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Regular Season, Updated: 7/19/18


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Legend:   Upside = Upside   Risk = Risk   ADP = Average Draft Position
FF Today Standard Scoring: Review Scoring
 Cooper Kupp, LAR (Bye: 12)
37
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 204   DOB: 1993-06-15   Age: 25
College: Eastern Washington   Draft: 2017 Round 3 (5) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017LAR1562 869 5 0 0 0 116.9 7.8
2018 (Projected)LAR 62 802 5 0 0 0 110.2  

Outlook: In a draft class which featured the likes of Corey Davis, Mike Williams, John Ross, JuJu Smith-Schuster and Zay Jones, it seemed unlikely that a slot receiver going to a team that had previously finished the season as one of the league's worst offenses could possibly lead all rookie wide receivers in catches. But that's what happened in 2017 when Cooper Kupp caught 62 passes for 869 yards and five touchdowns, while sitting out in Week 17 as the Rams had nothing to play for.

As the Rams primary slot receiver, Kupp played more than 50 percent of his snaps from the slot. This is good for consistency purposes because we don't have to worry about him transitioning into a new role now that the Rams added Brandin Cooks, who primarily plays outside.

Cooks will likely see a larger target share than Sammy Watkins did, but that shouldn't cut too much into what Kupp does. The ceiling isn't particularly high for Kupp given the average depth of target that he sees as a pass catcher and the fact that he isn't a big time end zone threat, but Kupp does have a decently high floor, particularly in PPR formats which makes better use of his volume-over-big-play style.


 Jamison Crowder, WAS (Bye: 4)
38
Height: 5’8”   Weight: 185   DOB: 1993-06-17   Age: 25
College: Duke   Draft: 2015 Round 4 (6) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015WAS1659 604 2 2 2 0 72.6 4.5
2016WAS1667 847 7 2 -2 0 126.5 7.9
2017WAS1566 789 3 7 34 0 100.3 6.7
2018 (Projected)WAS 71 813 4 0 0 0 105.3  

Outlook: A favorite 2017 breakout candidate by many analysts and writers in the fantasy community, Jamison Crowder failed to improve on his 2016 campaign in which the former Duke Blue Devil caught 67 balls for 847 yards and seven touchdowns. The narrative of Crowder benefitting from an increase in targets due to Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson leaving did not materialize to the level projected by Crowder apologists, and Crowder's touchdown and yard-per-reception average went down.

Owners who made the unfortunate selection of Crowder in the fifth or sixth rounds in drafts last no doubt were burned by Crowder not living up to the draft price as the No.29 ranked WR according to 2017 ADP data. After finishing last season outside of WR territory as the No. 44 wide receiver behind fantasy stalwarts like Jermaine Kearse and Mohamed Sanu, Crowder has fallen down drafts and can be selected as late as the 10th round in most 12-team formats.

The devaluation of Crowder based on last year's disappointing performance has made the slot receiver a value in 2018 when you consider the fact that Alex Smith loves to target short and intermediate routes in the passing tree while avoiding risky throws. According to NFL Next Gen Stats, Smith ranked 20th in average completed pass yards (6.3 yards per pass), and Smith was the second lowest out of all qualified quarterbacks in throwing into aggressive and tight windows. When you consider that Crowder ranked eighth among all wide receivers in separation yards last season (3.2 average yards of separation), it is likely that Smith will lean heavily on Crowder in 2018.


 DeVante Parker, MIA (Bye: 11)
39
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 209   DOB: 1993-01-20   Age: 25
College: Louisville   Draft: 2015 Round 1 (14) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015MIA826 494 3 0 0 0 67.4 8.4
2016MIA1556 744 4 0 0 0 98.4 6.6
2017MIA1357 670 1 0 0 0 73.0 5.6
2018 (Projected)MIA 64 813 4 0 0 0 105.3  

Outlook: The hype machine that is the Miami Dolphins beat writer arena of the Twitterverse created a monster last season that burned fantasy owners that drank the kool-aide on DeVante Parker. At 6'3", 210-pounds, the former first-round selection from Louisville has the size and talent to be a stud wide receiver in the NFL, and nearly everyone pegged Parker as a breakout candidate as a third-year wide receiver last season.

Instead of breaking out, Parker delivered his worst season as a pro, setting career lows in catch percentage, touchdowns, and yards per reception, to go along with a putrid 5.6 FPts/G average. As a player drafted before the seventh round in most drafts last season, Parker didn't live up to the hype and proved to be a title-killing mistake for those poor souls who drafted him in the middle rounds.

Now that Jarvis Landry signed a lucrative free-agent deal to join the Browns, the hype train on Parker is once again starting to build up steam. With Landry's 161 targets from the previous season up for grabs and the oft-injured Danny Amendola likely to take only a fraction, Parker could be primed for that breakout season that did not materialize in 2017. The most positive aspect of Parker in 2018 is that investing in the former first-round pick will not cost quite as much draft capital as last season, making Parker worth the gamble by owners looking for an upside pick in the ninth or tenth round of 12-team leagues.


