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Regular Season, Updated: 9/4/17

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 Demaryius Thomas, DEN (Bye: 5)
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 229   DOB: 1987-12-25   Age: 30
College: Georgia Tech   Draft: 2010 Round 1 (22) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014DEN16111 1,619 11 0 0 0 227.9 14.2
2015DEN16105 1,304 6 0 0 0 166.4 10.4
2016DEN1690 1,083 5 0 0 0 138.3 8.6
2017 (Projected)DEN 87 1,115 7 0 0 0 153.5  

Outlook: With five straight 1,000-yard receiving seasons, few players in the league have been more productive for longer than Demaryius Thomas. He's battled through quarterback changes, coaching changes, injuries and host of other potentially devastating issues but Thomas continues to produce low-end WR1 or at least solid WR2 numbers every season. Thomas did it again in 2016 and he did so after suffering a hip injury on literally the first play of the season. Now fully healthy, Thomas has been telling reporters that he's never felt better and with some progression from Trevor Siemian, there's no reason to believe that Thomas can't get back to being a top-12 fantasy WR. The nice thing about Thomas is that while his ceiling may not be quite what it was when he was catching passes from Peyton Manning, there is still very little competition outside of Emmanuel Sanders for targets in this offense. As long as that is the case, Thomas has a very low bust potential thus making him one of the safer WR2 options on the board and a player who will produce quality numbers most weeks.

 Allen Robinson, JAC (Bye: 8)
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 210   DOB: 1993-08-24   Age: 24
College: Penn State   Draft: 2014 Round 2 (29) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014JAC1048 548 2 0 0 0 66.8 6.7
2015JAC1680 1,400 14 0 0 0 224.0 14.0
2016JAC1673 883 6 0 0 0 124.3 7.8
2017 (Projected)JAC 79 1,086 7 0 0 0 150.6  

Outlook: Ouch. Allen Robinson hit the ground with a loud thud in 2016. After being a consensus top ten receiver at the outset of the year, fantasy owners were given a modicum of fantasy points for a player with Robinson's stature. A rebound is very likely and fantasy players should be lining up for the discount when draft day approaches. The targets were nearly identical and there is no reason to suspect the passing game will suddenly start throwing the ball to their top receiver less in the new offense. Secondly, even though touchdowns can fluctuate from year to year, the six Robinson snared a year ago are the result of the team underperforming and not Robinson's ability. Robinson offers elite targets and touchdown potential in an offense that should yield high yardage totals once everyone is on the same page. Fantasy owners shouldn't expect him to reach 2015 levels but he won't need to hit those numbers in order for fantasy owners to return a profit at his current third round price tag.

 Michael Crabtree, OAK (Bye: 10)
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 214   DOB: 1987-09-14   Age: 30
College: Texas Tech   Draft: 2009 Round 1 (10) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014SF1668 698 4 1 4 0 94.2 5.9
2015OAK1685 922 9 0 0 0 146.2 9.1
2016OAK1689 1,003 8 0 0 0 148.3 9.3
2017 (Projected)OAK 83 985 8 0 0 0 146.5  

Outlook: While it's the budding superstar Amari Cooper who has been the recipient of most of the hype, the wide receiver who has quietly led the Raiders in both targets and receptions - as well as fantasy points - for the past two seasons is actually Michael Crabtree. Crabtree's production in each of his first two seasons in Oakland has been almost a copy-and-paste, but it's been good enough for him to finish as a borderline WR1 in both seasons. While he gave fantasy owners zero games of more than 110 receiving yards, Crabtree was substantially more consistent in 2016 than his counterpart, Cooper. Crabtree caught multiple passes in every game and finished with four or more receptions in each of his final six games of the season. He sees a tremendous amount of red zone targets which has allowed him to score 17 times over the past two seasons, which is certainly helpful during weeks when his yardage totals might not be quite as high. He may not possess the upside that Cooper does and most believe that he's going to take a bit of a backseat to the young playmaker in 2017, but there's still a great chance that Crabtree produces numbers good enough to make him a quality WR2 in most formats.

