Bye Week: Chicago, Dallas, Philadelphia,
Carolina
Last Week's Projections: (13-3)
81.3%
Season's Projections: (24-8) 75.0%
Minnesota
(2-0) at Detroit (1-1), 1:00 PM
The Vikings have impressed. Well, they've played well. Many were
expecting a blow out against Chicago last week and the Vikes didn't
disappoint, for first half. After jumping to an early lead, the
team failed to dominate as predicted. There are some things you
can take from that particular game. First, it was evident the Bears
were determined to shut down Randy Moss and the Vikings were still
able to put up yards and points. This leads us to the second lesson:
the Vikings can run the ball. Moe Williams is playing better than
ever, Onterrio Smith finally got some snaps and showed some promise,
and the these two did the bulk of the offensive work last week.
The same game plan should work even better this week. Detroit's
defense has proved to be as horrible as advertised. They allowed
Ahman Green to rush for 160 yards last week and made Jeff Blake
and Anquan Boldin look like Pro Bowlers in Week 1. Expect more of
the same this week: the Vikings will run the ball at will (don't
be surprised if Onterrio Smith gets some serious playing time in
this one) and are likely to pass with success as well.
Detroit's offense is not good, but they are improving. Although
they failed to break the goal line last week, they did manage to
put up 241 yards of passing offense. Joey Harrington is showing
great promise (he did throw 3 picks last week, but when you throw
the ball 55 times that can happen) and Charles Rogers is already
making his mark in the NFL. The Vikes defense looked great in Week
1 but tried to let Chicago get into the game this last Sunday night.
The Vikes will have a tougher time with Detroit's offense: the running
game is similar to Chicago's (the Bears somehow managed to run for
80 yards! The Lions have RB's that are struggling, i.e. Olandis
Gary, much like the Bears, i.e. Anthony Thomas) but the passing
game is much more productive. If the Vikings' defense cannot stop
Harrington and Rogers the Lions could make this a very interesting
game. Don't bet on a win though: the Lions' D is just too porous
for the likes of Culpepper, Moss, Williams, & Smith.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Randy Moss, Daunte Culpepper, Charles Rogers, Joey Harrington, Moe Williams
2nd String: Onterrio Smith, Bill Schroeder, Olandis Gary, Shawn Bryson, Aaron Elling, Jason HansonPrediction: Vikes 34, Lions 17
New Orleans
(1-1) at Tennessee (1-1), 1:00 PM
The Saints finally started to look like the offense unit football
fans expected last week. Actually, they came back from their coma
in the second half against Houston. Deuce McAllister picked up
some nice yards, Brooks opened up the passing game and connected
with both Joe Horn and Donte Stallworth for some offense, and
the Saints managed to pull out a score worthy of their potential.
The task will be a bit tougher this week in Tennessee. The Titans'
defense seemed to be on track until they ran into Edgerrin James
last week. There have only been two games, but the Titans have
had trouble with the running backs in both games: Edge tore them
a new one last week and Charlie Garner enjoyed a great game in
Week 1 (although, it should be noted, he did a huge chunk of that
damage through short passes rather than rushing from behind the
line). Deuce will certainly give them a true test again this week.
If the first two games are an accurate indicator, Deuce should
get lots of chances to get his numbers. It will be necessary for
the Saints to win: if the running game does not take off, the
passing game will suffer (as is the history of this Saints' group:
Brooks needs the running threat to keep him free from pressure).
The Titans seemed to be a different team in Week 2 than the team
that beat the Raiders in Week 1. Steve McNair struggled to throw,
only gaining 138 yards last week. Eddie George failed (again)
to reach fantasy worthy numbers. Nothing was working right at
all for the Titans. In this way, they are very similar to the
Saints: it seems that if the running game cannot produce a serious
offensive threat, the passing game is nothing more than a sitting
duck. All that said, it is fair to place some of the blame for
this performance on the Colts' defense. They were awesome last
week and kept McNair on his heels (or on the sideline after nearly
breaking his finger). The Saints' D is nothing like the Colts:
they are average at best, and closer to below average when you
look at the numbers. They are especially vulnerable to the passing
attack: David Carr did find some nice yards in the air last week
and Rich Gannon did the same in Week 1. This plays, unfortunately
for the Saints, right into the strengths of the Titans' offense.
