Rookies are hard to predict, but Smith has been very close to
breaking out a huge game and this could be the day. He’s
averaged 17 FPts/G the past two weeks despite having a touchdown
called back in both games. The Eagles will have to post a huge
number to stay in the game with TB12 and the high-flying Bucs
offense. Tampa stops the run very well, but has yielded 51.1 FPts/G
to opposing receivers. Teams have completed a league-high 91 passes
to wideouts for 1078 yards and eight touchdowns. Smith goes big
on Thursday night.
Opposing defenses first try to slow Stefon Diggs which has opened
up the field for Sanders. He has averaged 20 FPts/G over the past
three games including four touchdown catches. The Titans rank
30th allowing 47.4 FPts/G which can support at least two wideouts
having big games.
The Seahawks have been bottom-10 against opposing wideouts and
have been particularly vulnerable on the road where they have
allowed big numbers to Zach Pascal, Justin Jefferson and Deebo
Samuel. Pittsburgh lost JuJu Smith-Schuster for the season to
a shoulder injury which should allow both target-hog Diontae Johnson
and Chase Claypool big production. Claypool is the deep threat
averaging 17.1 ypr.
It’s a short work week for Brown and the Ravens after a
great comeback win Monday night. Brown was huge with 125 yards
and two scores. But while the Chargers offense gets the headlines,
the defense has been better. They are No. 1 against opposing wideouts
yielding just 26.8 FPts/G. No receiver has posted 18 points against
them. Meanwhile, they have allowed the most rushing yards in the
league (788). Seems like the Ravens should, and will, attack Los
Angeles on the ground.
Just as it’s hard to sit Cook, it’s hard to sit Brown, but that’s
what I’m telling you to do. The Titans passing offense hasn’t
been good this season with Tannehill ranking 21st and both Julio
Jones and Brown disappointingly ranking below 50th. The Bills
are No. 1 against receivers and No. 1 against quarterbacks. They
have yet to allow even 17 points to a receiver this season and
just held Tyreek Hill to 14.8 fantasy points. Don’t expect much
if you start Brown.
It’s been feast or famine with Sutton. Two huge games against
Jacksonville and Pittsburgh and three duds against the Giants,
Jets and Ravens. The Raiders have allowed just one touchdown pass
to wideouts all season and that was in the first game of the season.
Since then nothing and that includes games against Pittsburgh,
Miami, the Chargers and Bears. The Raiders don’t blitz (league-low
11.8%), they sit back and defend and it’s working.
