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Colby Cavaliere | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


The Shot Caller's Report - Running Backs
Your Guide To Fantasy Lineups: Week 4
10/1/15
QBs | RBs | WRs


Bye Weeks:
Tennessee, New England

Matt Forte

Matt Forte had zero catches in Wk 3. The first time since Wk 13 of 2011 he's gone catchless in a game.

Grab a Helmet

Matt Forte v OAK: If I were Forte I’d be begging Bears management to make me the next player traded away. Sitting on an island in a sea of suck, Forte is somehow staying a fantasy asset. He’s come crashing down after a stellar Week 1 (10.5 and 7.5 pts in his last two games), and actually had zero catches for the first time since Week 13 of 2011. Forte has a prime match-up against an Oakland defense that doesn’t exactly inspire fear. Unlike last week against the Seahawks, Forte should find some running lanes, and maybe Jimmy Clausen won’t look as outmatched as he did against Seattle. Look for the Bears to lean on Forte early and often in this game as the only healthy threat on offense. Volume, and a few big gains should carry the day, and a spot as a low end RB1 on your team this week.

Frank Gore v JAX: While Forte has declined each week since his big Week 1, Gore is slowly rising after his disastrous debut in Indy. Gore had his best day as a Colt in the Week 3 win vs Tennesee with 86 yards (6.1 ypc) and two visits to the end zone. I don’t know that Gore has many 20-plus carry games left, but this could be the week, as I expect the Colts to try to protect Luck from himself by establishing the run game against a listless Jacksonville team. If the Colts offense can get into the red zone more often, Gore should quickly ascend the running back rankings. Stuck with a low floor because of his one dimensional game, Gore should provide your team with a strong RB2 option this week.

Shane Vereen @ BUF: Vereen, the passing back specialist who the Giants signed in the offseason to be their money down player was held catchless last week vs the Redskins. Like Forte, it’s been several seasons since a healthy Vereen was held without a reception. Expect that to change in a big way this week vs the aggressive Bills defense. With a banged up offensive line, and plenty of attention focused on Beckham and Randle, look for Vereen to be a frequent outlet for Manning as he looks to combat a pass rush that will come early and often. Vereen had eight catches and nearly 100 total yards in Week 2 and I think those numbers are approachable this week. I like Vereen more as a strong PPR play, but could serve as a FLEX option in standard leagues.

Grab Some Pine

Doug Martin/Charles Sims v. CAR: Yuck! Martin was a popular sleeper pick among many fantasy mavens after a spry looking preseason. Well, with the real bullets flying, Martin has been a dud. No, I’m not bitter I bought into the hype…Ok maybe a little. It seems like a lifetime ago Martin was a dominant rookie. The Bucs are a sad 26th in the NFL in total yards, with a slipshod offensive line, and a shaky rookie leading the charge. Until Winston can start to threaten the defense down the field with Jackson and Evans, teams are going to feast on this running game. Simms is seeing some play in the passing game, but not seeing enough volume. Neither back makes for a satisfying play, especially this week against a stout Carolina defense. Save yourself the aggravation, and look elsewhere.

Lamar Miller v. NYJ: Miami is one of the most perplexing teams in the NFL. They seem to be oozing talent on both sides of the ball, but the offense especially is baffling. Miller, possibly their best offensive skill position player, is nearly invisible at the start of games, and the coaching staff seems to not realize it’s OK to run the ball in the first quarter. Every week I keep waiting for Miami to take some responsibly off of Ryan Tannehill’s plate, but it never happens. Is this the week they go back to basics and establish a run game? Who knows! And that’s the problem facing Miller owners. The match-up isn’t conducive to a renewed run game plan, and I simply have to see the Fins commit more to Miller before I can trust him as anything more than a FLEX play. If you have other options, leave Miller behind.

Todd Gurley/Tre Mason @ ARI: The trend for running back sits this week are poor offensive lines, and discombobulated offensive schemes. What are the Rams exactly? They have a ferocious front seven and one of the sorriest run games in the league (29th in the NFL). Both Mason and Gurley are shaking off the rust of missing time, and neither looked good against a very beatable Pittsburgh defense. They could only manage 1.5 yards per carry, and 25 rushing yards. Remember, last week’s game was close right until the final minutes. This week the Rams hit the road to take on a surging Cardinal defense that loves to swarm to the football. Mason and Gurley will continue to cancel each other out until Gurley is ready for a more prominent role. That simply won’t happen this week. Keep them both benched.

Wide Receivers