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Game Previews - Week 1, 2003



By Bryan Douglass | 12/18/03

WEEK 16
Saturday Sunday, 4:00 PM EST
ATL at TB SD at PIT
KC at MIN ARI at SEA
NE at NYJ SF at PHI
Sunday - 1:00 PM EST Sunday - 8:30 PM EST
MIA at BUF DEN at IND
WAS at CHI Monday - 9:00 PM EST
BAL at CLE GB at OAK
NYG at DAL  
DET at CAR
NO at JAX  
TEN at HOU  
CIN at STL  

Last Week's Projections: (13-3) 81.2%
Season's Projections: (143-80) 64.1%

Atlanta (3-11) at Tampa Bay (7-7) Sat 1:30 PM
Let me start off by wishing all of you good luck in the playoffs, and if you are in the consolation bracket, then feel free to pull a Dan Reeves and quit. Just go out, pick up a bunch of hunyucks from the third string of the worst teams, and throw it in. I wish Reeves would have quit, and he did quit, before my column last week so I could have ripped him then. Get this straight: if you, the average joe, go to your boss and ask if you are in a bad place at work, and then you say you want to be let go, you will not be classified as "fired." You have just quit. So when you, the average joe, has your nationally covered press conference, don't stand in front of the world and start by saying, "Well, I didn't quit." Dan Reeves quit: he had a choice, and he decided to take his check and go home for the holidays. I'm not saying I blame him, but let's call it what it is: quitting. Now, that said, the questions lingered until game time: how will this team respond? Did Dan Reeves deserve this, as his team may have been better with a healthy Mike Vick? I'll field both of these. First, when a coach quits before the season is over, it is hard to expect too much from the team, and it is even harder to put any faith in those fantasy players. Two, Reeves had it coming. The truth is this: the Falcons are giving up an AVERAGE of 27 points a game! You won't win a lot of games when your defense is that horrid. This week they may have a tough go once again. Tampa was labeled as the defense that knew how to contain Mike Vick last year, and it's hard to believe this year will be much different. The Falcons could find some production: Vick is a stud regardless of the opponent and is capable of amazing things at any given moment. Also, TJ Duckett has started to flourish a bit as the feature RB: in his last 3 games he's combined for 164 yards and 3 TD's. He's not getting a ton of yards, but he's finding the end zone (that makes for 7 straight weeks with at least one TD). He's the power in the red zone and Vick is the speed and arm to get them there. Tampa's D seems to have solved their problems with the run: after allowing Ahman Green rush for 109 and Fred Taylor run for 118, they bounced back to hold Deuce McAllister under 100 yards and they all but shut down Domanick Davis, holding him to just 56 yards. If Atlanta is going to have any shot at a win, they will need Vick to do some major damage with his arm and his legs. Based on history, Vick hasn't faired too well versus the Bucs. Last year he faced this team twice: he threw for 37 yds and rushed for 72 in the first, and threw for 125 yds and rushed for only 15 in the second. Not impressive at all, and those numbers, along with the recent resurgence of the Tampa D, does not lend for a good argument for an Atlanta win.

It's not a big secret that the Tampa offense has struggled in recent weeks. In their last 6 games, this team has averaged only 16 points a game. After averaging about 26 in their first 5 games, it seems this team may have been living an offensive dream to start the season. I know Brad Johnson is not a QB that sends fear into the hearts of many opponents, and I know Michael Pittman and Thomas Jones don't really bring thoughts of excellence to mind, and I know the receiving corps is respectable but you don't usually mention Keenan McCardell and Charles Lee when you are talking about the big wideout tandems in the NFL. However, this team won a Super Bowl without a dominant offense. This team is made to win tight games. The reason they haven't won games this season is simple: they haven't been able to score enough points to win the close games. Look at that schedule: with 7 losses on the board, 6 of those losses have been by 7 points or less (4 of them by 3 points!). In other words, the teams they were winning close games against last year are turning into losses this year. The only loss you can look at and say, "that team should not have beaten this Tampa team," is Jacksonville (and the Jags were just starting to play much better, especially on defense). This Atlanta team is not good. It would stand to reason that even if Vick is able to keep this game close, Johnson and company should be able to do enough to win. Tampa is not taking this season as one to throw away: the defensive unit is still loaded with talent and they take great pride and satisfaction in bringing the pain to opponents. They know how to keep Vick under wraps, and the Falcons don't know how to win without a superior effort from their superstar. Take the Bucs (by the way, they are the biggest long shot in the NFL, but I wouldn't say the Bucs are entirely dead; they may be crippled and rotting in the sun, but not completely dead).

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Buc Defense, Keenan McCardell, Jay Feeley, Martin Gramatica

2nd String: Mike Vick, Peerless Price, Brad Johnson, Thomas Jones, Alge Crumpler, Charles Lee, Michael Pittman, Todd Yoder

Prediction: Falcons 10, Bucs 23

Kansas City (12-2) at Minnesota (8-6) Sat 5:00 PM
So, do you Viking fans sit on the ledge, wondering what is happening, trying to find a reason not to jump? I sincerely doubt it. For starters, this is football, and as much as we love it and live by the events of every Sunday (or, in the case of this week, Saturday), it is not life or death. Second, it's the holidays, and nothing says "Merry Christmas" like some good, old-fashioned vulgarity and anger at the TV, especially in front of the in-laws, so you don't want to miss the opportunity. Third, you are Viking fans, and you are accustomed to heartbreak and frustration. You realize no matter how hot your team may be during the first weeks of the season, no matter how dominant your Vikings may appear to be when they sit at 6 & 0, the disappointment is just around the corner. From 6 & 0, you've watched your team follow the historical footprints left by the previous regimes in Minnesota, having lost 6 or their last 8 games (including the troubling loss to Chicago, led by a rookie QB that had never seen a single snap in the NFL) and put their playoff hopes in extreme jeopardy. I'm positive most of you sat on your Laz-y-Boy this last Sunday, holding down the vomit and disgust, as the Packers battled to a win and, thus, a tie for the division led with your team. I feel your pain, and the schedule seems to hold a world of disappointment ahead as you look and see the Chiefs coming to town this weekend! Be worried, be very worried, for the Chiefs have had no problems with your fellow Black and Blue division mates: they racked up 40 versus Green Bay for a win and they are coming fresh from the destruction of the Detroit Lions, having beaten them mercilessly by a score of 45-17. There is plenty to worry about: the Vikings' defense is extremely inconsistent and vulnerable, and the running threat of Michael Bennett is in question due to injury (he vows to play, but his injury status is still uncertain). Bennett's big play potential could give the Vikings a huge boost this week, as well as some much needed ground support to relieve some of the pressure on Daunte Culpepper. To make things even better, recent memory cannot offer a recollection of worse effort as that put forth by your best player last week. Randy Moss was the picture of indifference last week, having dropped some easy passes (including a TD pass) and making little to no effort for several others. Moss is the key to winning: he gets the Vikes on the scoreboard from anywhere on the field. The KC defense isn't too stellar, and they should have plenty of problems covering Moss and Culpepper. These two guys had better step up their production if they hope to win. KC has proven one thing this year: they may not be the NFL's best team, but you better come strong on offense and put up plenty of points if you want to keep up.

