Pick 1.04
9/3/11
No more screwing around.
That was my mantra for the fourth of a four part series of mock
drafts organized by FF Toolbox. The mock drafts are 12 teams,
performance scoring plus one point per reception, all positions.
We start 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex (RB, WR or TE), 1 K and
1 DEF.
Anyone who has been following along my progression through these
mocks since late May and June
probably met the July edition
with responses of, "huh?", "oof" and comments
I can't repeat to keep our PG website rating. (Good thing a lot
more falls under PG these days!)
I self-admitted, I was screwing around last time to a degree.
I was taking some positions early I wouldn't normally take. I
was taking players I normally never consider. I was trying some
things out, shaking things up. For the most part it is a mock
draft so I figured, why not? That is what they are designed for
– practice.
Well this time, no more Mr. Nice Guy. I was assigned the fourth
pick, and the draft below is, in my opinion, a great example of
what someone can accomplish in a PPR-Flex league with an early
draft pick. The results are a stud RB, great WR corps (super great,
in fact) plus choice of stud QB or stud TE.
You are admittedly weaker at second RB, but the PPR angle allows
you an opportunity to find some value. All in all, this approach
will give you a team in solid contention out of the gate. My pick
commentary as the draft commenced is below.
Note: Even though this mock draft is for the purpose of viewing
trends where players are getting drafted, we are playing out the
league in a draft masters format. That means, total points with
no starting lineups submitted or free agent moves during the season.
Note there are some strategy points specific to draft masters
leagues that do come into play which could have a minor impact
on the draft results.
1.04
- RB Jamaal Charles, KC
FF Today's projection guy Mike Krueger is a KC homer, so this
works out nicely. I really haven't been able to disseminate very
much between the top 4-5 rushers this season, especially since
Arian Foster is more risky with his gimpy hamstring. As a result
the fourth spot is almost ideal for me, getting the leftovers.
In this case it was Chris Johnson who fell outside the top 4 because
he was still in the thick of his holdout.
2.09
- WR Mike Wallace, PIT
Not the highest remaining WR per the FF Today official projections,
but the guy I feel most comfortable with by a fair margin amongst
the available choices right now. And I doubt he'll make it back
to me in the 3rd. I think this guy is ready to really turn some
heads even more than he already has his first two years in the
league.
3.04
- WR Wes Welker, NE
Extremely tempted to go RB here but there are a lot of nice options
on the board so I'll take my chances one of them comes back. WR
is a little thinner, in my opinion. Welker's decline last year
from the three prior 110+ catch seasons I really think had more
to do with his knee than anything. I'm not saying he'll return
to 110+ catches, but I think he has a safer floor than most with
potential to rebound into the top 10.
4.09
- WR Steve Johnson, BUF
I'm a little skittish on Stevie Johnson as a WR2, but when the
opportunity presents itself to add him as a WR3, I'm very happy
with that. Yes, it is at the cost a my RBs, but that is okay,
as I can work some value picks at that position while other teams
are filling in their starting WR corps.
5.04
- TE Jermichael Finley, GB
He hasn't played a full 16-game season in this three-year career,
but the glimpse last year catching 300 yards through four games
is enough to keep fantasy players rolling the dice on Finley with
a relatively high draft pick. After an off-season working with
Larry Fitzgerald, plus entering a contract year, I'll roll the
dice on him here over some more established veteran TEs.
6.09
- RB Reggie Bush, MIA
I was targeting Reggie at this pick a round ago, and he did come
back to me. Marshawn Lynch was tempting as he was also still on
the board. I might have been able to grab both if I took Lynch
first, as people generally don't believe Bush can and will stay
healthy in the role the Dolphins are carving out for him. I didn't
want to overthink it and potentially lose Bush, though. I'm optimistic
about him, and think he can really surprise getting drafted this
late in a PPR scoring league.
7.04
- QB Matt Ryan, ATL
If I had made a list of my top 4 picks when this round started,
I would have just landed my 4th preference after Marshawn Lynch,
Brandon Jacobs and Ben Roethlisberger. I agree with Draft Sharks'
assessment that Ryan is perhaps a little safer than Big Ben. Between
them I would have taken Ben too. I'm tempted to let it ride at
QB but some common sense is coming over me that I'd better secure
a decent passer right now. Ryan says they want to push the ball
down the field more this season. I'm all for that, if he can make
it happen.
8.09
- QB Josh Freeman, TB
Freeman represents a bye week conflict with Ryan, but I like
Freeman a mile ahead of the next group and with me waiting to
take my first QB, I need to put more emphasis on a reliable backup...
in this case, 1B to Ryan's 1A.
9.04
- RB Michael Bush, OAK
Although we are relatively high on Darren McFadden around these
parts, in my drafts I've been ending up with Michael Bush a fair
bit. He is a solid upside pick who is capable of producing a little
bit in a sharing role too. I'm seeing some positive signs from
the Raiders offense to be a little optimistic about them. And
will McFadden stay healthy for 16 games? Hard to say, but the
odds seem against it. He didn't make it a week through training
camp.
10.09
- WR Jordy Nelson, GB | 11.04
- WR James Jones, GB
This pair of picks play more to the draft masters format than
a typical redraft league. Pairing Nelson and Jones would typically
be a nightmare to start one of them week to week, but there should
be enough big games for them combined to make them useful contributors.
12.09
- RB Danny Woodhead, NE
I need another RB and one who can catch some passes. Woodhead
would be another guy who is tough to start weekly the way the
Pats use their RBs (when healthy). Woodhead is a gamer though
and should have a decent role to contribute some strong fantasy
games this season. I'm not convinced the invisible through training
camp Shane Vareen and preseason wunderkid Stevan Ridley will steal
many touches from the veterans who know how to protect the franchise,
Tom Brady.
13.04
- WR Mike Williams, SEA
Williams' fantasy stock has tanked this preseason after the team
added Sidney Rice, Zach Miller and Tarvaris Jackson. By all accounts
though, this is a guy who has turned his attitude towards football
completely around. He is committed to working out in the offseason,
and looked very good last year in his first year back after an
extended absence. I'd consider Williams a value this late in the
draft. Someone who should live up to this spot, and could very
well exceed it. Here is hoping his QB can be reasonably competent.
The jury is still out on that one.
14.09
- TE Tony Moeaki, KC
Moeaki should rank pretty high on the list of receiving targets
on the Chiefs. I'm not a big fan of the Steve Breaston signing
and rookie Jon Baldwin hasn't impressed the team in his first
training camp. I was however impressed with Moeaki's rookie campaign
last year and expect him to step up his production in year two.
Editor's Note: This draft was conducted before reports of
Tony Moeaki's knee injury... an injury which may land him on IR.
15.04
- QB Donovan McNabb, MIN
After taking two QBs with the same bye week, I have more incentive
to take a third, which isn't a bad idea in the first place given
the draft masters format. McNabb fits the bill as someone secure
as a starter who should piece together some decent games this
year, and hopefully one of them is when Ryan and Freeman are off.
The Vikings head to Carolina that week.
16.09
- K Nate Kaeding, SD
17.04
- DEF Atlanta Falcons
18.09
- WR Denarius Moore, OAK
I am pretty full up on receivers at this point, but given all
the hype about Moore this preseason, I'm relatively surprised
he lasted this long, so I'll take a chance on him. It is never
a bad idea to stockpile receivers in a PPR league.
19.04
- DEF Kansas City Chiefs
20.09
- K Jason Hanson, DET
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