After four-straight weeks with only one
TD per contest, Tom Brady has 9 TDs in his last three games.
Quarterback
Rising
Tom
Brady, NE
Earlier this season, Brady spent the first three weeks of the
season getting marked as “falling” in this very article.
In Week 4, I resisted the urge of including him even though he
had his worst week of the season at that point. Since that time,
Brady has gone off, throwing nine touchdowns and turning the ball
over zero times in his last three games. Clearly, he is back on
track. In these three weeks, Brady has gone from droppable to
must start.
Ryan
Tannehill, MIA
Here we have another AFC East quarterback with a complete turnaround
since being a mess early in the season. After Week 3, there were
rumblings that Tannehill might not even have the starting job
locked down in Miami. In three games since that time, Tannehill
has thrown two touchdowns in each game, while rushing for at least
35 yards. Two scores per game is great, and if he maintains the
rushing, it makes him even better. He’s a clear starter
in 2QB leagues and a nice bye week fill-in or streaming option
in standard leagues.
Tony
Romo, DAL
Romo hasn’t been lighting the world on fire; he hasn’t had to
with DeMarco Murray around. So while he hasn’t had any weeks that
can swing a matchup, he has been an excellent source of guaranteed
points for his owners. There is something to be said for a guy
you know will give you 15+ points every week you start him, which
he has done since Week 2. He won’t go blow for blow with a guy
like Peyton Manning, but he’s a very safe weekly starter.
Falling
Matt
Ryan, ATL
First four games for Matt Ryan: Ten touchdowns.
Last three games for Matt Ryan: Three touchdowns.
As you can see from those numbers, it was tough benching Ryan
early in the season. Now? It’s really annoying to leave
him in. The Falcons offense just can’t score against decent
opponents. I imagine it might be tough to bench Ryan if you have
him, and he is a threat for a big week every time out with the
weapons he has on offense, but he’s far from the elite fantasy
player we were seeing in September.
Kirk
Cousins, WAS
The wheels have now completely fallen off for Cousins in Washington.
It was just a few weeks ago that there was debate over who should
be the full-time starter when Robert Griffin III is healthy, and
now Colt McCoy has supplanted Cousins. I can’t imagine Cousins
getting the job back any time soon, especially now that Griffin
is close to returning. If you own Cousins, you can drop him.
Brian
Hoyer, CLE
Hoyer has generally been solid all season, and had a big Week
5 against the Titans, so he came off looking like a great matchup
play for fantasy owners. Things changed in Week 7 with a terrible
showing against the Jaguars. After seeing a quarterback struggle
against Jacksonville, it’s tough to trust him going forward.
He’s still usable in 2QB leagues, but I’d look elsewhere
if I need help in a standard league.
Running Back
Rising
Ronnie
Hillman, DEN
Over the off-season, the biggest pro-Montee Ball argument was
that running backs that line up next to Peyton Manning are almost
always successful. Ball didn’t live up to that in the first few
weeks, but since Ball’s injury, Ronnie Hillman has stepped in
and proven the argument is still true. After rushing for 100 yards
against a tough Jets run defense in Week 6 and two touchdowns
against an even tougher 49ers run defense in Week 7, it appears
Hillman has taken his opportunity and run with it. At this point
I’d be surprised if Hillman lost the starting role whenever Ball
returns. Hillman is a weekly start at running back.
Jerick
McKinnon, MIN
There were a couple reasons to be concerned about Jerick McKinnon
in Week 7: 1) Vikings coach Mike Zimmer commented early in the
week that he wanted to get Matt Asiata more touches, and 2) The
Vikings were going to Buffalo, one of the toughest run defenses
in the NFL. McKinnon proved both of those concerns to be unnecessary.
McKinnon received 19 carries to Asiata’s 6, and he ran for 103
yards against a defense that had not allowed more than 86 yards
to a running back all season. After two weeks of success as the
lead back, it’s safe to say the job in Minnesota is McKinnon’s.
He can be considered an RB2 with some upside the rest of the way.
