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Doug Orth | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer

Kareem Hunt's Fantasy Value
Posted: 8/29/17

Kareem Hunt

A knee injury to Spencer Ware has opend the door for Kareem Hunt to return high-end RB2 value.

I've been aggressive with Kareem Hunt's projection (obviously pre-Ware injury) and ranking all summer long. NFL Network's Daniel Jeremiah has likened him to Chester Taylor, while I gave him a high-end NFL comp of Ray Rice prior to the draft.

Perhaps the best part of the rookie's game is that he doesn't fumble (one on 722 total touches over his last three years in college) and forces a lot of missed tackles with his surprising combination of power and agility. Obviously, it takes a special set of circumstances in order to bump up a player from No. 5 on my draft prospect list to No. 1 among rookie running backs, but I believe that is exactly what we have here.

Kansas City has attempted no fewer than 411 rushes in any of HC Andy Reid's four seasons at the helm. In three of those seasons, one running back has seen at least 49 percent of the carries. It'd be stunning if Hunt doesn't beat that number by at least a few percentage points this season.)

Better yet, Reid has been a head coach for 18 seasons and placed a running back inside the top 16 in PPR scoring 14 times (including nine top-10 finishes and five top-fives). The four exceptions include Jamaal Charles' 2015 season in which he was lost for the season in Week 5, LeSean McCoy's rookie year in 2009 in which he shared touches with Brian Westbrook for half a season, a three-headed backfield in 2003 and, in 2000, when Duce Staley missed 11 games.

It's a long way of saying if Reid's main back stays healthy and isn't in an obvious timeshare - which does not appear to be the case now - he is probably going to be a high-end RB2 at worst.

Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and been featured in USA Today’s Fantasy Football Preview magazine since 2010. He hosted USA Today’s hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst on a number of national sports radio shows, including Sirius XM’s “Fantasy Drive”. Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.