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Many fantasy managers had high hopes for 2021 rookie Michael Carter, but those who were paying closer attention should have known that he was always a trap. Breece Hall is simply the much more talented back and he was always going to take over that team's starting job while leaving scraps for the other players in the backfield. What we didn't expect was that not only would Hall take over the job by Week 4, but Carter himself would end up losing his top spot on the Jets' RB depth yet again even after Hall suffered a season-ending injury. In fact, despite playing in every game for the Jets in 2022, Carter failed to reach double-digit carries in any game after Week 9, and didn't see more than five carries in any of the Jets' final five games.
Now heading into his third season, some fantasy managers are beginning to do it to themselves yet again. Breece Hall's ACL injury means that he might not be ready to play in Week 1, so the tendency to look down the depth chart at the RB2 position simply becomes too enticing for some. Carter is being viewed by way too many managers as the "handcuff" for Hall, but there's really no reason to believe that will be true. His two years of experience in the Jets' offense and his pass-catching ability likely give him the edge over other players in this backfield, but we've already seen him lose his job to the likes of Zonovan Knight, who is also still on the roster. The Jets also drafted Israel Abanikanda in the fifth round of the 2023 NFL Draft, making this one of the most crowded backfields in the entire league.
Carter is currently a late-round pick in most drafts, but there's some real potential for that ADP to skyrocket if we find out that Hall is unlikely to play in Week 1. The talent is there for Carter to produce as an RB2 for fantasy if he's given the role-there's just no reason to believe that'll happen. For that reason, Carter could end up being a huge trap for fantasy managers late in draft season. He's fine to select now given his late-round ADP, but Abanikanda or Knight might end up being the best value of these backs in the unfortunate scenario where Hall ends up missing significant time.
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