We could break down some numbers in this one if it mattered, and maybe it does, but here is what you need to know: both of these teams score a ton of points when they win. In the 12 wins the Chiefs have put up this year, the offense is averaging 32 points a game. In Minnesota's 8 wins, they have averaged 30 points a game. Here's another stat to note: both teams give up plenty of points as well. For Minnesota, they have given up an average of about 23 points a game overall, and have allowed an average of 32 points a game in their losses. You can't really compare the numbers for the Chiefs as they have only two losses, but they are allowing an average of about 21 points a game overall. Therefore, if you are hoping for a defensive battle, you might be better served to watch the new hit show "Cheaters" on UPN, or perhaps you could walk into the room and ask your father-in-law (in front of the rest of the family of course) "hey pops, when are we going back to that strip club again?". This is not going to be a seminar on defensive football, and you can bet the scores will be helped by the dome and the turf. Priest Holmes is back on track to chase the single season TD record, so he'll have plenty of incentive to put up a handful of scores on the woeful Minnesota defense (allowing 122 yards rushing a game). Trent Green has a hot hand, and he's going to be looking for Tony Gonzalez, Eddie Kennison, and Johnnie Morton all over the field. The Vikes don't have the backfield talent to cover all of these guys, especially Gonzalez. Gonzo is using every week to present his case as the best TE in football: over the last 6 weeks Gonzo has averaged about 65 yards a game, and he's racked up 6 TD's in that span. He's an amazing athlete, and he presents too much height, strength, and agility for the Vikings to cover. Look for Green to open it up all day long, and expect the norm from Holmes. This Chiefs offense brings too much to the table, and they should produce more than enough offense to overcome their defensive shortcomings. I don't know if this Vikings team has enough heart to win a game of this magnitude, especially with so much on the line. The Chiefs want home field advantage, the Vikes need to treat every game like a playoff game. Take the Chiefs, and you can officially put the Vikings on the playoff bubble.

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Priest Holmes, Randy Moss, Trent Green, Daunte Culpepper, Tony Gonzalez, Aaron Elling, Morten Andersen

2nd String: Michael Bennett, Johnnie Morton, Eddie Kennison, Kelly Campbell, Moe Williams, Nate Burleson, Jim Kleinsasser, KC Defense, Minnesota Defense

Prediction: Chiefs 34, Vikes 27

New England (12-2) at NY Jets (6-8) Sat 8:30 PM
The Patriots keep rolling up wins like Snoop keeps rolling up blunts (don't tell me, he quit…. sure). One after another, 10 in a row, truly an awesome season to say the least. Here's a nice stat: in their 12 wins, they have averaged a point margin of about 9 points. They don't blow too many teams out, and this is the big point of contention from the detractors of the Patriots. I prefer to think about it this way: how often do you see a 9 points spread in the NFL lines, and how often have you seen this team not look comfortable no matter the size of the led? This is the NFL, a league of parity, and games are supposed to be close. The mark of a champion is the fact they find a way win the close games. Tom Brady is a picture of collective calm, and he's able to lead this team to victory every week. Don't get me wrong, I understand this team is all about defense, but the fact remains that points have to go on the board and the team has to be put in position to score. Brady is responsible for the success in that facet, and he's done it whether his team needed 9 points to win or 38. The one weak point for this Patriot team that does worry me is the lack of rushing production, and it would be nice if they had a capable, big time running back for this game versus the Jets. It's well known throughout football that the Jets are more than vulnerable to a strong rushing attack (giving up 149 yds rushing a game). The Patriots struggle to run no matter whom they play, and that is a concern. If you look at the results for the Patriots thus far, you will notice a correlation of sorts: when they have played teams with tough passing defenses (such as Cleveland, Dallas, Miami) those have been games that have been won with field goals (9-3, 12-0, & 12-0 respectively). Of course, this isn't always the case: Indy has a pretty solid passing defense and the Pats threw a 38 on 'em. I really like the Patriots, and I think they could go all the way, but this game could be a much tougher battle than you might think for those very reasons. The Patriots really lack a tough running attack, and the Jets play well versus the pass (giving up only 184 yds/game, only 11 passing TD's allowed thus far, and 33 sacks to date). This could actually work in the favor of the Jets. Brady may be able to throw well on any team, but if the Jets can keep him respectable and avoid the big play, this could be very interesting.

What would you guess the biggest concern might be for a coach of a team that has been dominant for the bulk of the season as his squad heads into the postseason? I'll accept two answers, though I'm looking for one. Injuries are an obvious concern and are an acceptable response (however, I'd point out this is a concern year around, and though it is magnified in the postseason it is not the answer I was originally seeking). The biggest concern has to be the performance of your team in the last two weeks of the regular season. The last thing you want as a coach is to dominate all year long, then to experience a let down in the last game or so, allowing your team some doubt and maybe even a little doubt as they head into the playoffs. You have to go into the postseason winning, and that has been shown time and time again. Now, I bring this up because I don't want to get 500 emails from the Patriot fans out there (not that I mind, I love you guys and would call Patriot fans the most passionate in the NFL; with the possible exception of Green Bay fans, I get one email from fans of other teams for every 5 I get from Patriot fans). I think this team is very capable of winning out and going into the postseason with a huge winning streak in tact. That said, I'm going to make a case for the Jets winning this game in a low scoring, winter weather game that is the result of the matchups. As I see it, this game could be heavily influenced by two players, and those two players are Ty Law and Rodney Harrison. Harrison and Law have been the players that have kept the Patriots in some of those very tight games. Some of the "experts" have gone as far as to add Harrison to their personal list of 10 MVP candidates, and rightfully so. The Patriots defense has become well known for clamping down on offensive units, making big plays, forcing turnovers, creating great coverage schemes and allowing QB's to think guys are open when they are actually covered "from afar" (sounds stupid but it's true, defensive schemes have afforded him the title of "genius" during his career). However, I offer 2 of the last 3 games on their schedule as proof that this team is in fact vulnerable to the passing game (by the way, I'm leaving out Miami, as I refuse to accept Jay Fiedler as a fully competent QB). 3 weeks ago versus Manning: 278 yds, 4 TD's. Last week versus Leftwich: 288 yds, 1 TD (and 2 picks; don't worry, I won't sell 'em short). I also offer a bit of history: the last time Pennington faced New England, he threw for 285 yds and 3 TD's (and NO picks, and that game was also the 2nd to last of the year). This is a new year, but I think history is on my side. I'm nuts, I'm crazy, I'm taking the Jets. I don't think a loss will hurt the Patriots (though it would make the race for home field advantage very interesting), I think the lack of a good RB will hurt them, and I think the game will be very close. I'm big on Pennington, and if the weather is decent in Jersey (forecast looks ok today) I feel that the kid is good enough to (a) avoid costly turnovers, and (b) take advantage of his opportunities. Curtis Martin has been playing like his younger self, and Santana Moss is always a threat. IF the Jets can contain Brady and keep him respectable, IF the Jets can avoid turnovers (which they are very good at), and IF the weather cooperates, I believe the Patriots may be due for a small letdown, and the Jets could finish the season around .500. And please, Pat fans, if I'm wrong (very possible!), don't hunt me down!

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Chad Pennington, Patriot Defense, Tom Brady, Santana Moss, Daniel Graham

2nd String: Troy Brown, Deion Branch, Curtis Martin, David Givens, Anthony Becht, Curtis Conway, Kevin Faulk, Doug Brien, Adam Vinatieri, Jet Defense, LaMont Jordan

Prediction: Pats 17, Jets 20

Miami (8-6) at Buffalo (6-8) 1:00 PM
How 'bout them Dolphins? Tanking in yet another December race to the postseason, the Fins continue to amaze us all with their inability to execute when it counts the most. I thought the additions of proven league veterans like Junior Seau, Terrell Buckley, Jeff Zgonina, and Sammy Knight were going to push this team to victories in December, a month that has plagued Dolphin teams and fans for years now. It looks like the Fins are ready to call it a donut for December once again. They've lost two straight since beating up on Dallas on Thanksgiving, and they've lost in ugly fashion. Now, I will give you that those two losses did come against the two hottest teams in football (New England and Philly). However, the complete lack of offense versus the Patriots was concerning, and the entirely horrible performance of the defense versus Philly is even more so. I've said it before and I'll say it again: I'm not sold on Jay Fiedler (or Brian Griese for that matter) at the QB spot, and I have yet to see anything to let me believe either of these guys are capable of leading this team to meaningful victories. Ricky Williams is the meat in Miami's stew, but that's a pretty lean stew of late: in Miami's last 9 games Ricky has found the end zone only 4 times. Not necessarily the numbers that make those fantasy owners happy with their first round pick. This week, the Fins get to travel to one of their favorite venues in the winter months, Buffalo. Forecast for the game: high of 35 degrees, 40% chance of snow, and an 80% chance of the Fins really sucking. They get to face one of the toughest pass defenses in football, as the Bills are allowing only 177 yards a game with only 13 passing TD's allowed. Miami is having enough trouble passing with any consistency as it is, and now they get to face the wrath of a tough pass D and mother nature in a week that is essentially a playoff game. Sorry Miami fans, but it's not looking too good for a win.

