Bye Week: Cincinnati, Detroit,
Minnesota, San Diego
Last Week's Projections: (6-8)
%
Season's Projections: (52-22)
%
Kansas City (5-0) at Green
Bay (3-2), 1:00 PM
Let's take bets now: what are the odds the Packers will kick to
Dante Hall? How amazing is this guy? The Chiefs are happy to have
their last two wins, but don't believe they are not concerned. They
would rather not be in the situation to need a kick return to win.
It would be nice to beat teams handily, as they were in the first
couple of weeks. Priest Holmes is still the best RB in the game,
and even when he's the focus of the opposing defense (which is every
game) he still gets in the end zone. The passing game is a bit of
a concern. Trent Green is a nice quarterback, and Tony Gonzalez
is still one of the best TE's in the game. However, no one has stepped
up from the receiver corps to be the top dog, and although Green
is capable of using all of his weapons effectively, it would be
beneficial to have one wide out take the roll as the go-to player.
One could argue this: Holmes has filled this role in the first weeks
of the season. He is more than capable of doing it with the run
or catch. In this game, he will be able to do it however he desires.
The Packers have won their last two games, but its not been pretty
on the defensive side of the ball. They are horrible versus the
run: Anthony Thomas ran all over them (110 yds, 1TD), Shaun Alexander
ran all over them (102 yds, 1 TD). If you can't stop these guys,
you won't stop Holmes.
On offense, the Packers seem to have it figured out on all fronts.
Ahman Green has been phenomenal this year. He has run for 100+ yards
in 3 of 5 games thus far, and to say the offense feeds off his success
is like saying "Gilbert Brown looks like he's put on some weight"
(in other words, it's painfully obvious). The return of Donald Driver
has helped Brett Favre get his confidence and long passing game
back. Driver is a man of amazing talent and heart: the guy seems
to get open all the time, make amazing catches, and is simply a
big time player. The Packers were too much for a Seattle defense
that had been one of the league's best. They are definitely a different
team at home of the Frozen Tundra, even in October when it's not
frozen. This game should be a great match-up, but the Chiefs' defense
may be the game breaker. They are great at creating turnovers and
picking off passes. Favre has battled the interception bug his whole
career, and if he makes a mistake this defense will take advantage.
If the Packers want to get into an offensive slugfest, Holmes is
up for that challenge. If the Packers make mistakes with fumbles
and bad passes, the Chiefs' defense is up for that challenge. And
if the Packers want to challenge the special teams, they better
believe Dante Hall is up for that challenge.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Priest Holmes, Tony Gonzalez, Ahman Green
2nd String: KC Defense, Donald Driver, Brett Favre, Trent Green,
Ryan Longwell
Prediction: Chiefs 31, Packers 24
Houston (2-2) at Tennessee
(3-2), 1:00 PM
The Texans come off the bye week and are hoping to continue right
where they left off: winning. David Carr and Andre Johnson are
becoming a lethal mix for opposing defenses. Johnson is amazing
and has to be the lead candidate for rookie of the year thus far
(side note: Johnson has a minor toe injury and is being listed
on the NFL IR list as "status uncertain"). The running
game has been feast or famine, and word from Houston is that RB
by committee is going to be the plan for the foreseeable future.
As a side note, watch out for Tony Hollings, rookie RB out of
Georgia Tech, as he has the potential to be the starter for this
team if not now then definitely in the near future. Without a
solid running threat, the onus is on the passing game to get the
scoring done. The Titans D will have something to say about that:
the Titans live on QB pressure. David Carr is the most hunted
QB in the NFL, and his current offensive line, though improving,
may have their hands beyond full with Jevon Kearse & Kevin
Carter. CB Samari Rolle is out with 3 to 6 weeks with a dislocated
elbow, and this could be good for the Titans: Rolle was becoming
the lead target for opposing QB's, and Johnson would definitely
have taken advantage.
For the offense of the Titans, it can be summed up in two words:
Steve McNair. McNair is to the Titans what Gary Coleman was to
the show "Different Strokes": he carries the show (that
may be a reach for the kids out there, but I like the comparison!).
