It is hard to believe it is Week 7 already. It was not too long
ago that we were drafting teams for our season-long leagues, this
week marks the midpoint for most fantasy football leagues. How is
your team doing? Better yet, how is your bankroll on the daily /
weekly sites holding up? The topic a couple of weeks ago was Taking
Care of Your Bankroll. If you have followed the bankroll game
plan but your account balance is still headed in the wrong direction,
what can you do? Here are a few ideas to implement to salvage your
funds and get you headed in the right direction.
Play more 50/50s – Yes, you are not going to win a crazy
amount of money for cashing in the 50/50s as you would in a big
guaranteed prize pool, but if you can best half of the people
in the contest you will be able to roughly double your entry.
Play lower buy-ins – If you
are used to spending $25 per week on your games, split that up
instead of putting it all towards one event. Three or four $5
entries and some $1 or $2 entries will get you the same dollar
amount of action but can save you in the event of a poor lineup
or an unlucky match selection. This will also help you avoid some
of the sharks (highly skilled regulars or professionals) that
play at these sites. Sure, some of the professionals still play
the lower limits and feed off of the rookies, but your ratio of
professionals to amateurs in the smaller stakes games is much
lower.
Diversify your lineups –
In a way this goes hand in hand with spreading your entry fees
out across multiple games. If you are playing in more matches
you can plug in a few players in similar tiers and recover if
you pick a dud or two for the week.
Take a break – DFS will be
here next week too. During your week off, check out the winning
entries for the week. As a matter of fact, even if you are winning
or when you are playing for the week, you should be asking yourself
some of these questions. How did the winner(s) structure their
lineups? Where did they spend money? Where did they save money?
What did they do with their flex spot? How is the top team in
the 50/50 the same or different from the middle team in the 50/50?
How is the top team in the tournament similar or different from
the last to cash and the bottom roster? These answers will help
you expand your knowledge of what it takes to win in a particular
game.
Be patient and take advantage –
Better said, this is just reminding you to take care of your bankroll.
As I said in the open, we are at the midpoint of the fantasy season.
There are teams in your league that are 1-5 and 2-4 and after
this week will be ready to throw in the towel on their team. The
daily fantasy space is still growing exponentially and will gladly
take on many of these seasonal cast offs. It will take these amateurs
some time to grasp the concept of the daily game. They will have
the same learning curve that you just went through. Be ready to
take advantage.
Las Vegas scoring lines for Week 6:
- NY Jets (17.25) at New England (26.75)
- Cincinnati (23.25) at Indianapolis (26.25)
- Tennessee (20.25) at Washington (25.75)
- Miami (22.75) at Chicago (26.25)
- Cleveland (25.25) at Jacksonville (19.75)
- Seattle (25) at St. Louis (18)
- Carolina (21) at Green Bay (28)
- Atlanta (21) at Baltimore (28)
- Minnesota (18.75) at Buffalo (24.25)
- New Orleans (22.75) at Detroit (25.75)
- Kansas City (20.5) at San Diego (24.5)
- NY Giants (20.5) at Dallas (27)
- Arizona (23.75) at Oakland (20.25)
- San Francisco (21.75) at Denver (28.25)
- Houston (20.5) at Pittsburgh (24)
Bye: Philadelphia, Tampa Bay
Salaries: (FanDuel/DraftKings)
Peyton Manning will be worth the money
in Week 7.
Quarterbacks Peyton Manning
(10,000/9,000) Going for the touchdown record at home
in primetime, Manning is the best cash game option this week.
Russell Wilson (8,500/6,800) Coming off his worst performance
of the season look for Wilson to rebound against St. Louis. The
Rams have only one sack on the year and are giving up top 10 fantasy
points to opposing quarterbacks.
Colin Kaepernick (7,800/6,500) Unlike Wilson, Kaepernick
is coming off his best game of the season. San Francisco heads
to Denver for a primetime shootout with Peyton Manning and company.
Kaepernick is a dual threat making him a viable option.
Running Backs
LeVeon
Bell (8,400/6,600) Despite not reaching the end zone since
Week 1, Bell has had over 100 combined yards each week this season.
He has a safe floor with upside potential and his salary is down
due to his lack of touchdowns.
Eddie Lacy (7,700/4,700) This is DraftKings value play
only as his salary is still a bit inflated at FanDuel. Lacy has
been in more of a timeshare of late, but still is getting the
goaline looks. Carolina comes to Green Bay giving up the second
most points to opposing running backs. Lacy carved up Minnesota
at home two weeks ago and he is set up to have similar numbers
this week.
Andre Ellington (7,100/6,500) The reverse of Lacy, this
is more of a value play at FanDuel versus DraftKings. Ellington
has seen an increased role in the last couple of weeks averaging
20 touches per game this season. Look for more of the same against
Oakland, a top ten defense in points against for opposing running
backs.
Lamar Miller (7,200/5,300) With Moreno down to a season-ending
injury, Miller will look to carry the load for Miami. His salary
will take a week or two to catch up so use him while the value
is there.
Wide Recievers
Brandon Marshall (7,700/6,300) Last week Marshall
was my top value pick at wideout and I am going back to him again
this week. His price is still depressed even after his 6-catch
113-yard performance last week. He is at home facing his former
team.
Golden
Tate (6,700/5,900) Tate was a disappointment for us last
week, but look for him to rebound nicely this week. With Calvin
Johnson likely out again, Tate should see another 10 plus targets
against a New Orleans defense that is top three in points against
for opposing receivers.
Marques
Colston (5,500/4,300) Colston is not the must start that
he once was, but with Jimmy Graham sidelined for a couple of weeks,
he is a viable option even against a tough Detroit defense. Colston
should see more looks including redzone targets.
Percy
Harvin (7,200/4,100) Here is another play that is more a
value at DraftKings than at FanDuel. At just $4,100 Harvin is
a low risk play against the St. Louis defense who gives up the
eighth-most points to opposing wideouts.
Harvin has been traded
to the Jets, who played Thursday night. As a result, Harvin won't
play at all this week and won't be an option for your DFS lineup.
Tight Ends
Vernon Davis (5,700/4,300) I am not too excited
about any of the tight ends this week, but I believe there is
value in Vernon Davis. He played all but two snaps last week and
it appears that the back issue that kept him out a couple of weeks
ago should not be a factor. In a game that should see San Francisco
in catch up mode, I look for Davis to have an increase in targets.
Larry
Donnell (5,500/3,500) Two weeks in a row now Donnell has
disappointed us. Dallas is one of the best defenses to go against
for opposing tight ends and with Victor Cruz on season ending
IR, Donnell should have every opportunity to succeed.
Defenses
Arizona (5,500/3,400)
Seattle (5,300/3,200)
Buffalo (5,000/3,300)
Good luck this week!
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