Everyone knows to start Peyton
Manning every week, regardless of the match-up. But not all decisions
are as easy at that one. So to help you decide who you should
start and who you should bench I have identified the players at
the QB, RB and WR positions that should excel this week and should
be started, as well as the players who will struggle this week
and should be benched.
Let's start with the QB position. You shouldn't have to be told,
but just in case... always, always start the following players:
Peyton
Manning, Tom
Brady, Drew
Brees, Aaron
Rodgers, Matt
Schaub, Tony
Romo and Philip
Rivers. Now onto the question marks…
Quarterbacks
Bye Weeks: Detroit, Houston, Indianapolis,
and the NY Jets, so that means Matthew Stafford and Drew Stanton,
Matt Schaub, Peyton Manning and Mark Sanchez are all benched.
Start 'Em:
Quarterbacks Who Will Outperform Relative
To Their Draft Position And Recent Hype
Max Hall @ SEA
The good news is that undrafted rookie quarterback Max Hall won
his first NFL start and is completing nearly 60 percent of his
passes. The bad news is that he has no TDs, has been sacked 10
times in one and a half games, and has 3 fumbles (1 lost) and
an INT. So why am I recommending starting him? The Seattle Seahawks
30th-ranked pass defense is why. Seattle gives up 291 yards and
1 TD per game through the air, in addition to the third most big
plays and the seventh highest yards per completion (7.4) in the
league. And remember, Hall still has Larry Fitzgerald to throw
the ball to.
Matt Cassel vs. JAX
The Jaguars are just what the doctor ordered for Matt Cassel and
his weak 170 yards per game. Cassel is 23rd in the league in passing
yards but does have 7 TDs against just 3 INTs, and his 4 sacks
are the lowest in the league for any starting quarterback. Heck,
Jay Cutler gets sacked four times in one offensive series. Meanwhile,
the Jaguars are giving up 264 yards and 2.5 TDs per game on average.
Only Houston has given up as many passing TDs this season, and
their 8.8 yards-per-completion average and 33 big plays allowed
are both worst in the league. Cassel should thrive against a team
allowing opposing quarterbacks a 67 completion percentage and
a 110 QB rating.
Trent Edwards @ KC
Trent Edwards will likely fill in for the concussed David Garrard,
although it could be Todd Bouman if Edwards can’t play with a
sprained right thumb. Edwards started the first two games of the
season in Buffalo, was benched, then cut, and didn’t see action
until last week when he had to step in for the injured Garrard.
Edwards’ totals this year are horrible: 43 for 76 with 381 yards,
1 TD, 4 INTs, and 9 sacks in three games. But last week aside,
the Jaguars have been putting up points, and this week’s matchup
should result in another high-scoring game. So I’m going out on
a limb here and saying Edwards will get lots of chances to rack
up some yards and a score or two against the league’s 27th-ranked
pass defense that is giving up 250 yards and more than a TD per
game.
Jay "Ragdoll" Cutler.
Jay
Cutler vs. WAS
Sure, Cutler is the NFL’s official ragdoll, getting sacked
23 times in five games (almost 5 sacks per game); but he’s
averaging 240 yards per game (10th best in the league) and 8.5
yards per completion (2nd best) to go along with his 60 percent
completion rate and his 1 TD per game average. And this week he
faces the Redskins, the leagues 31st-ranked pass defense. Washington
is one of just two teams giving up more than 298 yards per game
through the air (Houston is the other). The Redskins have given
up the fourth most big plays and have allowed 9 TDs, the eighth
highest QB rating (90.9), and the eighth worst passer completion
percentage (65%). As long as Cutler can stay on his feet—and,
granted, that’s a big “if”—he should have
a nice day throwing the ball and getting you some solid fantasy
points.
Bench 'Em:
Quarterbacks Who Will Under Perform
Relative To Their Draft Position And Recent Hype
Alex Smith @ CAR
The San Francisco 49ers quarterback and the Carolina Panthers
defense have something in common: both have 9 INTs. In Smith’s
case, that’s a bad statistic, and he leads the league in
that category. In Carolina’s case it’s good, and third
best in the league. Another unfortunate similarity they share
is QB rating: Carolina allows a league best 66.6 rating and Smith
has just a 73.9 rating, which is fourth lowest among regular starting
quarterbacks. Smith does average 238 yards per game—10th
best in the league, thanks to constantly being behind in games
and having to throw—but Carolina allows only 182 yards per
game, which is fourth best in the league. Put all of this together
and odds are Smith, coming off his first win of the year, should
stay benched this week.
Kyle Boller @ DEN
Denver’s pass defense is for the most part average to below-average.
They allow 210 yards and1.5 TDs per game. They also can’t sack
anybody (fifth lowest sack total in the league with just 7) and
give up the fourth most big plays, over 7 yards per completion,
and a completion percentage of 61. But guess who’s coming to dinner
this week—the Oakland Raiders. Oakland’s “good” QB, Bruce Gradkowski,
who is still hurt, averages 177 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT per game
to go along with his 71 passer rating and 52 percent completion
rate. But he’s most likely out this week. The “other” QB, Jason
Campbell, averages 102 yards, less than half a TD, and 1 INT per
game to go along with his 61 passer rating, 56 percent completion
rate , and league-low 5.6 yards per completion average. Isn’t
it time for Kyle Boller, even if both Gradkowski and Campbell
are healthy enough to play? Regardless of who loses the luck of
the draw and has to play quarterback for Oakland this week, the
results won’t be pretty—even against a so-so Denver pass defense.
Ryan Fitzpatrick @ BAL
On the stats sheet, Fitzpatrick looks like a decent play at QB.
He has 7 TDs to just 2 INTs, hardly ever gets sacked (third lowest
in the league), averages 7 yards per completion, completes 61
percent of his passes, and has a QB rating of 100. The big problem
with Fitzpatrick (besides him playing for the Buffalo Bills) is
his yardage. He averages only 198 yards per game, which is one
of the lowest for all starting quarterbacks. Baltimore only gives
up 175 yards per game, so the odds are that Fitzpatrick will be
right around 160 yards passing, which just ain’t gonna get
it done for you in Fantasyland. Fitzpatrick can have a good game
here and there (last week against Jacksonville he threw for 220
yards and 3 TDs), but this week is not going to be one of those
good weeks. Bench him.
Eli Manning @ DAL
Eli Manning and his “deer lost in the headlights”
look travels to Dallas to take on a beyond-desperate Cowboys team
whose pass defense ranks fourth in the league. On average, Dallas
gives up 181 yards and just over 1 TD per game. They have only
2 INTs and 12 sacks and give up a QB rating of 94.5, but this
is another huge game for them—and a divisional game at home
on national TV (Monday night game) as well. So I think this will
be a slugfest, resulting in a poor day for Eli. Manning is 10th
in the league in passing yards, fifth in completion percentage,
and tied for fourth in TD passes, but he’s also second in
INTs and has a QB rating of just 86.2, which ranks him around
17th in the league. Look for Eli to struggle this week on the
road, and give him the week off if he’s on your fantasy
team.
Running Backs
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