Starting the season behind Chase Edmonds, Mostert has grabbed
control of the Dolphins’ backfield workload, seeing double-digit
carries the last four games (15.8 rushing attempts per game).
Meanwhile, the Lions are the 31st-ranked RB defense having allowed
10 double-digit fantasy games in just six weeks. They also “lead”
the league with 10 rushing touchdowns allowed.
The Jaguars rank 26th against opposing running backs, but the
question is which of Murray or Melvin Gordon can take advantage
of the situation. I’m going Murray here because he’s going to
be the goal line back (Gordon has fumbled twice inside the 1-yard
line this season and has a season pass to Nathaniel Hackett’s
doghouse).
The Bears are allowing 25 fantasy points per game to RBs and
the Cowboys likely will only use one in Week 8 – Pollard. According
to reports, Ezekiel Elliott has suffered a sprained MCL and will
miss this game. In the Cowboys “new” conservative game plan, that
should equal 25 touches for Pollard.
The Cowboys rank No. 1 against opposing running backs yielding
just 17.5 fantasy points per game. Khalil Herbert ran well last
week and will see a significant portion of the workload. Finally,
the game is like to see a big Dallas lead and Fields having to
throw a lot.
Don’t be fooled by the even distribution in Week 7 between Wilson
and Christian McCaffrey. Moving forward, Wilson is just a handcuff,
who will see a minimum of work, just enough to keep CMC fresh
for the playoff run.
The Bills’ defense ranks No.4 against running backs and
they are particularly tough against rushing yards having yielded
a league-low 317 yards on the ground. While Aaron Jones can make
up for this by catching passes out of the backfield (26-176-3),
Dillon is less talented in this area (13-80-0).
