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Quarterback, Kansas City Chiefs
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Draft: 2017 Round 1 (10)
College: Texas Tech
Ht: 6’2” Wt: 225 DOB: 1995-09-17 Age: 24 |
| QB Rank |
Tier |
ADP-12 |
| #1 |
1 |
2.05 |
|
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| |
Passing | Rushing |
Fantasy |
| Season |
Team |
G |
Cmp |
Att |
Cmp% |
Yard |
TD |
INT | Att |
Yard |
Avg |
TD |
FPts |
FPts/G |
| 2017 |
KC |
1 |
22 |
35 |
62.9 |
284 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
10 |
1.4 |
0 |
15.2 |
15.2 |
| 2018 |
KC |
16 |
383 |
580 |
66.0 |
5,097 |
50 |
12 |
60 |
272 |
4.5 |
2 |
494.1 |
30.9 |
| 2019 |
KC |
8 |
193 |
291 |
66.3 |
2,626 |
18 |
1 |
17 |
82 |
4.8 |
0 |
211.5 |
26.4 |
| 2019 (Projected) |
KC |
|
394 |
597 |
66.0 |
4,720 |
37 |
15 |
59 |
255 |
4.3 |
1 |
415.5 |
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The reigning NFL Most Valuable Player, a case could be made that Patrick Mahomes was also the fantasy football MVP this past season as he racked up a ridiculous 50 touchdown passes on 5,097 yards passing, adding an additional two touchdowns as a runner.
Mahomes' average draft position in 2018 (10.09, QB15) is really what made him the value he was, though, as he wasn't even being selected as a QB1 in many leagues. This season he'll almost certainly be the highest-drafted quarterback in just about every league, which means that he'd need to replicate or at least come close to his production from a season ago to truly return value given his draft position.
There are reasons to be optimistic about Mahomes meeting or even exceeding his 2018 numbers here in 2019, however. Many expected that Tyreek Hill would miss some time but the league has now made it clear that Hill will not be suspended, which certainly helps the Kansas City offense. Tight end Travis Kelce will also be back, alongside Sammy Watkins who will now be entering his second season in the offense. The Chiefs also made a significant investment in their passing game when they drafted young speedster wide receiver Mecole Hardman in the second round of April's NFL Draft. Many viewed Hardman as an insurance policy for Hill should he miss significant time, but now the Chiefs will have the benefit of rostering two of the league's fastest players at wide receiver, potentially putting them on the field at the same time. Combine that with Mahomes' cannon of an arm and it's easy to see why experts are excited about this offense.
Certainly there is value in not having to spend waiver wire position or FAAB dollars on your quarterback position, but the value that even elite-level quarterbacks give over their peers is often not worth their opportunity cost of losing out on high quality starters at positions with fewer usable assets, specifically running back and wide receiver. Mahomes supporters will point to his 2018 numbers as a reason that he is an exception to the "rule" that most fantasy experts agree on, which is that quarterbacks are overdrafted in most leagues. If he can produce that kind of output again in 2019 then Mahomes will likely live up to his current ADP, but history tells us that replicating 50 touchdown seasons just does not happen. Even 40 touchdown seasons are extremely difficult to accomplish in back-to-back seasons. If there's anyone who can do it, though, it might just be Mahomes in this rocket-fueled Chiefs offense.
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 Patrick Mahomes will start in Week 10
Knee injury
By: Mike Krueger | Fri Nov 8, 2:06 pm
|  | Patrick Mahomes will indeed start at QB for the Chiefs on Sunday against the Titans. His first game since a dislocated kneecap on Oct.17 against Broncos (Adam Teicher on Twitter)
FFToday's Take: This was the feeling all along but not it's confirmed. With Mahomes being back, this gives a boost to all the Chiefs skill position players against the Titans.
| Patrick Mahomes ruled out for Week 8
Knee injury
By: Mike Krueger | Fri Oct 25, 2:31 pm
| | In addition to QB Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs also will be without DT Chris Jones, DE Frank Clark, CB Kendall Fuller, LT Eric Fisher and OG Andrew Wylie against the Packers on Sunday night. (Adam Teicher on Twitter)
FFToday's Take: Mahomes was always a long shot to play this week but the Chiefs do sound encouraged about his progress so it's not out of the question that he plays Week 9 against the Vikings. Sammy Watkins will play but be more of a flex consideration with Matt Moore at quarterback.
| After MRI, Mahomes expected to return this season
Dislocated kneecap, but not significant additional damage
By: Mike Krueger | Fri Oct 18, 12:56 pm
| | The MRI has confirmed the #Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes suffered a dislocated kneecap, but not significant additional damage, sources tell me and @JamesPalmerTV. He’ll seek additional opinions to be sure. The plan is for him to return this season after a brief absence. (Ian Rapoport on Twitter)
FFToday's Take: This sounds like the best-case scenario for Mahomes. Assuming additional opinions don't stray, Mahomes is likely to miss a few weeks with Matt Moore holding the fort down until Mahomes returns. The Chiefs have a bye in Week 12. Adam Schefter suggests Mahomes is likely to miss three games.
| Tyreek Hill expected to miss 4-6 weeks
No plan to put him on IR
By: Mike Krueger | Wed Sep 11, 7:45 am
| | #Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (sternoclavicular joint injury) is expected to miss 4-6 weeks, sources say. A positive sign: KC does not plan to put him on IR, as of now. He’ll need to be monitored in rehab, and how quickly it progresses will determine if it’s more or less than 6 weeks. (Ian Rapoport on Twitter)
FFToday's Take: We knew we were dealing with a multi-week injury with Hill but the good news is he won't land on IR which could cost him 8 weeks. With Hill out, Sammy Watkins and Travis Kelce will become the main targets for Patrick Mahomes. Mecole Hardman will see extra targets but it's hard to get excited about his fantasy prospects given his inexperience.
