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 Rankings/Projections > Dynasty Rankings  
Updated: 12/14/18
Doug Orth | Archive | Email |

My offseason view on dynasty rankings is significantly different than it is during the season. For starters, my main focus in the offseason is loading up on as much proven young talent as possible. During the season, I am more concerned about what I already have on my roster and making the subtle moves necessary in order to secure a championship.

Because we are nearing the end of the season, consider this round of dynasty rankings a bit of a preview for 2019. I will release another set shortly after the Super Bowl.

Based on the turnover rate in the NFL each year (roughly 25 percent), it seems foolish to consider anything past three years at any position simply because the odds suggest that three-fourths of the players in these rankings will be insignificant at the end of the 2020 season.

At any rate, here are the main criteria I have chosen to take into consideration while ranking quarterbacks.

Considerations for QB
  • Talent
  • Four years of solid (or better) production remaining
  • Age
  • Age/skill of supporting cast
  • Durability
  • Proven consistency
  • Coaching/scheme stability/situation
These rankings are for PPR leagues, where each touchdown is worth six points.
Upside = Upside   Risk = Risk
Chg Rank Player Tm Age
1 Patrick Mahomes KC 23
  2 Andrew Luck IND 29
  3 Deshaun Watson HOU 23
  4 Carson Wentz PHI 26
  5 Aaron Rodgers GB 35
  6 Russell Wilson SEA 30
Tier 2
  7 Cam Newton CAR 29
  8 Jared Goff LAR 24
9 Baker Mayfield CLE 23
  10 Drew Brees NO 40
  11 Philip Rivers LAC 37
  12 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 37
  13 Lamar Jackson BAL 22
Tier 3
  14 Kirk Cousins MIN 30
  15 Matthew Stafford DET 31
  16 Jimmy Garoppolo SF 27
  17 Mitchell Trubisky CHI 24
18 Matt Ryan ATL 33
  19 Tom Brady NE 41
Tier 4
20 Jameis Winston TB 25
  21 Sam Darnold NYJ 21
  22 Dak Prescott DAL 25
  23 Derek Carr OAK 27
24 Marcus Mariota TEN 25
  25 Josh Allen BUF 22
  26 Josh Rosen ARI 22
Tier 5
  27 Andy Dalton CIN 31
  28 Ryan Tannehill MIA 30
29 Teddy Bridgewater NO 26
  30 Joe Flacco BAL 34
Tier 6
  31 Jacoby Brissett IND 26
  32 Case Keenum DEN 31
  33 Alex Smith WAS 34
  34 Eli Manning NYG 38
35 Kyle Lauletta NYG 24
  36 Cody Kessler JAC 25
Tier 7
  37 Tyrod Taylor CLE 29
38 Blake Bortles JAC 27
  39 Taysom Hill NO 28
40 Nick Mullens SF 23
Patrick Mahomes, KC: Hate to crown a first-year starter, but combination of age/talent/supporting cast is undeniable.

  Russell Wilson, SEA: If run-heavy approach continues into 2019 and 2020, TD regression figures to hit in a big way.

  Jared Goff, LAR: Offense more focused on feeding Todd Gurley at the moment than piling up prolific passing numbers.

  Mitchell Trubisky, CHI: October surge and rushing ability overshadow current fundamental shortcomings.

Jameis Winston, TB: Seems to prove considerable upside/downside on a regular basis; could be done in Tampa after 2018.

Marcus Mariota, TEN: Starting to look as if it will not going to come together for him in Tennessee.

  Josh Rosen, ARI: Long-term coaching/supporting cast concerns make him more of a dynasty project.

Teddy Bridgewater, NO: Very good bet to become a starting QB again in 2019 after strong preseason showing.

  Joe Flacco, BAL: Likely done in Baltimore after 2018 with Lamar Jackson primed to take over.

  Alex Smith, WAS: Midseason leg injury reportedly has put his career in jeopardy.

Doug Orth has written for FF Today since 2006 and been featured in USA Today’s Fantasy Football Preview magazine since 2010. He hosted USA Today’s hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst on a number of national sports radio shows, including Sirius XM’s “Fantasy Drive”. Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.