all of these
close games. Granted, it took a big time play from the Patriot
defense to keep them at a loss, but the fact remains that this
Colts team cannot "grind" out wins. The Patriots shut
down the big play in the first half, and the Colts had a very
hard time getting their offense going at all. Edge James can get
it done, but he can't do it alone. If he's kept to respectable
yards and small runs, and if Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne
are kept under wraps on deep routes, the Colts will struggle in
low scoring games. This would be good news to the Titans, but
they don't keep too many games in the low scoring category. The
Titan defense is coming off a loss to the Jets that saw them allow
24 points, 231 yards passing, and 97 yards rushing (including
Curtis Martin's first TD). The truth is the Colts are capable
of lighting up anybody, and their only worry is scoring enough
to overcome their defense. Key stat: the Titans give up 76 rushing
per game (best in the NFL), but they give up an average of 234
yards through the air. That is not a good number to bring against
Peyton Manning. Jevon Kearse is listed as "probable,"
and he could give Manning some problems, but he can't do it alone.
The Titans are hitting a bit of a wall in my opinion. Last week's
loss to the Jets was huge: they are, essentially, out of the running
for a 1 or 2 seed in the AFC. The schedule ahead for the Titans
isn't a cakewalk, and it starts with this tough match with Indy.
McNair has officially reached the point of not practicing and
playing on Sundays (and that's not necessarily a bad thing, but
it shows the beating he's taken thus far and the load he's had
to carry is taking a toll). Eddie George is still struggling:
he ran for 73 yards against the worst rushing D in the land last
week. Every one runs on the Jets, but the Titans didn't run the
ball well at all. Let's be honest: that game was two great McNair
throws away from being an ass kicking. The Titans are a team that
really worries me. They have such great talent, but they are battered
with injuries (McNair is not likely to be 100% for the rest of
the year, Drew Bennett is likely to miss this week again, CB Andre
Dyson is questionable, & you have to hope Kearse can stay
healthy). This team relies way too much on one player, and way
too much on one facet of their offense, and the Colts are not
very good team to throw against. They are ranked 7th versus the
pass, and they have allowed an average of only 184 passing yards
a game. Throw in 26 sacks and you have to wonder if the Titans
have the go to get it done versus this high-powered offense. This
game is HUGE: with the Pats and Eagles playing so well, and both
of those teams have favorable schedules left ahead, and the key
is the potential match up for the postseason. The loser of this
game is likely to lose the AFC South and get in as a wild card
team, and the wild card team will be forced to travel to either
Cincy or Baltimore (winner of the AFC North) despite having a
better record! No one wants to travel in the first round, especially
when you are sporting only 4 losses and having to play Cincy or
Baltimore (both teams are capable of beating just about anyone).
I believe the Colts have too many advantages to ignore: they have
all their weapons healthy, they have a competent defense that
fits well with Tennessee's strengths, and they are a team looking
to put behind a reputation of choking at this time of the year.
Tony Dungy is a coach that can lead this team to the Promised
Land, and he can motivate these guys past their mental barricades.
I'm putting my money on the team with a solid running game and
a healthy, top quality QB. Give me the Colts.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Peyton Manning, Edge James, Marvin Harrison, Mike
Vanderjagt, Steve McNair (Questionable), Derrick Mason, Gary Anderson
2nd String: Reggie Wayne, Titan Defense, Justin McCareins, Marcus
Pollard, Eddie George, Tyrone Calico, Chris Brown, Colt Defense
Prediction: Colts 27, Titans 17
Seattle (8-4) at Minnesota
(7-5) 1:00 PM
The Seahawk fans are yelling for respect. YELLING for respect,
as they sit at a very respectable 8 & 4 and in charge of the
NFC West. They may have the hottest QB in the game in Matt Hasselback.
His numbers are very impressive: 2883 yds, 22 TD's. And, let's
add this fact: Seattle leads the NFL in dropped passes! As long
as we are talking about the Hawks, can you all stop sending me
emails about Darrell Jackson?! I KNOW! He's having an awesome
season, and he's sporting better numbers than Hines Ward, Joe
Horn, Plaxico Burress, Jerry Rice, Rod Smith, etc. By the way,
here's a number no one has thrown at me (found it all on my own,
just to brag): he's the league best in yards per catch (17.1).
Koren Robinson has started to put together some nice games as
well, and Bobby Engram has to put in his work as well. Shaun Alexander
continues to impress (on, in my opinion, too few carries). This
team has it going on offensively: ranked 9th throwing the rock
and 8th running it. They've been holding on the ball better in
recent games, and these guys just don't turn the ball over (only
9 combined fumbles and 9 interceptions). All those numbers usually
turn into wins, and thus the success of the Seahawks this season.
They are coming into Minnesota at a time when the Vikings are
really struggling. The Vikes have lost 5 of their last 6 games
and are struggling to hold on the their division. The defense
is definitely suspect: they give up an average of points a game,
and they are coming off a thrashing by the Rams. To say the Rams
and Seahawks are similar is not only true, it's an understatement
of epic proportion. If the Vikings can't step it up defensively,
they will suffer yet another loss.
The Vikings are struggling a bit on offense as well. Daunte Culpepper
has rediscovered his propensity for turnovers once again: 6 interceptions
in his last 4 games. They still put up numbers, but they wipe
out their productivity with the inability to hold on to the football.
