This is a 12-team, serpentine draft with
16 rounds to field a 1 QB/ 2 RB/ 3 WR/ 1 TE/ 1 K/ 1 DEF line up.
The Scoring
System is standard.
While these may be the “dog days” of the summer, for
the fantasy football owner with delusions of grandeur, this is the
time when the best GMs are already knee-deep in preparation, well
on their way to chase down yet another fantasy league title.
Last week, several of the great fantasy football minds at FF
Today got together one evening and put together another solid
mock draft, one in which we hope will not only encourage debate
on the FF Today Board, but will also give our readers a realistic
view of how some of the knowledgeable writers from this site believe
the draft should shake down.
What follows is just one man’s opinion and overview. I
encourage every reader to take some time to browse the Q&A
section that supplements this piece in which every owner details
their strategy, best and worst picks, and so on. In a 12-team
league draft, it’s quite likely there are 10-12 different
drafting philosophies at work, so it certainly can’t hurt
to take them all into account when it is time to step into the
draft room yourself.
1st Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
1.01 |
1 |
RB |
LaDainian Tomlinson |
SD |
Fatboys |
1.02 |
2 |
RB |
Joseph Addai |
IND |
Coxsackie Virus |
1.03 |
3 |
RB |
Adrian Peterson |
MIN |
Wildman |
1.04 |
4 |
RB |
Brian Westbrook |
PHI |
Dookie |
1.05 |
5 |
QB |
Tom Brady |
NE |
Gwave |
1.06 |
6 |
RB |
Steven Jackson |
STL |
Rookies |
1.07 |
7 |
WR |
Randy Moss |
NE |
The Prototype |
1.08 |
8 |
RB |
Frank Gore |
SF |
Dr. Mocktopus |
1.09 |
9 |
RB |
Marion Barber |
DAL |
Kilroy |
1.10 |
10 |
RB |
Marshawn Lynch |
BUF |
Compiler Guy |
1.11 |
11 |
RB |
Ryan Grant |
GB |
Dallas Dynasty |
1.12 |
12 |
WR |
Terrell Owens |
DAL |
Team Marx |
|
Summary: There is very little to
quibble about here. We added two teams since our last
draft, so this time around, we introduce Lynch, Gore and Owens
to the first round but say goodbye to Larry Johnson. Otherwise,
slight fluctuation from the first round in June’s mock means
that heading into August, the folks here at FF Today are feeling
pretty good about who belongs in the first round. If I may the
devil's advocate for a second, I would have liked to seen Addai
and Jackson switch places in the first round. But once again,
not much to argue with here.
Best Value: Steven
Jackson. I have him rated #2 overall behind LT, so just as
I was in June's mock, I'm once again pretty high on him. The Rams
sent out a different starting offensive line almost every game
and Jackson missed four games but still turned a productive, albeit
slightly disappointing fantasy season for where he was drafted.
That said, the probability is that, this season, all parties will
stay healthier, meaning Rookies may have landed next season's
overall #1 pick if things go right in St. Louis.
Biggest Reach: Joseph
Addai. Value is relative in the first round because, quite
honestly, in a draftroom full of knowledgeable drafters, no one
is going to make that big of a goof. With that in mind, however,
I don't like Addai to maintain his consistent ways from 2007 with
Dominic Rhodes back in the fold. Will he be up-and-down as he
was in 2006? No. Will he repeat last season? I doubt it. The case
can be made to take Addai at #5 or #6, but #2 is a bit high for
my tastes.
2nd Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
2.01 |
13 |
WR |
Reggie Wayne |
IND |
Team Marx |
2.02 |
14 |
RB |
Clinton Portis |
WAS |
Dallas Dynasty |
2.03 |
15 |
WR |
Larry Fitzgerald |
ARI |
Compiler Guy |
2.04 |
16 |
RB |
Maurice Jones-Drew |
JAX |
Kilroy |
2.05 |
17 |
RB |
Willis McGahee |
BAL |
Dr. Mocktopus |
2.06 |
18 |
RB |
Larry Johnson |
KC |
The Prototype |
2.07 |
19 |
WR |
Andre Johnson |
HOU |
Rookies |
2.08 |
20 |
WR |
Braylon Edwards |
CLE |
Gwave |
2.09 |
21 |
WR |
Marques Colston |
NO |
Dookie |
2.10 |
22 |
WR |
T.J Houshmandzadeh |
CIN |
Wildman |
2.11 |
23 |
QB |
Tony Romo |
DAL |
Coxsackie Virus |
2.12 |
24 |
QB |
Peyton Manning |
IND |
Fatboys |
|
Summary: Wayne is a solid second-round pick this season, but
with a healthy Marvin Harrison likely returning to the fold, I
don't like him being a top-tier WR so much as a tier-two wideout.
(In other words, I would prefer the top end of that second group
- such as Andre Johnson or Braylon Edwards - over him.) The selection
of Portis for Dynasty has to tear at him a little for obvious
reasons, but a solid pick nonetheless. Jones-Drew over Johnson
is an interesting call by Kilroy, one that looks brilliant if
Fred Taylor succumbs to Father Time and not-so-smart if the Chiefs
line even performs anywhere close to average. After my selection
of LJ, we see receivers go with seven of the next nine picks,
something many drafters reading this article should expect in
their drafts. I believe it is getting more and more important
to select a cornerstone WR in the first two rounds, otherwise,
the chances of landing Anquan Boldin, Plaxico Burress or Brandon
Marshall as a #1 fantasy WR go way up, and I'm not sure as an
owner I'm all that comfortable with that notion with that trio.
While those three are still at the top end of WRs, they are not
elite fantasy options, if for no other reason, due to their propensity
for injury. As a side note, a great start for Fatboys, who could
not have expected to land LT and Manning in the first two rounds.