Even an off game for McNair is awesome: last week he threw for
391 yards, but he also threw the pick that led to the demise of
his team (an interception on a short out, just before the 2-minute
warning, that Ty Law returned for a TD killing the game for the
Titans). He'll bring it again this week, and some help from Eddie
George would be nice. Houston has nice rush defense, but is vulnerable
to a sustained effort. George can grind it out and help open up
the pass game. Houston is on the rise, but the Titans are still
too much at this point. McNair can do it against anyone, and without
a serious running attack the Texans can't keep up.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Steve McNair, Derrick Mason, Titan Defense, Andre
Johnson (status uncertain)
2nd String: David Carr, Eddie George, Erron Kinney, Drew Bennett,
Jabar Gaffney
Prediction: Texans 17, Titans 31
Carolina (4-0) at Indianapolis
(5-0), 1:00 PM
This is Indy's second week against a top-notch defense, and last
week didn't go well. The Colts defense was the untold story going
into the game, and after giving up 35 points to a Tampa offense
that normally struggles to score, it has some work to do to regain
its reputation. They have a good opportunity versus a Panthers'
offense struggling to put it all together. Stephen Davis is one
the NFL's best RB's and he can find yards and TD's against anyone.
The problem has been the arm of Jake Delhomme. Truth be told,
Delhomme is a talented QB and though his numbers aren't so good,
he is capable of being a solid player. His WR staff isn't the
best, though it's not a group of circus freaks either. A better
offensive line would help, though the current line isn't too bad.
Well, maybe Delhomme is to blame for the lack of offense, but
its not keeping the Panthers from winning, and he looks a little
better with every game. The Colts will take it to Davis (but don't
expect them to stop him; they give up an average of about 120
rushing yards a game) and let Delhomme try to beat them.
The Colts are an offensive juggernaut. If you have watched the
last two games for Peyton Manning & you are not convinced
that he is the man, you are the new official winner of the Ray
Charles NFL Fan award. Tampa came into last weeks' game with Indy
giving up an average of only 106 passing yards a game. Manning
came INTO Tampa and TORE THEM UP: 386 yards, 2 TD's. If you can
pass on the Bucs, you can pass on anyone. The Panthers, though
a great defense, is not as tough against the pass: giving up 226
pass yards a game. Manning to Harrison should be the echoed call
of this game once again. Edge James should be back following two
weeks off with a bad back, and he'll be hungry for some yards.
The Colts are just so powerful right now, they have it ALL working,
and it hard to deny they are the best team in the NFL right now.
Davis can't do it alone, and he won't score 30 points by himself,
and the Colts will get to 6 & 0.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Edgerrin James, Stephen Davis, Peyton Manning, Marvin
Harrison
2nd String: Colt Defense, Reggie Wayne, Mike Vanderjagt, Dallas
Clark
Prediction: Panthers 14, Colts 38
New
York Giants (2-2) at New England (3-2), 1:00 PM
Can someone check the schedule & see which Giants team is
playing this weekend? The team that just lost in sorry fashion
to the Dolphins isn't the same Giants team from the previous weeks.
Give credit to Miami: they took it to Collins, and they hadn't
done that at all this year. The Giants are a team of suspicion:
will they come out and light up the sky with long bomb after long
bomb, or will they come out and spend the day mistaking the opposing
defense for their own receivers. This is not a good week to come
in without confidence and with a lap full of concerns. The Patriots
are playing well above their condition. This NE defense has been
battered and injured, and they do give up some points, but they
will make the Giants (as they made the Titans this last week)
suffer for every point. They are playing hard-nosed, break-your-jaw
and laugh defense with the players they do have healthy. They
are not afraid of any team and they have loads of veteran leadership,
guys who know how to win. If you had asked most fans if they thought
the Pats could be 3 & 2 at this point, maybe 10% would have
said yes. The Giants will need great efforts from all offensive
facets to win: Collins needs to put last week behind him and heave,
Tiki Barber needs to protect the ball and break it open, and Amani
Toomer needs to be, well, Amani Toomer.
On defense, the Giants have to be frustrated. If you can lock
down Ricky Williams (22 carries, 39 yards), you should beat the
Dolphins. Yet they played soft against Chris Chambers and Randy
McMichael and lost. Believe the Patriots can throw: Tom Brady
is a great QB (though more than capable of making fans scratch
their heads) & though the WR's aren't exactly Pro Bowl material
this year, any one of them is capable of making plays. The Patriots
would love to have Troy Brown show up in every game as he did
last week. Deion Branch is talented and can get it done. Christian
Fauria is a TE capable of a WR style of play. They will need to
throw. Kevin Faulk (currently listed as Questionable) and Mike
Cloud won't run against the Giants. They are decent backs, but
they are not Ricky Williams, and Ricky did squat versus this defense.
