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Regular Season, Updated: 9/7/2023

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 Courtland Sutton, DEN (Bye: 9)
37
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 218   DOB: 1995-10-10   Age: 28
College: Southern Methodist   Draft: 2018 Round 2 (8) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2020DEN13 66 0 0 0 0 6.6 6.6
2021DEN1758 776 2 0 0 0 89.6 5.3
2022DEN1564 829 2 1 5 0 95.4 6.4
2023 (Projected)DEN 64 814 5 0 0 0 111.4  

Outlook: While the arrow on Jeudy appears to be pointing up, Sutton's career may have stalled out. He looked to be on the cusp of becoming a legit No. 1 receiver back in 2019 when he logged 1,112 yards and 6 TDs on 72 receptions with the likes of Joe Flacco, Drew Lock, and Brandon Allen throwing the ball. Sutton just hasn't looked the same since tearing his ACL/MCL early in 2020, averaging 61 catches, 803 yards, and a pair of touchdowns in two post-injury campaigns.

Like Jeudy, Sutton was mentioned in trade rumors, but the sixth-year wideout has a contract structure that suggests he'll be done in Denver after this season unless he has an absolutely monster year. Given how he's been trending, that seems unlikely, and with good depth behind him, Sutton doesn't appear to have a very high ceiling. If you get him on your roster as your fourth or fifth receiver he should provide quality depth, and maybe he even surprises by ascending to reliable WR3 territory.


 Kadarius Toney, KC (Bye: 10)
38
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 193   DOB: 1999-01-27   Age: 25
College: Florida   Draft: 2021 Round 1 (20) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2021NYG1039 420 0 3 6 0 42.6 4.3
2022KC916 171 2 7 82 1 43.3 4.8
2023 (Projected)KC 57 735 5 8 58 1 115.3  

Outlook: A first-round pick of the Giants in 2021, Toney wore out his welcome in the Big Apple midway through his second season, and the G-Men dealt him to KC for third- and sixth-round picks. Toney flashed in seven games with the Chiefs, but as has been the case in his brief NFL career, he battled injuries and missed time. In two seasons, the former Gator has played in 19 of 34 possible games. To realize his considerable potential, he'll need to find a way to stay on the field.

If you've listened to the front office and coaching staff during the offseason, it's clear they think highly of Toney's talent and fit in the offense; specifically, they believe his ability to work downfield will be a great fit for Mahomes. There's obviously a ton of opportunity in Kansas City this season, and Reid has identified Moore and Toney as being ticketed for increased roles. Again, though, Toney needs to prove he can handle the rigors of a full season. Until then, he'll be a low-floor, high-ceiling lottery ticket best drafted in the final rounds.


 Treylon Burks, TEN (Bye: 7)
39
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 225   DOB: 2000-03-23   Age: 24
College: Arkansas   Draft: 2022 Round 1 (18) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2022TEN1133 444 1 4 47 0 55.1 5.0
2023 (Projected)TEN 57 775 5 7 43 0 111.8  

Outlook: Burks had pressure put on him the second the Titans traded up for him in the 2022 NFL Draft. In 11 games (multiple injuries), the rookie hauled in 33 receptions for 444 yards and a touchdown. He only had one game above 70 yards, when he put up 111 in Week 11 against the Green Bay Packers.

Burks finished with 88.1 points last season, the 81st-most among all NFL receivers. However, he's expected to make tremendous strides this season as the Titans traded wide receiver Robert Woods this offseason, making Burks their WR1. The former Arkansas Razorback recorded 1,104 yards and 11 touchdowns just a couple years ago at school and now he'll hopefully come close to replicating those numbers in 2023.

If Tannehill can shake off his injuries from 2022 and play similarly to how he did in 2021, Burks has the potential to achieve those goals. Burks is currently hovering in the WR30 range according to ADP. This would translate to him being a WR3, FLEX or first bench option in fantasy drafts, which seems logical given he's the obvious main target in a weak receiving group for the Titans.