Best Value: Peyton Manning. He was the best value in the first
draft and I believe he is again in this one as well. If his knee
surgery were a major one and would have come during training camp,
I would not feel this way. However, Manning, more than anyone
else on the board, produces year after year. I know I considered
him at my pick even though I had yet to take a RB, so he represents
incredible value here.
Biggest Reach: Maurice
Jones-Drew. One of these years, MJD will either steal the
starting job from Taylor or will take advantage of an injury to
his mentor. That said, I think the #16 overall pick is a bit too
high to be taking a chance on a player who may or may not see
any more action than he did last season. As I said in the summary,
this pick looks great if Taylor slips or is injured, but no-so-good
if Taylor squeezes one more Pro-Bowl-worthy year out of himself.
3rd Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
3.01 |
25 |
WR |
Steve Smith |
CAR |
Fatboys |
3.02 |
26 |
WR |
Chad Johnson |
CIN |
Coxsackie Virus |
3.03 |
27 |
WR |
Torry Holt |
STL |
Wildman |
3.04 |
28 |
RB |
Jamal Lewis |
CLE |
Dookie |
3.05 |
29 |
RB |
Laurence Maroney |
NE |
Gwave |
3.06 |
30 |
QB |
Drew Brees |
NO |
Rookies |
3.07 |
31 |
WR |
Plaxico Burress |
NYG |
The Prototype |
3.08 |
32 |
WR |
Anquan Boldin |
ARI |
Dr. Mocktopus |
3.09 |
33 |
WR |
Brandon Marshall |
DEN |
Kilroy |
3.10 |
34 |
RB |
Earnest Graham |
TB |
Compiler Guy |
3.11 |
35 |
WR |
Wes Welker |
NE |
Dallas Dynasty |
3.12 |
36 |
RB |
Brandon Jacobs |
NYG |
Team Marx |
|
Summary: Fatboys takes a page out of my book when I draft from
the top spot, that is, taking a possible #1 overall player (or
at least top five) from as many of the "important" positions
as possible (i.e. QB, RB, WR). The top of the round continues
the run on low-end #1 WRs that began at the end of round 2. When
Marshall came off the board, it ended a stretch that saw nine
receivers fly off the board in a matter of 15 picks. I've come
around a bit on Lewis and Maroney since the last mock and fully
defend their selections in the middle of the third, although there
is still reason to doubt both RBs. Burress was a nice surprise
at my pick in this round, even though I used the entire 90-second
clock alternating between him and Jacobs. In the end though, he
should be a solid #2 WR who certainly has the potential produce
like a #1 fantasy wideout. Boldin and Marshall end the aforementioned
run on receivers and are solid in the roles they will be used
for with Dr. Mocktopus and Kilroy, that is, as a #1 WR on a team
that already has two solid threats at RB. In my estimation, Graham
is a slight reach here with other RBs on the board who don't have
a Warrick Dunn to share 25-30% of their touches with in Tampa.
Team Marx has to be happy to land a solid producer like Jacobs
after going WR-WR with his first two picks. That said, Jacobs
presents an injury risk and may end up sharing more touches with
Ahmad Bradshaw than expected.
Best Value: Brandon Jacobs. While I already touched on the reasons
on why an owner may want to hold off a bit on him, the Giants'
lead back will score and runs behind one of the best run-blocking
lines in the league. Considering he went five picks after I was
considering him with my pick and considering how much Team Marx
needed a decent back, I think the value of this pick is the best
this round has to offer. Furthermore, Jacobs is playing for a
new contract this season.
Biggest Reach: Earnest
Graham. While I already touched on why I would avoid Graham
in the third round, I'll go a little deeper here. While he appears
to have much in common with Jacobs, HC Jon Gruden is said to love
Dunn, and it is a reasonable assumption to make that Dunn will
steal a lot of Graham's receptions and also take some of his between-the-20s
carries as well. Furthermore, Graham just got his deal done in
the offseason, and while it may provide him some assurance he
will be with the Bucs for a while, it was hardly the type of contract
that feature backs "settle" for nowadays.
4th Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
4.01 |
37 |
TE |
Antonio Gates |
SD |
Team Marx |
4.02 |
38 |
TE |
Jason Witten |
DAL |
Dallas Dynasty |
4.03 |
39 |
RB |
Edgerrin James |
ARI |
Compiler Guy |
4.04 |
40 |
WR |
Dwayne Bowe |
KC |
Kilroy |
4.05 |
41 |
WR |
Greg Jennings |
GB |
Dr. Mocktopus |
4.06 |
42 |
RB |
Michael Turner |
ATL |
The Prototype |
4.07 |
43 |
WR |
Santonio Holmes |
PIT |
Rookies |
4.08 |
44 |
RB |
Willie Parker |
PIT |
Gwave |
4.09 |
45 |
RB |
Ronnie Brown |
MIA |
Dookie |
4.10 |
46 |
RB |
Reggie Bush |
NO |
Wildman |
4.11 |
47 |
RB |
Matt Forte |
CHI |
Coxsackie Virus |
4.12 |
48 |
WR |
Roy Williams |
DET |
Fatboys |
|
Summary: Round 4 brings about the first bit of intrigue in this
draft, especially Team Marx, who opted to go with a rehabbing
Gates over Witten and did so knowing he would miss out on the
next wave of RBs even though he had only one to this point. While
the top of the fourth is a bit too pricey for Witten in my opinion,
I can certainly understand why an owner would want to go in that
direction. James was another slight reach in my opinion, as I
tend to believe another RB on the roster will steal his red-zone
carries (Tim Hightower) and because he isn't used near as much
in the passing game as he was as a Colt, his rushing totals will
provide most of his fantasy numbers. I don't see Turner turning
water into wine in Atlanta, but I do think he is one of the few
backs that has the ability to make a line look a bit better than
it is as he possesses a great combination of decisiveness, power
and speed, qualities that will serve him well as the Falcons rebuild.