This team is starting to feel the crunch of being a team so reliant
on offense for wins. They say defense wins championships for a
reason. One good sign for Minnesota has been the return of Michael
Bennett. Their running game had started to struggle a bit, and
Bennett brings a much-needed element of speed to the lineup. He
hasn't really broke on of those trademark 70-yard runs yet, but
he's got it brewing. Seattle does give up some rushing yards (112/game),
and the Vikes should look to Bennett to give their offense some
stability and pace control. The Hawks do bring a nice passing
defense, and though no one can cover Randy Moss the Vikes are
not likely to throw for 350 on this team. With the defensive shortcomings
of this Vikings team, the offense will be overloaded with work
trying to keep up. Seattle will bring the run and the pass, and
the Vikes aren't so good against either. It's hard to comprehend,
but it looks like the Viking fans are going to endure another
late season drop-off, and their team will be in a big time battle
to keep their playoff hopes alive.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Shaun Alexander, Matt Hasselback, Darrell Jackson,
Koren Robinson, Randy Moss, Daunte Culpepper, Michael Bennett
2nd String: Maurice Morris, Bobby Engram, Itula Mili, Josh Brown,
Seattle Defense, Moe Williams, Aaron Elling, Nate Burleson, Kelly
Campbell, Jim Kleinsasser, Minnesota Defense
Prediction: Hawks 32, Vikes 23
Tampa Bay (5-7) at New
Orleans (6-6) 1:00 PM
The Bucs are as done as Dennis Rodman. Stick a fork in the defending
champ, and then stick it in Beyonce and pass me the plate. It
is hard to find an explanation for the demise of the team. I guess
it's because of the sudden fall in the production of Keyshawn
Johnson. Wait
.. did he ever produce? Anyway, this team is
the only team without 8 losses that I am willing to proclaim as
dead. Their division is too tough and they won't get a wild card
out of the NFC. This team has some weapons, and they've been able
to move the ball offensively. However, after starting off the
season in a tear, they have struggled to score in recent weeks.
Now, it's not secret to anyone that follows football that the
Saints have enjoyed great success over the Bucs in recent years.
They have already beaten this team once, and now they get them
at home. The Bucs have got to find a way to score, and they need
to score more than a touchdown or two. Keenan McCardell is the
obvious answer, and thus he has become defensive enemy #1. Joe
Jurevicius is out for the season, and Chris Lee has provided another
solid target. However, the key to this game will be the running
attack. Michael Pittman has been nice, and Thomas Jones has shown
some promise, but they are going to need some major improvements
this week: the Saints' D gives up 141 yards rushing a game. This
is a horrible number, and on the turf in the dome it would be
nice to see the Bucs give the ball to Jones and let his speed
showcase. With the season lost, it would make sense to let a player
like Jones show what he can do and earn his spot in next year's
squad. Plus, it gives your team the best chance to score!
In life, there are many thing that have gone unnoticed despite
the strong production in the given fields of work: Carl Williams
as an action hero, Chunky as a candy bar, Jim Beam as a prescription
sedative, Boss Hog as a supervisor. Deuce McAllister may be the
biggest example in professional sports. Sounds like a pretty grand
statement, but I'm a numbers guy and the numbers back me up and
every other media source is on this bandwagon this week, so let's
all jump on and give the Deuce this due. 3 straight games with
160+ rushing (looked it up: been done once before, OJ), 9 consecutive
games with 100+ yards (looked it up: this has been done only twice
before, Walter Payton and Fred Taylor), and he's still young!
He's a freakin' kid, and he's probably tops on the list of good
players on bad teams. He continues to give his team a major edge
on offense, and they continue to struggle when it comes to reaching
the next level and making the postseason. The lack of production
from Joe Horn has been a major concern, plus the lack of play
for Donte Stallworth. The passing game could be a big weapon for
the Saints, but this year it has not been. It is almost fair to
say that TE Boo Williams has become the biggest threat for the
Saints' passing attack, and that is never a good sign. It'd be
nice to see the Saints put some other offense behind Deuce. They
are coming off a tight win over Washington. I can't really look
at the number for this game! I don't know what to expect from
the Bucs' defense. Some games they role up the opposition and
give them a toke; other games, they suck it up and liter the field
with their mistakes. Deuce will run, that's almost a given. I'm
going with the Saints: they just have the number of the Bucs and
they have more to gain by winning. The Saints are completely dead
yet, and if they want to at least make a showing of the season
they need this win. It's hard for me to pick against the Bucs
again, but I said that last week versus Jacksonville, and against
Green Bay in Week 11, and against this very Saints team (in Tampa)
in Week 9. Screw it up once shame on me, screw it up twice then
you can blame it on me again. I'll take the Saints.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Deuce McAllister, Brad Johnson, Keenan McCardell,
Aaron Brooks, John Carney
2nd String: Chris Lee, Buc Defense, Michael Pittman, Thomas Jones,
Todd Yoder, Martin Gramatica, Joe Horn, Donte Stallworth (Questionable),
Ernie Conwell, Saint Defense
Prediction: Bucs 13, Saints 20
Washington (4-8) at NY
Giants (4-8) 1:00 PM
The Redskins are another team in the fryer. I'd put the Giants
in there with them but I believe the Giants are better off in
the compost pile, smoldering in the dog crap and cut grass, building
this unbelievable stench that offends all onlookers and neighbors.
They just suck. They got WHIPPED by Buffalo last week (one of
the few games predicted correctly by yours truly), and it appeared
to me, in the small amount of time I spent on the game, that the
Giants had no interest in playing, much less winning. I'm not
going over the numbers in this one. This game is barely worthy
of my time, and though I am sure I will tune in for at least 10
minutes of it, I cannot justify getting into the stats. For the
sake of all the wager hooks and fantasy guys out there, we can
take a look at this one, but the numbers won't matter. Here's
what you need to know about the Giants: they fumble more balls
than a paraplegic porn star, they are more inconsistent than OJ's
testimony, and they are basically not worthy of your hard earned
gambling dollar. They have one fantasy worthy player, Amani Toomer,
who is reliant on a total fantasy gamble, Kerry Collins, to get
him the ball. He'll be smothered by one of the best CB's in the
game, Champ Bailey, and Ike Hilliard, the other fantasy possibility
(sounds like Shockey is out, or he'd make the list too), will
also have a tough time as the Skins also have Fred Smoot to cover
him. If the Giants want to get the offense going versus the Redskins,
they need to run the ball. Thus, all Giant fans will be found
on their knees, praying to the gods of football on every handoff
that Barber can find a miracle and go one entire game without
a red zone fumble. Good luck.
