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Wide Receivers
By Mike MacGregor

WR Receiving TDs
This data should help you assess what players to target or avoid if your league includes bonuses for distance TDs. This table shows receiving TDs by distance (as a percentage, and number) for a select number of WRs. For comparison, it also breaks down the TD-distance for ALL WRs. Data is from the 2001-2004 regular season games.

Here are some interesting points to note from the historic data:
  • The % scored is more even across the distance ranges as opposed to being concentrated on short yardage as with other positions. All other things being equal, WRs are a little more valuable in leagues that score for distance TDs than leagues that give no bonus for long TDs.


  • Andre Johnson needs to bump his TD total this year to justify his high average draft position ranking (middle of the 3rd or 7th-8th WR off the board as of writing this). The Texans don't appear shy about using him once they get inside the 20 though, which is a good sign.


  • After mentioning last year my surprise Chris Chambers hadn't scored more TDs from beyond 40, he scored 2 in 2004. In fact, both were from beyond 70. This guy is a great talent, but needs a better QB.


  • Brandon Lloyd barely made the list with only 8 TD in 2 seasons, but with his high number of TD relative to his reception totals (2003: 14-212-2; 2004: 43-565-6), it is interesting to note a very low percentage of those came from inside the 20. With his ability to snatch the ball out of the air, could he drastically improve his TD totals? Only if the team can get itself inside the 20 with some more regularity.


  • Chad Johnson is a red zone threat. Chad Johnson is a deep threat. Any questions? (Harrison, Holt, Owens and Randy Moss all fit the bill too, but they essentially have an extra season on Johnson in this data since Johnson was a rookie starting only 3 games in 2001).


WR Receiving TD Distance Data (WR receiving TD from 2001-2004)
Name 1-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40+ 1-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40+ Tot
All WR 30% 24% 17% 13% 17% 100% 511 403 305 221 306 1746
AJohnson 20% 40% 10% 0% 30% 100% 2 4 1 0 3 10
Bennett 22% 17% 33% 6% 22% 100% 4 3 6 1 4 18
Bruce 38% 25% 21% 8% 8% 100% 9 6 5 2 2 24
Burleson 55% 9% 9% 18% 9% 100% 6 1 1 2 1 11
Burress 18% 23% 27% 18% 14% 100% 4 5 6 4 3 22
Chambers 29% 14% 25% 14% 18% 100% 8 4 7 4 5 28
CJohnson 32% 20% 4% 12% 32% 100% 8 5 1 3 8 25
Coles 16% 37% 16% 26% 5% 100% 3 7 3 5 1 19
DJackson 29% 25% 7% 14% 26% 100% 8 7 2 4 7 28
Driver 29% 10% 33% 19% 10% 100% 6 2 7 4 2 21
Harrison 27% 22% 18% 18% 16% 100% 14 11 9 9 8 51
Holt 21% 21% 12% 21% 24% 100% 7 7 4 7 8 33
Horn 38% 27% 14% 5% 16% 100% 14 10 5 2 6 37
JSmith 24% 20% 12% 28% 16% 100% 6 5 3 7 4 25
Lelie 9% 9% 9% 55% 18% 100% 1 1 1 6 2 11
Lloyd 13% 13% 25% 50% 0% 100% 1 1 2 4 0 8
Mason 34% 10% 14% 21% 20% 100% 10 3 4 6 6 29
Moulds 38% 10% 14% 10% 30% 100% 8 2 3 2 6 21
Muhammad 43% 30% 17% 4% 4% 100% 10 7 4 1 1 23
Owens 29% 17% 15% 13% 26% 100% 15 9 8 7 13 52
Porter 32% 32% 21% 5% 10% 100% 6 6 4 1 2 19
RMoss 28% 19% 17% 15% 21% 100% 13 9 8 7 10 47
RSmith 31% 38% 15% 4% 12% 100% 8 10 4 1 3 26
SMoss 21% 32% 11% 11% 26% 100% 4 6 2 2 5 19
Walker 23% 27% 23% 5% 24% 100% 5 6 5 1 5 22
Ward 43% 17% 27% 7% 6% 100% 13 5 8 2 2 30
Wayne 26% 17% 22% 13% 21% 100% 6 4 5 3 5 23