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Quarterback, Arizona Cardinals
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Draft: 2019 Round 1 (1)
College: Oklahoma
Ht: 5’10” Wt: 207 DOB: 1997-08-07 Age: 22 |
| QB Rank |
Tier |
ADP-12 |
#12  |
2 |
9.06 |
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Passing | Rushing |
Fantasy |
| Season |
Team |
G |
Cmp |
Att |
Cmp% |
Yard |
TD |
INT | Att |
Yard |
Avg |
TD |
FPts |
FPts/G |
| 2019 (Projected) |
ARI |
|
309 |
515 |
60.0 |
3,607 |
22 |
13 |
125 |
635 |
5.1 |
3 |
349.9 |
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There may not have been a bigger change in offensive philosophy this offseason than what took place in Arizona. A season after drafting Josh Rosen in the top 10, the Cardinals have already opted to move on. They traded Rosen away and selected quarterback Kyler Murray at the No.1 overall spot in this year's draft. Without a quality veteran on the roster, Murray will be given the reigns to start right away and that, combined with a head coach change, will almost certainly mean that Arizona's offense looks completely different in 2019 than it did in 2018.
The Cardinals ran the second-fewest plays per game in 2018 as the team simply hoped to win games based on defense and running the football. That won't be the case this season. Under new head coach Kliff Kingsbury, the Cardinals offense will almost certainly be near the league lead in total offensive plays run and that should benefit every member of this offense, particularly Murray.
Everyone knows that Murray is an athletic freak who is capable of putting up big numbers as a runner, but his ability as a passer seems to almost be forgotten by some fantasy analysts. Yes, it's true that college production does not always equal NFL production, but we saw Baker Mayfield put up some very impressive rookie numbers after coming out of the same offense that Murray did at Oklahoma. It's also worth noting that Murray actually had a slightly higher QB rating than Mayfield did in each of their final collegiate seasons. Both quarterbacks put up record-breaking numbers, but the difference is that while Mayfield was stuck in an archaic offense in Cleveland, Murray will be running a relatively similar offense in Arizona to the one that he and Mayfield ran in college at Oklahoma. That, combined with Murray's running ability, makes him one of the most interesting, if not polarizing fantasy quarterbacks for the 2019 season. It's not often that a rookie is able to step in and produce top-12 fantasy numbers at quarterback in the NFL, but that is well within his range of outcomes.
The only fair criticism that doubters seem to be throwing onto Murray is in regards to his size. At 5'10" and 207 lbs., Murray will be one of the smallest quarterbacks in the league. That's not such a big deal at the college level where the players tend to be smaller on average, but it is a real concern in the NFL. If the Arizona offensive line plays as poorly as it did in 2018 then there is real concern that Murray could take some serious damage behind center which would obviously limit his upside and give him an increased chance for major injury.
From a fantasy standpoint, though, there may not be a better fantasy value than Murray, especially in normal single-quarterback leagues where we can drop him and simply stream the position if he were to get injured. Murray is currently being drafted within the top 10 at the position but his upside makes him a great value in most leagues.
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