 DeAndre Hopkins, HOU (Bye: 7)
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 205   DOB: 1992-06-06   Age: 25
College: Clemson   Draft: 2013 Round 1 (27) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014HOU1676 1,210 6 0 0 0 157.0 9.8
2015HOU16111 1,521 11 0 0 0 218.1 13.6
2016HOU1678 954 4 0 0 0 119.4 7.5
2017 (Projected)HOU 80 1,075 6 0 0 0 143.5  

Outlook: Perhaps no other player was hurt more by the Texans' poor quarterback play last season than DeAndre Hopkins. Last year, the team seemed more concerned with eating as much clock as it could rather than utilizing Hopkins' play making abilities to muster up something worthy of a highlight reel or fantasy points for that matter. The only games in which Hopkins reached double digit fantasy points were the four games he found the end zone, making him a fantasy bust last season. The good news for fantasy owners in 2017 is that if Tom Savage can't get the ball to Hopkins, then Deshaun Watson will see the field sooner rather than later. The team isn't going to let their superstar wideout decay as their quarterback repeatedly flounders over the entire fantasy campaign.

Barring an injury, the twenty-five-year-old receiver is a lock for 150 targets. His hands are good enough to catch 100 passes in any given year and his down field attributes give him elite yardage potential as well. Tom Savage's only hope at remaining the starter this season lies with his ability to get Hopkins the ball and Watson's scrambling ability will force defenses to cover Hopkins even longer. Hopkins might not reach his true potential in 2017, but both situations point to a borderline WR1 that is currently being drafted in the third round.

 Larry Fitzgerald, ARI (Bye: 8)
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 218   DOB: 1983-08-31   Age: 34
College: Pittsburgh   Draft: 2004 Round 1 (3) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014ARI1463 784 2 0 0 0 90.4 6.5
2015ARI16109 1,215 9 0 0 0 175.5 11.0
2016ARI16108 1,028 6 1 1 0 138.9 8.7
2017 (Projected)ARI 91 992 7 0 0 0 141.2  

Outlook: Another year older, another year wiser for Cardinals wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald who has now gone over 100 receptions and 1,000 yards in back-to-back seasons while making 15 total touchdown receptions over the past two years. He'll be 34 years-old this year, but Fitzgerald has given us very little reason to believe that he won't again be Carson Palmer's favorite target in an offense that has shown that it can move the ball.

The 6'3", 220 lb wide receiver doesn't exactly fit the mold of what would be considered a slot receiver for most teams, but that's the role he's been doing the most damage out of in recent seasons. His selflessness has allowed him to take his tremendous route-running skills and extend his career by becoming exactly what the team needed him to be. In fact, Fitzgerald was tied for second-most receptions out of the slot in the NFL this past season with 63 catches. He did that while battling a knee injury for much of the season.

Fitzgerald only had one game with over 81 yards receiving on the season and he caught just one touchdown after Week 5. Still, he was a PPR workhorse, catching at least three passes in every contest and at least five passes in all but three games. Now healthy again, Fitzgerald projects to again be a great WR3 with very realistic WR2 potential. His high target volume makes him a high floor option again this year, but his upside isn't likely as a WR1 anymore, at least not on a week-to-week basis.

 Kelvin Benjamin, CAR (Bye: 11)
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 234   DOB: 1991-02-05   Age: 27
College: Florida State   Draft: 2014 Round 1 (28) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014CAR1673 1,008 9 0 0 0 154.8 9.7
2016CAR1663 941 7 0 0 0 136.1 8.5
2017 (Projected)CAR 74 985 7 0 0 0 140.5  

Outlook: I was certainly on the Kelvin Benjamin bandwagon at this time last year and still find myself baffled as to why he wasn't able to do more in 2016. Cam Newton may not be the best passer in the league but he doesn't need to be Drew Brees when throwing to a guy who stands six-foot five-inches tall! Cam Newton threw more passes to his tight end than he did to Benjamin. Greg Olsen is a truly great player, but not finding a way to get one of the hardest players to defend more involved in the passing game was a grave mistake not likely to be repeated in 2017. The gap between Benjamin and the next best receiver is sizable so there should be enough targets to make Benjamin a legit WR1 in the fake game. His touchdown upside makes him extremely attractive after the first two rounds and his current sixth round ADP seems criminally low. If Kelvin Benjamin can post top twenty fantasy points on 117 targets and only one 100-plus-yard game, he can be scary good with even the slightest of rebounds from Newton.

