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2023 Player Outlooks: Green Bay Packers



By Colby Cavaliere | 7/31/23 |

QB Jordan Love
2022 QB Rank - No.68, 3.4 FPts/G

18 years feels like a lifetime ago for most, including Jordan Love, who was just seven years old when Aaron Rodgers was drafted by the Packers. While the future Hall of Famer finishes his career in a different shade of green, Love becomes just the 3rd Green Bay franchise quarterback in the last 30 years. Can this string of all-time signal callers continue? I honestly donít know. Since being a 1st round pick in 2020, Love has only attempted 83 passes, most of them coming in mop-up duty. In his only career start back in 2021 he was dreadful, completing only half of his passes for 190 yards in a 13-7 loss to Kansas City. There isnít even much to glean from his college career, as he really only had one great year at Utah State.

I truly wish I could have a hot take here and tell you that Love is going to be the sleeper hit QB of 2023, or that heís sure to tank, but I just donít know. Even though he hasnít seen many meaningful snaps, he has experience in the offense, has mentored under Rodgers for several years, and definitely has the confidence of the coaching staff and teammates. Unfortunately, none of those things are fantasy scoring categories. His solid core of skill position players do give him a fair shot to succeed, but every pass catcher is young (none of the current starters have more than two yearsí experience) and that will lead to some serious consistency issues. With very little rushing upside to lift his floor (26 career rushing yards in eight appearances) I could only consider him a mid-tier QB2 at the very best.

Aaron Jones

RB Aaron Jones
2022 RB Rank - No.11, 11.4 FPts/G

Entering his age 28 season, and his 7th in the NFL, itís probably safe to say Jones is on the other side of his prime. Although he is no longer the dominant league winner he was in 2019 and 2020, he remains one of the most consistent RB1s across multiple formats. Despite the presence of AJ Dillon, Jones piled up 272 touches and seven scores last season. The 1,516 total yards were the 2nd most of his career, and with Love taking over, Jones will likely be tasked to handle an additional load. Jones was able to remain incredibly efficient (5.3 yards-per-carry) despite the 2nd most carries of his career (213). Dillon aside, Jones should continue to be the back to own on this team, and has a chance to be another fantastic value pick that can anchor your backfield if you focus on receivers early in your draft.

RB AJ Dillon
2022 RB Rank - No.28, 8.2 FPts/G

Dillon has been a strong fantasy asset since taking over the 1b role in this backfield in 2021. The Packers have been very consistent in his usage as his touch totals (221 and 214) and production have been near mirror images of each other the last two seasons. Better in standard leagues due to his short yardage touchdown potential and presence of Jones soaking up most of the backfield targets, Dillon is an elite FLEX and has great standalone value as well. Heís one of the few backs in fantasy worth drafting as a borderline starter that has a direct line to elite usage if Jones were to suffer an injury.

WR Christian Watson
2022 WR Rank Ė No. 25, 8.8 FPts/G

The receiver room in Green Bay has been totally remade in the last few seasons with all of the veteran mainstays gone from the roster. Not a single receiver remains on the team from 2021, as the last two drafts have restocked the receiver room. Watson leads the youth movement as currently the most accomplished and highest ceiling player on the offense. Although he flashed his tantalizing physical gifts during brief stretches of his rookie year, there were plenty of duds, especially the first half of the year. After a monster 4-107-3 performance in a win against Dallas in Week 10, Aaron Rodgers finally felt comfortable targeting Watson in big spots. He saw no fewer than 5 targets along the way, and his stretch from Week 10 to Week 13 likely clinched playoff berths for fantasy owners patient enough to hold on to some shares of the rookie.

Vaulting to the WR1 and alpha receiver on the offense automatically puts Watson in the fantasy spotlight. With a year of experience under his belt, Watson should be able to play faster this season, and expand his route tree. The move to Love is certainly a downgrade in quarterback play, but itís very likely the duo has been able to build chemistry during their work as backups and now franchise cornerstones. His speed makes him deadly downfield, but itís his 6í4íí frame, and better understanding of red zone concepts that make him a threat for double digit touchdowns. As long as Love doesnít totally fall flat, Watson has serious boom potential in this offense. He has standard league WR1 potential at a WR2 price.

WR Romeo Doubs
2022 WR Rank Ė No.75, 4.7 FPts/G

A preseason darling this time a year ago, the 2022 4th round rookie from Nevada didnít make quite the impact some were hoping. A respectable 42-425-3 line came as a touchdown or bust fantasy player. After a strong start, he faded in the 2nd half, as teammate, and fellow rookie Christian Watson found his way back into ARodís good graces. Unfortunately for Doubs, that looks to carry over into 2023. More of a technician than physical freak, Doubs isnít necessarily in line for a big uptick in targets despite the loss of Cobb and Lazard. Rodgers had the 10th most pass attempts last season, and I just donít see Love throwing it up nearly that much this season as he transitions into the starting role. With fewer balls in the air, and Watson and Jones soaking up a good chunk of them, there isnít enough volume for Doubs to be anything more than a back end of the roster player.

TE Luke Musgrave
2022 TE Rank – N/A

I’ll be perfectly honest, in preparing for this part of the outlook I had to search the Packer depth chart to find the potential starting tight end for Green Bay. The Packers have completely overhauled nearly every pass catcher on this offense in recent seasons, and Musgrave is another of the younglings expected to step into an important role. The 3rd tight end drafted in the 2nd round this spring, Musgrave is just about as raw of a tight end prospect as you can get. With only 47 receptions in his four years at Oregon State, Musgrave is an athletic move tight end that is going to have to learn how to play all dimensions of the position. Learning on the job rarely equates to fantasy relevance, so look elsewhere for production.






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