This will be a hard fought, old school game of tough defense versus
tough defense, and give the edge to the Giants offense: the mix
of running and passing should be too much for the Patriots. As
long as Kerry Collins can resist throwing up all over himself,
the Giants should return to the win column.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Amani Toomer, Tiki Barber, Giants Defense, Tom Brady
2nd String: Kerry Collins, Jeremy Shockey, Troy Brown, Christian
Fauria
Prediction: Giants 21, Patriots 17
Chicago
(1-3) at New Orleans (1-4), 1:00 PM
The Bears have broken the chain of mediocrity and got a win. The
surprising thing isn't the win itself, it's how they won. Anthony
Thomas has looked like a totally different player the last two
weeks. He's running with power and speed, seems to have a confidence
that has been absent since the end of his rookie season, and has
become the game breaker for this Bears team. They have another
chance to pull of a big upset this weekend against a team that
is struggling just as badly for a win. Both these teams are vying
for the title of worst team in the NFL, along with San Diego and
Arizona, and its not 100% clear who deserves the title. Thomas
will try his best to remove the Bears from contention, and the
Saints are going to have a tough time stopping him. The Saints
did get Dale Carter back from injury but are still suffering through
various other injury losses. They haven't had much luck stopping
anyone from passing or rushing. Kordell Stewart could have a nice
game, or he could have his typical game. If the Bears hope to
win, it better be the game of his year thus far, and he better
come with something better than the old college option offense.
Marty Booker is a top-dog player and deserves more looks. Booker
and Thomas will give the Bears their best offensive options, and
both could take advantage of this Saints defense.
The Saints offense is total befuddling. Why can't they score???!!!
Deuce McAllister is a great RB, Joe Horn and Donte Stallworth
are great WR, and
. maybe Aaron Brooks is the weak link.
He's not a bad QB, but he seems to have trouble getting the ball
out to the receivers with constant success. He can throw for 350
yards, or he can throw for 110. Against the Bears, it's hard to
believe he won't throw for closer to 350. The Bears' D isn't bad,
but it isn't what it once was. Teams have figured how to remove
Urlacher from a role of prominence. He registered only 4 tackles
versus Green Bay! Guys like Warrick Holdman and Mike Brown need
to step in as big timers to help free up Urlacher. If a team is
allowed to double and triple him up, Urlacher is good but no one
is good enough to beat those odds. The Saints should follow the
same recipe and until someone picks up the slack it's going to
be the same story for this defense. This should be a running battle,
and the safe money should be on McAllister. Take the Saints in
a close one.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Deuce McAllister, Joe Horn (Questionable), Anthony
Thomas, John Carney
2nd String: Marty Booker (Questionable), Aaron Brooks, Donte Stallworth,
Desmond Clark
Prediction: Bears 17, Saints 20
Oakland (2-3) at Cleveland
(2-3), 1:00 PM
Oakland managed to join the group of teams "hoping"
to be named as worst in the NFL. They were just plain awful and
have been all year. Their wins are a big-time 3 point win over
perennial powerhouse Cincinnati, and another 3 point win over
San Diego, a team just as bad as they are and the Raiders had
to fight and claw from behind to get that one. They have officially
crossed the line from being a "veteran" team to being
an "old" team. Charlie Garner is the only real threat
offensively that has played with any kind of consistency. Rich
Gannon is a shadow of the player that just last year won the league
MVP. The offense desperately misses Jerry Porter: although Tim
Brown has shown some small flashes of his old self, the team is
void of a true deep threat or big play maker. Porter serves both
those roles well and, though he should be back before long (rumored
return is Week 7), it won't be in this game. Cleveland's defense
is playing well, and they are more than capable of taking it to
the Raiders. They don't allow very much passing at all (162 yards
a game on average, 2nd best in the NFL), but the Browns are somewhat
vulnerable versus the run, allowing an average of about 125 yards
rushing a game. Once again it appears the Raiders will have to
lean on Charlie Garner to do the offensive work.
On offense, the Browns seem ripe for a nice QB controversy: Tim
Couch has come off the bench in relief of injured Kelly Holcomb
and played well, especially last week at Pittsburgh in a crushing
defeat of the Steelers. If Couch can win this one, then we can
talk controversy. He'll have a good opportunity to take advantage
of the weak Oakland pass defense and make some plays. Quincy Morgan
has become his go-to guy and Morgan has played like a completely
different receiver under Couch. The real key to this game for
the Browns will be the running of Willie Green. Green finally
broke out the whoppin' stick last week versus Pittsburgh and broke
a 100+ yard game (not an easy task versus a good Pittsburgh defense).