 Golden Tate, DET (Bye: 7)
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 202   DOB: 1988-08-02   Age: 29
College: Notre Dame   Draft: 2010 Round 2 (28) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014DET1699 1,331 4 5 30 0 160.1 10.0
2015DET1690 813 6 6 41 0 121.4 7.6
2016DET1691 1,077 4 10 4 0 132.1 8.3
2017 (Projected)DET 92 1,045 5 3 22 0 136.7  

Outlook: While Marvin Jones doesn't quite fit what the Lions offense is capable of doing right now, Golden Tate's game fits like a glove. Tate has been a PPR darling since joining Detroit as a free agent in 2014, piling up 90, 99, and 91 reception seasons. While Jones was lighting things up, Tate was barely breathing during an opening five-game stretch where he totaled 133 yards and no touchdowns. To say the Week 6 line of 8-160-1 line came out of nowhere is an understatement! From that game on, it was clear the Lions offense needed to feature Tate in the passing game to be successful. Tate resumed his go-to status, as Stafford targeted him 10 or more times, seven out of the team's final eleven regular season games.

Like most of the Detroit skill position players, I don't expect a big change in stats. The system, and what the Lions are capable of accomplishing on offense isn't going to change a great deal. The ball control passing game will remain and the Lions should be able to run the ball a bit more if their backs stay healthy. Tate should retain a healthy dose of targets, and be a strong PPR option and a fine bet for WR2 production in standard leagues.

 Tyreek Hill, KC (Bye: 10)
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 185   DOB: 1994-03-01   Age: 24
College: West Alabama   Draft: 2016 Round 5 (28) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2016KC1661 593 6 24 267 3 140.0 8.8
2017 (Projected)KC 69 775 6 26 220 2 147.5  

Outlook: The Chiefs cut top receiver Jeremy Maclin this off-season, which caused Tyreek Hill's fantasy stock to skyrocket. The second-year playmaker is expected to takeover Maclin's role as the "Z" receiver in the Kansas City offense - an offensive system known for being notoriously unfriendly to wide receivers. Hill was arguably the most explosive player in the entire league as a rookie, but much of that production came when the Chiefs were able to create mismatches against nickel cornerbacks and confuse defenses with gadget plays. Hill's ADP shot up dramatically right when the Maclin story broke and it might drop off a bit, but the chances of him finishing as a WR1 for fantasy purposes are just not great, especially if you're in a scoring format where individual players do not get credit for special teams scores. It's also worth noting that while he's expected to keep his role as the team's primary punt returner, the second-year burner will no longer be regularly returning kickoffs. Hill could continue to surprise everyone, by honing his craft as a route runner because the chances that he continues to score at the crazy rate per touch that he did in 2016 are unlikely. Hill played on only 40 percent of the team's offensive snaps last season but managed to score 9 TDs (6 receiving, 3 rushing) finishing as the WR23 in PPR leagues.

 Stefon Diggs, MIN (Bye: 9)
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 195   DOB: 1993-11-29   Age: 24
College: Maryland   Draft: 2015 Round 5 (10) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015MIN1352 720 4 3 13 0 97.3 7.5
2016MIN1384 903 3 3 10 0 109.3 8.4
2017 (Projected)MIN 87 1,045 5 0 0 0 134.5  

Outlook: For all intents and purposes, Diggs had a fine follow-up to his surprising 2015 rookie season. Last season Diggs paced the team in catches with 84, and fell just below Adam Thielen for the team lead in receiving yards. He started off the season on fire, compiling 16 catches for 285 yards and a touchdown, but the great start faded quickly after a groin injury in Week 4. Diggs gutted it out, only missing one game, but his quickness and explosion was clearly affected, and other than a huge Week 10, Diggs was mostly a desperation fantasy option from Week 11 on.

This is largely a spread the wealth offense in both the passing and running games, so I don't expect any Vikings offensive player to lead fantasy teams to victory by themselves, but if Diggs can stay healthy he's could max out in 90-1000-5 territory, which would be mid-tier WR2 numbers. I do think the Vikings will run the ball more efficiently, and Laquon Treadwell is sure to leach some targets away, so Diggs' upside is limited by scheme. Make no mistake, this is a talented player who's entering just his third season and is only 23 years old. If he can be more consistent, and avoid some of the nagging injuries, he could be an excellent value selection.