I can't envision a scenario quite yet in which I want to count
on Brown this season. I don't remember too many backs that were
fantasy-relevant following ACL surgery, making me very iffy on
his prospects in 2008. Bush is once again a solid pick (more on
that below) while Forte may be a bargain pick in drafts in which
he falls into the fifth round because of owners who will fear
the worst with the signing of Kevin Jones.
Best Value: Reggie Bush. Perhaps I'm the only one still wondering
how Bush fell so fast from last year to this year. His role hasn't
changed and his supporting cast will be going into their third
year together. For a back that is similar in production to Jones-Drew,
I'm at a loss to explain how he can fall a full two rounds behind
him, which is why Bush is a value pick in this draft, just as
he was in the June mock.
Biggest Reach: Edgerrin
James. I understand this pick, but I tend to believe James
could have been had a bit later and given the way that RBs somehow
weren't flying off the board in this draft, he could have waited
on him (more than likely) and got a similar back in the next round
(which he did).
5th Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
5.01 |
49 |
TE |
Kellen Winslow |
CLE |
Fatboys |
5.02 |
50 |
WR |
Lee Evans |
BUF |
Coxsackie Virus |
5.03 |
51 |
QB |
Ben Roethlisberger |
PIT |
Wildman |
5.04 |
52 |
WR |
Roddy White |
ATL |
Dookie |
5.05 |
53 |
RB |
LenDale White |
TEN |
Gwave |
5.06 |
54 |
RB |
Darren McFadden |
OAK |
Rookies |
5.07 |
55 |
QB |
Carson Palmer |
CIN |
The Prototype |
5.08 |
56 |
WR |
Calvin Johnson |
DET |
Dr. Mocktopus |
5.09 |
57 |
WR |
Chris Chambers |
SD |
Kilroy |
5.10 |
58 |
RB |
Thomas Jones |
NYJ |
Compiler Guy |
5.11 |
59 |
WR |
Kevin Curtis |
PHI |
Dallas Dynasty |
5.12 |
60 |
RB |
Rudi Johnson |
CIN |
Team Marx |
|
Summary: Fatboys just continues landing top-tier talent to fill
out his solid squad, highlighted by the selection of Winslow.
Evans is a tough sell for me as anything more than a #3 WR as
he is too hit-or-miss. While his schedule doesn't line up to be
as tough as it was in 2007, I have yet to see anything to convince
me he is much more than a deep threat. I thought Big Ben going
ahead of Palmer was a bit odd, but considering last year's results,
it is certainly understandable. White is similar to Evans in a
lot of ways (see below) and not someone I want on my team before
the sixth round. McFadden will continue to be a hot-button topic
until we actually discover his role, but a mid-fifth round grade
is about right at this point. I believe there is a ton of value
at the back end of this round, as Palmer will continue to be a
top 5 QB candidate as long as he has Chad Johnson and Houshmandzadeh
to throw to in Cincy. People have soured a bit on Calvin Johnson
because of his back injury and the departure of OC Mike Martz,
but he may assume the title of #1 WR in Detroit as early as this
season, if healthy. I'm very high on Jones' prospects this season
and it is more than just the arrival of G Alan Fanaca. He is also
getting FB Tony Richardson, a player that has helped Priest Holmes,
Larry Johnson and Adrian Peterson in recent years become very
fantasy relevant. People have also soured on Rudi Johnson, saying
that his "wheels are falling off". Don't buy it. Anyone
that has suffered a serious hamstring injury knows the recovery
timetable is far from a sure thing with that kind of injury. Mix
in a banged-up offensive line and you have a recipe for a down
season. Rudi has never been an explosive back, but to use an analogy,
it doesn't matter how much horsepower a truck has if one of the
tires is flat.
Best Values: Rudi
Johnson, Thomas
Jones and Carson
Palmer. Much like Bush last round, people are devaluing Johnson
to the point where he is getting to be a bargain. I was actually
quite pleased with the way he looked before his hamstring injury.
But he never recovered fully and when he did play, he did behind
a line that never got a chance to develop because of injury. However,
HC Marvin Lewis wants to re-establish the power-running game,
something only one RB on the Bengals' roster can do. There is
simply no reason Jones should fail this season. As mentioned above,
Fanaca, Richardson has me thinking career-high numbers across
the board for TJ. I passed on Johnson to get Palmer, meaning I
think Palmer will rebound from a slightly disappointing campaign
in a big way. The addition of TE Ben Utecht and return of RB Chris
Perry will go a long way in making that happen.
Biggest Reach:: Roddy
White. If memory serves, Lee Evans' fantasy value didn't exactly
skyrocket when new Falcons OC Mike Mularkey was running the offense
during his stint as head coach in Buffalo. White is a similar
receiver and while his game has vastly improved, he will be playing
in a conservative offense and behind an offensive line that will
be hard-pressed to give likely starter Matt Ryan enough time to
go deep, which is what White does best. Furthermore, a rookie
QB rarely ever enhances the value of a receiver, just another
reason I would opt against White as anything more than a #3 WR.
