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Regular Season, Updated: 9/4/17


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 Jamison Crowder, WAS (Bye: 5)
25
Height: 5’8”   Weight: 185   DOB: 1993-06-17   Age: 24
College: Duke   Draft: 2015 Round 4 (6) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015WAS1659 604 2 2 2 0 72.6 4.5
2016WAS1667 847 7 2 -2 0 126.5 7.9
2017 (Projected)WAS 81 993 5 0 0 0 129.3  

Outlook: A former fourth-round selection from Duke University in the 2015 NFL draft, Crowder has quietly put together two solid seasons in Washington, including an impressive 67/847/7 line in 2016. As he continues to mature and gain the confidence of quarterback Kirk Cousins, Crowder increased his production across the board from his rookie season to year two, with 21 more targets, 243 more yards, and a jump from two touchdowns to seven.

With over 200 targets left on the table following the departure of former starting wide receivers DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon, it is more than likely that Crowder will top the century mark in targets while reaching 1000 yards for the first time in his career. The question is will the addition of Terrelle Pryor and a healthy Josh Doctson and Jordan Reed limit Crowder's red zone targets and chances of reaching and exceeding his touchdown total of seven from 2016.

For fantasy owners that buy into the narrative of third-year wide receivers taking a tier-leap in production, Crowder is someone to consider based on the fact that the Redskins passing game has ranked in the top-ten over the past two seasons, and is primed for an increase in targets and production. Other third-year wide receivers to consider are Stefon Diggs, Amari Cooper, Willie Snead, and Tyrell Williams.


 Sammy Watkins, LAR (Bye: 8)
26
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 205   DOB: 1993-06-14   Age: 24
College: Clemson   Draft: 2014 Round 1 (4) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014BUF1665 982 6 2 8 0 135.0 8.4
2015BUF1260 1,047 9 1 1 0 158.8 13.2
2016BUF828 430 2 0 0 0 55.0 6.9
2017 (Projected)LAR 60 932 6 0 0 0 129.2  

Outlook: One of the premiere deep threats in the league, Sammy Watkins enters the 2017 season reportedly healthy after missing most of 2016 with a foot in injury. The Jones fracture Watkins sustained limited his lateral and vertical route running last season, as the former first round selection from Clemson likely came back too early in the recovery process.

When healthy, Watkins has the talent and opportunity to finish the season as a top-12 WR receiver, making him an interesting selection at his current third round ADP. The threat of Watkins re-injuring his foot will keep his ADP likely outside of the second round.

The fact that the Bills have led the league in rushing over the past two seasons and the team's propensity to run the ball in the red zone should not shy owners away from drafting Watkins, as 70% of his 17 career touchdowns have come from outside the red zone. He is a big play player that may be a league-winning selection for owners comfortable with the risk he carries.


 Jarvis Landry, MIA (Bye: 1)
27
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 195   DOB: 1992-11-28   Age: 25
College: Louisiana State   Draft: 2014 Round 2 (31) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014MIA1684 758 5 2 -4 0 105.4 6.6
2015MIA16111 1,159 4 17 111 1 157.0 9.8
2016MIA1694 1,138 4 5 17 0 139.5 8.7
2017 (Projected)MIA 79 921 5 6 36 0 125.7  

Outlook: A valuable PPR asset as a target hog in the Miami passing game, Jarvis Landry finished 2016 with 94 catches for 1,138 yards and four touchdowns. Although the former LSU Tiger finished with fewer targets (131) and receptions compared to 2015, he posted nearly identical yardage because he saw an impressive two-yard increase in his average yards per reception.

A favorite third-year breakout candidate for many fantasy owners last season, Landry continued to disappoint in touchdown production for standard league owners, with only four TD's on nine red zone targets.

Landry's role is clear in the offense, and the addition of red zone threat Julius Thomas and the likely improvement of DeVante Parker will continue to limit Landry's role regarding touchdown production. Despite this fact, his volume and yardage, especially in PPR and half-point PPR formats, makes him an attractive No. 2 wide receiver to target in the in the fifth and sixth rounds of fantasy drafts.