 DeSean Jackson, TB (Bye: 5)
40
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 175   DOB: 1986-12-01   Age: 31
College: California   Draft: 2008 Round 2 (18) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015WAS830 528 4 0 0 0 76.8 9.6
2016WAS1556 1,005 4 0 0 0 124.5 8.3
2017TB1450 668 3 3 38 0 88.6 6.3
2018 (Projected)TB 49 745 5 4 27 0 107.2  

 Ted Ginn Jr., NO (Bye: 6)
41
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 180   DOB: 1985-04-12   Age: 33
College: Ohio State   Draft: 2007 Round 1 (9) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015CAR1444 739 10 4 60 0 139.9 10.0
2016CAR1654 752 4 14 98 0 109.0 6.8
2017NO1553 787 4 10 39 0 106.6 7.1
2018 (Projected)NO 53 760 5 0 0 0 106.0  

Outlook: What a difference Drew Brees can make! Despite seeing 25 fewer targets than his 2016 campaign, Ginn had one less reception, 35 more yards, and equal touchdowns. On a per game basis, he scored better in 2017. Safe to say that playing with the most accurate quarterback in NFL history can help a wide receiver. Ginn's season included five weeks better than the WR12 in standard scoring.

Ginn is the primary field stretcher in this receiving corps and his 14.8 yards per reception average will likely remain or potentially improve. He will need to score more than 4 touchdowns to be a consistent start in leagues, but he has value in matchups that favor him. Ginn will likely be a late-round pick in August drafts, but he will have value as a boom-bust bye week fill in.


 Tyrell Williams, LAC (Bye: 8)
42
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 205   DOB: 1992-02-12   Age: 26
College: Western Oregon   Draft:
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015SD22 90 1 0 0 0 15.0 7.5
2016SD1669 1,059 7 0 0 0 147.9 9.2
2017LAC1643 728 4 0 0 0 96.8 6.1
2018 (Projected)LAC 48 750 5 0 0 0 105.0  

 Jarvis Landry, CLE (Bye: 11)
43
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 195   DOB: 1992-11-28   Age: 25
College: Louisiana State   Draft: 2014 Round 2 (31) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015MIA16111 1,159 4 17 111 1 157.0 9.8
2016MIA1694 1,138 4 5 17 0 139.5 8.7
2017MIA16112 987 9 1 -7 0 152.0 9.5
2018 (Projected)CLE 62 765 4 0 0 0 100.5  

 Nelson Agholor, PHI (Bye: 9)
44
Height: 6’0”   Weight: 198   DOB: 1993-05-24   Age: 25
College: Southern California   Draft: 2015 Round 1 (20) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015PHI1223 283 1 0 0 0 34.3 2.9
2016PHI1536 365 2 5 14 0 49.9 3.3
2017PHI1662 768 8 1 7 1 131.5 8.2
2018 (Projected)PHI 65 725 5 0 0 0 102.5  

Outlook: It may surprise many readers to learn that Agholor, a former first-round pick who appeared to be perilously close to getting cut, scored nearly the same amount of fantasy points as fellow Eagle Alshon Jeffery on 25 fewer targets.

Agholor set career highs in targets (95), receptions (62), yards (768), and touchdowns (8) while posting an impressive 65% catch rate. Although he is often the third or fourth option behind Jeffery, Ertz, and the Philly receiving backs, head coach Doug Pederson made Agholor a focus in the red zone (18 red zone targets), often designing misdirection passing routes for the shifty receiver.

The fact that Agholor jumped up to eight receiving touchdowns after catching a combined three in his first two seasons might suggest that he is in line for some negative regression. It also does not help that his quarterback's 7.5% touchdown rate late season was an outlier and Agholor was a beneficiary of that outlier season. Despite these negative factors, the volume he received last season will likely continue, with 90 to 100 targets well within reach.


 Julian Edelman, NE (Bye: 11)
45
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 200   DOB: 1986-05-22   Age: 32
College: Kent State   Draft: 2009 Round 7 (23) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015NE961 692 7 3 23 0 113.5 12.6
2016NE1698 1,106 3 12 57 0 134.3 8.4
2018 (Projected)NE 59 692 4 5 36 0 96.8  

 Tyler Lockett, SEA (Bye: 7)
46
Height: 5’10”   Weight: 182   DOB: 1992-09-28   Age: 25
College: Kansas State   Draft: 2015 Round 3 (5) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015SEA1551 664 6 5 20 0 104.4 7.0
2016SEA1441 597 1 6 114 1 83.1 5.9
2017SEA1645 555 2 10 58 0 73.3 4.6
2018 (Projected)SEA 46 632 4 9 65 1 99.7  

Outlook: Aside from Doug Baldwin, the only other pass catcher on the Seahawks roster who has played more than two seasons with Russell Wilson is Tyler Lockett. At 25 years old, Lockett will be entering his fourth season as a pro in what could be a make-or-break year. While he's never fallen short of 500 receiving yards in a season, Lockett has also never eclipsed 700 receiving yards in a season and he has only scored a total of three touchdowns over his past two seasons combined.

