Players To Target Midway Through Your
Fantasy Draft 8/5/10
There’s an ongoing joke in my league that says a trained monkey
can draft the right players in the first couple rounds. Certainly,
it is much easier to select players in the early rounds as opposed
to later in the draft. While bona fide studs are a dime a dozen
in the first couple rounds, things get a bit cloudier as the draft
progresses.
Mid-draft draftees are what solidify fantasy rosters. These aren’t
necessarily hidden gems, but players on the verge of breaking
out who can be had at bargain prices.
Current ADP: 9.06
I find it interesting—almost laughable—that some fantasy publications
and web sites have players such as Eli Manning, Kevin Kolb and
Matt Ryan rated higher than Donovan McNabb. I can’t seem to figure
that out. McNabb’s a winner, hasn’t thrown more than 12 INTs in
a season since 2000, and now has a head coach who believes in
offensive balance. Those traits have to count for something, to
say nothing of the extra motivation he’s sure to have after the
Eagles decided to trade him within the ever-competitive NFC East
division.
Washington doesn’t have much in the way of game-changing
receivers, but that was the case during McNabb’s entire
stay in Philly, save the T.O. years. Despite coming off an injury-plagued
’09 campaign, TE Chris Cooley remains one of the best at
his position, and McNabb is sure to utilize him to the fullest.
WRs Santana Moss, Devin Thomas, Malcolm Kelly and Joey Galloway
are another story, but if McNabb does his normal routine, one
of those players will have a stellar year. McNabb’s questioned
durability aside, he’s a fantasy QB that can take your team
places. He’s not a spectacular fantasy option, but he won’t
kill your team with head-scratching screw-ups. If you’re
someone who chooses a QB later in the draft, you can’t do
much better than McNabb.
Flacco: A bonafide top-7 fantasy QB for
the foreseeable future.
Current ADP: 7.10
Don’t look now, but it seems the Baltimore Ravens offense is
now the strength of this team. An already thin defensive secondary
lost CB Domonique Foxworth for the year before players even worked
up a sweat during the first practice of training camp. The emerging
Joe Flacco and the entire offense will now be the focal point
of a team that for a decade relied on its history-making defense.
Flacco got off to a hot start last year, throwing 12 TDs in the
first seven games but finished throwing only 9 TDs in the season’s
last nine games.
I’m personally not smart enough to pinpoint the reasons
for his 180-degree turn. But I am smart enough to know that the
addition of WR Anquan Boldin gives Flacco the one commodity this
team has been lacking since…well…since forever. Boldin’s
gritty and physical style of play complements this team well and,
along with a star-in-the-making RB Ray Rice, Flacco is, I believe,
surrounded by some of the best talent in the conference. He’s
poised to become a bona fide top-7 fantasy QB for the foreseeable
future. Get him while the price is reasonable.
Current ADP: 10.10
It’s easy to look at an offensively-challenged team and
overlook its stars. We’re all guilty of it to some degree
I’m sure. Such could be the case when examining the Oakland
Raider roster. Names such as Chaz Schilens, Darrius Heyward-Bey
and Louis Murphy immediately jump out at you when peering at the
list of receivers. Those are probably names that won’t keep
defensive coordinators up at night. But a name that could is Zach
Miller. Not only has Miller led the team in receptions the last
two seasons, but each year he almost doubled the number of catches
of the next closest teammate - all of this while playing with
one of the worst QB situations in the NFL during the past several
seasons.
Miller hasn’t been a TD-scoring machine so far in his career—catching
only seven in his three years. But with a dramatically improved
passing game, a team that looks like it’s finally “getting
it,” and an aerial assault that could very well be centered
on his skill set, Miller could really surprise this year. There’s
a chance that Miller can match his career total in TD receptions
in 2010 alone - expect big things.
Current ADP: 8.04
The fanfare that accompanied fellow RB Darren McFadden when he
arrived in Oakland has yet to match the production so far in his
career. A career that’s been full of empty promises may
now lead to Michael Bush getting more opportunity to show his
stuff. The Oakland backfield is also less crowded now that Justin
Fargas departed during the offseason.
Bush is now three years removed from a nasty broken leg sustained
while in college. He’s one of those big bruisers with the speed
and acceleration rarely seen in runners his size. The million-dollar
question is whether or not Oakland’s coaching staff will look
beyond McFadden’s draft status and paycheck. They only need to
perform a simple eyeball test. When Bush is on the field, he makes
things happen. Oakland quietly has a solid offensive line, and
the arrival of QB Jason
Campbell will no doubt bring credibility to a dreadful passing
game. Plus, McFadden hasn’t had a 100+ yard game since week two
last season, while Bush has had three such games in the same timeframe.