6th Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
6.01 |
61 |
RB |
Jonathan Stewart |
CAR |
Team Marx |
6.02 |
62 |
QB |
Donovan McNabb |
PHI |
Dallas Dynasty |
6.03 |
63 |
QB |
Derek Anderson |
CLE |
Compiler Guy |
6.04 |
64 |
TE |
Tony Gonzalez |
KC |
Kilroy |
6.05 |
65 |
RB |
Julius Jones |
SEA |
Dr. Mocktopus |
6.06 |
66 |
TE |
Chris Cooley |
WAS |
The Prototype |
6.07 |
67 |
RB |
Selvin Young |
DEN |
Rookies |
6.08 |
68 |
WR |
Marvin Harrison |
IND |
Gwave |
6.09 |
69 |
QB |
Matt Hasselbeck |
SEA |
Dookie |
6.10 |
70 |
WR |
Donald Driver |
GB |
Wildman |
6.11 |
71 |
TE |
Dallas Clark |
IND |
Coxsackie Virus |
6.12 |
72 |
WR |
Hines Ward |
PIT |
Fatboys |
|
Summary: In continuing my fascination with the corner drafters,
Team Marx landing Stewart had to be a welcome surprise. He is
a player that should, at the very least, start off as a strong
#3 RB before assuming the majority of the workload later in the
season. McNabb going ahead of Anderson can be questioned, but
really comes down to more of a personal preference than anything.
Do you want an injury-prone QB or a signal-caller that may be
a one-year wonder? Assuming good health though, both should produce,
making the whole discussion moot. Gonzalez just keeps on rolling
and the only reason to expect a slowdown is if there is absolutely
no growth in QB Brodie Croyle's game. As it was on a sad Chiefs'
team last season, this TE still hauled in 99 balls and went over
1,000 yards yet again. I'm not ready to count on Julius Jones
quite yet, but I think he is a solid breakout candidate and a
good pick as a #3 RB, exactly where Dr. Mocktopus landed him.
I'll detail why I'm not high on Young's prospects below, but the
close of this round is strong with Harrison likely healthy, Hasselbeck
and Ward being very consistent, Driver likely in line to see an
increase in TDs and Clark figuring to be a viable scoring threat
again.
Best Value: Jonathan
Stewart and Derek
Anderson. One has to think that when Stewart was drafted,
HC John Fox immediately had visions of Stephen Davis' downhill-running
style dancing in his head. While I'm not going to say Stewart
is that powerful quite yet, he could get there. At the very least,
Stewart should handle most of the inside and red-zone running
for the Panthers in what should be a much better offense in 2008
assuming it can stay healthier than it did last season. By the
end of the season, Stewart should be performing as a top-end #2
fantasy RB, if not a #1. Despite fears of being a one-year wonder,
Anderson has too many Pro Bowl-caliber weapons around him to fail.
Sure, there is always a chance of injury or calls for Brady Quinn
to take his place if Anderson puts together a string of bad games,
but Kellen Winslow and Braylon Edwards (and to a much lesser degree,
Donte Stallworth) should ensure Anderson turns in at least a repeat
of 2007.
Biggest Reach: Selvin
Young. I think I held on to the belief one year longer (or
more, depending on how many times an owner has been burnt by Bronco
RBs) than most people did with Denver rushers. Anymore, I only
want to hear one name in regards to Mile High RBs: Terrell Davis.
HC Mike Shanahan has had doubts since acquiring Young regarding
his ability to be the workhorse, leading me to believe the RB
that several have already touted as "Davis-like" (Ryan Torain),
is the only Denver rusher I want...late in the draft.
7th Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
7.01 |
73 |
RB |
Kevin Smith |
DET |
Fatboys |
7.02 |
74 |
WR |
Derrick Mason |
BAL |
Coxsackie Virus |
7.03 |
75 |
RB |
Rashard Mendenhall |
PIT |
Wildman |
7.04 |
76 |
RB |
Chester Taylor |
MIN |
Dookie |
7.05 |
77 |
TE |
Jeremy Shockey |
NYG |
Gwave |
7.06 |
78 |
WR |
Jerricho Cotchery |
NYJ |
Rookies |
7.07 |
79 |
RB |
Fred Taylor |
JAX |
The Prototype |
7.08 |
80 |
QB |
Eli Manning |
NYG |
Dr. Mocktopus |
7.09 |
81 |
RB |
Felix Jones |
DAL |
Kilroy |
7.10 |
82 |
WR |
Joey Galloway |
TB |
Compiler Guy |
7.11 |
83 |
WR |
Anthony Gonzalez |
IND |
Dallas Dynasty |
7.12 |
84 |
QB |
Jay Cutler |
DEN |
Team Marx |
|
Summary: It is difficult to find much fault with Round 7. Smith
is a back that should have little trouble overtaking Tatum Bell
and could very easily challenge for Rookie of the Year honors
in Detroit's new run-heavy offensive philosophy. I don't seem
to be as high as some on Mendenhall's fantasy prospects this season
(Willie Parker and a declining o-line are to blame), but there
is also reason to believe he could push 10 TDs if things work
out right in Pittsburgh. I felt Taylor and Shockey were slight
reaches, but I love the selection of Cotchery as a #3 WR. Last
season made me a believer (for one more season anyway) in Taylor
as a #3 RB. I would hate count on the younger Manning brother
to be my #1 fantasy QB, but if he can make the type of decisions
he was making in the playoffs last season, he will be just fine
in that role. Jones was a value pick late in this round, but drafters
may want to note that the handcuff to Barber may very well end
up being fellow rookie Tashard Choice, not Jones. Either way,
Kilroy has both Cowboys RBs and should be guaranteed a nice number
of points from that offense. I'll end by talking up Cutler, who
is one of the few players still left at his position I would feel
halfway comfortable with as my #1 QB in 2008. With his diabetes
now being addressed, the chances that he will remain strong in
second half are very good. Even though he reportedly lost 35 pounds
during last season, Cutler's numbers did not suffer all that much.
With a solid WR corps behind him now, he's a player to roll the
dice on in 2008.
Best Value: Kevin Smith. Given the chance last season, I saw enough
from the Lions' offensive line to make me believe that if they
ever become a run-oriented team, they could fare pretty well at
it. Insert Smith, who certainly has some Marcus Allen qualities
to him, and I believe that Fatboys landed a potential #2 fantasy
back in the seventh round. A note to all Smith owners, however,
his second half schedule does him absolutely no favors, so be
sure to eye him as nothing more than a #3 RB this season.
