A d v e r t i s e m e n t
As promised, let’s pay our respects to the kickers and
defense/special teams units that help us decide our fantasy fates
each and every season…once again, these are 15-game projections.
Let’s revisit the color-coding system before we start:
Red – A very difficult matchup.
For lower-level players, a red matchup means they should not be
used in fantasy that week. For a second- or third-tier player,
drop your expectations for them at least one grade that week (i.e.
from WR2 to WR3). For elite players, expect them to perform one
level lower than their usual status (i.e. RB1 performs like a
RB2).
Yellow – Keep expectations
fairly low in this matchup. For lower-level players, a yellow
matchup is a borderline start at best. For a second- or third-tier
player, they can probably overcome the matchup if things fall
right. For the elite players, expect slightly better than average
production.
White – Basically, this matchup
is one that could go either way. In some cases, I just don’t
feel like I have a good feel yet for this defense. Generally speaking,
these matchups are winnable matchups for all levels of players.
Green – It doesn’t
get much better than this. For non-elite players, the stage is
basically set for said player to exploit the matchup. For the
elite player, this matchup should produce special numbers..
Key:
FPts – Fantasy points scored
FPts/ G – Fantasy points/game
Value - Read *** below
***Numbers that are bolded reflect positive values while the italicized
numbers are essentially negative. (For the more statistically-inclined,
the former values are on the right side of the bell curve while
the latter values are on the left side.)
Kickers |
Rk |
Player |
Tm |
Age |
Value |
FPts/G |
FPts |
XP |
FG |
1 |
Matt Prater |
DEN |
30 |
0.94 |
9.3 |
140 |
59 |
27 |
2 |
Mason Crosby |
GB |
29 |
0.61 |
8.9 |
133 |
52 |
27 |
3 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
NE |
30 |
0.57 |
8.8 |
132 |
45 |
29 |
4 |
Blair Walsh |
MIN |
24 |
0.57 |
8.8 |
132 |
45 |
29 |
5 |
Phil Dawson |
SF |
39 |
0.42 |
8.6 |
129 |
45 |
28 |
6 |
Adam Vinatieri |
IND |
41 |
0.28 |
8.4 |
126 |
45 |
27 |
7 |
Shayne Graham |
NO |
36 |
0.19 |
8.3 |
124 |
49 |
25 |
8 |
Robbie Gould |
CHI |
32 |
0.19 |
8.3 |
124 |
49 |
25 |
9 |
Dan Bailey |
DAL |
26 |
0.14 |
8.2 |
123 |
42 |
27 |
10 |
Steve Hauschka |
SEA |
29 |
0.05 |
8.1 |
121 |
43 |
26 |
11 |
Matt Bryant |
ATL |
39 |
0.05 |
8.1 |
121 |
43 |
26 |
12 |
Greg Zuerlein |
STL |
26 |
0.00 |
8.0 |
120 |
39 |
27 |
13 |
Nick Novak |
SD |
33 |
0.05 |
7.9 |
119 |
38 |
27 |
14 |
Jay Feely |
ARI |
38 |
0.09 |
7.9 |
118 |
43 |
25 |
15 |
Nick Folk |
NYJ |
28 |
0.14 |
7.8 |
117 |
33 |
28 |
16 |
Justin Tucker |
BAL |
24 |
0.19 |
7.7 |
116 |
38 |
26 |
17 |
Alex Henery |
PHI |
27 |
0.19 |
7.7 |
116 |
50 |
22 |
18 |
Shaun Suisham |
PIT |
32 |
0.24 |
7.7 |
115 |
40 |
25 |
19 |
Nate Freese |
DET |
24 |
0.33 |
7.5 |
113 |
50 |
21 |
20 |
Dan Carpenter |
BUF |
28 |
0.42 |
7.4 |
111 |
36 |
25 |
21 |
Graham Gano |
CAR |
27 |
0.47 |
7.3 |
110 |
41 |
23 |
22 |
Josh Scobee |
JAC |
32 |
0.47 |
7.3 |
110 |
29 |
27 |
23 |
Ryan Succop |
KC |
26 |
0.52 |
7.3 |
109 |
37 |
24 |
24 |
Josh Brown |
NYG |
35 |
0.61 |
7.1 |
107 |
38 |
23 |
25 |
Caleb Sturgis |
MIA |
25 |
0.66 |
7.1 |
106 |
34 |
24 |
26 |
Kai Forbath |
WAS |
26 |
0.71 |
7.0 |
105 |
45 |
20 |
27 |
Sebastian Janikowski |
OAK |
36 |
0.75 |
6.9 |
104 |
32 |
24 |
28 |
Connor Barth |
TB |
28 |
0.85 |
6.8 |
102 |
30 |
24 |
29 |
Mike Nugent |
CIN |
32 |
0.85 |
6.8 |
102 |
39 |
21 |
30 |
Maikon Bonani |
TEN |
25 |
0.90 |
6.7 |
101 |
38 |
21 |
31 |
Randy Bullock |
HOU |
23 |
0.99 |
6.6 |
99 |
36 |
21 |
32 |
Billy Cundiff |
CLE |
34 |
1.37 |
6.1 |
91 |
28 |
21 |
|
And now the defenses…
Just to be clear, “TD” refers to the point total
of the defensive or return scores…
Bonus determined by the following benchmarks:
10 points for shutout or held to 2 points
7 points if held from 3-6 points
4 points if held from 7-12 points
2 points if held from 13-16 points
1 points if held from 17-20 points
0 points if held from 21-28 points
-1 point if give up 29-34 points
-3 points if give up 35+ points
Defense/Special
Teams |
Rk |
Team |
Value |
FPts/G |
FPts |
PA |
Sks |
INT |
Fum |
TD |
Bonus |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
1 |
Seahawks |
2.17 |
11.1 |
167 |
231 |
45 |
21 |
10 |
30 |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Broncos |
1.84 |
10.7 |
160 |
296 |
49 |
19 |
12 |
30 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Panthers |
1.41 |
10.1 |
151 |
288 |
53 |
15 |
12 |
24 |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Rams |
1.18 |