Many believed that Lockett was heading for a breakout season heading into 2016, but he fell short of expectations and found himself behind Paul Richardson on the depth chart, leading to some ugly fantasy numbers. With Richardson now gone, however, Lockett should be in line to see consistent playing time alongside Baldwin this season. Richardson and tight end Jimmy Graham's 175 targets from 2017 have now been vacated which certainly makes things interesting heading into 2018. While we shouldn't expect that all, or even most of those targets will go to Lockett, it's worth considering that if he even adds 50 of those 175, he'd be looking at 120-plus total targets this season. Only 14 wide receivers saw that many targets in 2017 and every one of those players finished as a top-25 WR on the season - even Dez Bryant, who was among the least efficient players in the league on a per-target basis.

Lockett dealt with injuries in both 2016 and 2017 which held him back from showcasing his extraordinary speed, but he appears to be getting back to full strength and could be in line for a breakout season in 2018. Lockett is currently being drafted in most leagues as a WR4 or even WR5 which makes him a great target late in fantasy drafts as he costs almost nothing and could legitimately finish as a WR2 should things finally fall into place.


 Marquise Goodwin, SF (Bye: 11)
47
Height: 5’8”   Weight: 179   DOB: 1990-11-19   Age: 27
College: Texas   Draft: 2013 Round 3 (16) 
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015BUF12 24 0 0 0 0 2.4 2.4
2016BUF1429 431 3 0 0 0 61.1 4.4
2017SF1656 962 2 4 44 0 112.6 7.0
2018 (Projected)SF 48 711 4 5 36 0 98.7  

Outlook: Much is made of players like Tyreek Hill and John Ross who dazzle with speed, but few understand just how freakishly athletic Marquise Goodwin really is. Goodwin, who competed in the 2012 Summer Olympics, is not only one of the fastest pure speed players in the league as he ran a 4.27 forty-yard dash, but also posted a 132-inch broad jump. Goodwin has been in the league for five seasons now and his athletic profile has likely taken a half-step back, but he's still an absurdly gifted athlete who is capable of taking the ball to the house in any situation.

Goodwin had never been used much as a receiver until his fourth season in Buffalo where he saw 68 targets. His catch rate that season, 42.6%, was poor, but he took a big step forward when he finally got a fresh start in San Francisco this past season. As the defacto WR1 for the 49ers after Garcon's injury, Goodwin stepped up, catching 56 of the 102 passes that came his way, including an exceptional 17.2 yards per reception number.

Perhaps most interesting for 2018, though, was Goodwin's connection with Garoppolo. In the five games Garoppolo started, Goodwin caught 67 percent of the targets that came his way, 76.8 yards per game on 5.8 receptions per game. That would've put Goodwin at an impressive 16-game pace of 1,229 yards on 93 receptions.

Of course, with Garcon now healthy and the team adding a couple of pieces in the passing game, it seems unlikely that Goodwin will continue to be targeted this season quite as often as he was down the stretch in 2017, but Goodwin is the kind of player who can still contribute even on fewer targets because of his big play ability. Goodwin is actually being drafted ahead of Garcon in most drafts, but both players are much safer as WR4s than they are WR3s.


 Danny Amendola, MIA (Bye: 11)
48
Height: 5’11”   Weight: 188   DOB: 1985-11-02   Age: 32
College: Texas Tech   Draft:
SeasonTeamGameRec Yard TDAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015NE1465 648 3 2 11 0 83.9 6.0
2016NE1123 245 4 0 0 0 48.5 4.4
2017NE1561 659 2 0 0 0 77.9 5.2
2018 (Projected)MIA 73 759 3 0 0 0 93.9  

Outlook: The Dolphins signed veteran wide receiver Danny Amendola to a two-year, $12 million contract over the offseason to help fill the void in the slot left by Jarvis Landry. Because Amendola managed to play in only one full 16-game schedule in his nine-year NFL career, the Dolphins made a bold move by offering $6 million guaranteed to a 32-year-old veteran.

There is no doubting Amendola's talent, as the shifty slot receiver proved to be an excellent weapon for Tom Brady and the Patriots over past five seasons. But from a fantasy perspective, Amendola has never posted more than 700 yards or four touchdowns in a season, and his injury report reads more like a college dissertation than a player blurb.

Despite the usage, age, and injury negatives working against Amendola, owners in deep PPR formats may want to consider using him as a flex option. Just don't make the mistake of counting on him as a starter, as history has proven that 16-games is not likely in the cards for the diminutive WR.