 Jaxon Smith-Njigba, SEA (Bye: 5)
40
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 196   DOB: 2002-02-14   Age: 22
College: Ohio State   Draft: 2023 Round 1 (20) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2023 (Projected)SEA 58 767 5 0 0 0 106.7  

Outlook: Viewed by many as the best of a middling group of receivers in this year's draft, Smith-Njigba lands in Seattle and has been penciled in to play the slot. While in NFL terms, JSN couldn't ask for much more than to learn from two established pros like Metcalf and Lockett that still demand significant attention from defenses, in fantasy circles it's a bit of a Catch-22. Doubtless the rookie will see a lot of single coverage where his precise route running will serve him well, but when it comes to targets, he may lag behind the established duo -- as noted, the No. 3 receiver a year ago caught 27 passes.

Smith-Njigba missed nearly all last season with a hamstring injury, but he's only a year removed from leading Ohio State in receiving on a team that included Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave, both of whom were first-round picks a year ago. It's easy to see a scenario where JSN goes earlier than he should in fantasy drafts based on name value and the usual love of rookie receivers, but if you're counting on him delivering more than WR4 production you're likely overpaying. As a high-upside reserve, Smith-Njigba makes sense. As more, he's a risk.


 Brandin Cooks, DAL (Bye: 7)
41
Height: 5’9”   Weight: 189   DOB: 1993-09-25   Age: 30
College: Oregon State   Draft: 2014 Round 1 (20) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2020HOU1581 1,150 6 0 0 0 151.0 10.1
2021HOU1690 1,037 6 2 21 0 141.8 8.9
2022HOU1357 699 3 2 7 0 88.6 6.8
2023 (Projected)DAL 67 881 5 0 0 0 118.1  

Outlook: Journeyman wide receiver Brandin Cooks has produced everywhere he's been throughout his nine-year NFL career, but there's some concern that what we saw from him in 2022 was more to do about a decline of skills than just the terrible Houston Texans offense he was stuck in.

Cooks, who will turn 30 early in the regular season, saw the second-lowest yards per game of his career in 2022, while scoring just three touchdowns on the season. A more analytical dive into his numbers will also show that he struggled to create separation, particularly against zone coverage. Still, even with the risk that he may be on the decline, Cooks still offers something that no other receiver in Dallas did in 2022 - the ability to make plays down the field from the outside.

A perennial value, Cooks is being drafted as a WR4/5 in most drafts and it won't be hard for him to return that type of value on the season. He did that in Houston this past season in a significantly worse situation. His skills, however, may end up being less useful for his own fantasy value than they are for creating opportunities for other players in the Dallas offense.


 Zay Flowers, BAL (Bye: 13)
42
Height: 5’9”   Weight: 182   DOB: 2000-09-11   Age: 23
College: Boston College   Draft: 2023 Round 1 (22) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2023 (Projected)BAL 55 688 5 0 0 0 98.8  

Outlook: It will certainly take a few things to work in his favor, like the Ravens becoming a top 5 passing team, or injuries taking out Bateman and OBJ, but there is a world where Zay Flowers becomes a fantasy steal. With multiverses being so popular at the box office lately, imagine a scenario where Flowers is thrust into an every-down role because of nagging injuries to the starters. He's uncoverable in the slot, looks like his role model Steve Smith Sr., and Jackson has evolved as passer. He uses his slippery wiggle to make plays after the catch and becomes a reliable weekly WR3.

Unfortunately, there is an equally possible scenario where the receivers stay healthy, or the passing game struggles to gel and Flowers is deployed sparingly as he develops as a young player (much like Steve Smith Jr.). If you've noticed a boom/bust sort of theme to this Ravens outlook you aren't wrong. Draft them in the right spot and they could contribute to a championship run. Overdraft, or rely too heavily on any one guy, and disaster could loom. Either way, I think Flowers is a year away from being a bigger part of offense, but don't be afraid to make him a priority waiver add.