Biggest Reach: Jeremy
Shockey. I don't need to go chapter-and-verse on this one.
Shockey is a likely holdout and his playing status (as in which
team he will play for) is about as cloudy as any player available
in the fantasy draft pool. With TEs like Heath Miller, Vernon
Davis and Todd Heap still around, I thought this selection was
a bit hasty.
8th Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
8.01 |
85 |
WR |
Santana Moss |
WAS |
Team Marx |
8.02 |
86 |
RB |
Justin Fargas |
OAK |
Dallas Dynasty |
8.03 |
87 |
WR |
Bobby Engram |
SEA |
Compiler Guy |
8.04 |
88 |
RB |
DeAngelo Williams |
CAR |
Kilroy |
8.05 |
89 |
WR |
Vincent Jackson |
SD |
Dr. Mocktopus |
8.06 |
90 |
WR |
Laveranues Coles |
NYJ |
The Prototype |
8.07 |
91 |
WR |
Nate Burleson |
SEA |
Rookies |
8.08 |
92 |
WR |
Deion Branch |
SEA |
Gwave |
8.09 |
93 |
TE |
Heath Miller |
PIT |
Dookie |
8.10 |
94 |
WR |
Bernard Berrian |
MIN |
Wildman |
8.11 |
95 |
WR |
Sidney Rice |
MIN |
Coxsackie Virus |
8.12 |
96 |
WR |
Donte Stallworth |
CLE |
Fatboys |
|
Summary: I'm sure Team Marx isn't any more thrilled with Moss
as his #3 WR than I was with him as my #4 WR in the June mock.
Regardless, Marx needs only minimal production from his #3 WR
spot with Terrell Owens and Reggie Wayne as his first two players
at the position. Fargas is a nice catch this late considering
he will likely see at least 250 touches, if he can stay healthy.
Engram may not approach his totals from last season if the Seahawks
WR corps can stay healthier. That said, he makes for a nice low-end
#3 WR option in 12-team leagues. I like Williams to contribute
earlier in the season as Jonathan Stewart gets his feet wet, but
it will probably only be a matter of time until the rookie takes
the job on a more full-time basis. With the exception of Miller,
this round closes out with seven straight WRs. (I'll chalk up
the drafting of WR teammates back-to-back twice in this round
as coincidence (Burleson-Branch followed closely by Berrian-Rice),
but the pair I would like to focus on is Jackson and Coles. Jackson
has the size and the talent to be a weekly fantasy option, and
perhaps Gates' toe injury is just what he needs to make himself
become a regular contributor in the passing game. As for Coles,
he is just a year removed from a career-high 91-catch season,
the fourth time in five seasons he had hauled in at least 82 passes.
Until further notice, he is still at least right there with Jerricho
Cotchery as the top receiving option in New York.
Best Value: Bobby
Engram and Laveranues
Coles. Engram put together a wonderful campaign in 2007, recording
the quietest 94-catch season in recent memory. He is Matt Hasselbeck's
most trusted option and figures the same flanker spot that he
did last season when Branch was injured. At worst, Branch blows
my mind with a speedy recovery and moves Engram back to the slot,
where he has been productive for some time. Injuries and the Jets'
offensive ineptitude derailed Coles last season, but he is just
a year removed from a career-high 91-catch season. With better
play all throughout the Jets' offense, Coles may very well creep
into the area of a solid #2 WR once again.
Biggest Reach: Deion
Branch. I didn't like him in June's draft and I still don't
like him now, with my biggest beef being his injury (ACL) and
when he suffered it (the playoffs). With the low-end of an ACL
rehab being at 12 months, I can't fathom Branch contributing much
before midseason. While the physical recovery is actually less
than a year long, athletes most often cite a lack of trust in
the operated knee as the major hurdle. Since that time period
will not lapse until well after the fantasy season is over, I'm
avoiding Branch for the most part.
9th Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
9.01 |
97 |
RB |
Ahman Green |
HOU |
Fatboys |
9.02 |
98 |
RB |
Ahmad Bradshaw |
NYG |
Coxsackie Virus |
9.03 |
99 |
WR |
Jerry Porter |
JAX |
Wildman |
9.04 |
100 |
WR |
Reggie Brown |
PHI |
Dookie |
9.05 |
101 |
DEF |
Chicago Bears |
|
Gwave |
9.06 |
102 |
QB |
Matt Schaub |
HOU |
Rookies |
9.07 |
103 |
QB |
Marc Bulger |
STL |
The Prototype |
9.08 |
104 |
TE |
Todd Heap |
BAL |
Dr. Mocktopus |
9.09 |
105 |
QB |
David Garrard |
JAX |
Kilroy |
9.10 |
106 |
WR |
Reggie Williams |
JAX |
Compiler Guy |
9.11 |
107 |
QB |
Aaron Rodgers |
GB |
Dallas Dynasty |
9.12 |
108 |
RB |
Deuce McAllister |
NO |
Team Marx |
|
Summary: I must say that I still find myself surprised to see
Green go as late as he is going this summer. We all have a pretty
good idea he is likely only going to stay healthy for a limited
amount of time, but starting RBs are too hard to come by in fantasy
for a starter to still be floating around nearly 100 picks into
the draft. That said, I really expect Chris Taylor to be the Texans'
running back before the end of the season. There is no arguing
the upside of Bradshaw here, while Wildman was victimized by the
timing of this draft, which came one day before it was announced
Porter would miss most, if not all, of the preseason. GWave went
a bit off the board, in a sense, selecting a defense a full 1
1/2 rounds before the next one went. While it's hard to argue
with any unit that has a returner like Devin Hester attached to
it, I question whether the Bears defense is even the best one.