He'll have an even better game this week: Oakland gives up rushing
yards like Oprah gives up on diets, early and often. Giving up
an average of 163 rush yards a game, the Raiders have been burned
by Anthony Thomas, LaDainian Tomlinson, Mike Anderson, and Corey
Dillon, and Willie Green would love to add his name to this list.
Look for Cleveland to give the ball to Green, play ball control
style of offense, and let the young LB's loose on Gannon and Garner.
Oakland is a team on the ropes and the Browns are just too good
right now for the Silver & Black.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Willie Green, Charlie Garner, Sebastian Janikowski
2nd String: Rich Gannon, Tim Couch, Cleveland Defense, Tim Brown,
Quincy Morgan, Andre Davis
Prediction: Raiders 17, Browns 25
Philadelphia (2-2) at
Dallas (3-1), 1:00 PM
The Eagles, somehow, managed another win last week despite all
the hard effort to blow it. With all the controversy surrounding
McNabb, many expected a much better performance. Say what you
will, but the fact of the matter is that McNabb is not a good
QB right now. He's just not: he's an inaccurate passer, he's unable
to make the big pass play, he is much more of a threat on his
feet than with his hands (and teams are playing him that way),
and if you don't agree I suggest you look at his stats. He has
racked up a huge total of one passing TD so far. One. WR Rod Smith
of the Denver Broncos has just as many passing TD's as McNabb.
Here's another clue: go through your fantasy league and count
how many of Philly's players are on starting lineups, or even
on rosters at all. It shouldn't take but the fingers on one hand.
James Thrash and Todd Pinkston are talented players, but they
aren't getting the ball with any frequency and neither has a TD.
The RB by committee hasn't scared anyone: as long as McNabb doesn't
run for big yards then the damage is minimal from the other runners
on this team. Even David Akers, considered by many as this year's
top kicker, hasn't produced much offense as the team has struggled
just to get into field goal position. This game has been highlighted
by the Cowboys since the preseason. This is a great chance for
the Boys, and Parcells, to solidify the numbers, to prove their
record isn't a fluke, and to gather a big win over a "solid"
opponent. If McNabb has struggled to throw thus far this season,
wait till he plays against Roy Williams. Williams is a total stud,
and he is capable of taking it to McNabb in so many ways: the
pass rush, the coverage, the interception threat. If Williams
can play at a fraction of the effort he submitted versus Arizona,
it will be a long day for Philly fans.
On offense, the Boys are rolling. The number one ranked offense
is led by none other than Quincy Carter, a player considered a
total failure and bust just last year. Parcells has turned this
team and the play of this QB into a force to be reckoned with:
they can throw, they can run, and they can do it all over the
field on any down in any situation. Carter's confidence is sky
high, his receivers are all turning into major players with every
pass, and it's not a fluke. Many of you are waiting for Carter
to fall, to take the plunge and go down the crapper. Many of you
are also waiting, in the same fashion, for McNabb to suddenly
turn into the world's greatest QB show. Neither is going to happen
soon: Carter is a great athlete and put the onus on Parcells when
it comes to the new found production. He's the greatest coach
in the game, bar none. He'll be prepared to attack every weakness
this Philly team has, and that list isn't too hard to fill out.
With the loss of Brian Dawkins, the Eagles' pass defense is non-existent
and troubled. Carter should find nice numbers again this week
as Philly gives up an average of 258 yards passing a game (2nd
worst in the NFL). He's on fire and the Eagles don't have the
players or game to put him out.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Quincy Carter, Dallas Defense, Billy Cundiff, David
Akers
2nd String: Donovan McNabb, Antonio Bryant, Joey Galloway, Terry
Glenn, Troy Hambrick
Prediction: Eagles 13, Cowboys 27
Tampa Bay (2-2) at Washington
(3-2), 1:00 PM
How many of you bet on football? I mean really bet, real money,
not Starbucks or any crap like that. You go to the websites like
BoDog or Intertops and check out the lines more than you blink
in an average day. Here is the bet of the week, and these guys
should have good odds for you on this one: how long will it take
the Bucs defense to decapitate Patrick Ramsey? Reason I like this
one is the fact the Bucs will likely be a tad miffed after choking
big time on MNF to the Colts. It was a horrible performance in
the second half for the entire defensive unit. They shouldn't
have been in that position and you better believe they are going
to BRING IT, all the frustration and anger, to the Skins game
this week. Ramsey is a good young QB, but he's nothing but an
oversized tackling target for the Bucs this week. The Skins offensive
line will not be up for this challenge. Ramsey will be on the
run, the RB's won't be too anxious to get the ball either, and
the Bucs should come out with blood on the mind. Just as a side
not, do you think the Tuesday film study with Coach Gruden was
fun? I bet it was just like a nice afternoon tea with Mary Poppins,
if Mary was yelling at the top of her lungs an endless stream
of profanities and spit at every human in sight.
