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Regular Season, Updated: 7/19/18


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Legend:   Upside = Upside   Risk = Risk   ADP = Average Draft Position
FF Today Standard Scoring: Review Scoring
 Tyreek Hill, KC (Bye: 12)
13
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 185   DOB: 1994-03-01   Age: 24
College: West Alabama   Draft: 2016 Round 5 (28) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2016KC1661 593 6 24 267 3 140.0 8.8
2017KC1575 1,183 7 17 59 0 166.2 11.1
2018 (Projected)KC 70 965 6 11 85 1 147.0  

 Allen Robinson, CHI (Bye: 5)
14
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 210   DOB: 1993-08-24   Age: 24
College: Penn State   Draft: 2014 Round 2 (29) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015JAC1680 1,400 14 0 0 0 224.0 14.0
2016JAC1673 883 6 0 0 0 124.3 7.8
2017JAC11 17 0 0 0 0 1.7 1.7
2018 (Projected)CHI 72 968 7 0 0 0 138.8  

Outlook: Robinson took the NFL by storm in his second season when he put up a monster 80-1400-14 campaign with Jacksonville. He came crashing down to earth in 2016 seeing a huge drop off in every statistical category. He had a comically bad catch rate on deep balls, and looked to bounce back going in 2017. Well the redemption season never quite got off the ground as Robinson tore his ACL on his first and only reception of the season. Unwilling to pick up his 5th year option, or franchise him, Robinson skipped off to Chicago where his future looks bright once again.

The former Nittany Lion will have had nearly a year to recover from his injury by the time camp starts next month. All reports have his rehab going along perfectly, and the Bears expect him to be a big part of the offense as evidenced by the financial commitment they made to him. Still only 24 despite entering his 5th season in the league, Robinson has age and monster talent on his side. He participated in OTAs this offseason, and looks on track to be the No.1 option in the passing game. Chicago has gutted its receiving core leaving a ton of potential receptions and yards on the table for Robinson to claim. I don't know that he returns to the silly numbers of 2015, but this offense is going to be open and creative, and I think Trubisky makes a leap in his 2nd year. I'm not ready to pin my hopes on him as a WR1, but I think he puts up consistent WR2 numbers with the upside for more.


 T.Y. Hilton, IND (Bye: 9)
15
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 183   DOB: 1989-11-14   Age: 28
College: Florida International   Draft: 2012 Round 3 (29) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015IND1669 1,124 5 0 0 0 142.4 8.9
2016IND1691 1,448 6 0 0 0 180.8 11.3
2017IND1657 966 4 0 0 0 120.6 7.5
2018 (Projected)IND 70 1,085 5 0 0 0 138.5  

 JuJu Smith-Schuster, PIT (Bye: 7)
16
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 215   DOB: 1996-11-22   Age: 21
College: Southern California   Draft: 2017 Round 2 (30) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017PIT1358 917 7 0 0 0 133.7 10.3
2018 (Projected)PIT 68 945 7 0 0 0 136.5  

 Demaryius Thomas, DEN (Bye: 10)
17
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 229   DOB: 1987-12-25   Age: 30
College: Georgia Tech   Draft: 2010 Round 1 (22) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015DEN16105 1,304 6 0 0 0 166.4 10.4
2016DEN1690 1,083 5 0 0 0 138.3 8.6
2017DEN1683 949 5 0 0 0 124.9 7.8
2018 (Projected)DEN 81 1,007 6 0 0 0 136.7  

Outlook: It's been painful to watch Demaryius Thomas suffer through some of the worst quarterback play in the league over the past few seasons and Thomas finally failed to reach 1,000 receiving yards this past season for the first time since 2011, his second season in the league. Thomas finished tied for 10th in the NFL in 2017 with 10 red zone receptions, but he got a bit unlucky as he only finished with five touchdowns on the season. The 30-year-old wideout may not possess the incredible 4.41 speed that made him one of the biggest freak athletes at the position when he came into the league, but Thomas still creates major mismatches, especially in the red zone, with his size and strength.

The bright side for Thomas is that, while his counting stats have been down in recent seasons, he's still seeing a ton of targets and the efficiency of those targets should go up with even semi-competent quarterback play. Thomas now will get to play with Case Keenum, who finished second in the NFL, behind only an all-time NFL record performance by Drew Brees, with a 67.6 completion percentage in 2017. Keenum doesn't specialize in down-field passing but he should be a significant step up from the dumpster fire of a situation that Thomas has been dealing with as of late.