McNair is the gas in this offensive engine. If he can take advantage
of the Saints' lousy pass D, then the Titans should be able to
match whatever Deuce is able to accomplish. It would be nice to
see George find some production, you know Derrick Mason will be
a player, and newcomer Tyler Calico looks to be a great prospect
at WR for the Titans. This may be closer than one would expect
(thanks to Deuce), but the Titans D should show form against Brooks
and keep the Saints in check. It may not be pretty, but take the
Titans in a low scoring match.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Deuce McAllister, Titan Defense, Steve McNair, Derrick Mason
2nd String: Donte Stallworth, Joe Horn, Tyler Calico, Aaron Brooks, Eddie George, John Carney Prediction: Saints 14, Titans 17
Jacksonville
(0-2) at Indianapolis (2-0), 1:00 PM
The Jaguars were brought back to earth last week by the Bills.
Fred Taylor kept it respectable until the 2nd, well, quarter.
In Week 1 the Jags were a real surprise, barely losing to Carolina
and putting up a respectable 23 points against a top-notch defense.
However, the magic ran out versus Buffalo last week. The inevitable
happened late in that game: Mark Brunell was pulled for rookie
Byron Leftwich (it was reported during the preseason that Leftwich
would open the season as the starter; this was later changed as
Coach Jack Del Rio convinced Jags ownership that Brunell deserved
to lose the job after years of success). The Jags only managed
192 yards of passing offense last week: 92 yards of that passing
came from Leftwich. This is not a good time to run into the Colts.
The Colts D put on a clinic last week versus the Titans. Dwight
Freeney was all over Steve McNair and the Colts held the Titans
to only 7 points. Tony Dungy has already started to turn this
defensive unit into a force. The Jags are not the Titans. Fred
Taylor is the only respectable threat on the team and he cannot
do it by himself. At the time of print, Brunell is still the starter
for the Jags. If he struggles at all, if the Colts' D is all over
him like the previous week, then don't expect Brunell to stay
the starter for long.
Meanwhile, the Colts have started to play themselves into a formidable
team. Edge James was awesome against the Titans: he ran like the
Edge of two years ago (you know, the Edge that led the NFL in
rushing) and could not be stopped. If he gets as many carries
this week as he did against the Titans (30), he'll be the player
to watch in this match up. Peyton Manning and Marvin Harrison
hooked up for their first TD last week as well. Harrison is uncoverable,
especially when your defensive backfield is as lack luster as
the Jags. One thing was made very clear about the Jags' defense
last week: they really too heavily on John Henderson and Hugh
Douglas. If they are not playing well, this defense is bad. Keep
this in mind as well: Hugh Douglas is spending his first year
in Jacksonville (on grass) after coming from the Eagles (on turf).
Every player that makes the switch from turf to grass finds struggles
in their game: they lose speed and have to "reform" their game
to the slower surface (want proof? See Johnnie Morton, WR, KC
last season). This defense is not capable of stopping all these
weapons, especially Edge. The Colts should reach 3-0 at home in
the dome this weekend.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Edgerrin James, Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison, Colt Defense, Fred Taylor, Mike Vanderjagt
2nd String: Mark Brunell, Dallas Clark, Reggie Wayne, Kyle Brady Prediction: Jaguars 10, Colts 31
New York
Jets (0-2) at New England (1-1), 1:00 PM
The Jets are in for a long year. The loss of Chad Pennington has
damaged this team, seemingly, beyond repair. The real problem
with this team is Curtis Martin. Martin is now officially over
30 years old and history has shown that 30 years (especially with
the years of wear Martin has) is a bad number for veteran running
backs. He has been horrible so far and has shown no signs of getting
better. It is true he started out this slow last year and then
found form later in the season. However, Martin had suffered a
preseason injury last season and this is not the case this year.
It is time for the Jets to look at LaMont Jordan as the candidate
for starting running back. He has the tools needed to be a productive
back in the NFL. Jordan didn't get a single carry last week. Of
course, Martin got only 10, and when the team you play for is
down 21-3 at half time that can be expected. The Patriots defense
seemed to pull together despite all the controversy (Lawyer Milloy,
the feelings for their coach & ownership) and played very well
in beating Philly last week. They sacked McNabb 7 TIMES last week.
7 TIMES!!! One thing is certain: Vinny T. is not as big as McNabb,
he's not as fast as McNabb, he's not as strong as McNabb, and
if Rosevelt Colvin and company can throw McNabb down 7 times then
Vinny is in for what we in the business call an "ass whoopin'."
The Patriots also got the offense rolling last week. Tom Brady
played like the Tom Brady of two seasons ago and led the offense
to a rout of the Eagles. The running game for the Pats was still
sub par, but the passing was all the Pats needed to beat up the
struggling Eagles' defense. The many injuries have put a real
hurt on the Eagles' defense, especially the loss of Brian Dawkins.