 Jerry Jeudy, DEN (Bye: 9)
43
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 193   DOB: 1999-04-24   Age: 24
College: Alabama   Draft: 2020 Round 1 (15) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2020DEN1652 856 3 0 0 0 103.6 6.5
2021DEN1038 467 0 2 3 0 47.0 4.7
2022DEN1567 972 6 4 40 0 137.2 9.1
2023 (Projected)DEN 64 872 4 0 0 0 111.2  

Outlook: Heavily rumored to be available in trades leading up to the draft, Jeudy not only returns to Denver for his fourth season, but the team even picked up his fifth-year option. Coming off an injury-marred 2021, the Alabama alum put together his best all-around season in 2022, which could be considered a silver-ish lining in a mostly dismal campaign. He displayed the most chemistry with Wilson and showed he could work down the field, leading the team in receptions (67), receiving yards (972), yards per catch (14.5), and touchdowns (6).

Throughout much of the Payton-Brees era in NOLA, the Saints had a primary go-to receiver that got tons of targets, the most recent of which was Michael Thomas, who averaged 117.5 receptions per season over his first four years. While it'd take a leap of faith to think that Jeudy will slide right into Thomas' role in Denver, he has considerable talent, is still just 24 years old, and at least looks to be in the club's long-term plans.

An ascending performer going into an offense that has created high-volume fantasy stars in the past, Jeudy is a strong WR3 that could absolutely push into the top-20.


 JuJu Smith-Schuster, NE (Bye: 11)
44
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 215   DOB: 1996-11-22   Age: 27
College: Southern California   Draft: 2017 Round 2 (30) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2020PIT1697 831 9 0 0 0 137.1 8.6
2021PIT515 129 0 3 9 1 19.8 4.0
2022KC1678 933 3 0 0 0 111.3 7.0
2023 (Projected)NE 65 817 5 0 0 0 111.7  

Outlook: Once considered one of the top up-and-coming pass-catchers in the game, JuJu Smith-Schuster has now fallen to the point of becoming an offseason afterthought, even in an offense that is almost completely devoid of pass-catching weapons. He most recently had a decent, albeit uninspiring fantasy season with the Super Bowl-winning Chiefs who then decided to move on, which is never a great sign. In Kansas City, Smith-Schuster had his best season since his 2018 breakout but still managed to put up just 933 yards and three touchdowns in an offense quarterbacked by Patrick Mahomes. Needless to say, fantasy managers should be worried about his prospects in a much slower-paced offense quarterbacked by Mac Jones.

If there's one thing to be hopeful about it's that Smith-Schuster is almost certainly in-line to be the target leader in New England this season. Unlike when he was playing alongside Travis Kelce, the Patriots do not have much competition for JuJu and there's a good chance that he meets or exceeds the 101 targets that he saw a season ago. Unfortunately, there's also a strong likelihood that the targets that he does see will be substantially less valuable than the ones he saw in Kansas City, therefore somewhat negating any real advantages stemming from becoming New England's top target.

Smith-Schuster is still just 26 years old and may not have yet reached his physical prime. Perhaps New England's longer-term investment in him will help give him the confidence he needs to get back to being a more consistent weapon in the league.

Fantasy managers don't need to invest much to acquire Smith-Schuster this season as he's being drafted past pick 100 in most leagues - right around the likes of Odell Beckham Jr., Gabe Davis, Courtland Sutton, and Michael Thomas. While he may not have had the high-end seasons of Thomas and Beckham Jr., he's also a good bit younger than them and provides a stronger floor than anyone in that group.


 Michael Thomas, NO (Bye: 11)
45
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 212   DOB: 1994-06-16   Age: 29
College: Ohio State   Draft: 2016 Round 2 (16) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2020NO740 438 0 1 1 0 43.9 6.3
2022NO316 171 3 0 0 0 35.1 11.7
2023 (Projected)NO 64 719 4 0 0 0 95.9  

Outlook: Michael Thomas was simply a nightmare for defensive backs in 2019. He finished with an NFL record 149 receptions, 1,725 yards and nine touchdowns. Chris Godwin and Julio Jones tied for the second-most fantasy points by a receiver that season with 274.1. Thomas had 374.6.