9.7 |
146 |
378 |
58 |
14 |
14 |
30 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Saints |
0.94 |
9.4 |
141 |
325 |
51 |
17 |
12 |
24 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Patriots |
0.85 |
9.3 |
139 |
302 |
47 |
21 |
11 |
18 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7 |
49ers |
0.61 |
8.9 |
134 |
294 |
34 |
17 |
11 |
30 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8 |
Ravens |
0.42 |
8.7 |
130 |
282 |
37 |
17 |
10 |
24 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
Chiefs |
0.14 |
8.3 |
124 |
365 |
43 |
16 |
12 |
24 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10 |
Bengals |
0.14 |
8.3 |
124 |
332 |
38 |
17 |
9 |
24 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11 |
Cardinals |
0.05 |
8.1 |
122 |
347 |
37 |
18 |
10 |
24 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12 |
Bears |
0.00 |
8.1 |
121 |
398 |
37 |
17 |
11 |
30 |
-2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13 |
Packers |
0.09 |
7.9 |
119 |
389 |
42 |
17 |
10 |
24 |
-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14 |
Browns |
0.14 |
7.9 |
118 |
309 |
38 |
14 |
9 |
24 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15 |
Colts |
0.38 |
7.5 |
113 |
373 |
39 |
14 |
10 |
24 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16 |
Vikings |
0.61 |
7.2 |
108 |
378 |
40 |
12 |
11 |
24 |
-2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17 |
Bucs |
0.75 |
7.0 |
105 |
362 |
37 |
16 |
10 |
12 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18 |
Bills |
0.80 |
6.9 |
104 |
394 |
48 |
14 |
7 |
18 |
-4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
19 |
Steelers |
0.85 |
6.9 |
103 |
308 |
33 |
9 |
10 |
18 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20 |
Texans |
0.94 |
6.7 |
101 |
339 |
38 |
8 |
11 |
18 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21 |
Eagles |
0.99 |
6.7 |
100 |
389 |
34 |
17 |
9 |
18 |
-4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22 |
Jaguars |
1.04 |
6.6 |
99 |
353 |
38 |
14 |
10 |
12 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
23 |
Chargers |
1.18 |
6.4 |
96 |
377 |
36 |
11 |
10 |
12 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24 |
Titans |
1.23 |
6.3 |
95 |
378 |
33 |
11 |
11 |
24 |
-6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25 |
Giants |
1.23 |
6.3 |
95 |
418 |
30 |
16 |
8 |
24 |
-7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26 |
Lions |
1.32 |
6.2 |
93 |
399 |
34 |
13 |
10 |
18 |
-5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
27 |
Falcons |
1.70 |
5.7 |
85 |
387 |
29 |
10 |
9 |
18 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
28 |
Redskins |
1.79 |
5.5 |
83 |
428 |
32 |
12 |
8 |
18 |
-7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
29 |
Dolphins |
1.98 |
5.3 |
79 |
402 |
37 |
11 |
6 |
12 |
-4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30 |
Raiders |
1.98 |
5.3 |
79 |
439 |
37 |
7 |
12 |
18 |
-14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
31 |
Jets |
2.36 |
4.7 |
71 |
393 |
32 |
11 |
8 |
6 |
-5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
32 |
Cowboys |
3.06 |
3.7 |
56 |
484 |
26 |
9 |
10 |
12 |
-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Like I have for the past few years, I’m going to provide
a list of second- and third-string players who impressed me in
the previous week of preseason action. Since I don’t make
it a habit to watch all 16 exhibition games in the final week
of the preseason, I will start with Week 1’s “standouts”
this week and continue on over the next two weeks. This collection
of names isn’t so much about who lit up the box score, but
more about skill-position players who did their job well or impressed
me. If nothing else, don’t hesitate to queue these players
on your dynasty watch list (in no particular order):
Week 1: Juwan Thompson, RB Denver; Branden Oliver, RB San Diego;
Matt Scott, QB Cincinnati; Logan Thomas, QB Arizona; Brian Tyms,
WR New England; Jimmy Garoppolo, QB New England
Next: PPR
Big Board
| .5 PPR Big Board
| Non-PPR Big Board
Suggestions, comments, about the article or
fantasy football in general? E-mail
me or follow me on Twitter.
Doug Orth has written for FF Today
since 2006 and has been featured in USA Today’s Fantasy Football
Preview magazine since 2010. He has hosted USA Today’s hour-long,
pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday over the
past two seasons and appears as a guest analyst before and during
the season on Sirius XM’s “Fantasy Drive” as well
as 106.7 The Fan (WJFK – Washington, D.C). Doug is also a
member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. |