One good thing the Bucs can point at is the amazing production
this offensive squad is getting. This is essentially the same
unit that struggled to score 35 points over the course of 3 games
last season, much less in one MNF game versus a good defense like
the Colts. Brad Johnson has found solid receiving in Keenan McCardell
(and Joe Jurevicius, when he returns from injury), Michael Pittman
has been running like never before, and the team as a whole has
been able to put up some nice numbers. This team is still run
by the defense, and some of those points that were put up versus
Indy were gathered by the defense (and that will happen versus
the Skins too, its inevitable), but this Skins defense is not
so good and the Bucs should be able to put up points again this
week. The Bucs will get back on track and back into the discussions
of who is the NFL's best team this week. Washington is a team
that is progressing, and getting better every week, but this week
will be a learning experience on that journey.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Tampa Bay Defense, John Hall
2nd String: Laveranues Coles, Brad Johnson, Keenan McCardell,
Michael Pittman
Prediction: Bucs 21, Redskins 10
Miami (3-1) at Jacksonville
(1-4), 1:00 PM
The Dolphins pulled of a football miracle last week: they managed
a solid victory over a good Giants team with very little contribution
from their best player, Ricky Williams, who had only 39 yards
on 22 carries. This is amazing: Ricky usually accounts for, well,
about 75% of the Fins offense on any given Sunday. It is not normal
for this team to win by the score of 23 - 10 without Ricky picking
up at least 130 yards and 2 TD's. Yet they did it, and they did
it with passing and defense. It's amazing and it will catch the
attention of every NFL coach out there. This team can do it without
Ricky. Even if you shut down Ricky, they can win. The Jags had
better pay attention, because they won't stop Ricky anyway and
they are not a team that wants to rely on passing defense to win.
They are not a good team. Against the run, they are not too bad,
but they are not good enough to keep Ricky from putting the hurt
to them. Against the pass, they are not good at all and Chris
Chambers, one of the hottest and most talented young receivers
in the NFL, will take full advantage. Look for Miami to mix it
up nicely with both rushing and passing, opening up the field
to an offensive attack that can go deep, can grind it out with
short runs, can go play action and eat up the field in 10 yard
passing increments, or can bust out the paddle with a nice long
yard TD run.
On offense, the Jags are improving. Freddie Taylor has been a
great back, when healthy, for some time now and has shown even
better production this year. He hasn't been stopped by too many
defensive players this year and has easily been the best player
on the Jags offense. Rookie QB Byron Leftwich has shown some skills
and ability, and though he's struggled with turnovers, he showed
last week that the return of Jimmy Smith could mean the world
for this team. Smith's effort last week was amazing, considering
he just returned from drug suspension and had not spent a large
amount of time with his new QB. These guys look like they could
do well, but don't go too far: it was against the Chargers, the
worst defensive squad in all of football. Miami's defense is finally
starting to gel and play to their talents. Jason Taylor is a stud
and if finally getting into the backfield, disrupting the passing
game, and keeping the QB's of the world scrambling. He'll be all
over Leftwich, as Byron is a straight pocket passer with little
to no inclination to scramble. The Miami D should do well as long
as they can cover and keep Fred Taylor respectable. Taylor has
shown he can run on just about anyone, but he's also shown that
won't result in to wins if he's the only one producing. Take the
Fins as the Jags will return to the loss column.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Ricky Williams, Miami Defense, Chris Chambers
2nd String: Fred Taylor, Jimmy Smith, Randy McMichael, Byron Leftwich
Prediction: Fins 24, Jags 14
Pittsburgh (2-3) at Denver
(4-1), 4:15 PM
The Steelers are team that has me totally baffled. They are loaded
with offensive talent yet they are unable to win. They have a
solid defense with many players worthy of big time plays, yet
they struggle to keep teams out of the end zone. It's hard to
figure it out, why are they 2 &3, why did they take such a
horrible loss to Cleveland at home, and what will it take to turn
this right. They have the best WR corps in the NFL: Burress and
Ward are studs and Randle El is working his way up that ladder
as well. Amos Zereoue and Jerome Bettis, though not often mentioned
in conversations about great RB's, are solid players and give
the Steelers a legitimate running threat wherever they go. Maybe
Maddox is the blame: 8 interceptions to 5 touchdowns never bring
praise. He's a good QB with a great arm and good range, but maybe
he shouldn't force so many passes. It would definitely help. What
won't help is playing one of the NFL's best teams: the Broncos
are rolling this season. The bright side for Pitt is this: the
Broncos pass defense is suspect at best, and though they don't
allow a lot of yards on average, they are more than capable of
giving up the big pass plays (that is how KC stayed with them)
and their cover guys just aren't that good. Look for Burress and
Ward to do their thing, but it may not be enough for this game.