The Bills have come on in recent weeks, having won 2 of their last 3 games and in their last 4 losses they have been within 4 points of changing the outcome. Any fantasy owner with Drew Bledsoe would sing you a song, actually it'd be more like a gothic style death metal medley, about the primary reason for Buffalo's struggles. Bledsoe had developed a bigger propensity for turnovers than touchdowns: he currently has 11 TD's versus 10 picks (not a good ratio). However, in his last 6 games he has thrown only 2 INT's and has brought his ratio back to level with 5 TD's in that same span. You would still like to see more production out of the guy, and with both of Buffalo's remaining games being played in snow country it's tough to say it will happen this season. Despite the troubles of the Bills and the struggles of the passing game, you have to be impressed with the year Travis Henry is having. The guy has racked up over 1,100 yards rushing for a team with a struggling offensive line, not to mention the fact he's played with two major injuries (torn rib cartilage and a cracked bone in his leg, currently still an issue). That is what old school football is all about: playing hurt, playing tough, and doing what you can to help your team win. If Buffalo decides to dump Henry to move along with Willis McGahee, any and every team with any kind of need at RB should be clamoring for this guy. He's got major cahones, and he's going to be key once again this week versus the Dolphins. First, you look at the typical weather for this time of year in Buffalo, and you see perfect conditions for a good rushing attack. Second, the Miami defense hasn't been so tough versus the run in recent weeks. They are currently ranked 4th overall for rushing defense, yet they gave up 140 combined rushing yards to Philly last week, they gave up 80 rushing yards to a New England team that hardly runs the ball, and they gave up 92 combined rushing yards to a Dallas team that didn't even give more than 5 carries to any one player. Henry is capable of taking the fight to Miami and making that defense stay out in the cold. If Buffalo can use the weather in their favor and if they give Henry his carries (25 or more), this should result in another Buffalo win. Miami is just in full-choke mode right now: Ricky is playing well but it's not enough, Fiedler isn't getting his job done, the defense is not keeping points off the board, and Coach Dave Wannstedt doesn't have the mental makeup to pull his team out of this funk. Miami beat this Buffalo team in the warm confines of Pro Player in Week 3, and they won that one by 10 points. The weather, the change of venue, and the recent struggles for the Dolphins are enough to see that 10 points swing the other way this week. Stick a fork in it Miami, you won't be making the postseason (and in the grand scheme of things, that may not be all that bad).

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Travis Henry, Ricky Williams, Buffalo Defense

2nd String: Fin Defense, Chris Chambers, Drew Bledsoe, Eric Moulds, Randy McMichael, Jay Fiedler, Bobby Shaw, James McKnight (Questionable), Olindo Mare, Josh Reed, Rian Lindell

Prediction: Fins 14, Bills 20

Washington (5-9) at Chicago (6-8) 1:00 PM
Some things in life you will never grasp or comprehend: why is American Idol so damn popular for producing so much of what we don't need? If swing dancing can come back and be so popular, why not polka? Does anyone really understand exactly what Michael Irvin is saying, and how did he manage to rope that job? Is there a GOOD reason why no one has franchised White Castle out west (so I can go grab a bag of Sliders RIGHT NOW)? Here's a good one: how did this Redskin team beat the Patriots back in Week 4? How did that happen? This team is now trying their best to fall into contention for the #1 draft pick and they beat the league's hottest team. 3 wins in their last 12 games can only be classified as complete failure. In the NFL, winning 25% of the time is total and complete failure. This team now lies in the hands of a QB that has very little experience, or protection for that matter, and he's in charge of working a team with little to no running game and a passing game designed to do 85% of the work. So things are going good! This team comes into Chicago after getting their butts severed and served on a silver platter by the Cowboys. They did not manage to score a single point against one of, if not the, top defense in the NFL. Chicago's defensive unit may not be in the same class as the Cowboys as they currently sit, but they have been playing pretty well. Having won 3 of their last 4 games, they have allowed 10 points or less in those wins and have allowed an average of 187 passing yards a game. This unit will definitely give young Hasselback problems, and without a true running threat to give the offense some balance the Skins could be looking at another tough game.

I was probably one of few, but I really enjoyed watching the Bears beat the Vikings last week as rookie QB Rex Grossman made his debut as the starter for the Bears. He was impressive: he didn't put up a single turnover, he was composed and made great decisions, he didn't hurt his team, and he's got one hell of an arm. One should hope the Bears continue to start Grossman for the remainder of the season. I'm reserving judgment until I see more of the kid in game situations, but thus far I have to say he looks great. He'll get a true test this weekend as the Redskins come into town. Washington brings a pretty solid passing defense, allowing 193 yards a game with 16 interceptions to show for their efforts. You can bet they will have their eyes on Grossman's favorite target, fellow rookie WR Justin Gage. This kid has the tools to be a big time playmaker in the NFL: he's tall, fast, has great hands, he can get physical, and he's gotten it done in key situations for the Bears for several weeks now. Marty Booker has come back on the fantasy radar and though he's not putting up the bulky numbers he has in the past he is found the end zone in 2 of his last 3 games. Of course we'd be remise if we didn't talk about the A-Train and his outlook for the weekend. Thomas hasn't been as productive as hoped in recent weeks, averaging about 70 yds/game in his last 6 appearances. He's been bothered with illness in recent weeks and has gotten some great relief from rookie RB Brock Forsey out of Boise State. Have you noticed the word "rookie" keeps popping up in here? Anyway, with Thomas and Forsey taking handoffs the Bears are likely to find the Skin's defense much to their liking: the Skins give up about 140 yds/game on the ground. Look for A-Train to get the ball early and often and open up the field for Grossman. The defensive line for Washington is more likely to get better pressure on Grossman than Minnesota did last week, but Grossman hand the pressure he did receive with amazing composure and I don't expect Washington is going to rattle his cage too much. Look for the Bears to continue their late season swoon, and look for the Redskins to sink further into their late season demise.

