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Colby Cavaliere | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


The Shot Caller's Report - Running Backs
Your Guide To Fantasy Lineups: Week 11
11/15/18
QBs | RBs | WRs


Bye Weeks:
Buffalo, Cleveland, Miami, New England, N.Y. Jets, San Francisco

David Johnson

David Johnson is back in the RB1 conversation thanks to a new OC and a tasty matchup.

Grab a Helmet

David Johnson vs OAK: Well it only took 9 weeks, but the Cardinals seem to have FINALLY figured out how to use David Johnson! The 183 total yards and 2 scores against the Chiefs were easily Johnson’s best totals of the year, and should be just an appetizer to the main course that Oakland’s defense should serve up this week. With limited talent and a rookie at QB, Arizona must continue to run the offense through Johnson every chance it gets. The Raiders have surrendered the second most yards to running backs this season, and don’t have the ability to get too far out ahead of the Cardinals. 25 touches should be the absolute floor for Johnson this week, and all things considered, he has one of the best matchups of RB1 candidates this week.

Saquon Barkley vs TB: The sledding remained tough against a stingy 49ers front Monday night, but Barkley continued his season long streak of going over 100 total yards, making him one of the highest floor backs in the NFL. He’s been a PPR demon with 62 receptions, and even if the rushing yardage hasn’t been eye popping, he’s still found the end zone 7 total times. Barkley is in a big-time blow-up spot this week against Tampa Bay. The Bucs are going to move the ball on offense, but can’t stop anyone on defense, and have lost one of their best defenders, Lavonte David. Most of the sloppy weather should move out of the Northeast by Sunday, and the Giants have a real chance to get their offense back on track. I think Barkley finds the endzone twice, piles up 150+ total yards and slots in as an easy top-3 option for Week 11.

Aaron Jones @ SEA (Thu): I’ve seen some ridiculous stats being thrown around about Aaron Jones these past few weeks. He leads the NFL in most explosive run metrics over the last two years, and put those stats on display last week against the Dolphins when he went for a career high 145 yards and 2 touchdowns on only 15 carries. It took some time but he seems to have completely overtaken Jamaal Williams as the team’s bellcow back, and as long as Aaron Rodgers remains upright, he’ll never see an 8-man front. Jones hits the hole like a lightning bolt and gives the Packer offense a dimension they haven’t had since Ahman Green was running around Lambeau Field. Jones hasn’t been below 5 yards a carry in any game this year, and should be a big part of the game plan on the road against the rival Seahawks. I don’t know that he’s a 20-carry back, but he barely needs half that to make an impact. Ride the wave and fire him up as an upside RB2.

Grab Some Pine


James Conner @ JAX:
A few things concern me about Conner this week. First, he’s coming to a part of the season where young players can tend to wear down, especially since this is his first full year as a healthy pro. He’s hardly ever come off the field through the first 10 weeks, and got banged up last week against the Panthers. With Le'Veon Bell not coming back, Pittsburgh has to be thinking about lessening Conner’s workload down the stretch, especially with Mike Tomlin praising rookie back Jaylen Samuels for his mop-up work last week. While the Jacksonville defense has unachieved all year, they still have only given up the 7th fewest fantasy points to running backs, holding their last two opponents to under 100 yards rushing. Conner has established himself as a weekly “must start”, but I think he has a chance to lay his first egg since a Week 4 dud against Baltimore.

Eagles RBs @ NO: If there is one thing that’s been pretty clear this year it’s that 3-headed RBBC situations are usually just a bunch of average players being shuffled in and out. Since the loss of Jay Ajayi the Eagles have split the work between Corey Clement, Wendell Smallwood and Josh Adams. Smallwood has produced at times, Clement has been nearly invisible, and Adams, who has shown the most as a runner, still doesn’t get enough touches to be a reliable fantasy play. This Eagle offense just hasn’t been able to put it all together, and I doubt the running game suddenly catches fire this week against one of the best run defense units in the league. Starting any of these guys is a roll of the dice, and a situation to avoid if you can.

Lamar Miller @ WAS: Three times this year the Ghost of Lamar Miller has shown up to haunt defenses with 100-yard games and flashes of old fantasy glory. But most times it’s Miller’s fantasy owners who get that recycled old candy that’s been sitting around for over a year. When Miller has been good, he’s been top flight RB2 good. When he’s been bad, he’s been barely rosterable. And so goes the Jekyll and Hyde game of which Miller will show this Sunday in Washington. The Redskins have given up the 5th fewest rushing yards to backs this season, making this a clear “shy away” from Miller week.


Quarterbacks | Running Backs | Wide Receivers