 Emmanuel Sanders, DEN (Bye: 5)
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 180   DOB: 1987-03-17   Age: 31
College: -   Draft: 2010 Round 3 (18) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014DEN16101 1,404 9 8 44 0 198.8 12.4
2015DEN1576 1,135 6 3 29 0 152.4 10.2
2016DEN1579 1,032 5 1 4 0 133.6 8.9
2017 (Projected)DEN 73 966 6 0 0 0 132.6  

Outlook: Like his partner in crime Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders continues to produce quality fantasy production despite shaky quarterback play and numerous coaching changes during his time in Denver. Sanders' numbers have dipped in each of his three seasons with the Broncos, but he's never finished outside of fantasy WR2 range. The tremendously high usage could allow both of these receivers to finish within the top 12 at their position in targets this season returning WR2 value in the process. What's interesting about Sanders is that his numbers in 2016 were decent, but they could've been substantially better if he didn't fall upon some bad luck. He finished in the top three of all receivers in inaccurate passes thrown in his direction. While Trevor Siemian isn't likely to suddenly become an extremely accurate passer, chances are that he'll make some sort of progression this season and that could lead to good things for Sanders and his fantasy production. Despite being highly targeted, the Denver offense simply doesn't put up enough points that Sanders is likely to be an elite option at his position, but he does offer a high floor.

 Pierre Garcon, SF (Bye: 11)
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 210   DOB: 1986-08-08   Age: 31
College: Mount Union   Draft: 2008 Round 6 (39) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014WAS1668 752 3 0 0 0 93.2 5.8
2015WAS1672 777 6 0 0 0 113.7 7.1
2016WAS1679 1,041 3 0 0 0 122.1 7.6
2017 (Projected)SF 86 1,080 5 0 0 0 138.0  

Outlook: Newly acquired wide receiver Pierre Garcon tops the list of acquisitions for the 49ers heading into the 2017 season. Statistically one of the three most sure-handed receivers in the league from 2016, Garcon reunites with head coach Kyle Shanahan who was the Redskins' offensive coordinator when Garcon led the team in receiving yards in 2013. Garcon has never been a big time red zone threat, but the 49ers just don't have many better options. Garcon is going from two teams (Indianapolis and Washington) with a plethora of red zone threats to a team where he might be the only receiver who will score five or more touchdowns this season.

The name Brian Hoyer doesn't scream confidence for fantasy production, but Hoyer has actually utilized his top receivers quite well in the past, particularly when he was with DeAndre Hopkins in Houston. Hopkins is certainly more skilled than Garcon at this point in his career, but Hopkins' disastrous 2016 season proved that Hoyer isn't just some terrible QB who happened to get lucky by having Hopkins to throw to. Unfortunately Garcon is going from a high-powered passing game in Washington to a team that does not have many offensive weapons, which will almost certainly mean that opposing teams will key in on him on passing downs. Look for a slight uptick in red zone production, but a lower yards-per-reception which should translate to Garcon having a fairly similar season - at least points-wise - to what he had in Washington in 2016.

 Keenan Allen, LAC (Bye: 9)
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 210   DOB: 1992-04-27   Age: 25
College: California   Draft: 2013 Round 3 (14) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014SD1477 783 4 0 0 0 102.3 7.3
2015SD867 725 4 0 0 0 96.5 12.1
2016SD16 63 0 0 0 0 6.3 6.3
2017 (Projected)LAC 83 976 6 0 0 0 133.6  

Outlook: It's been a tough two years for wide receiver Keenan Allen. Allen played one half of football in 2016 and spent the rest of the year rehabbing a torn ACL. He also missed half of the 2015 season with a freak kidney injury, which was crippling to many fantasy owners as he was on pace for monster totals of over 130 catches, 1,400 yards and 8 TDs. Reports indicate that Allen is progressing well and should be fully ready for the regular season, if not the preseason, which should be music to the ears of Philip Rivers. Allen will likely be Rivers' most trusted target out wide as the duo has built solid chemistry over the last four years. There are concerns that Allen might concede some red zone looks to rookie Mike Williams, but Allen himself is the type of receiver who can produce quality fantasy numbers on a week-to-week basis even if he doesn't get into the end zone. Touchdown potential is a major concern for all pass catchers in this offense due to the physical size of the receivers and the quality of tight ends on the roster, but Allen is easily the safest of the bunch even with his recent injury history.