The Broncos did invest an early-second round pick on wide receiver Courtland Sutton who figures to be the heir-apparent for Thomas, but that won't likely come to fruition until at least the 2019 season when Thomas' contract is up for renewal. For now, the veteran should be in line to see at least 125 targets this season which should give him a high enough floor to out-produce his current ADP, which has him in the 20s among wide receivers.

He doesn't have the sexy name anymore but players like Thomas are a great option as a WR2 or even a very low-end WR1 for teams that go running back-heavy early in their drafts, or who select a quarterback or tight end in the first few rounds. His days as a true WR1 for fantasy purposes are probably done, but don't sleep on Thomas in 2018 just because he hasn't been great over the past few seasons.


 Adam Thielen, MIN (Bye: 10)
18
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 195   DOB: 1990-08-22   Age: 27
College: None   Draft:
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015MIN912 144 0 4 89 0 23.3 2.6
2016MIN1669 967 5 2 15 0 128.2 8.0
2017MIN1691 1,277 4 1 11 0 152.8 9.6
2018 (Projected)MIN 76 1,040 5 0 0 0 134.0  

Outlook: I really whiffed on my preview of Thielen last off-season. Not many people, including myself, expected him to repeat the breakout he had in 2016. And to be fair, he didn't repeat it at all, he shattered it! His targets, receptions and yards were way up, and while his touchdown totals remain pretty flat for a team's #1 receiver, there's no doubt it's time to take Thielen seriously as a yearly WR1. His 143 targets were tied with A.J. Green for 9th in the NFL and his 1,200 yards were good for 5th overall. He displayed a cool chemistry with Keenum and should make sweet music with Kirk Cousins, who possesses better ball placement and arm strength. Thielen wins with elite hands and body control, and is a master route runner. His high reception totals mean he'll give you weekly consistency, especially in PPR leagues. They didn't give Cousins all that money to mothball this offense, so I can't see why there aren't at least 130 targets that go Thielen's way this season. The low touchdown totals are going to keep his value muted in standard leagues, but he should again provide one of the biggest receiver bargains in fantasy football as a low end WR1 you can snag after all the other big names dry up. After back-to-back impressive seasons fantasy owners are Adam valuing Theilen as low-end WR1.


 Golden Tate, DET (Bye: 6)
19
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 202   DOB: 1988-08-02   Age: 29
College: Notre Dame   Draft: 2010 Round 2 (28) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015DET1690 813 6 6 41 0 121.4 7.6
2016DET1691 1,077 4 10 4 0 132.1 8.3
2017DET1692 1,003 5 5 22 0 132.5 8.3
2018 (Projected)DET 92 1,045 5 4 19 0 136.4  

Outlook: Handicapping the Lions passing game for fantasy purposes has frankly been a dream. The trio of Stafford-Jones-Tate have put up nearly identical stats for the two seasons they've played together. Tate, despite some bumps and bruises played 16 games yet again, and reached the 90-catch plateau for a fourth straight time. He's been so darn consistent that his 8.3 fantasy points per game from 2017 is IDENTICAL to 2016! This offense plays perfectly to his run-after-the-catch skillset. He gets open where he needs to be (he caught 77% of the passes thrown his way), and while he might not find the endzone often, he racks up catches and yards in bunches. It's not really complicated. In PPR leagues he's an easy WR1. In standard leagues he's a plug and forget WR2. Not exciting, but the kind of receiver that helps fantasy teams string wins together and stay afloat during tough times.


 Alshon Jeffery, PHI (Bye: 9)
20
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 216   DOB: 1990-02-14   Age: 28
College: South Carolina   Draft: 2012 Round 2 (13) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015CHI954 807 4 0 0 0 104.7 11.6
2016CHI1252 821 2 0 0 0 94.1 7.8
2017PHI1657 789 9 0 0 0 132.9 8.3
2018 (Projected)PHI 65 871 7 0 0 0 129.1  

Outlook: After a slow start to the season in which the former second-round pick from South Carolina manned just two receiving touchdowns in his first seven games, Alshon Jeffery came through for fantasy owners with a receiving score in six of his final eight contests. The high touchdown production made up for the fact that Jeffery caught just 49% of his targets, failed to reach 100 yards in any game, and posted the second-lowest yard per reception average of his six-year NFL career.

Jeffery is an attractive option for owners playing in standard leagues as he will continue to be a primary touchdown scoring threat at the wide receiver position for Carson Wentz. Jeffery will also become more of a valuable asset in PPR formats if he is able to positively regress back to his career catch rate of 55% and yard per reception average of 15 yards.