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Anthony Thomas, Justin Gage, John Hall, Paul Edinger, Chicago Defense

2nd String: Rex Grossman, Laveranues Coles, Marty Booker, Dez White, Rod Gardner, Tim Hasselback, Trung Candidate (Questionable), Desmond Clark (Questionable), Rock Cartwright, Darnerien McCants, Redskin Defense

Prediction: Skins 13, Bears 23

Baltimore (8-6) at Cleveland (4-10) 1:00 PM
Just when the bandwagon heading to Baltimore was getting full, when everyone was picking the Ravens to win out and take the AFC North running away, just when things were going good for Raven fans, their team comes out and blows what should have been a win over a mediocre Oakland team. Now, with the Bengals taking advantage (not to mention the Broncos and Titans who are all fighting for the two wild card positions), the Ravens find themselves in a tie for the division and in jeopardy of slipping out of the playoffs. If that wasn't enough drama, the Ravens get to visit their old home in Cleveland, where Raven's owner Art Modell is beloved by all. Needless to say, it's more insulting to see the team that left move on, win a Super Bowl, and compete for the post season every year while the "new" Browns flounder through the season hoping to figure out who they are and how to win. So how would you guess the Ravens will come at the Browns this weekend? I wonder if Jamal Lewis will be the focal point of the offense. Hmmmm. The Browns give up 123 yds rushing a game, Lewis is chasing 2,000 yards for the season (needing 253 yards to get there), and ….. hey, does anyone know about Lewis' history versus the Browns. OH YEAH! These guys matched up in Week 2, the game in which Lewis ran like monster for 295 yards and 2 TD's. Then, last season, you must remember when Lewis came to Cleveland and hit the Browns for 187 yards. Of course, there was the game in Baltimore last season, when Lewis dumped another 100 yards on them. Let's summarize: Jamal Lewis loves to rip the Browns apart with his legs, averaging 194 yards a game over the last 3 matchups of these teams. I wonder if you will keep Lewis in your fantasy lineup this weekend! To help matters, the Ravens are sporting a new and improved passing game by QB Anthony Wright. Wright has afforded the Ravens some new schemes and game plans that can allow for some passing to open up the field for Lewis. Todd Heap is finally getting his due as a top flight TE in the NFL, and he's sure to be a factor in this game as well. With four losses in a row at the hands of their own defense (unable to keep opponents off the board, giving up an average of 24 points a game over the last 4 weeks), it is hard to devise an argument for the Browns suddenly discovering the secret to stopping Lewis, much less the rest of the Ravens' offense.

Let's take the bets on who is starting at QB for the Browns this weekend. My money is on Ryan Leaf. Or maybe Butch Davis will take the job at Nebraska this week and bring in college QB Jammal Lord as a loaner from his new digs. Or maybe Butch will shock us all and stick with one guy for an entire game. JUST PICK A GUY, IT DOESN'T MATTER! It's Holcomb, now it's Couch, now Couch is injured, now Holcomb sucks so bad we need to get Couch back out there, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. Can you really blame Willie Green for relieving the stress with a couple of pulls from the bong? I mentioned the previous game between these teams in which Jamal Lewis rushed like a man among boys against the porous Cleveland defense. Here's the good news: this is a new game. Here's the bad news: this is a new game, and the Browns couldn't be in a worse spot. Baltimore's defense is clicking much better than earlier in the season when these two paired up to result in a 20-point beat down by the Ravens. Give some props to Chris McAlister: he's been shutting down the top WR for every opponent for several weeks now. You all know Ray Lewis is the best, and the play of rookie Terrell Suggs and veteran Peter Boulware is worthy of mention as well (I'd throw in tackle Kelly Gregg as well, though his numbers aren't as big he's been a solid performer). Not only are the Ravens starting to really kick in on defense, but the Browns are starting to really fall apart on offense. The QB limbo has become a play-by-play occurrence and the rest of the team is suffering through a nice list of injuries. Jamel White has stepped nicely at RB, not putting up Pro Bowl numbers but he's at least giving the Browns some stability at the position that has lacked it all year. This team doesn't have a single 1,000-yard receiver. Andre Davis, Quincy Morgan, and Dennis Northcutt are solid players, but none of the three has stepped up to become the leader or go-to guy for a team desperately in need of one. Couch or Holcomb, take your pick, have both combined for too many interceptions and not enough TD's. Butch Davis (I know, I know, I was praising this guy a few weeks ago, so crucify me) is truly on the hot seat and I have to believe that gig in Lincoln, Nebraska has to be tempting. It's impossible to make a convincing argument for the Browns in this one. Let's put the Xman bonus on the Ravens. By the way, I'm not putting ANY of the Browns' players on the 1st String, as I can't find one worthy of the gamble (especially in the fantasy playoffs).

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Jamal Lewis, Baltimore Defense, Todd Heap, Matt Stover

2nd String: Anthony Wright, Kelly Holcomb/Tim Couch, Marcus Robinson, Travis Taylor, Andre Davis, Quincy Morgan, Jamel White, Dennis Northcutt, Cleveland Defense

Prediction: Ravens 27, Browns 17

NY Giants (4-10) at Dallas (9-5) 1:00 PM
I JUST heard on the radio that Jim Fassel is going to lose his job. I also heard Pearl Harbor is under attack, the NFL is going to join with the AFL to make AFC and NFC conference-style league, the Ford Pinto is being recalled due to safety issues, there is a company releasing some new fancy "birth control" pill, and the world is indeed not flat. Not exactly exciting news, nor is it a surprise. This team started to mail in games about 4 or 5 weeks ago. They just suck. Wait… I said that last week and I try not to be redundant. They REALLY suck. I thought Joe Horn was pulling a Shannon Sharpe last week when he pulled the cell phone on the Giants, taking the opportunity to call in the medics and National Guard, except I didn't think it was a joke. Maybe he was just making a late tee time as he could have taken the rest of the game off and the Saints still would have killed the Giants. They've lost six straight, and somehow managed to sneak in two wins in their last 11 games. During that 6 game losing streak, the Giants have scored an average of about 8 points a game. In that same stretch, they have been giving up 27 points a game. If you look it up in the Webster dictionary, that point differentially is actually defined as "really sucking." There is not one positive aspect to point to on this team. OK, I'll give you one: Matt Bryant is a good kicker with a great attitude and tenacity. I feel for Amani Toomer, as he deserves so much more. It's hard to imagine Kerry Collins will get back on the field again this season, but who knows. With Fassel on his way out and the team gearing up for the big gold season, it's hard to imagine any reason why we should care. Bring on the draft picks!!!

Dallas has to be licking their chops, just aching to kill this lame duck Giants team. The Boys are in the midst of a race to the playoffs, fighting for a wild card berth with Seattle, Minnesota/Green Bay, and I suppose you could add New Orleans/Tampa Bay in the mix (though they are all but dead). Dallas has to be looking at this game as a great opportunity to put another nail in the coffin of Bill Parcells' old team, as well as a great chance to pick up another very important win. Troy Hambrick had a big breakout game last week, racking up 189 yards rushing as the Boys beat up the Redskins, and he's going to get some shots at the struggling Giants D (I'm not sold on him yet, but he's looked better and this game is an excellent opportunity to prove himself again). The Giants give up 121 yards rushing a game & 218 yards passing a game. Therefore, I'm going to guess the Cowboys will pass with success and will rush for productive numbers. I'm also going to go out on a limb and guess the Dallas defense will crush this pathetic offense. It's probably a reach, but I think the Giants could get shutout in this game. They are in Dallas, facing what is the best-ranked defense in the NFL, with no offense, no defense, no heart, no pride, no gumption, and no desire to win. I wish I could make more of this game. I may not even preview the Giants next week. We all have better things to do: breath, eat, sleep, maybe even shower occasionally. It's more enjoyable to watch rainfall, and I'm sure most of the Giant fans out there would agree. This team is horrid, and the Boys couldn't be farther down the spectrum of the NFL. With this game and one left in New Orleans, the fans of the Cowboys have to be feeling confident about the chances of making the postseason. Not only am I not willing to put the Giants' players on the 1st String, I hesitate to name them at all out of respect for their families. Let's throw Toomer in the mix, just for the sake giving the man his due. But don't start him! Take the Boys in a good, old fashioned, Texas size butt kickin'.