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| |
Passing | Rushing |
Fantasy |
| Week |
Opp |
Result |
Cmp |
Att |
Cmp% |
Yard |
TD |
INT | Att |
Yard |
Avg |
TD |
FPts |
| 1 |
at JAC |
W 40-26 |
25 |
33 |
75.8 |
378 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2.0 |
0 |
31.1 |
| 2 |
at OAK |
W 28-10 |
30 |
44 |
68.2 |
443 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
-1 |
-1.0 |
0 |
38.1 |
| 3 |
BAL |
W 33-28 |
27 |
37 |
73.0 |
374 |
3 |
0 |
4 |
9 |
2.3 |
0 |
31.6 |
| 4 |
at DET |
W 34-30 |
24 |
42 |
57.1 |
315 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
54 |
9.0 |
0 |
21.2 |
| 5 |
IND |
L 13-19 |
22 |
39 |
56.4 |
321 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
17 |
5.7 |
0 |
21.8 |
| 6 |
HOU |
L 24-31 |
19 |
35 |
54.3 |
273 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
-1 |
-1.0 |
0 |
25.6 |
| 7 |
at DEN |
W 30-6 |
10 |
11 |
90.9 |
76 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2.0 |
0 |
8.0 |
| 10 |
at TEN |
L 32-35 |
36 |
50 |
72.0 |
446 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
34.3 |
|
| |
Passing | Rushing |
Fantasy |
| Week |
Opp |
Result |
Cmp |
Att |
Cmp% |
Yard |
TD |
INT | Att |
Yard |
Avg |
TD |
FPts |
| 1 |
at LAC |
W 38-28 |
15 |
27 |
55.6 |
256 |
4 |
0 |
5 |
21 |
4.2 |
0 |
30.9 |
| 2 |
at PIT |
W 42-37 |
23 |
28 |
82.1 |
326 |
6 |
0 |
5 |
18 |
3.6 |
0 |
42.1 |
| 3 |
SF |
W 38-27 |
24 |
38 |
63.2 |
314 |
3 |
0 |
5 |
7 |
1.4 |
0 |
28.4 |
| 4 |
at DEN |
W 27-23 |
28 |
45 |
62.2 |
304 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
2.3 |
1 |
25.9 |
| 5 |
JAC |
W 30-14 |
22 |
38 |
57.9 |
313 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
13 |
3.3 |
1 |
23.0 |
| 6 |
at NE |
L 40-43 |
23 |
36 |
63.9 |
352 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
9 |
4.5 |
0 |
34.5 |
| 7 |
CIN |
W 45-10 |
28 |
39 |
71.8 |
358 |
4 |
1 |
4 |
45 |
11.3 |
0 |
38.4 |
| 8 |
DEN |
W 30-23 |
24 |
34 |
70.6 |
303 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
-1 |
-0.5 |
0 |
31.1 |
| 9 |
at CLE |
W 37-21 |
23 |
32 |
71.9 |
375 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
18 |
9.0 |
0 |
32.6 |
| 10 |
ARI |
W 26-14 |
21 |
28 |
75.0 |
249 |
2 |
0 |
4 |
21 |
5.3 |
0 |
22.6 |
| 11 |
at LAR |
L 51-54 |
33 |
46 |
71.7 |
478 |
6 |
3 |
6 |
28 |
4.7 |
0 |
50.7 |
| 13 |
at OAK |
W 40-33 |
23 |
38 |
60.5 |
295 |
4 |
0 |
9 |
52 |
5.8 |
0 |
36.0 |
| 14 |
BAL |
W 27-24 |
35 |
53 |
66.0 |
377 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
-3 |
-1.5 |
0 |
26.6 |
| 15 |
LAC |
L 28-29 |
24 |
34 |
70.6 |
243 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
1.5 |
0 |
20.5 |
| 16 |
at SEA |
L 31-38 |
23 |
40 |
57.5 |
273 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
33 |
11.0 |
0 |
29.0 |
| 17 |
OAK |
W 35-3 |
14 |
24 |
58.3 |
281 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
0.5 |
0 |
22.2 |
| DP |
IND |
W 31-13 |
27 |
41 |
65.9 |
278 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
2.7 |
1 |
20.7 |
| CC |
NE |
L 31-37 |
16 |
31 |
51.6 |
295 |
3 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
5.5 |
0 |
27.9 |
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DP = Divisional Playoff CC = Conference Championship
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Passing | Rushing |
Fantasy |
| Week |
Opp |
Result |
Cmp |
Att |
Cmp% |
Yard |
TD |
INT | Att |
Yard |
Avg |
TD |
FPts |
| 17 |
at DEN |
W 27-24 |
22 |
35 |
62.9 |
284 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
10 |
1.4 |
0 |
15.2 |
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