Here's some good news Giant fans! You just lost CB Will Allen
for the remainder of the year! As if the loss of Shockey (and
his backup, Marcellus Rivers) wasn't enough to make things easy
for the Skins! You now have two of your key CB's out (Ralph Brown
is the other) for a game with a team that HAS to pass the ball
to win. Things are just coming up roses for the Giants. The Skins
have experienced a bit of a surge it the rushing attack recently.
Trung Candidate has shown some flashes of his abilities, but I
wouldn't count on him to carry our fantasy squad into the playoffs.
The Skins will be throwing the ball in this game, as they do every
game, and with the defensive injuries the Giants have sustained
it's easy to see that either Patrick Ramsey or Timmy Hasselback
could enjoy a decent game. Laveranues Coles may be the WR fantasy
start of the week. The Giants won't be able to cover him and you
know he's getting the ball. Rod Gardner could benefit as well.
This game looks like a lock for the Skins. The Giants, if they
can avoid the usual mistakes, could and should make a game of
this, but I doubt they have the heart. At least with the Skins
you know they will leave it on the field and look to improve their
stats and young talent. Take the Skins, and don't be afraid to
put the parental lock on this one. It's not for the weak of soul.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Patrick Ramsey, Tim Hasselback, Laveranues Coles,
John Hall, Amani Toomer, Matt Bryant
2nd String: Trung Candidate, Rock Cartwright, Rod Gardner, Darnerien
McCants, Redskin Defense, Giant Defense, Kerry Collins, Tiki Barber,
Ike Hilliard
Prediction: Skins 24, Giants 16
Dallas (8-4) at Philadelphia
(9-3) 1:00 PM
I was tripping on Tryptophan when I saw the final score, because
I know the Dallas D didn't let Jay freakin' Fiedler on the roof
play like that. Right? Oh well, another pick bites the turf. Listen,
Dallas is a young team and they are going to have letdowns like
last week. I wouldn't read too much into it. What I will say is
this: Richie Anderson is a nice compliment to this offense, but
he's not enough to kill the concerns about the running game. Anderson
has shown some nice moves and surprising speed, but this team
is only one dominant RB away from being SOLID on offense, and
the Fins showed that if you can take it to the passer you can
beat this Boys' squad. Well, Dallas trips to Philly this week,
and they like to rush the passer. They have 26 sacks thus far,
and with Brian "Killer" Dawkins back on the field the
already solid defense is improving. Dawkins can rush the passer,
he can cover the wideouts, he's got great hands for interceptions,
and he'll lay a hit on you that will turn you boxer briefs into
a thong. These two teams faced off earlier in the season, and
the Boys picked up a big 2-point win, but this Eagle defense (and
offense for that matter) is different now. They are better, and
Quincy Carter may not have such a good time throwing the ball.
Philly is on a streak, and a great streak it is. I'm going to
admit something: I picked against the Eagles last week only because
I felt this team had to lose one more game, and last week's match
versus the Panthers was the best candidate left on the schedule.
This week's game with Dallas doesn't look as even as the first
time they met. Donovan McNabb is playing so much better now. He's
THROWING for scores, he's running a bit more, and he's playing
to win (he seemed tentative early in the year). That alone could
be enough to make up the 2 points the Boys won by earlier in the
year. That said, he won't have an easy go. I'm not taking too
much to heart in the loss to Miami. Jay Fiedler had a nice game,
and McNabb could have a nice day, but it won't be easy. This Dallas
D is still very tough and very motivated. This week, Bill Parcells
cut phenom CB/PR man Derek Ross (maturity issues named as the
reason). Basically, it's a message: Parcells won't put up with
your sh** and if you fu** up you're gone (Ross had 2 fumbles on
kick returns in the loss to Miami). You better believe this will
motivate the Boys, especially on defense, and they will battle
hard. That said, I think the Eagles have to win this game. They
currently lead Dallas by one game, and getting this win will nullify
the win Dallas picked up earlier in the schedule. Donovan is playing
better (Carolina's interception in the 1st quarter broke a streak,
as Donovan had thrown 127 consecutive attempts without an interception),
the RB's are healthy and running well as a group, the defense
is much more healthy: everything points towards the Eagles, and
it's too much for me to ignore. Take the hot hand: go with Philly.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Donovan McNabb, Philly Defense, Dallas Defense, Quincy
Carter, Brian Westbrook, Joey Galloway, David Akers
2nd String: Terry Glenn, Billy Cundiff, Troy Hambrick, Antonio
Bryant, Richie Anderson, Jason Witten, Correll Buckhalter, James
Thrash, Todd Pinkston, LJ Smith, Chad Lewis
Prediction: Boys 14, Eagles 21
Oakland (3-9) at Pittsburgh
(4-8) 1:00 PM
Oakland is horrible. Bill Callahan is right: they do give games
away, they are undisciplined, they don't execute, they don't play
with enough heart and too much bravado (especially for a team
with 3 wins). It's all true, like it or not Raider fans. You just
got beat by Denver AGAIN (actually, you got beat by Clinton Portis),
and you are on your way to a dismal season. Rick Mirer has performed
ok, but he's not going to give you a major advantage at QB. Tyrone
Wheatley has become the best RB by default, and he's a nice RB
but he hasn't shown consistency in his career. Your best player
in Oakland is probably your kicker: at least he's your most consistent
player. Jerry Porter has to be pulling his hair out. He missed
the Rich Gannon games due to injury, watched his team fumble through
the season, came back just in time to forget about the season,
and now is struggling with fumbles. This team is presenting the
Steelers' D with a great opportunity to reestablish some of the
regular Pittsburgh dominance. They do well versus both the run
(100 yds/game) and the pass (207 yds/game), but they have fallen
apart in the red zone and have struggled with some turnovers on
offense, thus allowing their opponents good field position and
making things harder for the defense. Ty Wheatley is a nice runner,
but his style won't work too well versus this Pitt defense, and
I wouldn't count on Rick Mirer finding anything worthwhile either.
The Steelers are a team on the verge of
. making tee times.