Philly's backfield is still talented, but Dawkins gave the Eagles
an added dimension: he could pass rush, he could cover, and he
can put a lick on you that will make you see double. Without those
threats out there, the Pats kicked up the passing game and showed
their abilities. They will need to do that again this week versus
the Jets. The Jets' defense is not very tough: they have some
players (John Abraham, Mo Lewis, Shawn Ellis) but they are not
functioning well under all the pressure due to lack of offense.
It is very understandable: when you spend so much time on the
field because the offense can't produce, fatigue will take effect.
The key to taking advantage of this is the running game. Look
for Kevin Faulk to get carries early and often to soften up the
defense. Before too long, Brady will open up the long ball and
the Pats will be full force against the Jets. Expect another week
of struggle for the Jets; they just are not a good team right
now.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Tom Brady, Patriot Defense, Adam Vinatieri
2nd String: Troy Brown, Deion Branch, Kevin Faulk, Santana Moss, Curtis Conway, Anthony Becht Prediction: Jets 10, Pats 24
Tampa
Bay (1-1) at Atlanta (1-1), 1:00 PM
How about that Tampa/Carolina game last weekend? When is the last
time you sat and watched an exciting game that ended at 12-9?
3 blocked kicks is something the Bucs would like to forget. You
can expect the Bucs to come out mad this week. The Bucs offense
is very suspect. Keyshawn Johnson has become, basically, and possession
receiver. He is not a deep threat any more. The only real deep
threat, Joe Jurevicius, is out for 6 weeks with a tore MCL. Keenan
McCardell is the go to guy, and he's a good receiver, but he cannot
carry this team. Brad Johnson is a good QB, but he's not showing
us anything spectacular. Michael Pittman is not a RB that would
start on most NFL teams. To put it honestly, the defense HAS to
score to make this team a sure winner. The Atlanta defense is
nothing special, but with this offense it should perform better.
Brad Johnson will have to find a way to get this done in order
to keep the game from being decided by an OT field goal.
Atlanta's offense seemed to take off last week against Washington.
Unfortunately, it seems they forgot there are two halves to a
football game. They did very little in the second half, the Redskins
came back, and despite a last minute surge they lost the game.
Point the finger at the defense. Patrick Ramsey, normally an average
quarterback (only in his second year, he is coming around), threw
for over 300 yards. Laveranues Coles was catching everything in
the air. It is obvious the Falcons miss Mike Vick, even more than
they thought they possibly could. Although they scored 31 points
on Washington, they didn't put up impressive offensive numbers:
they threw for 184 net yards, Warrick Dunn ran for a whopping
62 yards, and TJ Duckett ran in the TD's from short yards. Alge
Crumpler is the only player on this team you can point at as a
solid performer. Against what may be the best defense in the NFL,
the Falcons' prospects for offense this week are even worse. Tampa
did show they can be run on last week (Stephen Davis rushed for
142 yards), but Atlanta does not have a RB the caliber of Stephen
Davis. This game will be a typical Tampa Bay game: very little
scoring, lots of defense, and not too much hope for a poor defensive
team like Atlanta.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Buc Defense, Alge Crumpler, Martin Gramatica
2nd String: Peerless Price, Brad Johnson, Keenan McCardell, Jay Feely Prediction: Bucs 17, Falcons 9
Pittsburgh
(1-1) at Cincinnati (0-2), 1:00 PM
The Steelers have to be disappointed. They were really putting
the wax to the Chiefs early last week. Plaxico Burress looked
like he was going to have a career day. You could say out of nowhere,
but its Priest Holmes. Holmes came out of the direct line of sight
and proceeded to beat the living crap out of the Steelers. Donte
Hall returned a kickoff 100 yards for a TD to start the comeback,
but Holmes did the damage. The Steelers' defense is struggling
to stop the run: they held Jamal Lewis to a respectable 69 yards
in Week 1, but to allow Holmes 3 TD's in Week 2 seems significant.
It better, as the Bengals' strongest offensive power is Corey
Dillon. The Bengals will need Dillon to get at least 30 carries
and make good on a majority of them to compete. Jon Kitna, Chad
Johnson, and Peter Warrick (tell me THAT name doesn't surprise
you) have played well and could produce some offense. However,
it is obvious the Steelers' biggest weakness defensively is against
the run (the pass D is pretty good; they held Trent Green to 125
yards last week and also nabbed two interceptions).