By now you know the story. A rash of injuries kept Thomas largely off the field the next three seasons and the NFL community believes the 30-year-old has passed his prime as a result. They could be right. Thomas is reportedly healthy ahead of training camp but is far from being valued as a high-end fantasy asset, largely being taken in the WR40 range.

With that being said, if he's able to get out of the gates quickly and stay on the field, he may have the opportunity to become a star once again. Olave is expected to lead the Saints in targets, but Thomas is a worthy option in the middle-to-late rounds as you fill out your wide receiver depth.


 Quentin Johnston, LAC (Bye: 5)
46
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 208   DOB: 2001-09-06   Age: 22
College: Texas Christian   Draft: 2023 Round 1 (21) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2023 (Projected)LAC 45 617 4 0 0 0 85.7  

Outlook: Despite some real shortcomings defensively in 2022, the Bolts elected to use their top pick on another weapon for Herbert in the form of Johnston, a 6-foot-3, 208-pounder out of TCU. While the Chargers already had real talent at the position, they didn't have anyone who could stretch the field the way Johnston can with his excellent speed. In that way, the rookie fills an immediate need and should be a nice match for Herbert, who boasts one of the better arms in the NFL.

Two things will determine Johnston's value in 2023: 1) his ability to learn Moore's offense, and 2) how many opportunities he gets when both Allen and Williams are healthy. If Johnston can pick things up quickly, he should see a lot of work, but if he struggles it might be more of a situation where he's used on a limited route tree to loosen things up underneath. If you're looking for a late-round option with some upside, Johnston could fit the bill as a WR5.


 Odell Beckham Jr., BAL (Bye: 13)
47
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 198   DOB: 1992-11-05   Age: 31
College: Louisiana State   Draft: 2014 Round 1 (12) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2020CLE723 319 3 3 72 1 63.1 9.0
2021LAR1444 537 5 2 14 0 85.1 6.1
2023 (Projected)BAL 56 737 4 0 0 0 97.7  

Outlook: The last time we saw Beckham on the field, he was on his way to winning Super Bowl MVP. But a 2nd torn ACL ruined that Cinderella ending and Beckham Jr. spent 2022 rehabbing and seeking out his next payday. Inexplicably he found that in Baltimore this spring, signing a 1-year deal to prove to the NFL that his game still lives up to his name.

Unfortunately for the mercurial OBJ, I think those days are long gone. Since reaching the stratosphere during his first three years in the NFL, injuries and ineffective play have made him an afterthought. He hasn't been a fantasy relevant player since 2019, and even then, he was barely a WR3. But he hyped his way to the Ravens, and slots in as the WR1 on a team that has no doubt loaded the receiver room with talent. How quickly he can build chemistry with Jackson, as they all learn a new system is not the only question Beckham Jr. faces. The specter of two torn ACLs, and a host of other leg injuries loom large. Despite what he thinks of himself, he's not the player he was in his last elite season with the Giants in 2016, and is more of a complimentary player at this stage of his career. If he can stay healthy and play 14 or so games, he'll have a nice season, and maybe win you a week, but the bar for starting fantasy receivers has risen greatly over the last few seasons, and the position and his own team is flush with young talent.


 Tyler Boyd, CIN (Bye: 7)
48
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 197   DOB: 1994-11-15   Age: 29
College: Pittsburgh   Draft: 2016 Round 2 (24) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2020CIN1579 841 4 5 49 0 113.0 7.5
2021CIN1667 828 5 2 22 0 115.0 7.2
2022CIN1658 762 5 0 0 0 106.2 6.6
2023 (Projected)CIN 61 778 5 0 0 0 107.8  

Outlook: While other teams might employ a more productive fantasy receiving duo than the Bengals, few if any teams can support three fantasy starters at receiver. Boyd continues to be the model of consistency for this offense, and while his numbers have expectedly dipped since the ascension of Chase and Higgins, he's still managed 750+ yards and five touchdowns in each of the last two seasons, good enough to be in the WR3 conversation. He makes a tremendous value play on your roster as a fill-in starter or handcuff for Higgins/Chase. With the loss of Perine's 50+ targets, Boyd could also be in line to soak up a few of those, increasing his standalone value even further.