They are done. This year, 8 losses seems to be the cutoff for
officially being done. That said, they want to win. They want
to close this season with some pride and with some productive
work. They will play some young talent, and they will try some
different stuff, but they are still loaded all over the field
and they still have guys that will make plays every week. Burress
and Ward are probably the best 1-2 punch at WR. Jerome Bettis
hasn't been a breakout guy (SHOCKER), but he's been solid and
has provided a good mix of rushing for the Steelers. Some speed
would be nice, but Bettis can get it done. This Raider defense
is likely to give them some great yards, as they love to pick
up stupid penalties and give their opponents big yards. As I see
it, it doesn't matter as the Steelers could throw all over just
about anyone with Tommy Maddox on his game. I'm trying hard to
find anything nice to say about the Raiders, but it's hard. I
like Phillip Buchanon, and Trace Armstrong is a strong veteran,
and Justin Fargas (when healthy) is a nice prospect. All that
said, the Steelers should whoop this arse this weekend. They should
throw, and throw deep. Ward, Burress, and Randle El should enjoy
nice games, and they should take advantage not only on bad coverage
but also on penalties. The Pitt D should have no problems shutting
down Wheatley, and Mirer won't get enough passing going to make
a difference. Take the Black and Gold, not Silver.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Sebastian Janikowski, Hines Ward, Jeff Reed, Plaxico
Burress, Pitt Defense
2nd String: Rick Mirer, Charlie Garner, Tyrone Wheatley, Jerry
Porter, Teyo Johnson, Raider Defense, Tommy Maddox, Jerome Bettis,
Amos Zereoue, Jay Riemersma (Questionable), Antwaan Randle El
Prediction: Raiders 10, Steelers 21
Houston (5-7) at Jacksonville
(3-9) 1:00 PM
The Texans are a team that I really enjoy watching. They use a
nice mix of passing and rushing, and Domanick Davis is a great
RB for your viewing pleasure. This game is going to be one of
the better matchups of the week! Seriously: the Texans can battle
with anyone, and the Jags have played great in the last few weeks.
Tony Banks is out for the Texans, so young blood David Carr returns
to his starting role despite not being 100%. Expect the passing
of Carr to be the key offensive component for this weekend, as
the Jags come in with the 2nd best rushing defense in all of football
(85 yds/game). Domanick Davis will take his cracks, but the Jags
defense has really stepped up in recent weeks and has done very
well versus rushing opponents (held Edge James to 44 yards 4 weeks
ago for example). Carr will be looking for Andre Johnson, and
they are more likely to find success as Jacksonville's pass D
isn't as good (210 yds/game). Johnson has gotten it done in a
big way for Houston this year. He can get open at any time and
against anyone in the NFL. He may not always get your yards, but
he'll get you into the end zone. Jacksonville better watch this
kid, as well as Jabar Gaffney and Billy Miller. The Texans will
go to the air, and they could find success quick and easy on that
route.
Jacksonville has really been on a role in recent games. Don't
get me wrong: they still take more losses than wins, but the games
have been close and they can brag about big wins over Tampa Bay
and Indy. Fred Taylor is the man for this team. He runs on everyone,
and he's got a nice opponent to run against again this week. Houston
ranks 26th versus the run, allowing 134 yards a game. Taylor will
take advantage, and so will Leftwich. Leftwich has gotten a great
chemistry with Jimmy Smith going, and he's started to get very
comfortable in the NFL game. He threw for 224 versus a tough Tampa
D last week, and he'll have a great shot at a Houston team that
doesn't do well against the pass either (2nd to last to be exact).
If the Jags defense can hold up and play as well as they are capable,
Leftwich could string together consecutive wins for the first
time in his short NFL career. Hey, milestones are milestones,
and this kid is likely to have lots of 'em. Look for Leftwich
to come out throwing, and Freddie T. may be the best RB start
for your fantasy team this week. He'll run all over the Texans,
and the passing game will help open it up for him as well. I'm
taking the home team, with the solid RB and the up-&-coming
QB. Jacksonville has been playing too good lately to ignore, and
the Texans are about to be victim #4.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Fred Taylor, Byron Leftwich, Jimmy Smith, David Carr
(Questionable), Andre Johnson
2nd String: Domanick Davis (Questionable), Jabar Gaffney, Billy
Miller, Kris Brown, Texan Defense, LaBrandon Toefield, Seth Marler,
Kevin Johnson, Kyle Brady, Jag Defense
Prediction: Texans 14, Jags 23
Cincinnati (7-5) at Baltimore
(7-5) 1:00 PM
This is one of the best games of the week. These two teams, battling
for the tradition rich AFC North (tradition?), and both teams
coming in off of nice wins. The Bengals are on a streak they haven't
experience the Icky Shuffle was cool. I saw this fact the other
day, and I hate to say it, but it made me think something funny:
Jon Kitna is the only QB to take every snap for his team thus
far this season. Now, knowing that, when you hear that Kitna deserves
MVP consideration (winning it, no, but consideration, yes), don't
laugh. He's been the leader and head performer for a team that
is winning games and battling hard for the playoffs for the first
time in years. 22 TD's, 9 interceptions: that alone is freakin'
amazing. Chad Johnson definitely helps. He's a stud, one of my
new favorite players (and I HATE wide receivers). These guys are
doing it against everyone, and if you've had CJ or Kitna on your
fantasy squads you know they bring it every week. They will give
Baltimore problems. The Ravens do have a great defense once again:
they do well against the run (102 yds/game) and the pass (180yds/game).
The rushing of Corey Dillon and Rudi Johnson has been a nice offensive
weapon, but the bread and butter of this Bengals team is Kitna
to Johnson. You thrown in Peter Warrick, having a great comeback
year, and you are giving the Ravens a very tough run to guard
the pass.
The Ravens have to be happy with their position. They have been
relying on Jamal Lewis, and Jamal Lewis, and Jamal Lewis for offense.
The passing game didn't come alive until recent weeks, yet they
are tied for their division lead and will battle with Cincy to
make the playoffs. The loser will be likely be going home and
watching on the plasma, as their records aren't worthy of wild
card consideration at this point. Baltimore lives and dies on
defense and Jamal Lewis, yet the passing of Anthony Wright has
lead this team to recent wins over Seattle and San Francisco.
