Running Backs
Bye Weeks: Ray
Rice, Willis
McGahee, Knowshon
Moreno, Correll
Buckhalter, Kevin
Smith, Maurice
Jones-Drew, Julius
Jones, Chris
Johnson, LenDale
White
Start 'Em:
Running Backs Who Will Outperform Relative
To Their Draft Position And Recent Hype
Frank Gore @ HOU
Gore is expected to return to the lineup this week for significant
duty for the first time since injuring his ankle in September.
His last full game saw him rush for 200 yards and 2 TDs so there
is reason for his owners to be excited. The Texans are the only
NFL squad to allow double-digit rushing TDs this year (10). They
give up an average of 125 YPG on the ground and Gore is in line
for very good totals in his return to action.
Larry Johnson vs. SD
Chiefs fans and fantasy owners alike are still waiting for LJ
to score his first TD of the season and he is likely buried on
the bench on the majority of teams. I actually picked him up this
week in one of my leagues hoping he can turn it around (friendly
schedule weeks 10, 12, 14, 15). He is coming off his best game
of the season (83 yards rushing, 3 catches) and I like his chances
to get in the endzone this week. The Chargers have the 27th ranked
run defense in the league, allowing 141 YPG and 6 TDs in 5 games.
Ryan Grant @ CLE
Grant had an equally as salivating matchup last week and put up
mediocre totals, so it’s hard to get too charged up about
the trip to Cleveland, but I’m throwing my support behind
him again. The Browns allow 165.3 rushing YPG and have given up
9 on the ground in 6 games. Last season Grant didn’t notch
his first 100-yard game until Week 7, and this year could follow
suit. He hasn’t scored since Week 2 but look for Grant to
hit pay dirt this week.
Jonathan Stewart vs. BUF
Despite playing second fiddle to backfield mate DeAngelo Williams,
Jonathan Stewart rushed for 110 yards last week (3rd highest total
of his career) while averaging 6.5 YPC. He’s got another enticing
match up this week against the NFL’s worst run defense of the
Buffalo Bills. The Bills have been torched for 181.8 rushing YPG
and have given up 8 TDs. They have also allowed 10 runs of 20+
yards this season, tops in the NFL.
Joseph Addai @ STL
Addai’s 3.4 YPC is a career low for him, but he claims to
feel as good now as he has at any time in his past seasons. Thankfully
for his owners, he is making his presence felt in the passing
game this year, averaging 5.2 catches per game. With the Colts
prolific offense, Addai will certainly have his chances against
the Rams, a squad that has served up 9 TDs on the ground and 132.5
rushing YPG.
Justin Fargas vs. NYJ
Long shot of the week! Fargas rushed for a season-high 87 yards
on 23 carries last week against a good Eagles defense. He should
have earned himself a more prominent role going forward, at least
until Darren McFadden returns. The J-E-T-S run defense has gotten
schooled the last 4 weeks, giving up 143.5 YPG after allowed just
60.5 YPG in their first two games. Before we go too crazy, let’s
keep in mind that Fargie has only scored 1 TD in his last 18 games.
Bench 'Em:
Running Backs Who Will Under Perform
Relative To Their Draft Position And Recent Hype
Brandon Jacobs vs. ARI
The big fella has been a big downer this year for fantasy owners.
Expecting a repeat of his 15 rushing touchdowns seems unlikely
at this point as Jacobs only has 1 TD through 6 games. A non-factor
in the passing game, Jacobs could be store for another underwhelming
game against the #1 run defense of the Cardinals. No individual
player has rushed for 100 yards against Arizona this year, and
only 1 team (Colts – 126 yards) has had success. The Cards
are allowing a meager 59.6 rushing YPG and a 2.8 YPC average,
both ranked first in the NFL.
Brown's numbers could take a hit this week
if Miami is in catch-up mode.
Ronnie
Brown vs. NO
Ronnie Brown has been impressive this year – 4 TDs in his
last two games (6 overall) - but will likely have trouble putting
up big numbers when the Dolphins face the Saints this week. Miami
will likely be trailing and calling mostly pass plays from the
second quarter on. The Saints defense is allowing opposing offenses
an average of 21.8 rushing attempts per game, the 3rd lowest total
in the league. I wouldn’t outright bench him, but treat
him as a flex and hope for the best unless you have a no-brainer
alternative.
Cedric Benson vs. CHI
Last week Benson looked to be as close to a fantasy ‘sure
thing’ as there is, but he just couldn’t get a groove
going against the Texans. With the Bengals trailing, he matched
his season low with 16 carries and mustered only 2.75 YPC against
one of the worst run defenses in the league, although he did find
the end zone for the fourth time in 6 games. The Bears held Michael
Turner to 30 yards on 13 carries last week and allow 88.4 YPG,
7th best in the league. Benson has the extra motivation of playing
his former team, but how productive that makes him remains to
be seen.
Cadillac
Williams vs. NEB
Williams had 16 carries for 77 yards and a TD last Sunday, but
remains very hard to trust. Case in point: two weeks ago he had
10 carries for 8 yards in Philadelphia. The bottom line is that
it is not wise to count on this guy on a weekly basis. The Patriots
should not have a problem containing him, and will likely have
a big lead in this game, minimizing Caddy’s opportunities.
Furthermore, New England has only allowed 1 rushing TD this season.
Wide Receivers
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