Multiple times this season I have expressed my displeasure for the
Thursday game. This week will not be one of those weeks. This is
the one Thursday each year that I absolutely love and look forward
to the Thursday NFL games. I would guess many of you have Thanksgiving
traditions that also involve, among other things, huddling around
a television to watch the football games. For some of you this is
going to be your first chance to experience the daily fantasy game
and incorporate it into your Thanksgiving week plans.
This week I am going to be one of those contestants that I typically
like to play against and I suggest you be one too. I will be loading
up my roster with players from all of the Thanksgiving games.
The difference is, the contest I join will exclusively be the
turkey day games. I encourage you to try it out for this week
too. When you do, involve the family and friends that are gathered
with you. Have them help construct a lineup or at least give them
your lineup so they know who to cheer for. Give them some tidbits
of strategy and send them your referral code, you will have another
person to compete against and strategize with each week. If you
look forward to this column each week you can keep this secret
to yourself or direct them here as well. At each position below
I have included a value play for the Thanksgiving games to consider
in your lineup. Enjoy the games and Happy Thanksgiving.
Las Vegas scoring lines for Week 13:
- Chicago (20) at Detroit (27)
- Philadelphia (25.75) at Dallas (28.75)
- Seattle (19.25) at San Francisco (20.25)
- Washington (20.5) at Indianapolis (30.5)
- Tennessee (18.25) at Houston (24.25)
- Cleveland (19.25) at Buffalo (21.75)
- San Diego (20) at Baltimore (25.5)
- NY Giants (23.5) at Jacksonville (21)
- Cincinnati (24) at Tampa Bay (20)
- Oakland (17.5) at St. Louis (24.5)
- New Orleans (24.5) at Pittsburgh (28.5)
- Carolina (20.25) at Minnesota (23.25)
- Arizona (23.5) at Atlanta (21)
- New England (27.5) at Green Bay (30.5)
- Denver (25.25) at Kansas City (24.25)
- Miami (23.75) at NY Jets (17.75)
Bye: N/A
Salaries: (FanDuel/DraftKings)
Quarterbacks Drew Brees
(9,000/8,500) – Coming off his best fantasy game of the
season, Brees heads out on the road to Pittsburgh. His splits
are not the best on the road but the Steelers are giving up top
ten production to quarterbacks over the last five weeks. The Saints
are still in the hunt for the NFC South and this game figures
to be a shootout.
Matthew Stafford (8,300/7,600) - Stafford has been less than
impressive of late, not having a touchdown pass in two weeks.
He should bust out of his slump against the Bears who are giving
up the second most points to opposing QB’s.
Drew Stanton (6,500/5,000) – If you are looking for a cheap
tournament play, consider Stanton against Atlanta. He has been
inconsistent and less than impressive, however, he is priced as
the 29th (FanDuel) and 30th (DraftKings) QB which makes him a
decent value.
Running Backs
Ellington faces the porous Atlanta-D in
Week 13.
C.J.
Anderson (7,800/6,900) – In the three full games since taking
over for injured Montee Ball and Ronnie Hillman, Anderson has
amassed 473 yards including 16 catches and 2 touchdowns. Over
the last three games, Kansas City is giving up top-10 production
to running backs. Start him with confidence.
Andre Ellington (7,700/6,200) – Limiting Drew Stanton’s
(recommended above) upside would be the fact that Atlanta is the
best defense for opposing running backs to face this season. Expect
to see another 20-plus touches for Ellington this week.
Justin Forsett (7,600/6,300) – In the last two games, Forsett
has seen 42 carries for 294 yards and 4 touchdowns. While San
Diego is not the easiest defense to run on, Forsett should see
top-10 RB production at a price outside of that top 10.
Frank Gore (3,500 DraftKings) – Seattle has the reputation
of being a tough defense, but over the last three games they are
giving up almost 4.6 yards per carry and have yielded 4 touchdowns.
Gore has better splits against Seattle in San Francisco and at
this price offers much salary relief to load up elsewhere.
DeMarco Murray (9,000 FanDuel) – Murray is the league-leading
rusher and he still shows up on the value report. He has gone
for over 100 yards rushing in all but one game and is heavily
involved in the run-first Dallas offense. It is worth paying up
for Murray.
Wide Recievers
Calvin Johnson (8,600/7,000) – Megatron has just
one touchdown since returning from injury. Chicago’s suspect
secondary should provide the spark he needs to get back on pace.
Roddy White (7,400/6,400) – Over the last three weeks White
has had 23 catches on 28 targets and 2 touchdowns, which is good
enough for the top-10 in PPR leagues. Arizona is a tougher matchup
but with the amount of production at his current price, White
still has value.
Steve Smith (6,400/5,000) – Steve Smith seemed to find
his way back into the fold on Monday night in New Orleans. With
4 catches for 89 yards and a touchdown, Smith showed signs of
the player we saw early in the season. As Baltimore continues
to battle for a playoff spot look for Smith to have similar looks
and production this week.
Kenny
Stills (5,100/4,800) – With a spike in targets after the Brandin
Cooks injury, Stills figures to continue his key role in the Saints
offense. Last week he hauled in 8 catches on 9 targets for 98
yards. Over the past five weeks Pittsburgh is top ten in points
against to opposing receivers.
Tight Ends
Jason Witten (5,700/4,500) – Witten looks to be mediocre
when compared to all tight ends for the weekend but if you are
looking at the Thanksgiving slate he is the cream of the crop.
With 30 receptions over the last four games against the Eagles,
he is the best start for Thursday.
Travis Kelce (5,300/4,300) – Many believe Kelce continues
to be underutilized, and the fact that he leads tight ends in
yards after the catch helps support that statement. Denver is
a top-10 defense for opposing tight ends and with the Chiefs inefficiencies
at wide receivers, Kelce is a valuable play.
Kyle Rudolph (5,000/3,400) – Rudolph was a hot draft pick
coming into the fantasy season. After his injury he returned for
3 catches for 50 yards on 5 targets. While that is not top tight
end production it is a value play at tight end against a mediocre
Carolina defense.
Defenses
NY Giants (4,900/2,800)
Cincinnati (5,000/3,200)
Detroit (5,200/3,400)
Good luck this week!
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