Denver has got the offense working like a clock. Plummer has shown
he's the right man for this team: he's throwing all over the field,
using all the receivers, scrambling for big yards (many of you
forgot how fast this kid is!), and, most importantly, he's throwing
more TD's than picks. Clinton Portis is having a great sophomore
year thus far: he's battling some injuries, but has played well
in his time and can put up big number against tough defenses (like
KC). Portis will be the key to this one: it sounds like Plummer
may be laid up with injuries (his status is still uncertain at
print time, but he'll be on the IR at least as Questionable).
More importantly, the Steelers do not give up passing yards: only
150 a game on average. They can shut down a good passing game
and keep the Broncos respectable in the air. Their rush defense
is pretty good too, but not nearly as good as the pass protection
unit. Portis is capable of running on anyone, and he'll get plenty
of opportunities in this game. Give the edge to Denver and Portis
is this one. The Steelers' passing game should keep it close,
but the running of Portis and the playmaking ability of Trevor
Price should keep this game in Denver's favor.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Jake Plummer, Shannon Sharpe, Plaxico Burress, Clinton
Portis (Questionable), Ashley Lelie
2nd String: Hines Ward, Rod Smith, Tommy Maddox, Amos Zereoue,
Jason Elam
Prediction: Steelers 21, Broncos 26
Buffalo (3-2) at New
York Jets (0-4), 4:15 PM
What has happened to the Buffalo Bills? Remember Week 1, when
the Bills scored 31 and blanked the Patriots? Or how about in
Week 2 when they scored 38 on Jacksonville? Since then they've
won one measly game, and didn't win in a fashionable way. It did
finally click for Bledsoe late in that game: OH, wait, I have
Eric Moulds on the field. This team is still capable of big time
offense, it just hasn't put up those big numbers lately. Travis
Henry got back into the flow and his presence helps, but it is
Bledsoe and Moulds that butter Buffalo's bread. They need to get
that chemistry working as it did in weeks 1 & 2, when was
lighting it up and Bledsoe could throw the ball all over the field.
They could regain that magic again this weekend. The Jets are
just horrible: they are giving up 174 yards rushing a game (the
worst in the NFL) and though their passing numbers are better
they still don't cover well (only 2 INT's thus far). To their
credit, they are improving despite all the injuries and problems.
But if you allow team after team to run for over 150 yards a game,
it makes it so unbelievably tough to win. Henry will have his
go at 'em, and don't expect he won't get 'em. Moulds and Bledsoe
would like to take some cracks at them as well, and it's never
advisable to bet against Moulds.
The Jets offense is trying, really really trying, to get that
first elusive win. They played well versus Dallas before their
bye week and kept the game respectable. However, that's not good
enough. It sounds like Curtis Martin is coming to the realization
he may be hurting his teams chances. LaMont Jordan is a much more
capable back right now and should be given a shot at starting.
Whether or not that will happen remains to be seen: its being
reported that Coach Herm Edwards used the bye week to "shake
up" the lineup. A better rushing threat could only help.
It is known as fact that Santana Moss has been upgraded to starting
status over Curtis Conway, and his young legs and playmaking could
also provide a boost for the Jets. The fact is a boost, or a few
boost, may not be enough. This team needs Chad Pennington behind
center. Penny has started throwing drills this week, and though
he is still going to be rehabbing for some time, any news is good
news for this team. The Buffalo defense needs to play better.
They've struggled despite the truckloads of talent they possess.
The Jets' struggling offense gives them a good opportunity to
get back on track and get the confidence flowing again. The Jets
may make a game of this: maybe the bye week has helped the Jets
turn the corner, maybe they will return renewed for this game
and full of plays they haven't shown yet, and maybe the Jets will
look like a totally different team. Don't bet on it.