Schaub and Bulger each can blame injuries to a large degree as
to why they were still available. A healthy season by either or
both may look like steals at the end of this season. While Heap
isn't Antonio Gates, he sure isn't David Martin either. Look for
OC Cam Cameron to make sure he is heavily involved. I really like
the selection of Garrard here, but not as a #1 QB. Sure, his WR
corps may be slightly improved, but asking Garrard to go toe-to-toe
with the elite fantasy players at his position each week is a
lot to put on him and a repeat of last season's 18:3 TD-to-INT
ratio is highly unlikely. I'm not going to pretend to know what
is going to happen in Green Bay, but it is reasonable to suggest
that Rodgers will play enough (before injury or Brett Favre strikes
him down) to justify this pick. Finally, we conclude with McAllister,
the one pick I like so far in which a player is returning from
an ACL injury. For one, he is more of a straight-line runner than
any other player discussed so far, meaning he won't need to put
a lot of lateral stress on the injured knee. Secondly, a failed
pick in the ninth round doesn't figure to set Team Marx back all
that much, especially as his #4 RB, if Deuce isn't able to return
to form at any point this season.
Best Value: Marc
Bulger. If I knew I was going to land Bulger in the ninth
round, I may have passed on Palmer in the fifth - that is how
good I feel about this pick and Bulger's potential this season.
While I understand that Torry Holt is getting older and Drew
Bennett has some holes in his game, the Rams can always turn
to Randy McMichael (sleeper alert) and Steven Jackson out of the
backfield. Bulger was given virtually no chance behind an injury-ravaged
line last season and with HC Scott Linehan teaming up new OC Al
Saunders in 2008, I like Bulger's prospects for a major turnaround.
Biggest Reach: Jerry
Porter. Unfortunately, there isn't much Wildman could do regarding
this pick. The day after we held this draft, it was revealed that
Porter had offseason surgery on his hamstring and could miss the
entire preseason. He may be the type of player that doesn't need
a lot of reps with his new QB Garrard, but I wouldn't bet on it
considering his track record.
10th Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
10.01 |
109 |
WR |
Mark Clayton |
BAL |
Team Marx |
10.02 |
110 |
RB |
Pierre Thomas |
NO |
Dallas Dynasty |
10.03 |
111 |
TE |
Vernon Davis |
SF |
Compiler Guy |
10.04 |
112 |
RB |
Chris Brown |
HOU |
Kilroy |
10.05 |
113 |
WR |
Javon Walker |
OAK |
Dr. Mocktopus |
10.06 |
114 |
RB |
Ryan Torain |
DEN |
The Prototype |
10.07 |
115 |
TE |
Alge Crumpler |
TE |
Rookies |
10.08 |
116 |
TE |
Ben Watson |
NE |
Gwave |
10.09 |
117 |
WR |
DJ Hackett |
CAR |
Dookie |
10.10 |
118 |
WR |
Ronald Curry |
WR |
Wildman |
10.11 |
119 |
QB |
Philip Rivers |
SD |
Coxsackie Virus |
10.12 |
120 |
RB |
Kevin Jones |
CHI |
Fatboys |
|
Summary: This is likely Clayton's make-or-break year. Lingering
injuries and ineffective QB play have really set him back, both
of which may be the case again this season. With Team Marx's selection
of McAllister last round, I would have liked to see him hedge
his bet by taking Thomas, who stands to be a nice gamble this
late for Dynasty as last season showed that Reggie Bush isn't
the most effective full-time RB. I love the pick of Davis here
and will sing his praises in the next paragraph. Walker is a big-time
question mark right now, so let's revisit him in August. The bottom
half of this round is filled with players I like to outperform
their draft position. Torain has already been compared to Terrell
Davis, which may be the last RB HC Mike Shanahan committed to
(yes, I'm kidding). I expect a semi-bounceback season from Crumpler,
with production somewhat close to his glory days in Atlanta given
the Titans' precarious WR situation. Curry is the player I was
wrestling with before opting for Torain. I expect Curry to be
the go-to guy in Oakland's passing game this season, right along
with Zach Miller. Lastly, Carson Palmer showed that pocket QBs
can recover quickly from ACL injuries. With his supporting cast,
I can envision Rivers fulfilling the promise many had for him
prior to the start of last season.
Best Value: Vernon
Davis. Compiler Guy was one of the last owners to draft a
TE, but he landed a player that should undoubtedly be a top 5-6
TE pick next season. Consider for a second that in the Niners'
miserable offense last season Davis still finished 15th amongst
TEs despite missing two games. While new OC Mike Martz is not
known as a friend to the fantasy TE, he has also never had any
TE this talented to work with either. Expect the passing game
to revolve around Davis and Frank Gore, with most of the remaining
work being given to the receivers down the field in an effort
to keep defense honest.
Biggest Reach: Kevin
Jones. While he landed in a good situation for increasing
his fantasy value, I will continue to mostly write off RBs coming
off of ACL injuries. It is a distinct possibility that Jones lands
on the PUP (Physically Unable to Perform) List to start the season,
meaning Fatboys will need to wait nearly half the season to get
any use out of him. If he does return, he'll likely be doing little
more than stealing a series or two from Matt Forte.
