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Jayson Werra | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


Daily Dose: Week 7
Be Patient, Take Advantage
10/16/14; Updated: 10/18/14


It is hard to believe it is Week 7 already. It was not too long ago that we were drafting teams for our season-long leagues, this week marks the midpoint for most fantasy football leagues. How is your team doing? Better yet, how is your bankroll on the daily / weekly sites holding up? The topic a couple of weeks ago was Taking Care of Your Bankroll. If you have followed the bankroll game plan but your account balance is still headed in the wrong direction, what can you do? Here are a few ideas to implement to salvage your funds and get you headed in the right direction.

Play more 50/50s – Yes, you are not going to win a crazy amount of money for cashing in the 50/50s as you would in a big guaranteed prize pool, but if you can best half of the people in the contest you will be able to roughly double your entry.

Play lower buy-ins – If you are used to spending $25 per week on your games, split that up instead of putting it all towards one event. Three or four $5 entries and some $1 or $2 entries will get you the same dollar amount of action but can save you in the event of a poor lineup or an unlucky match selection. This will also help you avoid some of the sharks (highly skilled regulars or professionals) that play at these sites. Sure, some of the professionals still play the lower limits and feed off of the rookies, but your ratio of professionals to amateurs in the smaller stakes games is much lower.

Diversify your lineups – In a way this goes hand in hand with spreading your entry fees out across multiple games. If you are playing in more matches you can plug in a few players in similar tiers and recover if you pick a dud or two for the week.

Take a break – DFS will be here next week too. During your week off, check out the winning entries for the week. As a matter of fact, even if you are winning or when you are playing for the week, you should be asking yourself some of these questions. How did the winner(s) structure their lineups? Where did they spend money? Where did they save money? What did they do with their flex spot? How is the top team in the 50/50 the same or different from the middle team in the 50/50? How is the top team in the tournament similar or different from the last to cash and the bottom roster? These answers will help you expand your knowledge of what it takes to win in a particular game.

Be patient and take advantage – Better said, this is just reminding you to take care of your bankroll. As I said in the open, we are at the midpoint of the fantasy season. There are teams in your league that are 1-5 and 2-4 and after this week will be ready to throw in the towel on their team. The daily fantasy space is still growing exponentially and will gladly take on many of these seasonal cast offs. It will take these amateurs some time to grasp the concept of the daily game. They will have the same learning curve that you just went through. Be ready to take advantage.


Las Vegas scoring lines for Week 6:
  • NY Jets (17.25) at New England (26.75)
  • Cincinnati (23.25) at Indianapolis (26.25)
  • Tennessee (20.25) at Washington (25.75)
  • Miami (22.75) at Chicago (26.25)
  • Cleveland (25.25) at Jacksonville (19.75)
  • Seattle (25) at St. Louis (18)
  • Carolina (21) at Green Bay (28)
  • Atlanta (21) at Baltimore (28)
  • Minnesota (18.75) at Buffalo (24.25)
  • New Orleans (22.75) at Detroit (25.75)
  • Kansas City (20.5) at San Diego (24.5)
  • NY Giants (20.5) at Dallas (27)
  • Arizona (23.75) at Oakland (20.25)
  • San Francisco (21.75) at Denver (28.25)
  • Houston (20.5) at Pittsburgh (24)

Bye: Philadelphia, Tampa Bay
Salaries: (FanDuel/DraftKings)

Peyton Manning

Peyton Manning will be worth the money in Week 7.

Quarterbacks

Peyton Manning (10,000/9,000) – Going for the touchdown record at home in primetime, Manning is the best cash game option this week.

Russell Wilson (8,500/6,800) – Coming off his worst performance of the season look for Wilson to rebound against St. Louis. The Rams have only one sack on the year and are giving up top 10 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.

Colin Kaepernick (7,800/6,500) – Unlike Wilson, Kaepernick is coming off his best game of the season. San Francisco heads to Denver for a primetime shootout with Peyton Manning and company. Kaepernick is a dual threat making him a viable option.

Running Backs

Le’Veon Bell (8,400/6,600) – Despite not reaching the end zone since Week 1, Bell has had over 100 combined yards each week this season. He has a safe floor with upside potential and his salary is down due to his lack of touchdowns.

Eddie Lacy (7,700/4,700) – This is DraftKings value play only as his salary is still a bit inflated at FanDuel. Lacy has been in more of a timeshare of late, but still is getting the goaline looks. Carolina comes to Green Bay giving up the second most points to opposing running backs. Lacy carved up Minnesota at home two weeks ago and he is set up to have similar numbers this week.

Andre Ellington (7,100/6,500) – The reverse of Lacy, this is more of a value play at FanDuel versus DraftKings. Ellington has seen an increased role in the last couple of weeks averaging 20 touches per game this season. Look for more of the same against Oakland, a top ten defense in points against for opposing running backs.

Lamar Miller (7,200/5,300) – With Moreno down to a season-ending injury, Miller will look to carry the load for Miami. His salary will take a week or two to catch up so use him while the value is there.

Wide Recievers

Brandon Marshall (7,700/6,300) – Last week Marshall was my top value pick at wideout and I am going back to him again this week. His price is still depressed even after his 6-catch 113-yard performance last week. He is at home facing his former team.

Golden Tate (6,700/5,900) – Tate was a disappointment for us last week, but look for him to rebound nicely this week. With Calvin Johnson likely out again, Tate should see another 10 plus targets against a New Orleans defense that is top three in points against for opposing receivers.

Marques Colston (5,500/4,300) – Colston is not the must start that he once was, but with Jimmy Graham sidelined for a couple of weeks, he is a viable option even against a tough Detroit defense. Colston should see more looks including redzone targets.

Percy Harvin (7,200/4,100) – Here is another play that is more a value at DraftKings than at FanDuel. At just $4,100 Harvin is a low risk play against the St. Louis defense who gives up the eighth-most points to opposing wideouts.

Update: Harvin has been traded to the Jets, who played Thursday night. As a result, Harvin won't play at all this week and won't be an option for your DFS lineup.

Tight Ends

Vernon Davis (5,700/4,300) – I am not too excited about any of the tight ends this week, but I believe there is value in Vernon Davis. He played all but two snaps last week and it appears that the back issue that kept him out a couple of weeks ago should not be a factor. In a game that should see San Francisco in catch up mode, I look for Davis to have an increase in targets.

Larry Donnell (5,500/3,500) – Two weeks in a row now Donnell has disappointed us. Dallas is one of the best defenses to go against for opposing tight ends and with Victor Cruz on season ending IR, Donnell should have every opportunity to succeed.

Defenses

Arizona (5,500/3,400)
Seattle (5,300/3,200)
Buffalo (5,000/3,300)

Good luck this week!

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