 Davante Adams, GB (Bye: 8)
28
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 212   DOB: 1992-12-24   Age: 24
College: Fresno State   Draft: 2014 Round 2 (21) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014GB1438 446 3 0 0 0 62.6 4.5
2015GB1250 483 1 0 0 0 54.3 4.5
2016GB1675 997 12 0 0 0 171.7 10.7
2017 (Projected)GB 65 884 6 0 0 0 124.4  

Outlook: After two disappointing years to start his career, Davante Adams burst onto the scene last year with a 75-997-12 line, pushing him from a scrap on the fantasy heap, to a top-10 scorer at his position. He set career highs across the board, and his 12 scores were second in the NFL only to teammate Jordy Nelson. Adams caught a touchdown for every six receptions, and was a stud in non-PPR leagues due to the touchdowns. So are his 2016 numbers indicative of what to expect going forward, or an anomaly? I tend to think of all the receivers who finished in the top-10 in standard scoring leagues, Adams is least likely to repeat. It's going to be very hard to duplicate the touchdown total, and with a full stable of healthy skill position players, the ball should be spread around more. Randall Cobb has never come close to his 12 touchdown season in 2014, and should be more of a factor if he can play a full complement of games. Adams has a great size/speed combination, and despite a bevy of drops, seems to finally have earned some measure of trust from his QB. I really do think a special set of circumstances helped Adams last year, and those are unlikely to repeat themselves. With a few more mouths to feed, and a more balanced offensive attack, I like Adams more as a low tier WR2, than the WR1 he finished as last season.


 Tyrell Williams, LAC (Bye: 9)
29
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 205   DOB: 1992-02-12   Age: 25
College: Western Oregon   Draft:
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015SD22 90 1 0 0 0 15.0 7.5
2016SD1669 1,059 7 0 0 0 147.9 9.2
2017 (Projected)LAC 61 886 6 0 0 0 124.6  

Outlook: It's astonishing to think that Tyrell Williams finished 13th overall at wide receiver in fantasy production in 2016 - ahead of the likes of Amari Cooper, Larry Fitzgerald and Julian Edelman - but it's true. That type of production from a relatively unknown receiver is exactly what Philip Rivers has been orchestrating throughout the majority of his career. Much of Williams' production was due to the lack of options around him, especially with injuries to Keenan Allen, Antonio Gates and Danny Woodhead; but there's still a role for him in this offense in 2017. It's looking like he could begin the season in the starting lineup as Mike Williams is missing valuable practice time. Tyrell doesn't have the upside that he flashed in 2016 but he's a sneaky late-round pick who could provide WR2 numbers if either Allen or Mike Williams continue to struggle with injuries, and WR3 numbers even if everyone stays healthy.


 Martavis Bryant, PIT (Bye: 9)
30
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 200   DOB: 1991-12-20   Age: 25
College: Clemson   Draft: 2014 Round 4 (18) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014PIT1026 549 8 3 12 0 104.1 10.4
2015PIT1150 765 6 5 37 1 122.2 11.1
2017 (Projected)PIT 54 844 6 0 0 0 120.4  

Outlook: Long on talent and (up till now) short on common sense, the mercurial Bryant returns from his one-year drug related exile. Bryant is nothing short of a game-breaking talent, and the time away from the game has apparently cleared his head, and steeled his focus to football. He's the rare receiver in the back end of the WR2 area that can win you games, and I expect this is the sort of value he'll provide to fantasy owners this season. He's always been a big part of the offense when he's been active, and his 6'5" frame makes him Pittsburgh's best option in the red zone. Bryant has a shot to approach 10-plus touchdowns in this offense, and that's why he's much more valuable in standard leagues as a strong WR2. I worry sometimes about his roller coaster numbers, but the upside is too much to ignore for long as your drafts roll along.