Tre
Mason, STL & Denard
Robinson, JAC
I’m lumping these two together, because in a way they have burst
on to the scene the same way. Both guys started the year as a
third wheel in backfields that have found very little success.
In Week 7, each guy finally got their opportunity to show what
they can do. And with that opportunity, they each seemed to run
away with their team’s starting job. Tre Mason ran for 85 yards
against the Seahawks, averaging 4.7 yards per rush. Denard Robinson
rushed for 127 yards against the Browns, this after Toby Gerhart
and Storm Johnson were complete disasters in the very same backfield.
Both players have their concerns, and each comes with the potential
for future coaching decisions that don’t favor them; but for now,
they each look like starting NFL running backs. These are two
great waiver targets for running back needy squads.
Falling
Frank
Gore, SF
After a slow start, Gore came on strong in Weeks 4 and 5, turning
in back-to-back 100+ yard performances, averaging 5.0 or more
yards per carry in each game. Since those strong outings, Gore
has fallen off a cliff. In his last two games against the Rams
and Broncos, Gore has rushed for 58 total yards, averaging less
than 2.5 yards per rush in each of those contests. His owners
have to hope the bye week helps rejuvenate him for the stretch
run of the season, but for now, I’d be worried about putting
him back in the lineup in Week 9.
Bishop
Sankey, TEN
Coming into 2014, Bishop Sankey was supposed to become the Titans
starter because he was the best option they had. Through the first
five weeks, Sankey remained second in line behind Shonn Greene.
Once Greene got hurt, Sankey was supposed to run away with the
starting job. In two weeks as the starter, Sankey has not been
able to crack the 3.5 yards per carry barrier. It remains to be
seen how Sankey gets used going forward, but he has done nothing
to earn more than a timeshare whenever Greene finally returns
from injury. Sankey has value as long as Greene is out, but he’s
not a guy I’d be in a hurry to return to my lineups if I have
better options.
Steven
Jackson, ATL
Jackson has managed to have a worse rushing performance than the
game before in every week of the season thus far. He hasn’t
reached forty rushing yards since Week 4, and he hasn’t
managed over 25 rushing yards since Week 5. He continues to get
the most carries in Atlanta’s four-man committee, but Jackson
isn’t doing enough with those carries to warrant a start
in any format, unless it’s out of total desperation.
Wide Receiver
Rising
Golden
Tate, DET
Apparently being the lead receiver in the Detroit Lions offense
is a dreamy position to be in. Since Calvin Johnson went to decoy
status in Weeks 4 and 5 and out all together the last couple weeks,
Golden Tate has gone wild. His numbers: 32 receptions, 448 yards,
and two touchdowns. To put that in perspective, if he kept at
this pace over an entire season, he’d finish with 128 catches
for 1792 yards and eight touchdowns. That’s ridiculous. I wouldn’t
expect him to maintain this pace if Johnson remains out, and I
definitely won’t expect numbers like this once Megatron returns,
but either way, Golden Tate is a guy that certainly belongs in
your lineup every week.
Doug
Baldwin, SEA
Baldwin entered the season with a little momentum as a good Seahawks
receiver to own, but he never really did much with Percy Harvin
around. In his first game after the Harvin trade, Baldwin exploded
with seven receptions for 123 yards and a score. I’m not saying
Doug Baldwin is a clear-cut fantasy starter now that Harvin is
out of the way, but he’s definitely worth adding to see how he
does in the Seattle offense moving forward. I’m guessing he winds
up being a fringe starter that you use based on matchups or bye
weeks.
Rueben
Randle and Odell
Beckham Jr., NYG
I’m putting these Giants together because they are moving up in
unison. Victor Cruz’s season ending injury means gains for Randle
and Beckham. In the first game without Cruz, Randle led the Giants
in targets with nine, and Beckham came in second on the team with
seven. I wouldn’t necessarily award either wide receiver must
start status yet, but both are definitely usable once the Giants
return from their bye week.
Falling
Justin
Hunter, TEN
Hunter came into the year as a popular breakout candidate, but
didn’t come close to breaking out in any of the first four
weeks. Then, in Weeks 5 and 6, he finally came up huge for owners
that waited on him, totaling 176 yards on just six receptions.
