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Regular Season, Updated: 7/19/18

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Legend:   Upside = Upside   Risk = Risk   ADP = Average Draft Position
FF Today Standard Scoring: Review Scoring
 Brandin Cooks, LAR (Bye: 12)
Height: 5’9”   Weight: 189   DOB: 1993-09-25   Age: 24
College: Oregon State   Draft: 2014 Round 1 (20) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015NO1684 1,140 9 8 18 0 169.8 10.6
2016NO1678 1,173 8 6 30 0 168.3 10.5
2017NE1665 1,082 7 9 40 0 154.2 9.6
2018 (Projected)LAR 54 813 5 12 65 1 123.8  

Outlook: Cooks finds himself in his third home in five seasons as a pro after spending the first four years of his career playing with future Hall of Famers Drew Brees and Tom Brady. He'll now move to Los Angeles where he'll play with third-year quarterback Jared Goff. While Goff certainly took a huge step forward in 2017, it's not a stretch to say that Goff will have a tough time getting the ball to Cooks in the same way that Brees and Brady did.

While he's finished as a WR1 numerous times, Cooks has never surpassed 84 receptions, 1,200 receiving yards or achieved double-digit touchdowns receiving in a season. He has, however, been consistent in his production over the past three seasons, going for between 1,082 yards and 1,173 yards and between seven to nine touchdowns in each of those three seasons.

Cooks enters a crowded Los Angeles pass catching group which saw both Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods catch 56-plus catches, along with Todd Gurley who added 64 receptions of his own. Cooks presumably replaces Sammy Watkins, who joined the team late in the offseason and never seemed to get fully acclimated in the offense. Watkins was targeted just 70 times in 15 games, but did lead the team with eight touchdown receptions.

Given his track record and the fact that he'll get to spend an entire training camp with the Rams, Cooks should get a healthier target share than Watkins did, but that still could limited him to fewer than 100 targets. Cooks saw no fewer than 114 targets in each of his past three seasons, playing with elite-level quarterbacks, and he still didn't put up elite fantasy numbers. Cooks is typically being drafted somewhere around 15th-to-20th at his position, so there is some upside here, especially if Woods were to be injured at some point during the season.

 Marvin Jones, DET (Bye: 6)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 200   DOB: 1990-03-12   Age: 28
College: California   Draft: 2012 Round 5 (31) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015CIN1665 816 4 5 33 0 108.9 6.8
2016DET1555 930 4 1 3 0 117.3 7.8
2017DET1661 1,101 9 0 0 0 164.1 10.3
2018 (Projected)DET 54 855 6 0 0 0 121.5  

Outlook: In a battle of Jones receivers, it was Marvin who got the best of Julio in last season's standard scoring rankings. He also bested my personal projects by a ton, finishing as a solid and fairly consistent WR1. So what the heck exactly happened last season? Touchdowns and big plays, the two things really lacking in his first season with the Lions in 2016. His 61 receptions were good for only 29th in the league, but his 1,101 yards (9th) and 9 touchdowns (tied for 3rd) boosted his value into the stratosphere. The biggest benefit to having Jones on your fantasy team last year was that these numbers were spread out over 16 games fairly evenly, making him a rare consistent big play threat. But there are a few reasons why I think this big finish is an aberration. First, the offense in general is more balanced, and has a wider array of playmakers. Backfield additions and the health and development of Golladay should keep Jones's target and reception totals fairly muted. He's been between 103-107 targets and 55-65 catches for three straight seasons, and I don't expect a deviation from those numbers in either direction. What I do expect a drop off is in touchdowns. Despite elite body control and hands, there will be other red zone options this time around, and I think he settles into the 5-6 score range. If you are careful not to chase his 2017 numbers and overdraft him, Marvin Jones should provide some decent WR2 value for your team.

 Josh Gordon, CLE (Bye: 11)
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 225   DOB: 1991-04-13   Age: 27
College: Baylor   Draft:
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017CLE518 335 1 0 0 0 39.5 7.9
2018 (Projected)CLE 55 855 6 0 0 0 121.5  

 Robby Anderson, NYJ (Bye: 11)
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 190   DOB: 1993-05-09   Age: 25
College: Temple   Draft:
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2016NYJ1442 587 2 3 42 0 74.9 5.4
2017NYJ1663 941 7 3 9 0 137.0 8.6
2018 (Projected)NYJ 62 860 6 3 23 0 124.3  

 Rishard Matthews, TEN (Bye: 8)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 217   DOB: 1989-10-12   Age: 28
College: Nevada-Reno   Draft: 2012 Round 7 (20) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015MIA1143 662 4 1 4 0 90.6 8.2
2016TEN1665 945 9 0 0 0 148.5 9.3
2017TEN1453 795 4 1 -3 0 103.2 7.4
2018 (Projected)TEN 60 871 5 0 0 0 117.1  

Outlook: Matthews is an annually undervalued wide receiver passed up for more "exciting" options. As it stands, Matthews is the top wide receiver option for an offense bringing in a new offensive coordinator who proved that he can improve the passing game. 2016 was the highlight year for Matthews when he finished as the WR11 in standard scoring, but even with a step back in the offense and new receivers brought in, Matthews finished as the WR36 last season.

