The Saints offense is led by one of the game’s best quarterbacks.
Anyone thinking an old quarterback can’t get it done obviously
missed out last season on a guy who led the league in passing
yards in route to the fourth best fantasy season of his Hall of
Fame career. With Brees leading the way, the Saints produced two
top ten fantasy wide outs in 2016. That’s not as likely with Willie
Snead and Ted Ginn, Jr. serving as secondary options opposite
Michael Thomas. New Orleans was faced with tough cap decisions
and ultimately decided to trade from strength dealing Brandin
Cooks to help offset the burden in other areas.
Last year, the Saints passed the ball 674 times compared to 404
rushing attempts. It’s hard to fathom Sean Peyton asking his 38-year-old
quarterback to toss more than 650 passes this season when you
have two quality running backs in the backfield but that won’t
prevent Brees from being one of the better fantasy signal callers
to own. However, It may be just enough to knock him out of the
top three so don’t overpay based on last year’s totals. As long
as Brees is upright, the rest of the Saints’ fantasy players will
be attractive fantasy assets for the upcoming 2017 campaign. Chase
Daniel, Garrett Grayson and Ryan Nassib will compete for clipboard
duties behind Brees. Daniel started his career in the Bayou and
looks like the best fit as the team’s primary backup but the team
won’t be nearly as explosive if he is called into action.
RB Mark
Ingram (2016 RB Rank – No.16, 12.3 FPts/G)
Mark Ingram finally stayed healthy for a full season and fantasy
owners were treated to over 1300 total yards and ten touchdowns
on 251 touches (46 were receptions). Most teams would be gearing
up for another year riding their big back and his 5.1 YPC but
the Saints decided to add Adrian Peterson. Fantasy owners shouldn’t
be deterred from selecting Ingram, as Peterson’s addition also
provided a solution for the team’s depth as well as insurance
for their lead running back. For his part, Ingram has welcomed
the opportunity to battle for the starting job and quite frankly
offers more stability to the offense. Tim Hightower proved last
year, that Ingram needs a breather to get through the year but
in doing so he had the best fantasy season of his career by nearly
40 fantasy points. Now that everyone knows what Ingram is capable
of, what do we make of his situation in 2017? The offense figures
to once again provide plenty of scoring but consistency hurts
Ingram’s overall fantasy impact. He scored more than 14 fantasy
points in seven games while scoring fewer than nine points in
eight games. Although the numbers represent a frontline fantasy
running back, the presence of Peterson and lack of consistency
drops Ingram into RB2 territory.
Adrian Peterson has made a living out of proving people wrong
his entire career. So it’s not out of the ordinary that
he will be picking up right where he left off entering 2017. Injury
and off-field issues have devolved Peterson from being a consensus
top fantasy player to a total crapshoot. He is slated to be Mark
Ingram’s backup so fantasy owners shouldn’t expect
more than 150 touches. Can a part-time Peterson be useful to fantasy
owners? Absolutely. In shallow leagues, Peterson is a quality
handcuff to those investing in Ingram. In twelve team and deeper
leagues he is on the fringes of being worth the risk of a roster
spot due to opportunity, not talent. Two years ago the former
Viking produced a 4.5 YPC and over 1,700 total yards. He has plenty
of motivation to succeed and a team that loves to put the ball
in the hands of its playmakers. The downside is that unless the
team departs from their pass happy ways, Peterson is not a lock
to see double-digit touches with Ingram atop the depth chart or
enough goal line carries to become a dependable touchdown vulture.
New Orleans will undoubtedly give Peterson every attempt to add
a few receptions to his stat line but that only adds to his upside
not his projections. If you can stomach the risk, Peterson is
only a few opportunities away from being a quality fantasy asset.
