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Survivor Pool Picks: Week 10, 2021

By Matthew Schiff | 11/11/21

Week 8 and 9 of the 2021 NFL season will go down as the weeks of the upset. 48% of survival pool picks lost in week 8 with the Jets upset of the Bengals. Then in week 9, Dallas, New Orleans, Las Vegas and Buffalo all lost with more than 70% of the picks losing. So, if you are still in your pool, congrats to you and letís see if we can help you avoid the next upset.

#3: Dallas over Atlanta
(7-2: buf, TB, AZ, GB, MN, PIT, LAR, KC, no)

The Cowboys are licking their wounds from the defensive drubbing the Broncos put on them after trading Von Miller away. If the Falcons watch that tape, they now have the formula for beating Dak Prescott and company.

Dallas is better than what they displayed last week. Assuming Dak can dust off the rust and move his team against a Falcons defense that gives up over 27 pts on average, then all should be back to normal for an offense that normally scores 30 pts a game. Donít over think this.

#2: Buffalo over NY Jets
(6-3: TB, GB, DEN, no, NE, LAR, bal, cin, MIA)

The Bills lost last week to the Jaguars on the road. This week, they visit the Jets who have surprised both Cincinnati and Tennessee (both at home) but the Bills cannot afford another loss, especially back-to-back and against a weaker division opponent.

The Jaguars gave the Bills a wake-up call last week. As such, Iíd expect them to return to form and exploit the Jets last ranked defense. Good news for Josh Allen, is that DE Josh Allen (Jags) wonít be lining up opposite him.

Mike White will be back under center, which should make for an interesting game, but the Jets offense doesnít have the firepower to keep up with the Bills. Take the Bills if you must, as many of the sweet matchups are division rivals, except for the Cardinals/Panthers game which is my alternative here.

 Bills-O / Jets-D Comparison
BUF Off Rk Stat Rk NYJ Def
390.1 8 TOT YDS 32 408.1
270.4 7 PASS YDS 29 274.9
119.8 11 RUSH YDS 27 133.3
29.4 4 PTS SCORED 32 31.4
8 9 T OVERS / T AWAYS 31 5

 Bills-D / Jets-O Comparison
BUF Def Rk Stat Rk NYJ Off
262.2 1 TOT YDS 24 328.9
177.0 1 PASS YDS 14 251.8
85.6 4 RUSH YDS 30 77.1
14.8 1 PTS SCORED 27 18.0
17 2 T OVERS / T AWAYS 30 17

#1: Indianapolis over Jacksonville
(8-1: SF, CLE, CAR, BUF, TB, KC, AZ, LAR, dal)

Well, it finally happened. Our number one pick (DAL) failed us last week which leaves the Colts as my best option (since Iíve already used Arizona). Why should I trust them? Well, first off, the Colts are at home playing a Jags team that hasnít won on the road. Secondly, Carson Wentz seems to be healthy, playing smart, and has Jonathan Taylor in his backfield to keep the defense from blitzing all day.

Unfortunately, the Colts defense hasnít played as expected this season, but they do lead the league in turnovers, a stat that stands out as the Jags have turned the ball over fourteen times in 8 games. Yes, this is a divisional game, but two miracles back-to-back will not happen for Trevor Lawrence and his band of merry men. Take the home team and enjoy the week.