In just 14 games, Matthew put up a WR3 season. And in those 14 games, he put up four double-digit fantasy performances. While he'll never be a highlight reel WR1, Matthews has proven flex value and now has shown some level of success with two teams. If he can command the 18 percent target share given to LaFleur's WR1 in 2017, he'll easily outperform his WR55 ADP.

 Pierre Garcon, SF (Bye: 11)
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 210   DOB: 1986-08-08   Age: 31
College: Mount Union   Draft: 2008 Round 6 (39) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015WAS1672 777 6 0 0 0 113.7 7.1
2016WAS1679 1,041 3 0 0 0 122.1 7.6
2017SF840 500 0 0 0 0 50.0 6.3
2018 (Projected)SF 73 925 4 0 0 0 116.5  

Outlook: Pierre Garcon missed the second half of the 2017 season with an injury which means that he's one of the few players in this passing game who hasn't had the opportunity to play alongside quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo in a real game. Still, Garcon is by far the most experienced pass catcher in this offense and he is fully expected to resume his role as the team's top option out wide. Reports indicate that he and Garoppolo have been developing chemistry in training camp, which should give them plenty of time to be prepared by Week 1.

He's only being drafted as a WR3 or even WR4 heading into the season largely because he's coming off the season-ending injury, a broken bone in his neck, but Garcon does have WR2 upside, especially in PPR formats. He was on pace for a 1000-yard season in 2017 prior to his injury so it's not as if the wheels have completely fallen off. Although he won't be a sexy name to call on draft day, Garcon could deliver steady enough numbers this season to satisfy fantasy owners, especially in a Shanahan offense that he's found success in earlier in his career.

 Emmanuel Sanders, DEN (Bye: 10)
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 180   DOB: 1987-03-17   Age: 31
College: -   Draft: 2010 Round 3 (18) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015DEN1576 1,135 6 3 29 0 152.4 10.2
2016DEN1579 1,032 5 1 4 0 133.6 8.9
2017DEN1247 555 2 0 0 0 67.5 5.6
2018 (Projected)DEN 63 845 5 0 0 0 114.5  

Outlook: After posting three straight 1,000-yard seasons in Denver, Emmanuel Sanders took a big step back in 2017, posting just 555 yards on 47 receptions. It's easy to look at those numbers and completely dismiss Sanders as being past his prime at age 31, but it might not be that simple. Sanders suffered an ankle injury in Week 6 of the 2017 season and it really seemed to bother him in some games. While he produced a huge game in Week 7, Sanders went on to fail to achieve even 20 yards receiving in his next four games. We've seen Sanders be streaky throughout his career, but this was more than that - it was very obvious to anyone watching the games that Sanders was not generating the type of separation that he normally does from defensive backs and that, combined with terrible quarterback play, culminated in a disastrous fantasy season.

Looking forward to 2018, Sanders projects to start out wide opposite Demaryius Thomas. The Broncos did select Courtland Sutton who looks to be a future replacement for Sanders and/or Thomas, but Sutton is still very raw and won't likely take significant snaps away from either player until at least late in the season.

The targets figure to still be there for Sanders, who had seen an average of 138 targets per season since he came to Denver prior to the drop-off season in 2017 where he saw just 92 targets. The added competition along with Sanders' age and health issues mean that we should be projecting him for more along the lines of 110 targets, but that could still easily translate to a 70-catch, near 1000-yard season, with some potential big games sprinkled in. Case Keenum will be a welcome addition to the Denver passing game and Sanders is a great bet to bounceback and finish ahead of his current ADP which has him in the mid-30s at wide receiver, but he's still a bit risky and it'd be wise to draft him as a Flex or even bench player to start the season, as opposed to an every-week starter for your fantasy team.

 Randall Cobb, GB (Bye: 7)
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 192   DOB: 1990-08-22   Age: 27
College: Kentucky   Draft: 2011 Round 2 (32) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015GB1679 829 6 13 50 0 123.9 7.7
2016GB1360 610 4 10 33 0 88.3 6.8
2017GB1466 653 4 9 17 0 91.0 6.5
2018 (Projected)GB 72 746 6 5 36 0 114.2  

Outlook: Overpaid for his production the last few seasons, it's frankly a miracle that Cobb is still a Packer. I'm going to assume that ditching Cobb in the face of cutting Jordy Nelson was probably a no-go with Aaron Rodgers, but the fact remains that Cobb has settled as a mediocre slot reciever that needs a high volume of targets to have consistent fantasy production. A real asset in the red zone early in his career, Cobb has back-to-back 4 touchdown seasons, and has failed to top 655 yards since 2015. The Packers running game is greatly improved, and the red zone scores are going to be funneled to Graham and Adams. Barely a fantasy starter on a good day, Cobb should see a slight uptick in his numbers with A-Rod back, but ultimately Cobb is a back-end, uninspiring WR3.