He's made Marcus Robinson look like a stud again, and Todd Heap
has finally enjoyed some great passing looks. Wright will be key
again this week, but you know it's all about Lewis. Cincy gives
up about 120 rushing yards a game, which could translate into
about 150 yards for Lewis. If the Bengals don't come up with an
answer for Jamal (he hit them for 101 earlier in the year), it
could be a long day. This is a tough one to pick, and I'm going
with the glory story of Cincy! I think Corey Dillon is the key:
he seems to have his head back on straight and picked up 48 yards
on only 10 carries last week. I believe the tandem of Dillon and
Rudi will be able to perform well enough to keep Ray Lewis and
company honest, and I don't think the Ravens will have an answer
for Chad Johnson. Kitna is on a roll, Marvin Lewis has made me
a believer, and the Bengals are due for a playoff performance!
I'M ON BOARD BABY! I'LL SINK WITH CJ IF I HAVE TO, 'CAUSE THE
BENGALS ARE GOING TO THE SHOW! Sorry, but I get a little excited
about upsets and games of this caliber. This will be a close one,
but I'm taking the Bengals. I think the Ravens have relied to
heavily on Jamal Lewis, and this week it all catches up to them.
The Ravens' D is tough, but not tough enough.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Jamal Lewis, Chad Johnson, Jon Kitna, Baltimore Defense,
Todd Heap
2nd String: Corey Dillon, Rudi Johnson, Peter Warrick, Matt Schobel,
Shayne Graham, Cincy Defense, Anthony Wright, Travis Taylor, Marcus
Robinson, Matt Stover
Prediction: Bengals 24, Ravens 21
Arizona (3-9) at San
Francisco (5-7) 4:05 PM
Arizona has fallen back to reality: they've lost 4 in a row. It's
not a big secret that this team is (a) horrible on the road, and
(b) struggling to stop other teams no matter where they play.
Offensively they have the tools to compete. Marcel Shipp is one
of the best players in the NFL on a bad team, along with his WR
counterpart Anquan Boldin (by the way, congrad's to Boldin for
becoming only the 12th rookie to reach 1000 yards in the history
of the NFL). This is the problem: they have become the primary
target of every opposing defense they meet. It's hard to get these
guys going every week when they are constantly caught in a barrage
of defensive schemes. This team is not good, and they aren't going
to get any better. They give up a ton of points (28/game) and
they don't come even close to scoring enough to overcome that
number. Basically, it can be safely stated that the Cards are
battling the Bolts for next year's first draft pick (can you say
Eli Manning Arizona fan?). They are likely to have a tough time
with this San Francisco visit. My good friend Dennis, an avid
prognosticator and purveyor of good wagering opportunities, sent
along these stats: in Arizona's last 3 road games they have lost
by an average of 25 points, and in the Niners last 3 home games
they have won by an average of 19 points. So, who do you want
to put your money on?
Sounds like the Niners are going to stick with Jeff Garcia. "But
Bryan, they played HORRIBLY with him behind center last week!
He threw 4 picks, barely broke 100 yards, and couldn't have hit
Terrell Owens if he was 5 feet in front of him and weighed 700
pounds! Why won't they go back to Tim Rattay?" Damn fine
question, and I guess you could sum it up as Garcia is the starter
now and has been whenever he's healthy. I would suggest that the
Niners are giving Garcia the start because of the opponent. Arizona
gives up 227 yards through the air a game, and if Garcia can't
take advantage of that then maybe it will be time to hand the
reigns over to Rattay. Rattay is their guy of the future, make
no bones about it. It's unlikely that Garcia will ever enjoy a
full season of health ever again, and if Coach Erickson thinks
that he shouldn't use Rattay he's wrong (and that may be the case,
as Erickson has never been known for his smart moves in the professional
circle of football). Garcia should have a nice game. The real
interest for me (and some of you fantasy buffs out there) will
be Kevan Barlow. He will be the man at RB this week as Garrison
Hearst is out (knee). Barlow has been the "guy in waiting"
for about 3 years now, and he has yet to take advantage of the
opportunities he's been afforded. He's a nice back , but he has
yet to prove he can do it week in and week out, and he is running
out of chances. Arizona doesn't give up a ton of rushing yards
(only 109 yds/game, you'd guess higher as it's ARIZONA!), and
that makes it hard to bet on Barlow this week. However, betting
on the Niner to win, and win big, is fine! Shipp and Boldin may
do some damage, but it won't be too much, and it definitely won't
be enough to keep this one close. I'm not one to guess a big score
(Dennis is guessing 40-3, ballsy pick!), but I do believe the
Niners will cover whatever the spread is and they will blow this
team out.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Terrell Owens, Jeff Garcia, 49er Defense, Marcel Shipp,
Anquan Boldin
2nd String: Kevan Barlow, Jeff Blake, Bryant Johnson, Freddie
Jones, Arizona Defense, Tai Streets
Prediction: Cards 13, Niners 28
Miami (8-4) at New England
(10-2) 4:15 PM
Did you all see Bob Griese light up that tough Dallas defense
on Thanksgiving? What
.. that wasn't Bob Griese? Oh. Did
you see Brian Griese tear up
.. What? It was
Fiedler. Really? Fiedler put up those numbers against the #1 defense
in the country? Amazing. Give some props to Fiedler, now wipe
it out of you mind. If you really think Fiedler will put up that
kind of performance consistently, you have to pass that joint
over here. Sorry, but even after a great performance in the turkey
bowl, I'm not ready to jump on board with this team just yet.
One word: Wannstedt. This guy could screw up a bread sandwich.
He's jinxed, asked Chicago. Fiedler is a nice QB, but to say he's
going to go like this week in and week out is just stupid (just
for some stat proof, Chris Chambers is a stud and although he
picked up 3 big time TD's last week, his average yards a game
is only 55.8, and that puts him out of the top 20; if that isn't
an indicator of Fiedler's inability to put up big yards consistently
and use Chambers effectively, I don't know what else would be).