11th Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
11.01 |
121 |
DEF |
New England |
|
Fatboys |
11.02 |
122 |
DEF |
Green Bay |
|
Coxsackie Virus |
11.03 |
123 |
QB |
Vince Young |
TEN |
Wildman |
11.04 |
124 |
WR |
Patrick Crayton |
DAL |
Dookie |
11.05 |
125 |
WR |
Isaac Bruce |
SF |
Gwave |
11.06 |
126 |
RB |
Ricky Williams |
MIA |
Rookies |
11.07 |
127 |
DEF |
Minnesota |
|
The Prototype |
11.08 |
128 |
QB |
Jake Delhomme |
CAR |
Dr. Mocktopus |
11.09 |
129 |
QB |
Jon Kitna |
DET |
Kilroy |
11.10 |
130 |
WR |
Bryant Johnson |
SF |
Compiler Guy |
11.11 |
131 |
TE |
Owen Daniels |
HOU |
Dallas Dynasty |
11.12 |
132 |
WR |
Steve Smith |
NYG |
Team Marx |
|
Summary: Unlike some owners who swear to waiting until the final
round, I don't mind taking a defense in 11-13th round so long
as I am very confident in their ability to produce. I think an
argument can be made that the Chargers and Vikings should have
went prior the Patriots and the Packers, but all four should be
top options this season. I really like the Ricky Williams pick,
as I'm far from optimistic about Ronnie Brown's seamless return
from injury. Then again, the same could be said for Williams'
full-time return to the game, period. Delhomme makes for a very
nice low-risk, high-reward pick here and could easily be the top
steal of the late rounds if his arm is sound. I know Team Marx
wasn't big on the Favre pick, but in the 12th, I say why not?
In the late rounds, owners want upside and he certainly provides
it. IF he returns, that pick would be an incredible steal. I'll
touch on the Morris pick below, but I want to quickly discuss
Norwood, who each incoming Falcons coach promises will see more
touches. However, I can believe it with this new staff, as Atlanta
will want to run as much as possible and, as much as I would like
it for my drafted team, Michael Turner can't take all the work.
I'll just briefly comment on two picks in the 13th, Meachem and
Jones. Meachem could easily assume the #2 WR role in New Orleans
and I don't need to tell any informed fan what that could mean.
Jones didn't show near as much during the regular season as he
did the preseason, but he's just too talented not to emerge at
some point this season. I think Houston would prefer Kevin Walter
work out of the slot and Andre Davis serves as the #4 WR and kick
returner, leaving the door wide open for Jones to start.
Best Values: Vince
Young, Sammy
Morris and Matt
Leinart. In 2006, Young had virtually no one of consequence
to work with at WR or TE and was a fantasy revelation. In 2007,
it caught up to him, as did injuries. With Alge Crumpler and rookie
RB Chris Johnson now catching passes and Justin Gage starting
to step up, I look for a return to 2006-like numbers for Young.
Morris is a speculative pick, but it's hard to forget what he
did when healthy last season. I believe he retains his value to
a point as he is just one of those players that coaches just love
to have on the field. It's probably now-or-never for Leinart,
who appears more focused to make sure this is the year Arizona
becomes "his team". With Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald (and
possibly Early Doucet) all more than capable of producing monster
games, Leinart should end up starting in fantasy leagues this
season more often than not.
Biggest Reach: Isaac
Bruce. I'm going to surprise myself a bit with this selection,
but here's why. Frank Gore and Vernon Davis, by all rights, should
be the top two receiving options in San Fran. Bruce may have some
productive games, but I believe his role will fade as the season
progresses because Arnaz Battle and Bryant Johnson (or possibly
Jason Hill) will assume the primary WR roles in the offense.
12th Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
12.01 |
133 |
QB |
Brett Favre |
QB |
Team Marx |
12.02 |
134 |
DEF |
Pittsburgh |
|
Dallas Dynasty |
12.03 |
135 |
QB |
Jason Campbell |
WAS |
Compiler Guy |
12.04 |
136 |
WR |
Kevin Walter |
HOU |
Kilroy |
12.05 |
137 |
RB |
Jerious Norwood |
ATL |
Dr. Mocktopus |
12.06 |
138 |
RB |
Sammy Morris |
NE |
The Prototype |
12.07 |
139 |
DEF |
San Diego |
|
Rookies |
12.08 |
140 |
RB |
Ray Rice |
BAL |
Gwave |
12.09 |
141 |
WR |
Jabar Gaffney |
NE |
Dookie |
12.10 |
142 |
RB |
DeShaun Foster |
SF |
Wildman |
12.11 |
143 |
RB |
Ladell Betts |
WAS |
Coxsackie Virus |
12.12 |
144 |
QB |
Matt Leinart |
ARI |
Fatboys |
|
|
13th Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
13.01 |
145 |
RB |
Cadillac Williams |
TB |
Fatboys |
13.02 |
146 |
WR |
Darrell Jackson |
DEN |
Coxsackie Virus |
13.03 |
147 |
RB |
Chris Johnson |
TEN |
Wildman |
13.04 |
148 |
K |
Jeff Reed |
PIT |
Dookie |
13.05 |
149 |
QB |
Matt Ryan |
ATL |
Gwave |
13.06 |
150 |
WR |
Devin Hester |
CHI |
Rookies |
13.07 |
151 |
WR |
Muhsin Muhammad |
CAR |
The Prototype |
13.08 |
152 |
RB |
Kenny Watson |
CIN |
Dr. Mocktopus |
13.09 |
153 |
WR |
Robert Meachem |
NO |
Kilroy |
13.10 |
154 |
DEF |
Dallas |
|
Compiler Guy |
13.11 |
155 |
WR |
Jacoby Jones |
HOU |
Dallas Dynasty |
13.12 |
156 |
DEF |
Tampa Bay |
|
Team Marx |
|
|
14th Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
14.01 |
157 |
WR |
Roydell Williams |
TEN |
Team Marx |
14.02 |
158 |
DEF |
Seattle |
|
Dallas Dynasty |
14.03 |
159 |
TE |
Zach Miller |
OAK |
Compiler Guy |
14.04 |
160 |
TE |
L.J Smith |
PHI |
Kilroy |
14.05 |
161 |
TE |
Tony Scheffler |
DEN |
Dr. Mocktopus |
14.06 |
162 |
K |
Nick Folk |
DAL |
The Prototype |
14.07 |
163 |
TE |
Greg Olsen |
CHI |
Rookies |
14.08 |
164 |
K |
Adam Vinatieri |
IND |
Gwave |
14.09 |
165 |
K |
Matt Stover |
BAL |
Dookie |
14.10 |
166 |
TE |
Randy McMichael |
STL |
Wildman |
14.11 |
167 |
WR |
James Hardy |
BUF |
Coxsackie Virus |
14.12 |
168 |
WR |
Justin Gage |
TEN |
Fatboys |
|
Summary: without getting into a long-winded talk on the final
rounds, kickers and defenses aplenty reign supreme over the draft's
final 36 picks. With that said, I'll focus in on some players
who may emerge as fantasy surprises. A tight end (and a strong
running game) are quite often a young QB's best friend, something
that may boost Miller's standing over the course of the season.
