The big splash plays haven’t been nearly as frequent as they
once were, and last week’s 2-19-0 line likely contributed
to a bunch of loses in the fantasy semi-finals, but I think Hill
gets loose this week. Travis Kelce returns to soak up attention
in the middle of the field as well. This game has the 2nd highest
implied total of Week 17, so points should come fast and furious.
Start Hill with supreme confidence.
While I want to avoid the Miami backfield at all costs, I want as
many shares of Jaylen Waddle as I can. The 1st rounder is set to
break Anquan Boldin’s rookie reception record, and he single
handedly carried the pass offense on Monday night. Tennessee’s
secondary has been a weakness all year, giving up the most receiving
yards to receivers in the NFL. Waddle has an insane 36 receptions
over his last four games, including three games with 90-plus yards
and 2 scores.
Arizona has struggled to generate consistent offense over the last
several weeks, but that hasn’t stopped Kirk from ascending to top
of the receiver core. A.J. Green is low floor/ceiling play, and
only Ertz stands in the way of Kirk pacing the team in targets.
This game has a 51+ implied total for the week which means the passing
games are in for some fireworks. I’d be more than happy to trust
Kirk as an upside WR3 in most formats.
The fact Moore has maintained at least marginal fantasy value this
season is a borderline miracle. With some of the shoddiest quarterback
play in the league, a bum hamstring, and a huge target on his back,
Moore simply can’t be trusted right now. He has only 1 touchdown
since Week 4, and plays a Saints defense that should easily bottle
up the Darnold/Newton combo.
Colts WRs vs LV
I’m working under the assumption that Wentz is not going to get
cleared before Week 17, and rookie Sam Ehlinger will get the start.
Several 2nd, 3rd, and even 4th string quarterbacks have been thrust
into starting positions due to injury and Covid, and they have generally
been disasters. Ehlinger was a mess in the preseason so if he’s
forced into action, expect a Jonathan Taylor focused game plan with
little room for receiver production.
Pitts has managed to live up to the massive hype coming into the
2021 season. Bucking the trend of rookie tight ends struggling,
Pitts is almost assuredly going to finish the year with over 1,000
yards. This glowing review of his season doesn’t help much
this week on the road against Buffalo, where sub 30 degree temps
and some snow await. You likely have to ride with Pitts in the final
game of the year, but you couldn’t ask for a worse set of
circumstances.