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Dallas Defense, Quincy Carter, Joey Galloway, Billy Cundiff

2nd String: Terry Glenn, Troy Hambrick, Antonio Bryant, Richie Anderson, Amani Toomer, Jason Witten, Matt Bryant

Prediction: Giants 10, Boys 24

Detroit (4-10) at Carolina (9-5) 1:00 PM
Let me hear all the Lion fans, all the Lion fans, say HOOO! Say Ho, ho! Say we suck butts! Say we suck butts! Now somebody, everybody, scream! I love the old school rap references. The Lions are a bad team. They've got very few weapons to use. Joey Harrington, as I've contended all season, is a stud QB and would do much better with some support. Coach Steve Mariucci activated rookie RB Artose Pinner in hopes of giving his team a shot in the arm and some fresh blood, but Pinner hasn't seen much game time at all (9 carries last week). It looks like Charles Rogers is done for the year, Az-Zir Hakim has his moments but is far from being a solid #1 guy, and the other guys surrounding Harrington just aren't that good. Feels like I've said this about too many teams this week, but the Lions are definitely in the running for that top draft pick. This week they could find some production against a struggling Carolina defense. In recent weeks the Panthers have really struggled to keep teams out of the end zone. They don't give up a ton of points, but they do give up just enough to lose. Opponents are racking up about 204 yards passing a game and 114 yards rushing a game: not exactly as impressive as you might have thought for a defense so full of talent. The loss of Mark Fields has been a bigger factor than I believe most of us could have perceived. One good spot for the Panthers is the return of Dan Morgan this week (he's been battling problems related to a concussion). Regardless, the Cats had better shore up those numbers this week or they could find themselves in the midst of an upset. This isn't the time of year to be on the bad end of a big upset. Although they have clinched the division title, it is important to go into the playoffs winning and carry that momentum into the games that matter.

The Panthers haven't been putting up the offensive numbers they had worked so hard to achieve in earlier weeks. They needed a late 49-yard field goal from John Kasay to beat Arizona (I told you that game would be close) last week. They lost to Atlanta in the return of Mike Vick the week before. The two weeks before that they picked up two tough losses, to Philly by 9 and to Dallas by 4 points. Stephen Davis, the team's offensive power horse, has failed to reach 100 yards in 4 of his last 5 games (though he did pick up a TD in 3 of those games). Jake Delhomme has been a solid QB all year, but in recent weeks he's come up a little short. He's thrown 5 TD's in his last 4 games, but he's also thrown 4 INT's (he's at 15 TD's/14 INT's thus far overall). This team is built to win close games: solid defense, great power rushing game, competent passing game. However, they haven't been winning too many of these close games late in the season. I'd venture to say this team lacks the true "punch" they need on offense to put them in the same league as the upper echelon teams. Fortunately, the Detroit Lions are not one of those teams (not even close). The Cats have more than enough offense to take advantage of the struggling Detroit defense (giving up 116 yards rushing per game and 226 passing as well). The Panthers should use Davis plenty of times to keep his fantasy owners happy (one of the better fantasy match ups for your playoff picture). Look for a little DeShaun Foster as well, mixing the speed and power as the Panthers rev up for the playoffs. Delhomme should find some production with Steve Smith and Muhsin Muhammed, the running game should be solid, and the defense should be all over Joey Harrington. There's not much reason to believe the Lions will win, but they could keep it respectable.

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Stephen Davis (Questionable), Steve Smith, Jake Delhomme, John Kasay, Carolina Defense, Joey Harrington, Jason Hanson

2nd String: Shawn Bryson, DeShaun Foster, Artose Pinner, Az-Zir Hakim, Muhsin Muhammed, Bill Schroeder, Mikhael Ricks, Detroit Defense

Prediction: Lions 14, Panthers 27

New Orleans (7-7) at Jacksonville (4-10) 1:00 PM
The Saints were rather impressive last week, but you might say the same if you watched, say, a pack of pit bulls attack a small family of crippled ducks. That is what I equate the Saints versus the Giants to last week. It's not a fair comparison: you have one team in the Saints, loaded with talent and fighting for the playoffs, and the other team in the Giants, loaded with loathing and indifference and fighting for the door. The Saints get a true test this week as they face the Jaguars. The Jags have grown by leaps and bounds on defense and have now become one of the best defensive units in football. They sport the #2 ranked rushing defense, allowing only 84 yards a game and having given up only 4 runs of 20 yards or more. The Jags are currently ranked 15th versus the pass, giving up less than 200 yards a game through the air. Therefore, although Deuce McAllister is a total stud and can run respectably on any team, the Saints had better bring their passing game to compete in this one. Aaron Brooks has struggled for most of the season, with a major knack for fumbling the ball (14 total this year alone). Although he's a great passer with a strong arm, he's not the most accurate guy in the world and he's come very close to getting benched on several occasions due to his turnovers and lack of production. He has broken the 250-yard mark only 4 times this year, and some of that can be attributed to the injuries and struggles of his primary receivers. Joe Horn has battled with injuries; Donte Stallworth is still battling with injuries. Horn's obviously back to 100% as he lit up the Giants for 4 TD's last week. Horn had better bring some big plays again this week as the Jags are likely to give Brooks and McAllister a very tough time. The Saints are known for their offensive consistency: throwing up 45 on lesser teams (i.e. the Giants and Falcons) is not a problem, but they have struggled to score big number against tougher defensive units (Titans, Panthers, Bucs). The Jags could and should be mentioned in the same breathe as the other defensive units, and, thus, it is hard to bet on the Saints going crazy on the scoreboard.

On the offensive side of the ball, the Jags are still a work in progress. Fred Taylor is firmly planted as a stud RB, and his contributions have led the offense of the Jags thus far. Since the inception of rookie QB Byron Leftwich the Jags have watched their young talent steadily improve to become a big threat every time he takes the field. We all knew Leftwich could be good, but it's safe to say he's progressing at an alarming rate. He's seems to have a great chemistry with his best receiver, Jimmy Smith, and the two can combine for a score from anywhere on the field. These three players give the Jags a viable offensive threat, but the depth is not there. Troy Edwards serves as the #2 wideout, and he's a nice player but hardly a big time worry for opposing offenses. The Saints don't bring a strong defensive presence to the house anyway: ranked 26th versus the run (137 yds/game), though they are doing well versus the pass (ranked 8th overall, allowing 185 yds/game). That said, they are missing one of their best defensive backs in Dale Carter (I've looked it up, but he's not listed on the IR and hasn't been but he's missing games and the team has commented that he's been unable to go). So the Jags are going to be in a similar boat as the Saints: facing tough passing defenses, the rushing games carry the bulk of the offensive load. I love both of these rushers and feel they are both very underrated. This could be a great game, and I like the Jags to play spoilers at home. The Saints are capable of putting up big time numbers, but I feel the Jags are playing very well and despite the tough loss the Patriots last week they have been rolling on defense. I think Brooks is going to have a very tough game, and I don't like his record in tough games and under the pressure of a top-notch defense. Deuce will get his yards, but it won't be enough. The Jags have a good offense that is capable of performing well against the odds: last week, they became the first team to find the end zone against the Pats in the last 5 games at Gillette Stadium as Byron Leftwich hooked up with Kevin Johnson late in the game. The Pats don't give up a lot of scoring at home or away, and the Jags did move the ball up and down the field against them. The Saints' D isn't nearly as good, and the Jags should continue play well and take advantage.

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Fred Taylor, Deuce McAllister, Joe Horn, Jimmy Smith, Jag Defense, Seth Marler, John Carney

2nd String: Byron Leftwich, Aaron Brooks, Donte Stallworth, Boo Williams, Kyle Brady, LaBrandon Toefield, Saint Defense

Prediction: Saints 20, Jags 23

Tennessee (10-4) at Houston (5-9) 1:00 PM
And we come to the Titans, the team falling out of the minds and thoughts of many after being cal the best team in football just a few short weeks ago. After winning 6 straight, the Titans had lost 2 in a row and almost added a third game to the L column this last weekend. Fortunately for them, Billy Volek was able to lead the team back against Buffalo and eventually pick up a 2-point win. Unfortunately, the Titans have now lost Volek for the remainder of the season (spleen laceration) and are in desperate need of a strong backup QB to help them get through this late stretch into the postseason. Word is they are talking to veteran Titan QB Neil O'Donnell about coming into help rest veteran QB and MVP candidate Steve McNair as he lets his injured left ankle heel. Too bad we are so late in the year and in the hunt for the postseason: I'd love to see rookie Jason Gesser from Washington State get some game play. However, this is a rough time of year for the Titans. The Colts have already clinched their the AFC South and the Titans are in a tough fight for the wild card. Losses cannot be afford and they need a good, proven, veteran QB to led the team into these final two games. O'Donnell is a great candidate: he was with the Titans for a long time as McNair's backup and has played well in the past for the Titans. He knows almost all of the current players and he has the history and experience to take this team over when their leader is down and out. If they can get O'Donnell back in the fold, they should get into the playoffs and make some noise. If not, they may not make it and their chances in both of the last two games may be significantly hampered.