Last Second Note: Moulds injured his groin at the end of last
week's game. We will mark him as Doubtful and keep your eyes on
this story.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Travis Henry (Questionable), Eric Moulds (Questionable),
Drew Bledsoe
2nd String: Santana Moss, Bobby Shaw, LaMont Jordan, Vinny Testaverde
Prediction: Bills 23, Jets 10
Baltimore (2-2) at Arizona
(1-4), 4:15 PM
The Cardinals just can't figure it out. One week they are throwing
the ball over the field - Marcel Shipp - and the next week they
can't complete a pass. I just can't - Marcel Shipp - figure it
out! What can the Cards do - Marcel Shipp - to turn the corner
and become - Marcel Shipp - a weekly competitor? The running game
has been just - Marcel Shipp - awful. Emmitt hasn't been a real
- Marcel Shipp - threat and can't buy a big - Marcel Shipp - breakout
run. May be politically incorrect to say it, but the loss of Smith
to a broken shoulder blade may actually be the turn of events
that could allow the Cardinals to pull it together, at least offensively.
Did I mention that Marcel Shipp is the "backup" RB for
the Cardinals? Did I mention that maybe, just maybe, Shipp would
be a better RB for the Cardinals? Have I ever, during the course
of this review, hint that Shipp would be a better option for this
team? Well, if I did, I should also mention the Ravens' defense.
It's better than average, but not as good as many think. The Ravens
don't shut down the run like they use to, and they don't do so
hot against the pass either. They have gone from being a top-notch
defense to being a not-so-bad defense. Shipp could use this game
to showcase, but the chances are slim: he's seen little to no
playing time and to think he can come in after all this time and
pick up right where he left off last year is a stretch.
The Ravens' offense can be summed up in one word: Lewis. If not
for Jamal Lewis running for an average of almost 153 yards a game,
the Ravens would be in real trouble. Rookie QB Kyle Boller is
struggling through his freshman year, and it's not going well.
They did sign Dedric Ward this week to "help bolster the
passing game." I'm sure that this move, this very move, will
go down as one of the most historical moves in the history of
free agency in the NFL. Well, the sarcasm can stay down only so
long. Ward is a decent player at best, and to think this will
have any effect at all on this offense is just plain stupid. Travis
Taylor is a great WR with loads of potential; if Boller can't
do it with him, then it's safe to say he can't do it at all (at
least this year, let's give him time to grow into the NFL). This
game will be closer than you may think, and I'm going with Arizona.
In the Arizona heat, the Cardinals seem to prosper over teams
that are better (i.e. the Packers). They will throw the ball all
day long. The Arizona defense is actually performing very well
against the run: they've held Troy Hambrick to 59 yards and Ahman
Green to 53 yards. Now, I don't believe they will "shut down"
Jamal Lewis, but I also don't believe they have to. If they can
pass the ball with success (they can), if Shipp can come out and
give enough production to keep the Ravens' D honest (he can),
then this is not a team for Baltimore to get into a scoring sprint
with. I'm betting Lewis gets his numbers, but his numbers alone
won't carry this team to a win. Call me stupid, but this is my
upset o' the week!
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Jamal Lewis, Anquan Boldin, Todd Heap, Jeff Blake
2nd String: Bryant Johnson, Kyle Boller, Travis Taylor
Prediction: Ravens 20, Cards 24
San Francisco (2-3) at
Seattle (3-1), 8:30 PM
Wasn't it nice to Jeff Garcia and Terrell Owens come together
in a bond of brotherhood and play some football? It would make
me all warm and fuzzy inside, except I wasn't too impressed, once
again, with the 49ers or Jeff Garcia or, and especially, Terrell
Owens. The guy yells for two weeks straight about getting the
ball, and he did have a nice TD grab, but he also dropped a couple
of balls including a nice bomb that hit TO right in the hands
and would have gone for a TD. With that said, the 49ers' offense
is struggling to gain the production they are capable of. TO is
a good player, and he should get the ball whenever possible; however,
Garrison Hearst is also a good player, a solid RB for many years
that seems to have the secret of infinite youth. The guy continues
to amaze, yet the 49ers live and die with the pass. Seattle's
defense took a big step backwards last week versus Green Bay:
Brett Favre and Donald Driver lit up the Seattle defensive backfield.
Before this game, the Seattle defense had been amazingly effective.
Although they give up some decent passing yards, they have allowed
only 4 passing TD's (two of those were to Green Bay last week).