What really concerns me is the running of Ricky Williams. He's
still a stud, but not like we have come to expect. He's struggled
in many games this year and hasn't shown me too much to think
he's fully recovered from whatever his problem may be. He did
pick up 104 yards on 31 carries versus Dallas, but he didn't get
any scoring done and this is a concern. This week, you better
believe the Fins are going to need that running game. NE is possibly
the hottest team in the NFL right now, and they have one of the
best defensive units in all of football. NE's D does pretty well
versus the pass (can you say Ty Law and Rodney Harrison?): 208
yds/game, only 10 passing TD's allowed. Jay Fiedler will be spending
plenty of time running with the ball, and for his life, and that
is when he's at his worst. Ricky had better refind his game and
the end zone, as he will need to carry the load in this match.
This is going to be a great game for fans of the defense, potentially.
The Fins are pretty stingy on the field as well: they rank 4th
versus the rush (89 yds/game). It's no secret the Pats don't run
with authority. They live and die with Tom Brady. Brady is the
man, and although I was making a case for Jamal Lewis as MVP a
few weeks ago, I'd switch my answer to Brady today. He has the
best winning percentage among active QB's (at least 25 starts),
having passed Kurt Warner before last week's win over Indy. He's
the leader of this team and is enjoying an amazing season. He'll
have tough match this week, as Miami is also good against the
pass. Although they give up 220 yards a game, they have collected
20 interceptions, 30 sacks, and have allowed only 10 passing TD's.
The Pats are going to wish they had a better running game for
this game, but Kevin Faulk is not necessarily rotted wood and
the Pats have gotten it done against other tough defenses without
a strong rush attack this season (Philly, Tennessee, Denver, and
in their first match with Miami). In their first run-in, Faulk
picked up only 38 yards but Brady threw for 283 and 2 TD's. The
key for Brady is his calm in tough situations. Did you see him
late in the game versus Indy? I thought he was on ludes! He is
a great leader and he can get it done without a true dominant
WR. Whether it's Deion Branch, Troy Brown, David Givens, Bethel
Johnson, Daniel Graham, David Patten, Dedric Ward, or Christian
Fauria, he's gotten it done and has brought the Pats to their
current division lead. I know Coach Bill Belichick is a great
game planner, and though he often gets much of the credit for
this team's success, I feel you should give more of that credit
to Tom Brady. I believe he will throw on this Miami defense, and
he will turn that 220 yards allowed average into about 300 yards,
and once again he will take the Pats to a close, exciting win.
THERE New England fans! I'm doing it! I'm picking your team, and
I'm doing it convincingly. I think there is not one truly dominant
team in the NFL right now, but if you were to formulate arguments
for the top dogs, the most convincing argument would be for the
Patriots. Miami is too inconsistent, they will have a rough time
with the awesome Patriot defense, and they will lose.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Tom Brady, Patriot Defense, Ricky Williams, Chris
Chambers, Deion Branch
2nd String: Fin Defense, Randy McMichael, Brian Griese, Jay Fiedler,
James McKnight, Olindo Mare, David Givens, Kevin Faulk, Troy Brown
(Questionable), Daniel Graham, Adam Vinatieri
Prediction: Fins 14, Pats 23
NY Jets (5-7) at Buffalo
(5-7) 4:15 PM
You don't have to be a Jets fan to realize how exciting this team
has been since the return of Chad Pennington. I've dragged on
about Penny enough in recent columns, so I won't go into it again.
Sufficed to say, the Jets are a much better squad with Pennington
behind center, and last week's convincing win over Tennessee is
proof. I stated earlier that a team with 8 losses is officially
dead for the playoffs. There are several teams with 7 losses right
now, and the chances of most of these teams making a run is slim
and none. However, if I were to pick one team, one team that could
possibly win out and make a miracle out of what was once a lost
season, the Jets are your best shot. Now, I'm not saying it will
happen: they still have the Patriots and the Fins on left on the
schedule. However, this team is HOT right now. Curtis Martin got
his first TD OF THE YEAR last week. Pennington to Moss is heard
more on TV than, "Paris Hilton was caught having sex on tape,
AGAIN." The Jet's special teams and defense is playing well,
they have a solid kicking game, they have a great coach, they
have it all working right now. If only they could keep the rushing
numbers down! They are still, despite holding Eddie George to
73 yards last week (Gary Coleman could hold Eddie George under
100 yards right now), one of the worst rushing D's in the NFL
(3rd worst to be exact). They are improving, but they will struggle
against a strong RB like Travis Henry. Henry has proven he's worthy
of starting for this team, and would be a starter on most NFL
teams. He's become the only source of consistent offense on this
Buffalo team. If the Jets want to win again, in a convincing matter,
they need to do two things. First, they need to crack that tough
Buffalo passing defense (still best in the league at 174 yds/game).
Right now, it's easy to see Pennington throwing well versus anyone.
Second, they need to "contain" Travis Henry. Henry is
a player capable of making things easier for Bledsoe. He can't
win games on his own, but he can help give his team a much better
shot.
Buffalo managed to win in convincing fashion last week versus
the Giants. Right now, I think the Holy Sisters of the Covenant
could field a team and beat the Giants. Granted, the Bills needed
a win in a major way. But don't read too much into that game.
Bledsoe is still struggling with his game and he took a massive
helmet-to-helmet hit that has made daily functioning a tough task
this week. He is still suffering from dizziness and is reportedly
tired and apparently lightheaded. That doesn't sound good. Bledsoe
is a good QB, but he's struggled this season with turnovers and
forced passes, something that would surely continue if he were
to play this week. The Jets have a nice passing D, giving up only
198 yds/game and only 10 passing TD's allowed. The big concern
will be Shaun Ellis: he's among the league leaders in sacks and
has been known to drop a crushing blow to QB's from time to time.