The one aspect of the Titans that can kick without McNair is the defense. The defense is pretty solid, currently ranked #1 versus the run giving up only 79 yards a game and only 9 TD's on the ground thus far. The passing D isn't so great: 228 yards a game. The Texans had better bring their team leader to this game. Although they aren't going into the playoffs, the Texans do have on thing in common with the Titans. They are also missing their starting QB and team leader, David Carr. Carr has been out for a while now, and after losing backup QB Tony Banks to a broken leg, rookie Dave Ragone took over. He has not faired very well at all (in 2 games as a starter, he has thrown for only 135 combined yards with 0 TD's). The latest word is that Carr is likely to play this weekend, and this give the Texans a much different team. The entire offense will function better and the production should come easier with Carr on the field not only for the passing game but also for Domanick Davis and the rushing game. Davis is a great back and has tons of potential, but with the Tennessee defense playing so well against the run it's hard to put too much faith in Davis. If the Texans are going to get it done it's going to be Carr to do it. The Texans need to throw the ball and Andre Johnson should be target #1. By the way, has anyone noticed that the four of the five names I've mentioned are second year players or less (Tony Banks is the old fart of the team). So much rides on the QB for the Titans. The Texans defense is not very good versus the run or the pass (especially now that Aaron Glenn is hurt). In order for the Titans to take advantage, they need to have a team leader and a guy that can heave the rock to take advantage of the soft defensive backfield. McNair could play injured, but you'd like to see a healthy Neil O'Donnell in the game running the show. I'm guessing the Titans win, somehow. Whether they get O'Donnell, whether they stick Gesser out there, whether they get McNair to take the field despite injury, the Titans will get it done.

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Steve McNair (Questionable), Neil O'Donnell/Jason Gesser (if O'Donnell is signed), Derrick Mason, Gary Anderson, Titan Defense, David Carr, Andre Johnson

2nd String: Domanick Davis, Eddie George, Chris Brown, Justin McCareins, Jabar Gaffney, Billy Miller, Tyrone Calico, Kris Brown, Texan Defense

Prediction: Titans 27, Texans 17

Cincinnati (8-6) at St. Louis (11-3) 1:00 PM
The Bengals have bounced back nicely after losing a tough game to division rival Baltimore. They beat the hell out of the 49ers last week as the entire offense got involved in the effort. Rudi Johnson had a phenomenal game, Chad Johnson and Peter Warrick combined for some big yards, and John Kitna reminded everyone he is worthy of MVP consideration. That win gets the Bengals back into a tie for the division led in the AFC North. This team should make the playoffs, but with the schedule bringing them to St. Louis it is fair to say those hopes are in a bit of doubt this weekend. St. Louis is a tough place for visiting teams as the home team is often helped immensely by the aspects of their arena (the turf, the crowd, etc.). The Rams also bring a tough defense. Currently ranked 11th against the pass, the defensive backfield for the Rams is as solid as you will find in the NFC. Aeneas Williams seems to have found the fountain of youth, and Adam Archuletta is… I've gone on about him enough. Cincy has a great offense and they could get it done against almost any team out there. However, this weekend is not going to be easy. I'd suggest the whole deal rides on Chad Johnson. When CJ has had a big game, the Bengals have had more success and are more capable of winning. When teams have buck down the explosive WR (Baltimore, Buffalo), the Bengals have struggled not just to score but also the move the chains. If the Bengals are going to win, they need to get CJ open and they need to get him the ball. Rudi will get his carries (the Rams are giving up 126 yards rushing a game, by the way), and Kitna will take his shots. It's just a question if anyone will be able to make plays on the other end.

The Rams have got everyone's attention now. They are winning and they are winning in every way imaginable. Last week they jumped on Seattle early and then let them get back in it. Suddenly, like a call from above, Coach Mike Martz decided to get the ball to his best playmaker, Marshall Faulk. Faulk led his team downfield and got them into field goal range, thus winning the game for his team. I've gone on rants about Martz and his inability to give the ball to Faulk before, so I will spare you this week. However, I do feel I was justified last week by Faulk's performance. This week the Rams get a look at another team fighting for the playoffs as the Bengals come to town. The Bengals defense, as it sits right now, is not exactly powerful or consistent. They give up some yards (219 passing, 129 rushing), and they also allow more scoring than you would like to see. However, the team is improving. Coach Marv Lewis is a defensive genius, and he's taken this squad with very little talent and made them respectable. Too bad they are playing the speed show on the turf this weekend. The Rams are a great home team, sporting a record of 7 & 0 at home. Marc Bulger has once again secured his position as the starting QB for a team that loves to pass the ball. Torry Holt is having an MVP year and Isaac Bruce has shown that he can still be a playmaker as well. The Bengals don't have the talent to cover these guys, and the biggest concern may be Marshall Faulk. Faulk can do it all: he can run out of the backfield, he can run out of the pack, he can run between the tackles, he can catch short and long passes, and he's got the moves and speed to pick up big time plays after the catch. I don't know that the Bengals have the talent on defense to stop all of these weapons. It could be a very good game, and the Rams are likely to come out on top. Both teams are fighting for postseason position (Rams for home field advantage, Bengals to get in), and both teams will bring their best to the field. With that, I'm taking the Rams. They are just too good in all aspects of the game to lose at home. The Rams are one of those teams that you look at and think, "They could go all the way." And, like I said, if you want to win the postseason you have to win in December and go into the playoffs with some momentum. The Rams could be one of those teams, and the Bengals are a team that may be just short of making the dance.

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Torry Holt, Marshall Faulk, Marc Bulger, Chad Johnson, Jon Kitna, Jeff Wilkins

2nd String: Rudi Johnson, Peter Warrick, Isaac Bruce (Questionable), Dane Looker, Brandon Maneamula, Matt Schobel, Shayne Graham, Cincy Defense, Rams Defense

Prediction: Bengals 27, Rams 38

San Diego (3-11) at Pittsburgh (5-9) 4:05 PM
The Chargers would like to add their name to the list of teams hoping to get the #1 draft pick. They may need it as they have yet to decide if Drew Brees is worthy of their "QB of the future" tag. The future was supposed to be this year and Brees was disappointing in most of his games. The Bolts have struggled to find some offense in support of superstar LaDainian Tomlinson. Tomlinson has even come on as the best receiving threat in recent weeks. Hey, if you can't get it done behind the offensive line, then put LT out there on short routes, get him beyond that line of scrimmage, and let him do his thing from there. FINALLY! They are getting the ball in the hands of the playmaker. The Bolts could have a better record if they had followed this game plan earlier in the year, not to mention the effect it might have had on the season for Drew Brees. Regardless, the team is not good, and overall you could say they are one of the three worst teams in the NFL without question. LT is a great performer and player, but he's not capable of lifting this team above their overall mediocrity. No player is that good. So, when we look at the match up with the Steelers this weekend, we have to ask if this team is capable of rising above the defensive challenge presented by the Steelers. The Black and Gold have struggled with different aspects of their defensive game (namely allowing big plays, troubles covering the big time receivers, and a lack of consistency against the run). Although LT will offer a great challenge for the Steelers and he's likely to find some productive yards, it is highly unlikely the rest of the Bolts will have any success. Pitt's defense holds opponents to 190 yards passing and to 107 rushing on average. The defense is fairly solid, and with the Bolts lacking more than one true big time playmaker, it is hard to see how the Bolts will take advantage of the Pittsburgh vulnerabilities.

