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Wide Receiver, Miami Dolphins
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Draft: 2021 Round 1 (6)
College: Alabama
Ht: 5’10” Wt: 182 DOB: 1998-11-25 Age: 23 |
| WR Rank |
Tier |
ADP |
| #29
|
4 |
WR19 |
|
|
| |
Receiving | Rushing |
Fantasy |
| Season |
Team |
G |
Target |
Rec |
Yard |
Avg |
TD | Att |
Yard |
Avg |
TD |
FPts |
FPts/G |
| 2021 |
MIA |
16 |
140 |
104 |
1,015 |
9.8 |
6 |
2 |
3 |
1.5 |
1 |
143.8 |
9.0 |
| 2022 |
MIA |
3 |
30 |
19 |
342 |
18.0 |
3 |
2 |
17 |
8.5 |
0 |
53.9 |
18.0 |
| 2022 (Projected) |
MIA |
|
|
71 |
907 |
12.8 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
120.7 |
|
|
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Wide receiver Jaylen Waddle was a controversial pick when the Dolphins selected him in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft. The stylistic comparisons to his college teammate Henry Ruggs did him no favors, but Waddle was also coming off of a final season at Alabama in which he played just six games. Miami was in desperate need of pass catching weapons, though, so they pulled the trigger and thankfully for them it worked out. Waddle was one of the draft's most productive offensive playmakers as he was one of just 10 players, and the only rookie, who reached 100 receptions in 2021. Waddle proved himself to be a playmaker at the NFL level and he has fully recovered from the injury he sustained in his final collegiate season.
Now heading into his second season, Waddle looked poised to take another step forward as Miami's top pass catcher. The team moved on from veteran DeVante Parker and an even higher target share was in the cards for Waddle. However, the Dolphins' acquisition of Tyreek Hill now makes things quite a bit more volatile for the second-year wideout.
Waddle was a fine fantasy producer as a rookie but he primarily did it with volume and not with efficiency. His 9.8 yards per reception ranked outside the top 100 among all pass catchers. While we should expect that he will see an uptick in per-catch efficiency in 2022 due to the overall team offensive upgrades, Waddle will certainly find himself having to compete with Hill for targets. Both players finished in the top 16 among all wide receivers in total share of their team's targets in 2021, with both finishing at just over 25 percent. It's theoretically possible that we could see them both finish around that range, as we saw with Seattle's duo of DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett in 2021, but that was on a team that had practically no other pass catching weapons on the roster. The Dolphins may not be the most stacked roster ever, but they brought in Cedrick Wilson from the Cowboys and they still have Mike Gesicki along with a couple of effective pass-catching running backs on their depth chart.
What's more likely to happen is that both Hill and Waddle see a bit of a dip in their total target share from 2021 and that could also be accompanied by a lower total team pass attempt rate. The Dolphins threw the eighth-most total passes in 2021, while the 49ers were all the way down at 31st. Mike McDaniel was not directly calling the plays for San Francisco, but certainly his offensive philosophy will be more similar to that of Kyle Shanahan than what we saw from the previous regime in Miami.
All of this isn't to say that Waddle can't return fantasy value this season, but he's going to need to do it with increased efficiency and likely a higher receiving touchdown number than the six he scored in 2021. Waddle finished as the WR12 in PPR scoring this past season and 20th in standard scoring leagues. He's being drafted around those ranges in each format, so, like Hill, he's likely being selected closer to his ceiling than his floor. Nevertheless, he's a relatively safe option given his role as a low-depth-of-target weapon in the offense.
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| There is no news to report for this player from the past 90 days. |
| |
Receiving | Rushing |
Fantasy |
| Week |
Opp |
Result |
Target |
Rec |
Yard |
Avg |
TD | Att |
Yard |
Avg |
TD |
FPts |
| 1 |
NE |
W 20-7 |
5 |
4 |
69 |
17.3 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
8.0 |
0 |
13.7 |
| 2 |
at BAL |
W 42-38 |
19 |
11 |
171 |
15.5 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
29.1 |
| 3 |
BUF |
W 21-19 |
6 |
4 |
102 |
25.5 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
9.0 |
0 |
11.1 |
|
| |
Receiving | Rushing |
Fantasy |
| Week |
Opp |
Result |
Target |
Rec |
Yard |
Avg |
TD | Att |
Yard |
Avg |
TD |
FPts |
| 1 |
at NE |
W 17-16 |
6 |
4 |
61 |
15.3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
12.1 |
| 2 |
BUF |
L 0-35 |
8 |
6 |
48 |
8.0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
4.8 |
| 3 |
at LV |
L 28-31 |
13 |
12 |
58 |
4.8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
5.8 |
| 4 |
IND |
L 17-27 |
4 |
3 |
33 |
11.0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
3.3 |
| 5 |
at TB |
L 17-45 |
6 |
2 |
31 |
15.5 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2.0 |
0 |
3.3 |
| 6 |
at JAC |
L 20-23 |
13 |
10 |
70 |
7.0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
19.0 |
| 7 |
ATL |
L 28-30 |
8 |
7 |
83 |
11.9 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
8.3 |
| 8 |
at BUF |
L 11-26 |
12 |
4 |
29 |
7.3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
2.9 |
| 9 |
HOU |
W 17-9 |
10 |
8 |
83 |
10.4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
8.3 |
| 10 |
BAL |
W 22-10 |
6 |
4 |
61 |
15.3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
6.1 |
| 11 |
at NYJ |
W 24-17 |
9 |
8 |
65 |
8.1 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1.0 |
1 |
12.6 |
| 12 |
CAR |
W 33-10 |
10 |
9 |
137 |
15.2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
19.7 |
| 13 |
NYG |
W 20-9 |
11 |
9 |
90 |
10.0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
9.0 |
| 16 |
at NO |
W 20-3 |
12 |
10 |
92 |
9.2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
15.2 |
| 17 |
at TEN |
L 3-34 |
7 |
3 |
47 |
15.7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
4.7 |
| 18 |
NE |
W 33-24 |
7 |
5 |
27 |
5.4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
- |
0 |
8.7 |
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