The Saints and fantasy owners alike have realized there are not
many Darren Sproles in this world. Sean Peyton has a unique role
in his offense for a pass-catching scat back so Cadet was brought
back on a one-year deal after testing free agency. He will get
just enough receptions for deep PPR leaguers to take notice but
falls short as a risky one-dimensional fantasy player. The team
cast another net into the waters drafting Alvin Kamara out of
Tennessee in the third round of this year’s draft. The rookie
is equipped with a similar skill set as Cadet so the writing is
on the wall. Between the addition of Adrian Peterson and Kamara,
it’s no surprise the team has been shopping
Cadet. Regardless of which player is sitting third on the
depth chart, there won’t be many snaps available to make a fantasy
impact in 2017.
Michael Thomas didn’t disappoint as a rookie in 2016. He
set the bar awfully high finishing the year as a top ten fantasy
performer and helping more than a few fantasy teams win championships.
Thomas is in an ideal situation catching balls from an accurate
passer where he can use his big mitts in every facet of the passing
attack making him a true all around threat wherever he lines up
on the field. He’s almost a lock to improve upon his 120
targets from a year ago which gives him a realistic shot to go
over the century mark in receptions. When the Saints don’t
run the ball in the red zone, Thomas should be a frequent target
giving him upside to reach double digit TDs. He will garner more
attention from opposing defense this season so there is a chance
he experiences some struggles with double teams early on. For
this reason, Thomas remains a tick below the position’s
elite but offers the type of floor that makes him ideal building
block for your fantasy squad in 2017.
Willie Snead wasn’t heralded when he came into the league
as a rookie in 2015 but he’s received at least 100 targets
in each of his first two seasons as a pro. He will be one of several
players tasked with replacing the production of the departed Brandin
Cooks and that should encourage fantasy owners to bump him up
their cheatsheet a few notches. A mere ten percent increase in
production would make him a valuable WR3 most weeks on his way
to his first 1,000 yard season. His 69 percent catch rate makes
him more even more attractive in PPR formats. Where the floor
appears to be his biggest asset, his ceiling isn’t nearly
as high. There are plenty options near the goal in New Orleans
so his lack of touchdowns will prevent him from cracking the top
25 receivers despite playing in a fantasy friendly offense.
WR Ted
Ginn Jr. (2016 WR Rank – No.54, 6.8 FPts/G)
In most cases, having a part of a high-scoring offense is always
encouraged, but the Saints have evolved into a “sum of the
parts” unit over the years. This is part of the reason why
they were able to let Brandin Cooks depart in a trade and why
fantasy owners need to acknowledge the possibility of a low ceiling
for Ginn. He’s a looks like a solid addition but that doesn’t
mean he will be a reliable fantasy contributor. It’s fair
to assume that after playing with lesser talented quarterbacks
that Ginn’s catch rate - typically around 50 percent - is
likely to improve. The stark contrast between the Panthers’
dull passing game and the Saints’ systematic aerial assault
are certainly alluring but there are too many red flags to overlook.
The former Buckeye has never posted a season with 800 receiving
yards or even 60 receptions. Outside of his fluky 2015 campaign
that saw him reach double-digit touchdowns he’s never been
a consistent threat to score. Based on the reports out of minicamp
Ginn hasn’t lost a step at age 32 but he is an older receiver
that has missed time in two of the past three seasons. Brandon
Coleman is also lingering and plenty capable of contributing a
big play down the field. Ginn figures to be too inconsistent to
be anything but a one-week replacement player unless a long term
injury to Snead or Thomas opens the door for more playing time.
TE Coby
Fleener (2016 TE Rank – No.24, 5.5
FPts/G)
A much hyped off-season addition last year, Fleener had many
fantasy GMs thinking he was finally ready to emerge as a legit
stud TE. He saw at least five targets in four of the team’s
first five contests. Unfortunately, there were too many miscues
throughout the season and he accumulated at least five targets
in only four of the remaining eleven games last year. He finished
the season in the middle of the pack at the position and while
there is still hope of a slight rebound in 2017, fantasy owners
shouldn’t expect him to be anything but an ordinary TE2.
Josh Hill is expected to push Fleener this season however he will
first need to get back on the field after suffering a broken leg
last year. Hill is on schedule to return for training camp in
what should be one of the better battles for fantasy owners to
monitor this summer.