The rushing D hasn't been too shabby either: giving up about 107
yards a game (not terribly impressive) but only 4 rushing TD's
and not a single run over 20 yards allowed thus far. What the
Packers showed the rest of the NFL is that to beat Seattle, you
have to have a good defensive effort (we'll get to this in a second)
and a good balance of rushing and passing on offense. The 49ers
have the passing game, but the rushing is another story. They
have the talent to run, they just don't seem to have the confidence
to let 'em.
On offense, Seattle is packed with talent. Even in defeat, if
you watched the game with the Packers, the Hawks had no trouble
moving the ball. Seattle fans had to ask one question: WHY DIDN'T
THEY CONTINUE TO GIVE THE BALL TO SHAUN ALEXANDER? The Packers
had no answer for him, and I don't believe he had a single run
for negative yards. The passing game was rolling (Hasselback actually
had more yards than Favre & Koren Robinson was the leading
receiver for the game) and Alexander could do no wrong. So, one
could deduct that if the Seahawks can gain yards against the Packers,
then they should easily gain yards versus the 49ers (a HORRIBLE
defense). The problem is just scoring, or, more the point, turnovers.
If Hasselback can keep from throwing picks (San Fran can pick
a ball or two off, i.e. Ahmed Plummer), and Alexander can run
with some success (and he should), then Seattle should find themselves
back in the win column. Their defense needs to step it back up
to pre-Packer level. The offense needs to use a little run and
a little pass (unless Alexander can do it by himself, then maybe
a little more rushing than passing will do). The Seahawks need
a win, and this 49ers team hasn't given us any reason to believe
they can stop them.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Matt Hasselback, Shaun Alexander, Terrell Owens, Koren
Robinson
2nd String: Jeff Garcia, Darrell Jackson, Itulia Mili, Seattle
Defense, Garrison Hearst
Prediction: 49ers 16, Seahawks 31
Atlanta (1-4) at St.
Louis (2-2), Monday, 9:00 PM
The Rams return from their bye week for a nice MNF match up with
the Dirty Birds. Too bad this match up isn't quite what it was
meant to be: no Mike Vick and no Marshall Faulk. The Falcons are
hurt the worst. Doug Johnson finally broke out with a good game
last week in a loss to the Vikings (352 yards). He helped Peerless
Price put up his best numbers yet as well (168 yards). The two
should have hooked up much sooner, but this may be sign of things
at least getting better. The Falcons have not had trouble scoring
in the first half of games; it's the second half (and the amazing
lack of defense0 that has killed them thus far. The running game
has shown signs of life, mainly from big man TJ Duckett. Duckett
has put together a couple of nice games in a row. Can the Birds
keep it going into this game? Tough call: the Rams defense has
been pretty solid, allowing only 194 yards passing a game (see
Adam Archuletta) and 107 yards rushing a game (doesn't sound very
good, but it places them in the top 3rd of the NFL, and they've
given up only 3 rushing TD's ). Atlanta fans would like to think
their team can continue to improve, and this is definitely a possibility.
However, this progression is going to be heavily reliant on defense,
and the Rams are not a good team to throw at your defense right
now.
The Rams are playing much better under Marc Bulger. The kid is
not spectacular, but he has NFL arm strength and accuracy, he
has great leadership abilities, and he's been able to get it done.
He has definitely excelled versus soft defenses, such as Arizona
and San Francisco. You can put Atlanta right in the middle of
that group: they are not good. Twice this season I've watch the
Falcons build a nice first half lead just to turn around in the
second half and blow it (Minnesota last week and Washington in
Week 2). Nothing is more frustrating than giving up such big leads,
losing games late, and experiencing a total break down of your
defensive efforts. It is hard to see how the Birds will keep the
Rams at bay. Lamar Gordon is a great backup for the injured Marshall
Faulk and is more than capable of rushing against this Falcons
squad (by the way, Atlanta give up about 153 yards rushing a game,
4th worst in the NFL). Bulger has built up a great chemistry with
Torry Holt, and they should find some nice holes in this defense
(by the way, Atlanta give up about 230 passing yards a game, 10th
worst in the NFL). This game is as simple as this: the Rams' offense
is too much for the Falcons' defense.
Key Fantasy Players
1st String: Torry Holt, Lamar Gordon, Marc Bulger
2nd String: Alge Crumpler, St. Louis Defense, Peerless Price (Questionable),
Isaac Bruce, Jeff Wilkens
Prediction: Dirty Birds 14, Rams 30
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