This has the makings of a RBBC, certainly, but I believe Bush
will get the lion’s share of the money carries and reward his
fantasy owners with a solid season as a mid-draft selection.
Current ADP: 8.03
It’s no secret that the Chicago Bears will throw the ball a ton.
QB Jay Cutler,
even with his propensity to turn the football over in a Mike Martz-orchestrated
offense, will toss the rock all over the place. Somebody has to
catch those passes, right? The Bears are razor-thin at WR, with
the likes of Devin
Hester, Johnny
Knox and Earl
Bennett populating the position. Only Aromashodu appeared
last year to have any worth long term. He battled a quad injury
and missed roughly two-thirds of the season. However, he made
up for his missed time late with a stellar game against Green
Bay in week 13—one of the toughest pass defenses in the league—and
a seven catch, 150 yard, one-TD gem against the Vikings in week
15.
Most fantasy experts have Cutler as a top-10 QB, but those same
experts have the highest-ranked Bear receiver (in most cases,
it’s Aromashodu) 38th or lower. I don’t quite understand that
logic. But here’s the bottom line: Aromashodu is the best pure
receiver on Chicago’s roster. Martz will find a way to use him
in his pass-first offense. Plus, it’s said that Cutler has been
speaking highly about Aromashodu since last season. Either way,
he should end the year as the most productive receiver on the
roster.
2010: The year Pierre will expand his fantasy
relevance.
Current ADP: 6.02
Sure, Pierre Garcon is nothing more than Indy’s third receiving
option. Sure, he’s only entering his third season. And sure, Anthony
Gonzalez returns this season after practically missing the
entire ’09 campaign. But Garcon has one of the most consistently
prolific quarterbacks to ever grace a fantasy roster. Keep in
mind, too, that Garcon’s 21 receptions led the Colts during the
’09 postseason. That’s great news for his prospects in 2010. And
even though he has two teammates in Dallas
Clark and Reggie
Wayne that both had 100 catches last year, there will still
be enough to go around for Garcon to be a productive member of
your fantasy team.
It should also be noted that Indy’s run game has really
been nothing to smile about since Edgerrin James left the team.
Consequently, Peyton Manning is expected to shoulder the offensive
load in each game. Only Jay Cutler had more pass attempts last
season. With all of those passes each game, Wayne and Clark will
only account for so many receptions. It’s a good chance
that they won’t again both catch 100 passes, leaving Garcon
a golden opportunity to expand his fantasy relevance. Garcon should
be a solid #3 fantasy WR once again in 2010.
Current ADP: 7.05
It probably went unnoticed last season that Mike Wallace finished
the year with the third-highest yards-per-reception average with
19.4. That seems like a huge anomaly, especially for an organization
that prides itself on running the rock. But Ben Roethlislberger
had the most passing attempts in a season for Pittsburgh since
Tommy Maddox threw it 519 times in 2003. The Steelers aren't likley
to pass the ball more than 500 times in 2010, what with Ben’s
troubles and all. Its dedication to the ground attack, though,
certainly won’t be to the exclusion of getting the ball downfield
via the pass either.
With Santonio Holmes’ departure, Wallace is now the team’s
only legit deep threat. During the four-to-six games Ben will
miss, I’m sure the short passing game will be the order
of the day. Fellow WR Hines Ward and TE Heath Miller are masters
at those routes, and that should open up the deep throwing lanes
for QBs Byron Leftwich or Dennis Dixon. Expect to see plenty of
play-action pass attempts deep to Wallace. He didn’t have
more than three receptions in any of the Steelers’ last
seven games, but I feel that the opportunity is there for him
to build on his rookie campaign and become a contributor to your
fantasy squad.
Current ADP: 6.12
It’s been a rather long-held belief that rookie
receivers struggle to make the transition to the NFL. But
recent performances by Anquan Boldin, DeSean Jackson, Percy Harvin
and Marques Colston have just about squashed that theory. Dez
Bryant enters into a ready-made situation with one of the best
teams in the league. It’s obvious that Dallas realizes the errors
of its ways in the form of WR Roy
Williams. They needed a #2 to complement Miles
Austin and plucked Bryant in the first round, much to the
chagrin, I’m sure, of Williams.
Dez Bryant injured his ankle during training camp and probably
won’t be back until the first of September. That could potentially
drop him a round or two in your draft. That’s okay. There’s
even a chance his missed time during training camp could hinder
his production this year, but from all accounts, the guy is a
beast whose talent jumps out at you. He will be a starter by mid-season
and give QB Tony Romo the second receiving option he’s longed
for since his ascension to the starting QB position.
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