If Bledsoe goes (reported "75% chance he will start"),
he will be blitzed like mad, and the Jets will look to take full
advantage of his hampered status. It's no stretch to say Henry
will run the ball 25 times, and he's likely to find success. But
the Bills are going to have to put up some points. Since Pennington's
return, the Jets are averaging 23 points a game, and they have
won every type of game imaginable. He doesn't throw too many picks
(only 6 thus far), and Curtis Martin doesn't fumble too much either
(2 thus far). Buffalo can't count on the Jets making mistakes
like the Giants made mistakes last week, and thus the Jets will
win. Buffalo doesn't have the passing game working well enough
to take it to the tough Jets' defense, and that will limit their
scoring enough to open the door for Pennington and company. Look
for the Jets to continue their current hot streak to another win
over Buffalo.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Chad Pennington, Santana Moss, Curtis Martin, Anthony
Becht, Doug Brien, Travis Henry
2nd String: Eric Moulds, Curtis Conway, Jet Defense, LaMont Jordan,
Drew Bledsoe, Josh Reed, Bobby Shaw, Rian Lindell, Buffalo Defense
Prediction: Jets 24, Buffalo 14
Kansas City (11-1) at
Denver (7-5) 4:15 PM
Yet another amazing matchup to preview! That's what makes the
NFL so damn special. If you will think back to the last time these
teams played each other, it was a very exciting game. Dante Hall
was the difference maker, but Denver fans would argue that the
officiating was the difference maker (apparently, the though is
that a clip call was missed Hall's TD return, and they have a
point, but they shouldn't have been in that position if they really
want to complain). This would lead you to believe that this matchup
will be just as exciting. I would beg to differ. Let's start with
the Chiefs. First of all, in that first game, Tony Gonzalez was
in the midst of a small slump. Second, Dante Hall was perceived
as the biggest point scoring threat on the team. Now, this week,
neither of those is true. Priest Holmes is back on the KC pedestal
where he belongs. The big difference in my mind comes on the defensive
side of the ball for Denver, and it ties in nicely with the resurgence
of Tony Gonzalez. In their first meeting, the Broncos were healthy
on defense. Now, they are missing TWO of their starting LB's,
both guys being key playmakers for the squad: John Mobley and
Ian Gold. This will free up Gonzalez in a major way. Gold would
normally draw the assignments on Gonzo, and with his talents and
speed on the sidelines, I'd look for a big game for the seasoned
veteran and best TE in the NFL. Don't get me wrong Denver fans!
Jashon Sykes has been a nice player in his rookie year, but he
will be a toy for an experienced Pro Bowler like Gonzo. Look for
Priest to take advantage as well. With the secondary line of defense
depleted, Priest will have a better chance to break out some big
runs, and he will be unstoppable in the red zone. When you mix
in the recent success Trent Green has found as he's in a nice
groove throwing, and the lousy secondary of the Broncos, you have
to admit it's not looking so good for Denver.
Two things you have to be happy about if you are a Denver fan:
you've got Plummer back, and Clinton Portis is still on your team
and healthy. Plummer, in my mind, has proven he is likely worthy
of the money Denver spent to get him. Now if he can just stay
healthy! He could find some nice success against this KC defense.
I believe the trendy term is "bend but don't break."
KC gives up plenty of offense: 210 yds passing a game, 136 yards
rushing a game. By the way, that was Clinton Portis just landing
on your starting fantasy roster. He'll be the primary source of
offense once again this week. Did you see him destroy the Raiders
last week? I was waiting for Shanahan to pull the QB and just
hike the ball to Portis and let him go. They couldn't stop him.
He's got surprising speed and his burst after breaking the secondary
is amazing. However, this week, he won't be enough. The Denver
D is sure to give up at least 21 points to the Chiefs' amazing
offense. That said, the onus falls to Plummer to get it done.
He'll be looking to Rod Smith and Shannon Sharpe, the two biggest
beneficiaries of Plummer's arm. It would be Ashley Lelie, but
his hands have yet to be returned as he continues to drop more
passes every week (believe he dropped 6 balls last week; he should
be benched). Denver needs to open up the long game too. They normally
stick to short passes and they let the WR's do the work. Smith
is still a great receiver, but he can't break it out as easily
as he once did. Get it to him deep and he's bound for 6. This
game could actually be as tight as their last meeting. Portis
could slow down the pace, Plummer could find some open arms, and
Denver could give them a run. However, I have to go with the hot
hand of KC. The passing of Green has been too hot to ignore, and
when you add that to the talents of Holmes and Gonzalez, it's
too much to ignore. If KC wins this game, you can stick a fork
in Denver. KC will have wrapped up the division, and the 8th loss
for Denver will put an end to a disappointing first season for
Jake Plummer in the blue and orange (and, maybe, just maybe, folks
might start looking at Mike Shanahan as a reason for not making
the playoffs, instead of Brian Griese).
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Trent Green, Priest Holmes, Tony Gonzalez, Clinton
Portis, Jake Plummer, Shannon Sharpe
2nd String: KC Defense, Johnnie Morton, Eddie Kennison, Morten
Andersen, Rod Smith, Ashley Lelie, Jason Elam, Denver Defense
Prediction: Chiefs 28, Denver 21
Carolina (8-4) at Atlanta
(2-10) 8:30 PM
The Panthers are not performing as well as I had hoped in the
second half of this season. The defensive front line is amazing,
but the rest of the defense is becoming a little suspect. They
do give up plenty of yards: 100/rushing and 212 passing. The offense
has learned that Jake Delhomme is not Joe Montana, and though
he's brought some nice wins home for the Cats he can't do it every
time, and neither can Stephen Davis. They have so many close games,
and the wins in those situations speaks nicely to Delhomme's abilities.
You don't win those games without some good QB play. However,
if you continue to turn every game into a race to the finish line,
you are not going to win every time, and lately those close wins
have been coming in as close losses. Here's the key stat that
I've found in my obsessive stat studies: the Panthers are a great
defense against opponent scoring in the first 3 quarters, but
in their last 5 games they have been horrible in the 4th quarter.
In those five games, they've allowed only 57 combined points in
the first 3 quarters. However, in the 4th quarter alone in those
5 games combined they have allowed 50 points (and 557 yards of
offense allowed in those 4th quarters alone! YIKES!). This is
a trend that has to stop, and this is a good week to see if they
can do it. Atlanta may be 2 & 10, but I feel comfortable saying
that with the return of Mike Vick they just got a lot better.
