Dynasty League Updates 6/1/09
This space will be a semi-regular feature at FF Today and will
look to explore, speculate, and keep people interested in up and
comers in the NFL who may be or may not be well known in dynasty
league circles. I’m not guaranteeing anyone to become the
next star, but merely helping the reader to keep abreast of developments
that could affect your dynasty league rosters this season and beyond
and perhaps even help you discover unknowns who could become known
quantities down the road.
As dynasty owners look forward to the 2009 season, we become quite
impressed with our “shiny new toys” – the new
rookie class. In the same way we tossed aside and forgot about all
the great “shiny new toys” we got in Christmases past
as children, we make way for our rookies by cutting young “underachievers”.
The waiver wire is likely littered with plenty of potentially valuable
young players that were tossed aside after not producing during
their first or second years in the league. In this column we’ll
try and find a few young players that have yet to produce significantly,
but who could help your dynasty team a lot quicker than most of
this year’s rookie class. Just like in life, patience is a
virtue in dynasty leagues. Treasure becomes trash rather quickly
in this fickle hobby (but sometimes it turns back to treasure again).
If you can manage to pick up the trash before it turns back into
treasure you’ll be ahead of the game.
The Passers
With the drafting of Josh
Freeman in Round 1, it’s hard to call veteran Luke
McCown the future at QB for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However
a strong showing by the younger McCown brother in 2009 – his brother
Josh has been a journeyman QB that has had moderate success in
some really poor situations – could keep the unpolished Freeman
on the bench for longer than just his rookie season. Of course
Luke needs to hold off fellow veteran Byron Leftwhich, who was
signed this off-season by Tampa Bay as a free agent, but my guess
is that he has the inside track for the starting gig. McCown played
during the last four games of the 2007 season and looked pretty
good while amassing 1,009 yards and five TDs during that stretch,
highlighted by a 313 yard and 2 TD performance against New Orleans.
McCown is an athletic QB with an adequate arm, who will play behind
a solid o-line and will be supported by some solid skill players
in Antonio Bryant, Kellen Winslow, Jr., and Derrick Ward. While
no dynasty owner wants to build their team around him, he can
be useful during bye weeks and perhaps trade bait if he performs
well above expectations.
The Redskins openly tried to upgrade from Jason
Campbell this off-season by going after Jay Cutler and by
also letting the world know their love for rookie Mark
Sanchez. Can the next potential upgrade come from within the
organization? Colt
Brennan put up eye popping stats during his tenure at the
University of Hawaii, and while people are quick to label him
as a system QB, a closer look at his game shows a QB that has
decent arm strength and unbelievable accuracy. His frail frame
could make him an injury risk, but the Skins have a better than
average o-line to protect him. If Campbell struggles, Brennan
may get a chance to see if Jim Zorn’s system fits his game as
well as June Jones’ system did while he was in the NCAA. Anyone
with a roster spot and a need for a QB of the future may want
to take a chance on Brennan.
The Runners
Kenneth
Darby spent most of his rookie season on the Tampa Bay practice
squad before eventually being released. Last October he was signed
by St. Louis off of Atlanta’s practice squad to add some depth
to a Ram team that had lost Brian Leonard to injury. While his
performance may have gone unnoticed by most casual owners, he
looked like he found a home in St. Louis. He eventually passed
Antonio Pittman on the depth chart and earned a start in Week
10 after Steven Jackson was also lost to injury. In week 11 he
managed to grab 8 balls out of the backfield for 83 yards and
finished the season gaining 140 yards on the ground and 183 yards
through the air. Darby is a quick, compact runner who heads into
this season looking like he’ll have a role as the 3rd down back
for the Rams. As most fantasy owners know Steven Jackson hasn’t
exactly been Favresque stringing full seasons together, so by
adding Darby you could have a useful player (especially in point
per reception leagues) who has a chance to be a starting back
at some point this season.
Speaking of the former Scarlet Knight, Brian
Leonard, moves over to Cincinnati where he’ll provide depth
behind the rejuvenated Cedric Benson and will likely secure the
role of the third down back and perhaps play some fullback. Leonard
is the type of hardworking player that should always at least
have some role on an NFL team. At Rutgers he was a star HB who
volunteered to move to FB for his senior season in order to get
Ray Rice on the field. Leonard did manage a 100 yard game during
his rookie season while filling in for Steven Jackson, but lost
most of his sophomore season to injury and is therefore not on
most people’s radar right now. As most of you are aware Cedric
Benson isn’t the most dependable player to don an NFL jersey and
sixth round rookie Bernard Scott has had a trouble plagued college
experience to say the least – so filling a roster space with Leonard
could pay dividends at some point this season and in the future.
Fantasy football message board posters have been incorrectly
predicting Clinton
Portis’ decline for the last couple of seasons due to his
heavy career workload. I’m not going to join in on that discussion
necessarily but will say to keep an eye on two youngsters in Redskin
camp that may contribute in 2009 even if Portis remains healthy
all season and could develop a solid niche for themselves in the
NFL. Marcus Mason created a small buzz after leading the NFL in
rushing last preseason for the Redskins and bounced around to
Baltimore’s practice squad before being signed by the Jets for
depth after Jesse Chatman was suspended. He’s back in camp with
the Redskins and has good size (5’9”, 215 lbs) to go along with
his speed and shiftiness. Anthony Aldridge was signed as an undrafted
free agent by Denver last off-season who was unable to stick on
the roster despite an impressive camp. While small in stature
(5’9, 180 lbs.), he had a very productive senior year at Houston,
rushing for 1,597 yards and 14 TDs. He has a good chance of sticking
as the “speed” back in Washington this season and could be quite
productive as a third down back in Zorn’s version of the WCO.
