I received a number of e-mails regarding my ":rolleyes:"
piece from August 8th. My point(s) were caught by most, but evidently
lost on not a few, including the erudite (loosely used) author of
the following e-mail I received. Here it is in its entirety for
all to enjoy and so that there are no misunderstandings (:rolleyes:)
when you are presented with my retort which follows:
"Kind of weak on the Holmes-Richardson and Wheatley-Garner
fronts there.
After all, didn't Holmes carry the ball only 15 times in the
first two games combined? Or, the same number of carries Richardson
had? If Priest was brought in to be "the guy" like you
say, and if we all should have known that ahead of time, how come
they didn't use him more in the first two weeks? Those games weren't
exactly blowouts where the Chiefs had to keep passing. Now of
course we all know that, against a very weak Washington team,
Holmes went off and ran off with his coaches' new confidence in
him. But cherry-picking after the fact is weak, since it's clear
that the RB situation there had not been resolved heading into
the year.
The Wheatley paragraph is even worse. Wheatley was the central
cog in a running game that led the league in rushing the year
before. It's perfectly reasonable to think that Garner was brought
in to fill the role vacated by Napoleon Kaufman -- change-of-pace
back. That Garner wound up as the featured back was the product
merely of Wheatley's nagging injuries and bad attitude -- neither
of which had provided pronounced warning signals since he joined
the Silver and Black.
Wheatley, in fact, carried the ball 29 times the first two weeks,
to Garner's 19. In fact, the third week, even when Wheatley only
had 8 carries, Garner still only had 7. It wasn't until the Colts
game, when Wheatley had a costly fumble and failed to pick up
a blitzer, when Garner finally, in Week 5, started to wrest the
job away.
And yet you'd have us believe that Garner was brought in to be
the featured back, and that Wheatley wasn't serious competition
for that role?
What's next? You going to tell us that we were fools for thinking
Ricky
Watters could hold off Shaun Alexander? Or idiots for not realizing
beforehand the rising star that is Dom Rhodes?
I agree with you that Levens (perpetually injured) should not
have been viewed as a threat to Ahman Green. But your reasoning
on Biakabutuka/Huntley is waaaay off, again.
Huntley had been touted the year before as the heir apparent
to Jerome Bettis. He was released as a salary cap move when Bettis
turned out to be better than expected (and the big money they'd
spent on Huntley now looked foolish for a backup RB). He was not
signed to back up Tshimanga, or to push him. He was signed to
legitimately compete for the starting job, but hamstring injuries
prevented him from doing so (though predictably, Tshimanga also
got hurt, which is why some dude named Nick Goings led the team
in rushing Week 1.)"
-Dave M.
This message contains a substantial amount of tendentiousness,
i.e., Garner's impact as a receiver out of the backfield and those
touches went tendentiously unmentioned. Anyway, without further
ado
Lllllllllllet's get rrrrrrready to rrrrrrumblllllllllle
(Now read this carefully now, skepniks and skeptricks!)
Regarding Holmes versus Richardson last year, without doubt Richardson's
Week-3 injury hastened the process of Holmes's emergence, but
the quintessential word there is "hasten." Any kind
of understanding of a Vermeil-Saunders offense illuminates Richardson's
being a "misfit." Richardson in K.C. 2001 reminded me
of Holcombe's incumbency when Vermeil first arrived in St. Louis.
Actually, as big backs, Richardson and Holcombe remind me of each
other, period. Holcombe is a back who actually has some skills,
though they have yet to be realized in the NFL, and could or would
be quite effective if in a system suitable to his style of play.
In Vermeil's system, though, he made a better fullback than tailback.
The same should have been readily seen for Richardson and in that
it would have to be known that Richardson's days as a tailback
were numbered. An injury and for sure the process would be hastened,
never to be (intentionally) reversed, which is what happened.
Listen, I am not claiming, as many have (mis)interpreted, that
I can read a coach's mind or be able to empirically deduce all
conclusions and outcomes. I do not only "not claim"
that, but that is not even what I want to do. It does not have
to be that complicated or abstruse. The "art" that I
am espousing more involves assessing systems, learning from history,
seeing the patterns over the years and not being afraid to put
to use some good ole' intuition. It is about seeing and observing
general trends and patterns and then "feeling it" (the
"no mind" of Taoism if you will) rather than analyzing
with a fine-tooth comb and "figuring it out" or "cracking
the code," an "it" and "code" which do
not even exist. The prediction that I made for this year that
best exemplifies this is Pittman 2002 equaling Wheatley 2000 and
Alstott 2002 equating to Crockett 2000. The situations, if simply
and objectively viewed for what they are, with Gruden's being
the head coach in both, make them extremely similar. Just avoid
over-thinking it!
I did not go out on a limb last year on Shaun Alexander over
Ricky Watters, and as for Dominic Rhodes's success after Edgerrin
James's season-ending injury, well, that was unforeseeable during
the preseason, and during the NFL draft for that matter. For the
millionth time, injuries cannot be predicted with any level of
certainty and, as such, I, for one, do not even try to do so.
I also did not see Watters slowing down. Based on that and Watters's
contract, I thought Alexander, though he would likely see more
touches in 2001, would be handed the reigns in 2002. That having
been said, Alexander was a more than capable backup who, with
a year down, was very ready to take over. Again, injuries themselves
cannot be anticipated, but what happens when one occurs often,
no usually, can! It is akin to anticipation in chess, where the
more moves a player can think through/anticipate beforehand, the
better the player. The same stands among fantasy footballers.
I have gone out of my way this year to endorse Kevan Barlow over
Garrison Hearst. Basically, vis-à-vis the Alexander/Watters
sitch in 2001, I observed a very similar set of circumstances.
The factor that put it over the top for me is that I also perceived
a little "Lamar Smith 2001" in "Hearst 2002."
With regards to "slip-ups" like those Wheatley made
last offseason and preseason, bottom line, you can analyze and
debate them to death or you can take them for exactly what they
are and anticipate and act. Even the word "slip up"
in this context is passive in nature. I never saw Wheatley 2001
as "slipping up" (and able to recover). I saw him as
simply "slipping," which, think it through, logically
precludes the consideration of recovering or not or at least does
not conduce that line of thinking the way Dave's choice of wording
does. Right or wrong, predicated on one's ability to see/insight,
the latter is a philosophically "active" statement,
causing you to think more actively rather than a passive statement,
conducing you to probably avoid "making a call" altogether.
If he started "coming back," then that is what I would
have seen at that time and I would have changed my position accordingly.
He never did and, thus, I never did or had to either! Point being,
do not over-think it
moreover, to the point of indecision!
Do not let your brain belie your eyes. "I know that he sucks
or I see him 'slipping up,' so I am going to assert that he is
going to make a comeback, or at least make my decision based on
my indecision." :rolleyes: and :confused: Would you wager
a significant amount of money on a horse well past its prime and
coming off of a string of bad races in a Stakes race? I know I
would not (then again I am not a gambling man ;) ) - (and no that
is not a double-chin) [smiley=rollinwithlaughter.gif] ("the
Gridiron" way). Just let yourself see what you see without
letting your mind get in the way (the "no mind" of Tao).
Doing it the way our respondent suggests/does may make you look
like a rational guy in debates, but a loser on the fantasy football
gridiron.
:: comments to steve
stegeman
|