On offense, the Steelers are struggling in all kinds of ways. They can't pass the ball with any kind of confidence or consistency. They run the ball but the style of their rushing attack is very predictable and it's just a matter of the defense having the tacklers to make the plays. Their offensive line has struggled to protect the QB, their receivers are solid but have struggled in recent weeks with dropped passes, and the team as a whole is best described as a weekly hit-or-miss. This is not a team to bet on week in and week out. Now, all that is on the table, and we can look at how this team matches up with the Chargers. The Bolts possess a defense that is a mirror image of their offense: pathetic for the most part, but capable of making some plays. Quentin Jammer has come on in recent weeks as a good cornerback on the wide receiver covers, and he's capable of making your team pay if you make a mistake. Sammy Davis is another rookie that has stepped up his play in recent weeks. These guys are capable of making plays against a passing attack like the Steelers will bring. Hines Ward, Plaxico Burress, and Antwaan Randle El are possibly the most dangerous threesome in the NFL, and they will take their shots. If the Chargers can get some QB pressure (not likely) they could force some bad throws and get the ball on turnovers. Against the run, the Chargers are awful. This team lacks the strong presence needed in the middle and at linebacker to keep the rushing attack under wraps. This is a great game for Jerome Bettis to come out and show he's still capable of putting up respectable numbers, not to mention his ability to keep the Bolts guessing on defense. One more major factor: the weather. In Pittsburgh, the outlook for Sunday is a high of 33 and a 40% chance of snow, and the Chargers aren't known for their history on the road in cold towns. Brees is from the Midwest, so he should be somewhat appreciative of the weather. However, the rest of the team is very unlikely to love the cold, and that could be a determent to their chances. As much as I love LT and his progress, I don't think this Bolt team is worthy of my time and consideration. One name continues to pop into my mind when I watch this team play: Ben Roethlisberger.

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Pitt Defense, LaDainian Tomlinson, Hines Ward, Jerome Bettis

2nd String: Tommy Maddox, Plaxico Burress, Drew Brees, David Boston, Antwaan Randle El, Antonio Gates, Eric Parker, Amos Zereoue, Jay Reimersma, Jeff Reed, Steve Christie, Bolt Defense

Prediction: Bolts 17, Steelers 24

Arizona (3-11) at Seattle (8-6) 4:15 PM
The Cards are another team desperate to screw up that first draft pick! They have at least tried to stay competitive and we should give them some propers as they have battled in recent games (at least when they play at home). Well, this week they go on the road again, and it's likely to follow the normal pattern of the Cardinals getting slaughtered. On the road, the Cardinals have scored an average of about 12 points. In those same games they have allowed an average of 36 points! 36 POINTS!!! You will win zero games when you are allowing an AVERAGE of 36 points a game, and low and behold, the Cardinals are 0 & 7 on the road. They are the anti-Rams. Here's another tidbit: these two teams, the Seahawks and Cardinals, played each other IN ARIZONA, back in Week 2. Final score: Seattle 38, Arizona 0. I don't see much of a need to review any of Arizona's numbers or players. You want me to be cordial? OK. Rookie QB Josh McCown will get the start once again so the coaches can continue to get this place ready for the next coach to take over this team. Marcel Shipp may be the best player on a bad team. Other than that, I've got nothing. I enjoy watching Arizona games, when all the other games on are simultaneously at commercial. Otherwise, I like to watch my dog piss on the carpet. Arizona isn't nearly as entertaining as that, so we won't get into the specifics. They are playing in Seattle, they are playing a top notch Seattle offense, and their inability to do anything on the road will go there with them.

Seattle has to be happy to have Arizona coming to town. Battling for a wild card spot in the tight NFC is proving to be a little closer for comfort than the Seahawks would prefer. However, things are looking good as one of the worst teams in football, and definitely the world's worst team on the road, is coming to town to play a scrimmage game. Just consider this a practice for the upcoming playoffs. While Arizona struggles to find their problems (although they seem fairly evident: there is the team, they almost all suck, go to it), the Seahawks are busy whopping it up. They have lost 2 straight including an embarrassment at Minnesota. However, in all of their games, the Hawks have competed well and performed solid throughout the bulk of the season. Here's an interesting note: all the losses for the Seahawks have come on the road! Odd really, but it works out in their favor this week. Arizona can't win on the road, Seattle fairs very well at home: it really sounds like a win/win situation for Seattle. Look for Matt Hasselback to come out and throw all over the field to Darrell Jackson and Koren Robinson. Look for Shaun Alexander to get his 20 carries and it is likely that Maurice Morris will also get some snaps. There is little to no reason to believe this is about the matchups and numbers, and it is not worthy of tons of time checking stats and figures. Seattle has way too much talent for the Cardinals to compete with, and the march to the playoffs should go continue without much of a fight.

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Shaun Alexander, Matt Hasselback, Darrell Jackson, Koren Robinson, Anquan Boldin, Josh Brown, Seattle Defense

2nd String: Marcel Shipp, Bobby Engram, Itula Mili, Josh McCown, Bryant Johnson, Maurice Morris, Freddie Jones, Arizona Defense

Prediction: Cards 17, Seahawks 38

San Francisco (6-8) at Philadelphia (11-3) 4:15 PM
The Niners are really an odd team, tough to figure out. So we look at their schedule and you'll notice one fact right away: every one of San Fran's 6 wins was at home! HEY, IS ANYONE NOTICING A PATTERN FOR MANY OF THESE TEAMS JUST YET? THE WINS AT HOME & LOSSES ON THE ROAD, THE INABILITY TO BREAK A PATTERN AS SUCH OVER THE COURSE OF A 16 GAME SEASON, AND THE LACK OF EFFORT TO GET BEYONCE KNOWLES TO SING AND DANCE AT ANY OF THESE GAMES TO MAKE THEM MUCH MORE INTERESTING FOR ME? Why won't someone make an effort to help these teams become more "attractive" to view, say by bringing in Beyonce every few minutes for sideline reports or to do some dancing during timeouts, especially in towns where it is cold while Beyonce could be wearing some form-fitting, light-weight numbers? Anyway, I digress. The Niners can't win on the road. They are 0 & 7 on the road this season, and now they get to travel to the cold winter of Philadelphia and take on one of the hottest teams in the NFL today. The Eagles are starting to get healthy, especially on defense as they have gotten Brian Dawkins back among others, and they are starting to play lights out football. They do allow some scoring (for instance, they allowed 27 to Miami last week), and they do give up some yards (203 yds/game passing, 128 yds/game rushing), and they have become very vulnerable to a strong running attack. Kevan Barlow has brought some solid running to the table in recent games for the Niners, but he's also battled some tough turnovers, namely fumbles in the red zone. Barlow is a good talent, but I'm not convinced that he can carry the load by himself, despite all the work of the Niners over the years to groom this kid and make him a big time player. I don't know that he will ever get it, and I really don't know if he is capable of leading this team as the primary rusher. Jeff Garcia is going to have to come out and find Terrell Owens. TO is the only real hope this team has to win most game. He's the playmaker, he can make the difference in a game of this magnitude, and he can lead the team down the home stretch. Garcia has looked pretty good since returning from injury, but he has yet to face (and beat) a team that is as good this Eagles team (I might give you St. Louis, but I'd note that was, of course, at home!). The Niners do have some great talent, but until they put it all together outside of the confines of their own stadium it is going to be hard to believe this team is capable of winning a big time game.