But Week 7 showed why it’s so hard to ever trust Justin
Hunter in your lineups: one catch on two targets for just six
yards in a great matchup. I believe that Hunter has the ability
to be a quality fantasy receiver, but he does not have the right
situation.
Brandin
Cooks, NO
Cooks is another guy that was popular entering 2014. In Week 1,
Cooks seemed to back all the preseason fuss, gathering in seven
passes for 77 yards and a score. Since that time, it’s been
downhill for Cooks, at least in standard scoring leagues. He hasn’t
scored again, and in three of five games he’s totaled less
than 32 receiving yards. Cooks is an interesting case of standard
scoring versus PPR. In PPR, he remains a solid start due to his
high volume of receptions, but in standard, I have absolutely
no problem dropping him.
Michael
Crabtree, SF
It’s been a rough few weeks for Michael Crabtree. After
back-to-back 80-yard performances in Weeks 2 and 3, Crabtree has
gone four straight weeks without cracking the 50-yard barrier.
A touchdown saved him in Week 6, but other than that, he has been
a totally unstartable wide receiver in fantasy. I’d keep
him around because we’ve seen what he can do in the 49ers
offense, but if possible I’d wait for him on my bench instead
of in the starting lineup.
Tight End
Rising
Jermaine
Gresham, CIN
Andy Dalton has suddenly gained quite an interest in targeting
Jermaine Gresham in recent weeks. After starting the season with
just nine receptions for 61 yards in the first four games, Gresham
has come on strong with sixteen catches for 116 yards in his last
two. I will be interested to see how involved Gresham remains
once A.J. Green returns, but until that time, Gresham seems like
a decent tight end fill-in for those facing a bye or who have
been struggling to fill the position in general.
Clay
Harbor, JAC
Since joining the Jaguars lineup in Week 4, Harbor has been solid
at the tight end position, especially in PPR. He is only fourth
on the Jaguars in targets in his four games in the lineup, but
he is second in receptions. In fact, he has caught twenty of twenty-two
targets. He’s not a guy I’m starting most weeks, but
like Gresham, he’s also a decent bye week fill-in or guy
to grab if you’ve had a tough time filling the position.
Cooper
Helfet, SEA
In a game where the Seahawks were down their top two tight ends,
Helfet came in and tied for second on the team in targets with
six, reeling in three passes for 61 yards and a touchdown. I assume
he’ll return to a backup role once either of the top guys
on the roster return, but he did just have a solid game, so he’s
worth monitoring to see if Seattle continues to use him down the
road. Don’t add him yet, but don’t forget about him
either.
Falling
Jason
Witten, DAL
I haven’t brought up Witten in a while in this space, but
he’s still falling. He has under fifty receiving yards in
five of seven games this season, hasn’t had more than five
targets in a game since Week 2, and has only scored one touchdown.
It’s tough to let go of players with name recognition, but
I think Witten can be dropped if you have found another tight
end with more success to this point in the season. Witten is still
owned in 96 percent of ESPN leagues and 93 percent of Yahoo! leagues,
despite ranking seventeenth in standard scoring at tight end and
eighteenth in PPR.
Travis
Kelce, KC
I don’t know why, but the Chiefs refuse to use Travis Kelce
regularly in their offense. Kelce leads the chiefs in receptions,
receiving yards and receiving touchdowns, yet he continuously
plays less than sixty percent of Kansas City’s offensive
snaps. It’s weird to think that you can’t trust a
tight end that is his team’s top receiver, but given Kelce’s
usage (or lack thereof), that’s the case here. Keep him
rostered for his upside, but he’s a fringe starter at best
until Kansas City realizes what they have.
Vernon
Davis, SF
Zero: The number of times Vernon Davis has totaled at least five
receptions or forty-five yards receiving. It’s tough to
tell at this point if his issues are injury related (he has had
back problems this year) or playing related. I’d hold on
to him given his upside just in case it is injury related and
the bye week helps fix him, but if I was totally desperate for
a roster spot, I wouldn’t completely hate the idea of dropping
Davis.
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