I like the selections of Hardy and Gage, but realize that neither
player figures to register much more than 600 yards receiving
or five TDs. Warner and Hester are interesting picks to say the
least. Warner may have one more year of red-zone duty left in
him or he may not play at all. For Hester, does he assume more
than half the workload if LT is out for any length of time? I
think Wilford could be useful in fantasy circles, if for no other
reason, because he is a big, reliable target. Moving onto the
final round, I'll detail why I like Bush down below, but I am
still not a fan of Edwards' fantasy prospects. Maybe new Bills
OC Turk Schonert's fresh approach works wonders in Buffalo, but
I'll believe it when I see it. I'm surprised to see Toomer fall
so low after his playoff showing last season, although I certainly
am not expecting great things from him. (Either way, I did lock
up the Giants' top two receivers, for what it is worth.) I have
no real reason to believe this, but I don't think we've seen the
last of McDonald. He may not near as useful again fantasy-wise
as he was last season, but I wouldn't be a bit surprised if he
gets more than just a customary look when the Lions go three-wide
in 2008. Rhodes is a solid pick near the end, as if he returns
to a role similar to the one he had in 2006, he could produce
at a #3 fantasy RB level. Lastly, Booker could very well emerge
as the lead WR in Chicago, meaning he is hardly Mr. Irrelevant
in this draft. Of course, given the current state of the Bears'
passing game, being the lead receiver may be more of a bad thing
than good.
Best Value: Zach
Miller, Randy
McMichael, Justin
Gage and Michael Bush. I'm willing to believe there will be
some value in the Raiders' passing game this season. Along with
Darren McFadden, I think Ronald Curry and Miller will be the biggest
beneficiaries of that (depending on the health of Javon Walker).
After a highly disappointing first season in St. Louis, I expect
a healthy offensive line and OC Al Saunders to make sure McMichael
receives more work. I also expect at least a repeat of last season
for Gage, who has solidified himself as the Titans' #1 WR in my
mind; I think the addition of Alge Crumpler only helps him. Lastly,
Bush figures to benefit immensely if/when Justin Fargas suffers
another injury. With a year-plus of recovery time from his gruesome
college leg injury, he strikes me as a RB who could take the starting
"power back" job by the horns once he gets a prolonged opportunity
to do so.
Biggest Reach: Matt
Stover and Matt
Bryant. It's always easy to pick on kickers (and the owners
that select the wrong ones...). On a serious note, it's quite
likely either one of these players could have been drafted in
the last round or have went undrafted. I'm not against picking
a kicker a round earlier than the rest of the group, but opting
for Stover and Bryant over kickers from better offenses like Gostkowski,
Brown, Graham and Kaeding struck me a bit odd.
15th Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
15.01 |
169 |
K |
Mason Crosby |
GB |
Fatboys |
15.02 |
170 |
K |
Matt Bryant |
TB |
Coxsackie Virus |
15.03 |
171 |
DEF |
Indianapolis |
|
Wildman |
15.04 |
172 |
QB |
Kurt Warner |
ARI |
Dookie |
15.05 |
173 |
RB |
Jacob Hester |
SD |
Gwave |
15.06 |
174 |
WR |
Devin Thomas |
WAS |
Rookies |
15.07 |
175 |
WR |
Arnaz Battle |
SF |
The Prototype |
15.08 |
176 |
WR |
Drew Bennett |
STL |
Dr. Mocktopus |
15.09 |
177 |
K |
Stephen Gostkowski |
NE |
Kilroy |
15.10 |
178 |
WR |
Ernest Wilford |
MIA |
Compiler Guy |
15.11 |
179 |
K |
Josh Brown |
STL |
Dallas Dynasty |
15.12 |
180 |
K |
Shayne Graham |
CIN |
Team Marx |
|
|
16th Round |
Pick |
# |
Pos |
Player |
Team |
Mocker |
16.01 |
181 |
QB |
Trent Edwards |
BUF |
Team Marx |
16.02 |
182 |
RB |
Michael Bush |
OAK |
Dallas Dynasty |
16.03 |
183 |
K |
Nate Kaeding |
SD |
Compiler Guy |
16.04 |
184 |
DEF |
Philadelphia |
|
Kilroy |
16.05 |
185 |
DEF |
Baltimore |
|
Dr. Mocktopus |
16.06 |
186 |
WR |
Amani Toomer |
NYG |
The Prototype |
16.07 |
187 |
K |
Robbie Gould |
CHI |
Rookies |
16.08 |
188 |
WR |
Shaun McDonald |
DET |
Gwave |
16.09 |
189 |
DEF |
New York Giants |
|
Dookie |
16.10 |
190 |
K |
Rob Bironas |
TEN |
Wildman |
16.11 |
191 |
RB |
Dominic Rhodes |
IND |
Coxsackie Virus |
16.12 |
192 |
WR |
Marty Booker |
CHI |
Fatboys |
|
|
Recap By Team |