On offense, the Steelers have answered concerns about the passing
game. More to the point, Tommy Maddox has answered concerns about
the passing game. He has been solid: he throws deep, he throws
with accuracy, he throws with confidence, and he makes big time
use of the Steelers' biggest weapons: WR's Plaxico Burress, Hines
Ward, and Antwaan El Randle. He has made the Steelers a formidable
offensive threat and has been a problem for two tough defenses
thus far. RB Amos Zereoue has been good as well. He's not a breakout
runner, he's not a Sportscenter film star, but he gets the job
done and gives Maddox a solid running game to keep defenses honest.
The Bengals are getting better on defense, especially versus the
pass, but the three Steeler receivers are too much for them to
handle this weekend. Bill Cowher and his team will get back on
the good side of .500 and should beat the Bengals fairly convincingly.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Plaxico Burress, Tommy Maddox, Hines Ward, Steeler
Defense, Corey Dillon, Chad Johnson
2nd String: Amos Zereoue, Jay Riemersma, Jon Kitna, Peter Warrick,
Jeff Reed
Prediction: Steelers 30, Bengals 18
Kansas
City (2-0) at Houston (1-1), 1:00 PM
The Chiefs are one of the best teams in the NFL right now. They
have it working on all fronts: running the ball, passing the ball,
defense, kicking, everything is flowing. The Chiefs don't have
a dominant receiver (Tony Gonzalez could be, if he was 100% healthy)
yet Trent Green is able to spread the wealth to several receivers
and make it work well. Priest Holmes is the best rusher in the
game today. Now, the Texans do have a decent defense. They did
a great job of shutting down Ricky Williams in their first game,
but they suffered a little letdown last week as Deuce McAllister
racked up 96 yards. Both are solid backs, but Holmes is at the
peak of the NFL right now (late note: he's just been added to
Injury Report as questionable, so keep your eyes on him!). It
is hard to see how this Texan defense will stop him. He opens
the entire offensive game up for the Chiefs: he runs, they can't
stop it, they stack the line to try to slow him down, and Trent
Green goes downfield with a pass. It should be another successful
game this weekend for the Chiefs: they are too good right now
for the Houston Texans.
By the way, the Chiefs defense is playing well too. They put the
clamps on the Steelers for the final 3 quarters last week. After
scoring 17 points in the first quarter, the Steelers could only
manage one more field goal in the remaining quarters. To add to
the pain, the Chiefs also returned an interception 46 yards for
a TD in the 2nd quarter. The Texans are not ready to face a tough
D like this, just like they aren't ready for the offense of the
Chiefs. They did face Miami's D in Week 1, but apparently someone
had forgotten to tell the Fins they were suppose to be there.
Houston snuck up and bit off an upset. Don't plan on another upset
this week. Dick Vermeil has these boys kickin' and Houston is
next on the list.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Priest Holmes, Trent Green, Tony Gonzalez, Chief Defense
2nd String: Andre Johnson, Jabar Gaffney, Eddie Kennison, Johnnie
Morton
Prediction: Chiefs 34, Texans 12
St. Louis
(1-1) at Seattle (2-0), 4:05 PM
To say the Seahawks are baffling is an extreme understatement.
For instance, you see the score of the game last weekend? They
beat the Arizona Cardinals down proper: 38-0. Now, to say fantasy
players were not all over this match-up is to not know fantasy
players. If you had Matt Hasselback, Koren Robinson, Shaun Alexander,
and even Darrell Jackson on your roster they were likely starters.
Then you go to the box score. Hasselback with only 175 yards?
Shaun Alexander with 51 yards? KOREN ROBINSON DIDN'T PLAY??? Well,
at least Jackson racked up 133 yards. But take a look at the first
week too. Hasselback had only 137 passing yards. Koren Robinson
had only 3 catches for 56 yards. It's amazing: the Seahawks have
a total of 65 points on 593 net yards of total offense (do the
math: they average one point for every 9 yards of offense!). They
need to put up some numbers this weekend. This game will be a
shoot out. The Rams' defense is not terrifying. Seattle has the
complete package of offensive weapons and should be able to produce
plenty of points. Robinson needs a break out game. He is due and
after having last week off he should be full of energy, motivation,
and playmaking ability.
We all know the Rams. Well, we thought we knew the Rams. The high-powered
offensive weapons are still there, they just don't seem to use
their big dog enough. Marshall Faulk needs to get the ball more.