 Devin Funchess, CAR (Bye: 4)
21
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 232   DOB: 1994-05-21   Age: 24
College: Michigan   Draft: 2015 Round 2 (9) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015CAR1631 473 5 0 0 0 77.3 4.8
2016CAR1423 371 4 0 0 0 61.1 4.4
2017CAR1663 840 8 0 0 0 132.0 8.3
2018 (Projected)CAR 66 913 6 0 0 0 127.3  

Outlook: Funchess' breakout as the top wide receiver in Carolina felt like a long-time coming despite the fact that 2017 was just his third season. Since arriving from Michigan, Funchess seemed to be the most talented WR on the depth chart and his ceiling remained enticing in spite of his limited usage. And then the team "finally" moved on from Kelvin Benjamin and his value exploded. After scoring more than 10 fantasy points twice in the first nine weeks, he scored in double digits 5 of the final 7 weeks in 2017.

With the incoming first round WR pick (D.J. Moore) and return of 2017's second round selection (Curtis Samuel), there's additional competition for targets that could hinder Funchess' scoring. But even with the extra competition, he is the favorite to lead the team in targets and with his size, he should be plenty of redzone usage. His yardage efficiency (13.3 ypc) doesn't jump off the page which could make him slightly touchdown dependent. His ADP hovers around WR31 and as a WR3, he'll have value for fantasy owners.


 Michael Crabtree, BAL (Bye: 10)
22
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 214   DOB: 1987-09-14   Age: 30
College: Texas Tech   Draft: 2009 Round 1 (10) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015OAK1685 922 9 0 0 0 146.2 9.1
2016OAK1689 1,003 8 0 0 0 148.3 9.3
2017OAK1358 618 8 0 0 0 109.8 8.4
2018 (Projected)BAL 74 878 6 0 0 0 123.8  

Outlook: Crabtree wouldn't be the first receiver I'd go after during a full on rebuild at the position, but he does give the Ravens a reliable veteran possession receiver that's scored 25 touchdowns over the last three seasons. Injuries and age have relegated Crabtree to be very touchdown dependent (his 10.7 yards per catch average was good for 85th in the NFL last year). He's going to get open using savvy route running and solid technique, but offers nothing in the way of big plays after the catch. There are 164 targets up for grabs after the departure of Maclin and Wallace, so Crabtree should get his fair share. Being the most reliable and productive receiver on the team will certainly give Crabtree a chance to surpass his depressing reception and yardage numbers from last year. Keep in mind that injuries cost Crabtree three games last season, and he'll be an "old" 31 when the season starts. With a slight regression in touchdowns, but an increase in yards and receptions, he could be a low end WR2, but I'd feel infinitely more comfortable picking him as a steady, but unexciting WR3.


 Stefon Diggs, MIN (Bye: 10)
23
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 195   DOB: 1993-11-29   Age: 24
College: Maryland   Draft: 2015 Round 5 (10) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015MIN1352 720 4 3 13 0 97.3 7.5
2016MIN1384 903 3 3 10 0 109.3 8.4
2017MIN1464 849 8 8 13 0 134.2 9.6
2018 (Projected)MIN 71 917 5 5 16 0 123.3  

Outlook: The Yin to Adam Thielen's Yang, Stefon Diggs was a tale of peaks and valleys during the 2017 season. He began the season looking like a bonafide #1 fantasy receiver with a 22-391-4 line over the first four games. He seemed to mesh very well with newly installed starter Case Keenum, but a 7-week stretch followed the hot start that saw Diggs only snag one more touchdown and fail to register 80 yards. A 3-game touchdown streak salvaged some value in the fantasy playoffs, but as a whole he was down a significant amount of receptions from 2016.

Diggs' 8 touchdowns last season (in only 14 games) were more than he combined in his previous two seasons, and I expect there to be a natural regression in 2018. He'll be breaking in yet another new quarterback this season in Kirk Cousins, whose deep ball skill-set actually matches well with Diggs. I just think too much of this passing game funnels through Thielen, as the offensive scheme won't change much even with a new signal caller at the helm. His role in the offense means he's going to be inconsistent on a weekly basis, as he'll mix WR1 weeks with WR4 weeks. Let's split the difference and say with a slight regression in touchdowns and a slight increase in yards and receptions, Diggs comes in at a low-end WR2.


 Chris Hogan, NE (Bye: 11)
24
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 220   DOB: 1988-10-24   Age: 29
College: Monmouth   Draft:
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015BUF1336 450 2 1 4 0 57.4 4.4
2016NE1538 680 4 3 9 0 92.9 6.2
2017NE934 439 5 3 17 0 75.6 8.4
2018 (Projected)NE 63 845 6 0 0 0 120.5