If he’s able to catch the ball in open space he has the ability
to break a few long plays and open some eyes.
The Packers did not draft a RB this year showing some faith in
incumbent starter Ryan Grant (a player this space told you to
keep an eye on prior to his
breakout two seasons ago) and former second round pick Brandon
Jackson. Grant started the year slowly due to missing camp on
a holdout and a slow healing hamstring injury but played reasonably
well in the second half of the season. Still, while Grant is a
hard, decisive runner and a good fit for the Packer zone blocking
scheme, very few people would argue that he is a tremendously
talented back. Former Georgia Bulldog Kregg
Lumpkin has excellent vision and runs with good power also
making him a good fit for the Packer scheme should the opportunity
arise. If not for an ACL tear while at Georgia, Lumpkin would
have been a much higher rated prospect heading into the NFL draft.
Keep an eye on him.
The Pass Catchers
Earl Bennett definitely disappointed those who drafted him in
rookie drafts last season as he barely saw the field and did not
make one catch during his rookie season. As many reading this
article likely know, Bennett will be reunited with his former
college teammate Jay Cutler this year, so like a BMW the potential
to go from zero to sixty quickly is there in 2009. Cutler lobbied
hard for the Broncos to draft his favorite college pass catcher
last off-season and now he gets his wish for a reunion. Bennett
has the opportunity factor working in his favor and could very
well line up as a starter on opening day. Bennett is tough in
traffic, in that he has sticky hands and can break tackles. He
has enough burst to get open at the NFL level and is very polished
in his route running. He could end up as the Bears top wide receiver
in 2009 when all is said and done. Now is the time to acquire
the former Vanderbilt wide-out, especially if he is owned by one
of more casual owners in your league or was dropped because hid
did nothing last season.
Hakeem Nicks and Ramses Barden are the new pass catchers who
will be in Giants camp this season and the ones receiving the
most hype in the fantasy football community right now. Steve Smith
is entering his third year and has some buzz attached to his name
(rightfully so in my opinion) and most people have Dominek Hixon
on their radar as well after his decent run filling in for Plaxico
Burris last season. However two forgotten young WRs in New York
were also once highly coveted by dynasty owners before becoming
afterthoughts. Third year WR Sinorice
Moss and second year player Mario
Manningham should have expanded roles for the Giants and have
something the heralded rookies do not, experience in the system
and experience with Eli
Manning. During OTAs, in three WR sets, starter Steve Smith
was moved to the slot while Moss lined up at flanker. Moss has
shown some big play abilities in very limited action during his
first two seasons and could surprise some if he takes the next
step and advantage of his opportunity – there aren’t any veterans
in this WR mix after all. Early word is more is expected out of
Manningham as well and we know he was a very productive college
player in a major conference. Admittedly these guys are long shots,
but I just want to remind people that WRs don’t always burst on
the scene and make an impact. Its’ a good idea to not just ignore
pass catchers who haven’t done much in their early careers, as
sometimes they take that next step.
After a stunning preseason, and a pretty good rookie season,
James Jones
was on most avid fantasy player’s radar, but after an injury plagued
sophomore season and Jordy Nelson being the new rookie darling,
Jones fell off that radar. Picking him up cheaply could pay long
term dividends. Donald Driver while still effective, isn’t getting
any younger, and a Jones/Jennings starting tandem in 2010 is just
as likely as a Nelson/Jennings starting duo. Jones’ game is in
the same vein as Anquan Boldin’s in that he’s a big strong target
that is effective after the catch despite not having elite top
end speed. Jones’ big body and ability to go over the middle compliments
the deep threat Jennings perfectly. If Jones has another nice
season as the #3 WR in the Packer offense this season his price
tag is only going to go up.
The Jets drafted Marcus
Henry in the sixth round out of Kansas last season. While
his rookie season was rather non-descript, Henry gets a clean
slate with a new coaching staff and a new QB - whether it’s the
rookie Mark Sanchez or veteran Kellen Clemens. At 6’4”, Henry
gives the Jet receiving corp. the height it is otherwise lacking.
After Jerricho Cotchery the Jets lack any real experience at the
position so while everyone chases Stuckey and Clowney at more
expensive prices, why not pick up Henry on the cheap and see what
develops?
I have brought Jason
Avant, to your attention before in this space as a player
who came into the NFL without much fanfare but could become a
solid possession receiver at the professional level. While he
may be more known now in fantasy circles, he’s still below the
radar. With the Eagles drafting Jeremy Maclin in Round 1 this
off-season and Desean Jackson emerging last year it’s easy to
dismiss Avant as a prospect. Yes it’s a crowded unit when you
also consider that Kevin Curtis and Hank Basket are also still
around, but recently one Eagles executive called Avant “the best
slot receiver in the NFL.” Obviously that’s not really true, but
with the way McNabb likes to spread the ball around and with Jackson/Curtis/Maclin
taking the pass coverage deep, Avant can live underneath and grab
40-60 balls this year which will help in your ppr leagues. The
organization believes in him and so should you.
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