The good news is that he will: Marc Bulger has been named the
starter for the Rams as of this week. With Kurt Warner at the
helm, Faulk averages about 17 carries a game. With Marc Bulger
behind center, Faulk averages a little over 21 carries a game.
He becomes very important: he gets the ball to help take pressure
off of the younger Bulger. But to be honest, 21 carries a game
is not enough for a game with Seattle. Seattle's defense has been
ok thus far, but they have had one of their two games against
the worse NFL team (Arizona). If Emmitt Smith can get 60 yards
against the Seahawks, there is every reason to think Faulk could
go well over 100. He is also a great short receiver and can provide
the strong 4th option Bulger will need to succeed. This is going
to be an all-out scoring extravaganza! Alexander vs. Faulk; Hasselback
vs. Bulger; Robinson vs. Holt. Here is the key stat for the game:
St. Louis, in the two games thus far, has given up an average
of 148.5 rushing yards a game. You say its only two games? True,
but the rushers in those two games were Tiki Barber and Garrison
Hearst. Neither is considered a top NFL rushing threat, and most
NFL fans would agree Shaun Alexander is. Give the edge to Seattle,
the better defense, and the home field advantage.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Shaun Alexander, Marshall Faulk, Koren Robinson, Matt Hasselback, Marc Bulger
2nd String: Torry Holt, Isaac Bruce, Darrell Jackson, Jeff Wilkins, Jerramy Stevens Prediction: Rams 26, Seahawks 32
New York
(1-1) at Washington (2-0), 4:05 PM
The Giants tried to come back to 2-0, but they made one bad mistake.
One kicking mistake is the difference between a win and a lose
(say what you like, and I know it would have been an ugly win,
but a win is a win and in 3 weeks no one will care if the win
was ugly, they'll just see the win). The Giants seemed to lose
their identity in the first half and it revealed the flaw to their
offense: if they can't run then they can't do anything. If you
play nice passing coverage, and if Tiki Barber can't hold on to
the ball (he has a history for fumbles) or get any production
going, then the offense is not very good. Collins is more than
capable of hitting the skids, Barber is more than capable of a
bad game, and if they don't play well then it can be a long game
for fans of the Giants. The good thing is they play Washington
this week. Washington's D has some great players but has not done
a good job of keeping opposing scoring down: they've given up
44 points in two games (and one of those opponents was the Jets).
They do, however, keep a good wrap on the yards. In their two
games they've given up an average of 142 passing yards and 78
rushing yards. Not too bad. It will be interesting. If the Giants
can pass or throw with success, they have the talent to make either
(or both) work well enough to win. Kicker Matt Bryant is the secret
weapon. The youngster has a great leg and has done a good job
in tough situations thus far. By the way, it will help if Shockey
can hold on to those touchdown passes (don't get me wrong, I love
the guy, but if you're going to run your mouth then back it up
and catch the damn ball!).
That said about the Giants, they do play nice defense. They shut
down St. Louis in their first game, and last week, despite their
top efforts, the Cowboys scored almost all of their points on
field goals. They may have lost, but they did awesome in the red
zone and kept Dallas out of the end zone. That game could have
and should have been a blowout, but the Giants kept the Boys out
of the end zone and almost came back. Washington's offense will
give them more trouble this weekend. Patrick Ramsey is turning,
slowly but surely, into a solid NFL QB. He led the Redskins to
a strong comeback victory against the Falcons, throwing for 356
yards. With Laveranues Coles trolling the field, it makes it a
little easier for Ramsey and a lot tougher for defensive backs.
Rod Gardner is a solid WR as well. Trung Candidate stepped up
as the lead RB last week and performed well. All this is good,
but it may not be the same story against the Giants this weekend.
The Giants will put much more pressure on Ramsey than the Falcons
did last Sunday (at least in the second half). The Giants are
also more than capable of keeping both Trung Candidate and Ladell
Betts in their places, behind the line of scrimmage. Ramsey, Coles,
and Gardner could find some openings and keep this game respectable.
It is just hard to believe this defense would give up 300 passing
yards in two consecutive games. The Washington D is nice, but
don't count on Amani Toomer and Jeremy Shockey being shut down.
Let's keep the score close, but give the edge to the Giants and
their defense.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Amani Toomer, Tiki Barber, Jeremy Shockey, Kerry Collins, Giant Defense, Laveranues Coles
2nd String: Patrick Ramsey, Rod Gardner, Ike Hilliard, Trung Candidate, Matt Bryant, John Hall Prediction: Giants 27, Redskins 23
Green
Bay (1-1) at Arizona (0-2), 4:05 PM
Here's my upset special of the week! Cardinals 48, Packers 12!