How about Donovan McNabb? Now, I want to make one thing clear. I NEVER said this kid was done. Yes, I did claim he was struggling (true), yes I did claim he wouldn't get better any time soon, and yes I did forecast that McNabb would get better sometime after midseason at the earliest. I think I was close, close enough to cut me a break for not seeing this team going 11 & 3. The scary thing is that the Eagles are just now starting to get healthy. They are getting key role players back into the lineup and they are taking a hot streak of momentum into the postseason. If they can stay healthy and keep up their recent levels of effort, it is hard to argue against this team going to the Big Dance. This week they look to extend their current 9-game winning streak against a not so tough San Francisco 49ers defense. The Niners are giving up 108 yards rushing a game and 195 yards a game passing. McNabb could have some trouble throwing the ball this weekend, and the Eagles may look to both Brian Westbrook and Correll Buckhalter to get the rushing attack moving to open thing up downfield. It hasn't seemed to matter how the defensive schemes have been built to deal with Donovan and company; they've been putting up points and moving the chains regardless. It's hard for me to say the Niners will stand a chance in this one. After dumping their first 2 games, the Eagles have won all but one of their games to this point. I don't see how the Niners break this defense, I don't see how the Niners keep Donovan and company under wraps, and I don't see how the Eagles lose this game. I'll take the Eagles.

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Terrell Owens, Donovan McNabb, Brian Westbrook, David Akers, Philly Defense

2nd String: Jeff Garcia, Correll Buckhalter, Kevan Barlow, Tai Streets, James Thrash, Todd Pinkston, LJ Smith, Deuce Staley, Chad Lewis, 49er Defense

Prediction: Niners 14, Eagles 31

Denver (9-5) at Indianapolis (11-3) 8:30 PM
Now this is more like it! This is a good game, a game with playoff implications, a game with a little bit of competition and intrigue. Finally! The Broncos come in after a close call versus the Browns, having won in OT on a Jason Elam kick. This team needs to approach every game like a playoff game: they cannot afford another loss and they have this and one more tough game left. The big question mark is the health of Clinton Portis. His MRI's have come back negative, but he is still struggling with some pain. Right now, I'd have to guess he will sit it out, but you won't really know until game time. Portis is so important to the Denver offense that most would jump ship if Portis can't go. I'd guess he's sitting and he may not be back as early as hoped. This could be a major problem for Denver as the Colts possess a great passing defense, currently ranked 3rd in the NFL (176 yds/game). Jake Plummer hasn't been super great in recent games anyway, and it is likely the Colts will take the fight and Dwight Freeney to his grill. The Broncos need this win, and although Mike "that pot isn't mine" Anderson is a capable backup, he cannot be considered a major offensive threat. Without Portis, the Broncos could be looking at a long night. They need to run the ball, they need to open up the passing lanes and make defensive units respect the passing game, and they need a win more than anything.

The Colts have some offensive weapons you may be familiar with. Peyton Manning heads the group at QB. Now, in recent weeks I have made arguments for Tom Brady, Jamal Lewis, and John Kitna as MVP candidates. I will now ask for a pass to revise my statements: although I do believe all of those guys I mentioned deserve recognition, Peyton Manning has to be the favorite to win right now. He's been money and has been dominant all year long. He's got ungodly numbers: 3901 yards, 67.5% completion rate, 7.7 yds/catch, 28 TD's, 9 INT's, 101.6 QB rating. Just awesome numbers and he is clearly the leader of this team. The Colts are looking to pick up home field advantage this weekend as they face the Broncos. The Broncos bring a decent serving of defense to attempt and stop this major offense. They allow only 92 yards rushing a game & they allow 185 yards passing a game. The Broncos have had problems keeping teams off the scoreboard if they bring a well-rounded offense (i.e. Kansas City, Minnesota, New England). The Colts not only bring a "well-rounded" offense, they bring a high-powered offensive lineup to make things very difficult for Denver. Manning to Harrison could be ringing through the ears of every spectator after this game as the two can hook up anywhere on the field. Edge James has put forth some workhorse type of efforts and I would expect the same this weekend. I just don't think the Broncos are that good! They have a nice lineup, but the loss of Portis will be huge. The Colts will bring the house on offense, and they have been on a roll to say the least. This team can throw up some major points, and on the home turf it is hard to see how the Broncos will keep up. I'm taking the Colts, and I think it won't be as close as you might guess.

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, Edge James, Clinton Portis (Questionable), Jake Plummer, Shannon Sharpe, Mike Vanderjagt, Jason Elam

2nd String: Rod Smith, Ashley Lelie, Denver Defense, Colt Defense, Marcus Pollard, Reggie Wayne

Prediction: Broncos 20, Colts 32

Green Bay (8-6) at Oakland (4-10) Mon 9:00 PM
The Packers are fighting for their lives. They really want to get Brett Favre and company into the postseason, and now that they have tied the division leading Minnesota Vikings they can smell the blood. They need to be careful as this is a dangerous game. Many times (as Oakland showed last week versus Baltimore) an awful team, much like the Raiders, will come along and serve as the playoff buster for several teams. Green Bay needs to win both of the last two games in order to stay in the picture, and that starts with beating the Raiders on Monday night in Oakland. The Raiders have been straight awful thus far, not stopping too much on defense and not doing too much on offense. They currently give up 149 yards rushing a game, and this will allow the Packers to once again lean on their offensive workhorse, RB Ahman Green. Green has been a stud all year and he should be more than capable of tearing up this last place rush defense. This looks like the kind of game Green could win on his own, but like I said, the Packers need to be careful. On the other hand, the Raiders give up about 210 yards passing a game. This shows a better than average defensive unit against the pass, but this is the Packers and Favre will take his shots. He can make plays, but the true offensive presence will be the work of Ahman Green. Green is fighting an uphill battle for 2,000 yards, but he could really help his cause if he could rack up some gaudy numbers this week. So, in summary, expect a healthy dose of Ahman Green, followed by a small seasoning of Ahman Green, then mix in some Favre to Walker for flavor, and finish it off with a nice side dish of Ahman Green.

I wish I could say nice things about the Oakland offense. I will say this: they did pull out a nice upset of the Ravens last week. Other than that, there still isn't much to report. The rushing attack isn't too damaging: Tyrone Wheatley has been the leader of a RB-by-committee and although he is very powerful and capable of nice plays, he is by no means a solid starting RB. Rick Mirer has filled in nicely at QB, though to say the result and stats aren't what you would like to see in a trial such as this. I'm just fighting to find something interesting to write about for the preview of the Raiders, and I don't see a lot. The Packers come to town with a not so good defense: 221 yards passing allowed per game, 105 yards rushing per game. Respectable but not outstanding numbers. The Packers should be able to find some offensive success in this game. The Raiders may give Favre some problems throwing the ball, but the running game of Ahman Green is not something the Raiders will have a solution for. Green feasts on teams like Oakland, with weak running threads and undisciplined tacklers that are unable to bring down the big guys. Neither team has a great defense, but the Raiders don't have the offense to take advantage. I don't see how I'm going to put any kind of faith in Rick Mirer, and as long as he is the QB I'm going to choose the other side of the line. The numbers are against the Raiders, they have nothing to play for, and they don't have the talent to stop the Packers from running and scoring. Take the Packers, and let's get the race for the playoffs moving!

Key Fantasy Players

1st String: Ahman Green, Brett Favre, Javon Walker, Tyrone Wheatley, Bubba Franks, Ryan Longwell, Sebastian Janikowski

2nd String: Jerry Porter, Donald Driver, Rick Mirer, Jerry Rice, Tim Brown, Packer Defense, Charlie Garner, Teyo Johnson, Raider Defense

Prediction: Packers 27, Raiders 17