 Kenny Stills, MIA (Bye: 11)
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 190   DOB: 1992-04-22   Age: 26
College: Oklahoma   Draft: 2013 Round 5 (11) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015MIA1427 440 3 0 0 0 62.0 4.4
2016MIA1642 726 9 0 0 0 126.6 7.9
2017MIA1658 847 6 0 0 0 120.7 7.5
2018 (Projected)MIA 56 845 5 0 0 0 114.5  

Outlook: For two consecutive seasons Kenny Stills was drafted outside the range of No.3 WR in all formats, only to finish as a viable No.3 WR with No.2 WR upside. As owners continued to view DeVante Parker as the wide receiver to own opposite of Jarvis Landry, Stills quietly scored more touchdowns than Landry, while posting more catches and more yards than Parker.

As a somewhat boring player who lacks the flashiness that Parker possesses, Stills once again is getting drafted outside the top 36 at his position despite the fact that Parker has been a bust up to this point and Landry and his 161 targets moved on to Cleveland. Most people assume that Parker, free agent veteran Danny Amendola, and rookie tight end Mike Gesiki will be the primary beneficiary of the open targets in the Miami passing game. While all three players will undoubtedly benefit with more volume, even a small increase of one extra target per game by Stills based on his 2017 stats would give him an impressive 71/1042/8 line. He'll more than likely be undervalued in your fantasy draft.

 Marqise Lee, JAC (Bye: 9)
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 195   DOB: 1991-11-25   Age: 26
College: Southern California   Draft: 2014 Round 2 (7) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015JAC915 191 1 5 38 0 28.9 3.2
2016JAC1663 851 3 6 35 0 106.6 6.7
2017JAC1356 702 3 1 17 0 89.9 6.9
2018 (Projected)JAC 62 845 5 0 0 0 114.5  

Outlook: Lee led the team in targets in 2017 and with the exodus of Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns in free agency, he's poised to be the leader again. Lee set a personal best in targets per game (7.4) and had his second best season in since joining the league. His 96 targets ranked tied for 28th in the league and his 702 yards ranked 40th. He fell slightly short on touchdowns with only 3, but he's never been a big touchdown scorer.

As a fantasy asset, Lee's biggest hindrance will be the team's reliance on the running game and the team generally staying in low scoring games. For standard scoring leagues, his ceiling likely caps as a low-end WR2 but the most likely outcome is a WR3 who can be plugged in as a flex. As a mid-round pick, his price might be a little high because of his limited ceiling, but if he begins falling into the WR4/5 range, he's immensely valuable. In PPR formats, he may have extra upside if he once again leads the team in targets.

 Robert Woods, LAR (Bye: 12)
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 190   DOB: 1992-04-10   Age: 26
College: -   Draft: 2013 Round 2 (10) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015BUF1447 552 3 1 0 0 73.2 5.2
2016BUF1351 613 1 1 6 0 67.9 5.2
2017LAR1256 781 5 2 12 0 109.3 9.1
2018 (Projected)LAR 56 755 5 2 15 0 107.0  

Outlook: Woods' 2017 numbers don't jump off the page on a per-target basis, but he did excel in in one key area - QB rating when targeted. On pass attempts from Goff to Woods, the duo managed an impressive 114.9 passer rating in 2017. That's good enough for sixth-best of any duo in the entire league.

Woods only played 12 games but was on pace for 113 targets, which would have led the team despite it being his first year in a Rams uniform. Staying on that kind of pace for targets might be difficult this season when you look at the track record of wide receivers in Sean McVay offenses. In his four years as an offensive coordinator or head coach, no player in a McVay offense has ever reached 115 targets in a season.

Brandin Cooks will almost certainly see more targets than Sammy Watkins did in 2017, while Cooper Kupp could also see a bit of an increase in targets now that he's played a full season in the league - both of these things would hurt the potential target upside for Woods this season. Woods is not a bad bet to end up leading the Rams on the year but that could still mean that he sees fewer than 100 total targets on the season, which will likely not be enough to allow him to ascend to much more than a mid-to-low-level WR2.

 Sammy Watkins, KC (Bye: 12)
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 205   DOB: 1993-06-14   Age: 25
College: Clemson   Draft: 2014 Round 1 (4) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015BUF1260 1,047 9 1 1 0 158.8 13.2
2016BUF828 430 2 0 0 0 55.0 6.9
2017LAR1539 593 8 0 0 0 107.3 7.2
2018 (Projected)KC 57 804 5 0 0 0 110.4