Ok, back to reality. The Cardinals have become my new "worst team
in the NFL" and, thus, will become the most common place for my
sarcasm and bad jokes. Do you think Emmitt Smith really believed
himself when he said he was staying in the NFL as long as "he
could play for a winner," then signed with the Cardinals? I would
like to suggest the following: Emmitt Smith is still playing,
with the lowly Cardinals, because of one thing and one thing only,
and it's not the money (though the money doesn't hurt). He clearly
wants to pad his stats. How many football fans and experts would,
at this very moment, put Emmitt Smith in the top 5 RB's of all
time? I would guess MAYBE 10% of knowledgeable people asked would
say Emmitt Smith is one of the top 5 RB's of all time, AND HE
IS THE ALL TIME LEADING RUSHER IN NFL HISTORY! Do you think that
makes Emmitt happy? Just something to ponder.
This game is going to take place. Here's some stats to sum it
all up. One: the Cardinals have allowed 80 points in two games,
worst in the NFL. Two: the Cardinals are coming off a shutout
to a team with a defense similar to Green Bays. Three: in Week
1 the Cardinals threw for 363 yards, and lost by 18 points. Four:
the Green Bay Packers are 16-0 when Ahman Green rushes for 100
yards or more, and Ahman Green will rush for 100 yards in this
game (unless, much like Seattle experienced last week, they start
beating the Cardinals so badly they put the 2nd string players
in to keep the starters out of the heat). This game is a slam-dunk
if there ever was one in the NFL. Let's go way out on the limb:
the Cardinals don't have a good sniff at a win until Week 13,
when they play the Bears.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Ahman Green, Brett Favre, Javon Walker, Ryan Longwell, Packer Defense
2nd String: Robert Ferguson, Bubba Franks, Anquan Boldin, Bryant
Johnson, Emmitt Smith, Jeff Blake
Prediction: Packers 38, Cardinals 13
Baltimore
(1-1) at San Diego (0-2), 4:15 PM
The Ravens enjoyed a nice rushing performance last week by Jamal
Lewis. Don't know if any of you heard, but Lewis broke the NFL
record for rushing yards in a single game. You may have also heard
Jamal Lewis has ruled the Browns for two years now. He is the
Baltimore offense, and believe it or not that is not a good thing.
The running game is obviously solid, but the passing game is horrid.
Rookie Kyle Boller has struggled mightily to get the arm flowing.
However, as is often the case for rookie QB's, this season is
obviously a lesson year and the potential of things getting significantly
better is not good. This makes things hard for the Ravens: every
team knows if you can stop the run then you can beat them. This
week they play the Chargers. Guess what? The Chargers have not
stopped the run at all this year. Priest Holmes dismantled them
in Week 1; Clinton Portis was on his way to challenging Jamal
Lewis' one hour old record before he suffered a minor chest injury
and had to leave the game. It is safe to say Jamal Lewis could
have another big game, and it is safe to say the Chargers need
to stop him or they will lose.
The real key to this game is the match up between the Ravens'
defense and LaDainian Tomlinson. Tomlinson finally started to
get his game in order in the second half of the Denver game last
week. The Ravens are (and have been for a few years now) notorious
for shutting down the running game of any and all comers in the
NFL. In their two games thus far, the Ravens have held their opponents
(the Browns and Steelers, both teams with solid RB's) to an average
of only 74 rushing yards a game (throw in the fact teams average
27 attempts a game and the number is even more impressive). It
stands to reason that Tomlinson could find some success in this
game, but he won't have the type of game that will carry the Bolts
to victory. It will be on Drew Brees to win it, and he's played
well. He has received little to no help from his receivers. Anyone
that has watched the Bolts this year at all will agree the performances
of the Charger receivers have been atrocious. They drop balls,
they drop more balls, and they proceed to drop even more balls.
Until we see differently, the Chargers are a team in trouble and
the Ravens are likely to continue this trend.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Jamal Lewis, LaDainian Tomlinson, Todd Heap, Raven Defense
2nd String: Drew Brees, Travis Taylor, David Boston (listed as Questionable) Prediction: Ravens 23, Chargers 13
Cleveland
(0-2) at San Francisco (1-1), 4:15 PM
The Browns are winless. They came into last week with the game
plan set to stop Jamal Lewis and make Kyle Boller beat them. Lewis
then rushed for 295 yards. In Week 1, Cleveland lost in a game
with Indy that may go down as the most exciting game of the year,
as two kickers battled it out to a 9-6 victory for Indy. The problems
are numerous in Cleveland. Willie Green has run the ball fairly
well (you can't expect big numbers against the Ravens). The receivers
are all there to be used: great young talent and great young legs.