 Terrelle Pryor, WAS (Bye: 5)
31
Height: 6’6”   Weight: 230   DOB: 1989-06-20   Age: 28
College: Ohio State   Draft:
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015CLE21 42 0 1 -1 0 4.1 2.1
2016CLE1677 1,007 4 8 21 1 132.8 8.3
2017 (Projected)WAS 66 875 5 0 0 0 117.5  

Outlook: Pryor joins the Redskins after one full season as a converted WR with the Cleveland Browns. His 6'6" 230 LB frame is a matchup nightmare for smaller cornerbacks, and he proved to be a viable deep threat in Cleveland with 1007 yards and seven touchdowns on the receiving end of less-than-stellar play from a collection of Browns quarterbacks.

There is significant hype surrounding Pryor joining a passing game that ranked 8th in the NFL in each of the last two seasons, and Kirk Cousins is certainly an upgrade over Cody Kessler and Robert Griffin III. But fantasy owners should be aware that one of the reasons why Pryor was so effective is the fact that he was peppered with targets (141) in a passing game with few options. Pryor should receive a significant number of targets in the Washington passing game, but Cousins has a well-developed rapport with Jamison Crowder and top-option Jordan Reed, leading some to question if Pryor will be able to garner enough volume to justify an ADP in the 4th round. The key will be Pryor improving his efficiency (55% catch rate) from last season on expected lower volume in Washington.


 Alshon Jeffery, PHI (Bye: 10)
32
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 216   DOB: 1990-02-14   Age: 27
College: South Carolina   Draft: 2012 Round 2 (13) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014CHI1685 1,133 10 6 33 0 176.6 11.0
2015CHI954 807 4 0 0 0 104.7 11.6
2016CHI1252 821 2 0 0 0 94.1 7.8
2017 (Projected)PHI 71 979 5 0 0 0 127.9  

Outlook: After five up and down years in Chicago, Alshon Jeffery signed a one-year "prove it" contract with the Eagles, instantly becoming the No. 1 wide receiver on a team devoid of any viable receiving threats in 2016. Joining Jeffery in Philadelphia is fellow free agent wide receiver Torrey Smith, who will likely be the deep option for Carson Wentz alongside Jeffery and slot receiver Jordan Matthews.

Although Jeffery as never been a big touchdown scorer, with only one double-digit TD season to his credit, when given over 130 targets he has proven to be capable of at least 1100 yards and seven touchdowns. The biggest question surrounding Jeffery is his ability to play a full-16 game season, as injuries and suspensions have limited him to a full slate of games only twice in his career.

From a consistency standpoint, Jeffery lags behind other No. 1 wide receivers, with only one career top-ten finish according to FFtoday's fantasy consistency calculator tool. But with a new offense and playing in a contract year, Jeffery could deliver one of his best seasons and finish 2017 as one of the steals of the draft.


 DeVante Parker, MIA (Bye: 1)
33
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 209   DOB: 1993-01-20   Age: 24
College: Louisville   Draft: 2015 Round 1 (14) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015MIA826 494 3 0 0 0 67.4 8.4
2016MIA1556 744 4 0 0 0 98.4 6.6
2017 (Projected)MIA 60 864 6 0 0 0 122.4  

Outlook: After a disappointing sophomore campaign in which he finished with fewer fantasy points per game than fantasy stalwarts Dontrelle Inman and Quincy Enunwa, former first round pick DeVante Parker has reportedly changed his workout, eating, and sleeping habits over the off-season with the hope of living up to his vast potential.

At 6'2", 209 pounds, Parker has the size and atheism to be a downfield and red zone beast for quarterback Ryan Tannehill. But a lack of focus and dedication, with even his head coach calling him out last season for poor toughness and professionalism, leaves many wondering if Parker will go down as a bust.

Despite the negatives surrounding Parker's off-field behavior, he did see an increase in targets (87), receptions (56), yards (744), touchdowns (4), and catch percentage (64%) from his rookie season to last year. If he can continue to improve across the board, a 70/900/7 season is not out of the question, making him a viable No.3 wide receiver in 12-team formats.