Vick, if he's ok, will be running and gunning, and the Panthers
will have to find a way to get to him and keep him in the pocket.
I'm not really sure what to expect from Vick in this one, but
I do know that if the Panthers cannot stop him in the 4th and
the game is as close as most Panther games tend to be, this will
be exciting.
Like I said, who knows what to expect from Vick. I expect more
from Peerless Price, as Mike, I guess its "Michael"
again, as Michael did a nice job of spreading the ball around
in his stint last week. I'd say Price's stock automatically improves,
and I'd say the running threat for Atlanta just got better as
well. With Dunn out and TJ Duckett running the ball, this team
will need some flashes of Vick's speed to help bolster the offense
and keep the Carolina defense honest. The real problem will finally
become as evident as possible in this game: the Atlanta defense
is AWFUL. They don't stop the run (149 yds/game), they don't stop
the pass (239 yds/game), they don't keep opponents out of the
end zone (27 pnts/game), they don't do much at all. They won't
stop Stephen Davis at all. That's as close as you can get to a
fantasy guarantee! They aren't likely to stop Delhomme and Steve
Smith either. Smith has become a great WR in the NFL, and if he
keeps it up he may find himself in Hawaii at season's end (the
Pro Bowl people, don't you watch the best All Star game in professional
sports? There's nothing better than the lack of effort, the lack
of participation, and the blatant use of the game for a nice vacation
as you will see at the Pro Bowl!). So, the question that needs
to be asked is this: will Michael Vick do enough to keep his team
at Carolina's door and to make up for the atrocious defense? The
answer is no. He's getting his first start, he may be a little
bit rusty, probably will be a little bit hesitant to run in some
spots, and that front 4 of Carolina will be giving him plenty
to think about as it is! Take Carolina, but tune in to see how
Vick looks and you might get a better game than you would think.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Jake Delhomme, Stephen Davis, Steve Smith, Jay Feeley,
Mike Vick, Peerless Price, Carolina Defense
2nd String: John Kasay, DeShaun Foster, Muhsin Muhammad, TJ Duckett,
Quentin McCord, Alge Crumpler
Prediction: Panthers 23, Falcons 14
St. Louis (9-3) at Cleveland
(4-8) Mon 9:00 PM
The Rams are starting to remind us all of the Rams that won a
Super Bowl. Let me say this now, just to get it out there: I don't
like WR's, but I'd put Torry Holt's name in the mix for MVP consideration
this year. The guy is on pace to break some yardage records for
receivers this year, and with 1387 yards and 10 TD's already on
the board you cannot ignore what Holt is doing for his team. He's
a great player, and I'd say he could be right with Randy Moss
for the best WR's playing right now (personally, I'd love to put
Marvin Harrison in front of these guys, but the numbers are doing
the talking). This team will light up the Browns. I don't care
if it's Monday night, I don't care if the Browns' passing D numbers
look good (179 yds/game, only 11 TD's allowed), and I don't care
if this comes off as obvious. This team cannot be stopped offensively
without a supreme effort from a top-notch defense, and even then
you won't stop them. You all have no idea how happy I was to see
Marshall Faulk get his carries last week, and look what he did!
3 TD's, I almost pissed my pants. Seriously, if you've read my
column all through the season you've been nice enough to read
my rants on Martz and his inability to admit that Marshall Faulk
is the key to this team's success. Faulk is still a top 5 RB,
and he's capable of those big numbers almost every week! So, let's
see, Cleveland gives up 120 yards rushing a game, and they are
still trying to remove the boot Seattle left in their backsides,
and they didn't stop Shaun Alexander from running all over them,
or Priest Holmes, or LaDainian Tomlinson, or Jamal Lewis. I wonder
if Faulk is worthy of 25 or 30 carries this week? The fact that
I've spent this much time insulting the Cleveland defense, and
the fact they gave up 34 to Seattle last week, and the fact that
it's so obvious that the Rams should spank these guys that Stevie
Wonder, drunk and on ecstasy, could have written this preview,
I think we can call that covered.
The Browns have to be wondering what they will do for offense.
Kelly Holcomb struggled, they brought in Tim Couch who was then
injured and is now out with a possible MCL problem, and now they
are coming into another NFL buzz saw in the Rams. Tough breaks,
along with Willie Green joining the cast of the Jerry Springer
show, make this a season of loss for the Browns, and folks are
starting to question Coach Butch Davis. Myself, I think you can't
blame Davis. He's still cleaning house from the last managers
(and, by the way, that will include the cleansing of Tim Couch
from this team, mark it down now) and he's been struggling to
find the right leader for this squad. You look at that record
at 4 & 8, and you see the schedule ahead (at Denver, Baltimore,
at Cincy), and you can see the Browns making a push for the 1st
draft pick. They are likely, in my mind, to lose out, and they
are going to struggle to find any positives to take from these
games and the season as a whole. Their RB of the future can't
get his life together, their QB situation is questionable at best,
the defense isn't horrible but it's not dominant. I've got one
thing: Courtney Brown. Brown was quickly labeled as a bust after
struggling the last two years, but he's tearing it up this year
as the Browns' leading sack man (6), 4 forced fumbles, and he
appears to get better with every game despite his team's struggles
(hey, he's getting PLENTY of opportunities to make plays!). That's
about all I can say! The Browns are a team looking to get through
each game healthy, maybe to compete if they can, but against offensive
units like Seattle and St. Louis, it's asking an awful lot for
this team to come in and keep up with the likes of Bulger, Holt,
and Faulk. Take the Rams, take them big, and don't expect one
of those crazy Monday Night mysteries.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Torry Holt, Marc Bulger, Marshall Faulk, Rams Defense,
Jeff Wilkins
2nd String: Isaac Bruce, Dane Looker, Brandon Maneamula, Kelly
Holcomb, Andre Davis, Quincy Morgan, James Jackson, Dennis Northcutt,
Phil Dawson, Cleveland Defense
Prediction: Rams 37, Browns 13
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