The problem on offense has been Kelly Holcomb. Holcomb impressed
last year and won games with a no holds barred style. He threw
long early and often, he threw with confidence to all areas of
the field, and he actually used the passing game to open up the
running game for Green. This year, after being given the starting
job outright over Tim Couch, he has not played like himself. He's
played like Tim Couch. He tries to rely on short passes. He doesn't
seem to have the confidence he once carried. He won't go down
field. This has affected the entire offensive scheme of the Browns.
Green is running ok, but his numbers would be better if defenses
feared the pass. The 49ers defense is not very good and gives
the Browns a great opportunity to allow Holcomb to get his confidence
back. He'll have opportunities to go deep, to throw to open receivers,
to send those receivers out in force to cover the field and find
holes in the defense. They Browns have to get the passing game
working, or it could be long season.
The 49ers are a team that has played well thus far. They lost
a heart breaker to St. Louis last week in St. Louis and enjoyed
a massive feast over Chicago in Week 1. Terrell Owens didn't do
much last week (he did catching the TD to tie the game before
OT) and seemed a little peeved, as he has not been getting enough
looks to keep him happy. Jeff Garcia has played well and is throwing
the ball with zip. His back problems in the preseason don't seem
to be bothering him and he is at full strength. Garrison Hearst
is proving, as he does every year, that he owns the fountain of
youth and is the best running back the 49ers have at their disposal.
It seems this offense is set to take a beating to the Browns.
This may not be so easy. Cleveland's D has been surprisingly solid.
They are starting 3 LB's this year that had never started an NFL
game before this season. This may sound stupid, but even in allowing
Lewis to run for 295 yards they played very well at times (sounds
stupid, but look at the numbers: basically, Lewis averaged 50
yards a carry for about 4 carries; the other carries he only averaged
about 3.5 yards a carry-it's crazy but it's true! You don't ignore
the big runs, but if you break down the numbers it amounts to
4 big runs by Lewis, including a couple of key penalties to take
away some yards from Lewis!). In Week 1, the Browns did a great
job against the Colts: they contained the Manning and Harrison
show to nothing and kept Edge to respectable numbers. It may seem
outrageous, but (as the numbers and games show thus far) the Cleveland
D is a unit that is vulnerable to the big running play and is
good against the pass. If they can step up and keep Garcia from
throwing to Owens over and over again, they could pull out an
upset. It's a total gamble, but I'm taking Cleveland in the upset
on the road in San Francisco.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Terrell Owens, William Green, Jeff Garcia
2nd String: Garrison Hearst, Kelly Holcomb, Kevan Barlow Prediction: Browns 18, 49ers 14
Buffalo
(2-0) at Miami (1-1), 8:30 PM
The Bills have been riding on cloud 9. They've blown out two opponents
in two games and seem completely unstoppable. Drew Bledsoe looks
to be at the peak of his career. He is blessed with great WR's
in Eric Moulds, Bobby Shaw, and Josh Reed. He's throwing all over
the field with amazing accuracy and plenty of strength to go deep
as often as he would like. After two games Drew has totaled yards
passing with 3 TD's and only 1 pick. Not too shabby. Travis Henry
seems to be running even better since the Bills drafted Willis
McGahee. He's totaled only 115 yards in two games, but he had
5 TD's (equal to Priest Holmes). On offense it would seem the
Bills are on a role that won't be easily halted. Miami's defense
looks on paper like they could be up for the challenge. However,
they have not performed very well thus far. They gave up 21 points
to a not-so-good Houston team in Week 1, allowing them to come
from behind for the win. In Week 2, they performed better, but
that is to be expected against a struggling Jets team. Which defense
will show up for this week's game? Miami could fair better against
the Bills than their previous opponents. They have the talent
to do well, especially against the run as they have in the two
previous games. Unfortunately for Fin fans, they have not done
well against the pass at all. The Texans threw for 266 yards and
the Jets threw for 373 yards: neither is impressive in the least,
especially when you consider David Carr and Vinny Testaverde are
not the caliber of Drew Bledsoe. This passing attack may be too
much for the Dolphins to contain once again. Bledsoe has done
it in every game thus far and don't gamble on him not doing it
again.