 Kenny Britt, CLE (Bye: 9)
34
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 215   DOB: 1988-09-19   Age: 29
College: Rutgers   Draft: 2009 Round 1 (30) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014STL1648 748 3 2 14 0 94.2 5.9
2015STL1636 681 3 0 0 0 86.1 5.4
2016LAR1568 1,002 5 0 0 0 130.2 8.7
2017 (Projected)CLE 62 856 6 0 0 0 121.6  

Outlook: Despite some of the worst quarterback play in the league last year, Britt, the 9th year vet, was able to put up low end WR2 numbers for the Rams. For a guy that likely went undrafted in many leagues in 2016, Britt was a strong fantasy value. He came out of a career long funk to set career highs in yardage and receptions . Considered a big bust for much of his career, Britt was able to parlay the big year into a multi-year deal with the Browns. Britt is the kind of player Cleveland needs during its rebuild. He's a veteran with enough juice left to be an asset, but won't take away from the opportunities of the younger guys. He gives the Cleveland quarterbacks a big target who can get downfield and get open. Unfortunately for fantasy purposes, it's likely that 2016 will be Britt's career year, so expecting a WR2 repeat is bad business. I think he ends up being a fine WR3/4 with very little upside for more. I'd certainly be looking for higher ceiling players around the time Britt's name gets called in my drafts.


 Adam Thielen, MIN (Bye: 9)
35
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 195   DOB: 1990-08-22   Age: 27
College: None   Draft:
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014MIN68 137 1 0 0 0 19.7 3.3
2015MIN912 144 0 4 89 0 23.3 2.6
2016MIN1669 967 5 2 15 0 128.2 8.0
2017 (Projected)MIN 64 837 6 0 0 0 119.7  

Outlook: Thielen was such a darkhorse that I didn't even feature him in this column last year. Prior to a breakout 2016, Thielen had combined for just 20 catches over his first two years. But injuries to Diggs and Treadwell forced Thielen into a primary pass catching role, and he came up huge with a 69-967-5 line over the course of the season. Stepping up when his team needed him the most earned him a nice new contract and a chance to again be a major contributor in the passing game. The problem is that Thielen offers much more value to the Vikings than he does in fantasy. He's unlikely to reach or surpass his 2016 numbers, as the entire offense should function more efficiently, meaning Thielen won't be relied upon as much. He had a few monster games last season, and he won't be sneaking up on defenses anymore. If everyone stays healthy, Thielen falls back into WR4/5 territory and becomes much more of a complementary player.


 Mike Wallace, BAL (Bye: 10)
36
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 199   DOB: 1986-08-01   Age: 31
College: -   Draft: 2009 Round 3 (20) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2014MIA1667 862 10 4 16 0 147.8 9.2
2015MIN1539 473 2 1 6 0 59.9 4.0
2016BAL1672 1,017 4 5 31 0 128.8 8.1
2017 (Projected)BAL 63 875 5 5 36 0 121.1  

Outlook: I really missed on my analysis of Wallace last off-season. I didn't think he'd have enough chances in this offense to have much fantasy appeal, but low and behold, he ended up with a strong 72-1107-4 line, good enough for a Top 25 finish at his position. These numbers were the best for Wallace since his time in Miami, and he's definitely a better fit in Baltimore than any of his previous stops outside Pittsburgh. But while Wallace's final numbers look strong, a closer look at the stats reveal that most of his production came in the first half of the season. After Week 9 he failed to find the endzone, surpass 62 yards, or even approach double digit fantasy points. After being a strong WR2 in the first 9 games, Wallace was cut bait down the stretch. Inconsistency has always been a problem with Wallace, so he's the perfect WR3 to pair with low floor guys. I think the addition of Maclin takes a little shine off of Wallace, and if Perriman can develop the way the Raven's hope, Wallace could really struggle to find much fantasy value.