On offense, the Fins have one of the best RB's in the game in
Ricky Williams. Even when you "contain" him he gets decent yards
and it is virtually impossible to keep him out of the red zone.
That said, the rushing of Ricky Williams is not enough for the
Dolphins to win. WR Chris Chambers has come on strong thus far,
racking up a total of 209 yards and 2 TD's so far. It would be
a more comfortable game plan for the Fins if Jay Fiedler were
not behind the QB. Not that Fiedler isn't at capable QB, but he's
not outstanding and often struggles to get the ball to the weapons
in the field. He has completed 60% of his passes, and has gone
deep (has a 57 yarder on record already this year), but the real
problem comes against a strong pass rush. He is vulnerable to
sacks and has a history of fumbles. You better believe the Bills
have a pass rush. Their D looks to be one of the best units in
the NFL this year. Takeo Spikes has REALLY enjoyed his new found
freedom: he can rush the QB or make an interception or just spy
on the QB and freelance. He's a defensive stud, and his supporting
cast is loaded with potential Pro Bowlers. Lawyer Milloy, London
Fletcher, Jeff Posey, and Sam Adams have all made big plays in
both games, they've all been key to the pass rush, and they will
keep Jay Fiedler in a very uncomfortable position. The Dolphins
will have to run early and often to keep this defense honest,
and he could find some success (Kevin Faulk gained 62 yds in Week
1 and Freddie Taylor got to 72 yds last week). That said, Ricky
Williams will have to pick up about 200 yards and at least 4 TD's
to keep up with the Bills big time offense. It won't happen, he
can't do it alone, the Buffalo D will contain Fiedler just fine,
and they will keep Buffalo on the winning side of the game again
this weekend.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Drew Bledsoe, Eric Moulds, Ricky Williams, Travis Henry, Buffalo Defense
2nd String: Chris Chambers, Randy McMichael, Bobby Shaw, Josh Reed, Rian Lindell, Olindo Mare, Miami Defense Prediction: Bills 31, Dolphins 17
Oakland
(1-1) at Denver (2-0), 9:00 PM
The Oakland Raiders have looked their age thus far this season.
Rich Gannon has struggled to throw well and to find open receivers.
Then again, his receivers haven't been very open. He misses Jerry
Porter more than you or I can imagine. Charlie Garner has been
the go-to guy and he's not rushing a lot, he's catching passes.
This offense is not competing at all like it did last season.
This is not a good time for a big Monday night game in Denver
against your biggest NFL rival. Not only is it not good timing,
it's horrible. The Denver D has played very well. They are not
perfect, but they are the most complete unit they've had in a
few years in Denver. They've played very well, getting great QB
pressure and doing an even better job against the rushing game.
Their only visible weakness right now is the defensive backfield.
They do have trouble covering downfield. Too bad the Raiders don't
have the capabilities to take advantage of this weakness. Jerry
Rice and Tim Brown have both been awful and the chances of that
changing this week are slim and none. If they are relying on Garner
to save them, he could do well but not THAT well. He may find
some rushing yards, but it won't be much. He'll most likely be
receiver #1 again, catching short yard passes and doing his damage
after the catch. That won't be nearly enough to stay in this game.
The Broncos are a little dinged up on offense, but it appears
at time of print that all will be well by game time. Clinton Portis
has been weapon #1 for the Broncos and has been awesome thus far.
He was on pace to gather about 300 yards rushing last week versus
the Chargers before he left the game with a chest bruise. He is
fine and is already back in practice. The passing game struggled
in Week 1 but looked great last week. Plummer went down with a
separated shoulder early, but had already thrown 3 TD's by that
time and the damage was done. He is starting to click with both
Rod Smith and Ashlie Lelie on long pass plays. These guys will
become a big factor as the season progresses. It is being reported
in Denver that although Plummer is listed as questionable, he
looks ok in practice and it is believed he will be able to come
out and play with the boys. Shannon Sharpe is himself: a top notch
NFL TE and making play after play. The offensive weapons are just
too deep for the old Raider D to contend with. This game should
be a blowout. It's Monday Night Football, its in Denver, and Coach
Shanahan would love nothing more than to stick to Al Davis in
an embarrassing way. It should be too hard for his team to accomplish.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Clinton Portis, Jake Plummer, Bronco Defense, Charlie Garner, Shannon Sharpe
2nd String: Rod Smith, Rich Gannon, Jerry Rice, Ashley Lelie, Doug Jolley, Sebastian Janikowski, Jason Elam Prediction: Raiders 13, Broncos 28
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