NFL Game Preview: San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos - Week 17

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San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos - Week 17

Game Preview Fantasy \| Game Notes \| Results & Schedule \| Injury Report \| Stat Comparisons \| Weather \| Team vs. Team History

MIN DET	13 20
Pre	Post

BUF NYJ	7 38
Pre	Post

CAR ATL	10 31
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TB NO	23 13
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CIN BAL	7 13
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PIT CLE	41 9
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MIA NE	7 38
Pre	Post

OAK KC	31 10
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SD DEN	33 28
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NYG WAS	17 14
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ARI SF	7 38
Pre	Post

JAC HOU	17 34
Pre	Post

DAL PHI	14 13
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CHI GB	3 10
Pre	Post

TEN IND	20 23
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STL SEA	6 16
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Week:	1 \| 2 \| 3 \| 4 \| 5 \| 6 \| 7 \| 8 \| 9 \| 10 \| 11 \| 12 \| 13 \| 14 \| 15 \| 16 \| 17
Playoffs:	Wild-Card \| Divisional Playoffs \| Conference Championships \| Super Bowl

Final Score Prediction

Chargers 30, Broncos 20

Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger

San Diego Chargers
Rank	Player	Projections
QB 6	Philip Rivers	Pass: 260, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 4	Ryan Mathews	Rush: 100, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
RB 39	Darren Sproles	Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 2-20, 0
WR 2	Vincent Jackson	Rec: 7-100, 1 TD
WR 41	Malcom Floyd	Rec: 4-60, 0 TD
WR 81	Legedu Naanee	Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
TE 19	Randy McMichael	Rec: 4-40, 0 TD
K 1	Nate Kaeding	FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3
DEF 7	Defense / ST

View all Week 17 Rankings or Projections

Denver Broncos
Rank	Player	Projections
QB 7	Tim Tebow	Pass: 220, 1 TD Rush: 40, 1
RB 41	Correll Buckhalter	Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 4	Brandon Lloyd	Rec: 7-90, 1 TD
WR 38	Jabar Gaffney	Rec: 5-60, 0 TD
WR 76	Eddie Royal	Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
TE 26	Daniel Graham	Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
K 18	Steve Hauschka	FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2
DEF 32	Defense / ST

Game Notes

Chargers QB Philip Rivers (30) needs 4 TD passes to tie his franchise record of 34 in '08. Rivers ranks 3rd in NFL w/ career-best 4,397 passing yards this season. In 9 career starts vs. Den., Rivers is 7-2 & has 18 TDs vs. 4 INTs & 118.8 rating. Had 4 TD passes in last game vs. Broncos. In 5 games vs. AFC West this season, Rivers is averaging 293.6 passing yards per game (1,468 total) & has 11 TDs vs. 3 INTs & 105.0 passer rating... RB Mike Tolbert has career-high 11 rush TDs in '10. Had 111 rush yards in last game vs. Den. Rookie RB Ryan Mathews has rush TD in 2 of past 3... WR Vincent Jackson averages 17.7 yards per catch this season. WR Kelley Washington had 1st TD reception with Chargers last week... Defense allows NFL-low in yards per game (267.2) & pass yards per game (176.9)... SD is tied for 1st in NFL w/ 44 sacks... LB Shaun Phillips (11) needs 1 sack to surpass career-high of 11.5 in '06. Has 3 sacks in past 3 vs. Den... CB Antoine Cason has 2 INTs in 5 career games vs. Den... S Eric Weddle leads team with 89 tackles.

Broncos Since 1990, club has 15-5 (.750) record at home vs. SD... Rookie QB Tim Tebow (1st round, No. 25) posted 308 passing yards last week, 3rd-most by rookie in franchise history. Tebow has 100.7 passer rating. Aims for 3rd straight game with rush TD... RB Knowshon Moreno averaged 8.0 yards per carry in last game vs. Chargers in Den (10 att., 80 yards). RB Correll Buckhalter totaled 92 scrimmage yards last week (50 receiving; 42 rushing) & had 2 TDs (1 rush, 1 receiving)... WR Brandon Lloyd (1,375 receiving yards, 10 TD rec.) joined ROD SMITH (2001) as only Broncos ever w/ at least 1,300 rec. yards & 10+ TD rec. in season. Posted 6th 100-yard receiving game of season last week. Lloyd averages 21.3 yards per catch at home in '10 (29 att., 619 yards). WR Jabar Gaffney has career-best in receptions (64) & receiving yards (863) this season... LB D.J. Williams leads team w/ 116 tackles... CB Champ Bailey has 4 career INTs vs. SD. Rookie CB SYD'QUAN THOMPSON (7th round, No. 225) recorded 2nd INT of season last week to seal Denver's win vs. Texans.

Results and Schedule

San Diego Chargers
Week	Date	Opp	H/A	Score	Dif
1	2010-09-13	KC	A	L 14-21	-7
2	2010-09-19	JAC	H	W 38-13	+25
3	2010-09-26	SEA	A	L 20-27	-7
4	2010-10-03	ARI	H	W 41-10	+31
5	2010-10-10	OAK	A	L 27-35	-8
6	2010-10-17	STL	A	L 17-20	-3
7	2010-10-24	NE	H	L 20-23	-3
8	2010-10-31	TEN	H	W 33-25	+8
9	2010-11-07	HOU	A	W 29-23	+6
10		Bye
11	2010-11-22	DEN	H	W 35-14	+21
12	2010-11-28	IND	A	W 36-14	+22
13	2010-12-05	OAK	H	L 13-28	-15
14	2010-12-12	KC	H	W 31-0	+31
15	2010-12-16	SF	H	W 34-7	+27
16	2010-12-26	CIN	A	L 20-34	-14
17	2011-01-02	DEN	A	W 33-28	+5

Denver Broncos
Week	Date	Opp	H/A	Score	Dif
1	2010-09-12	JAC	A	L 17-24	-7
2	2010-09-19	SEA	H	W 31-14	+17
3	2010-09-26	IND	H	L 13-27	-14
4	2010-10-03	TEN	A	W 26-20	+6
5	2010-10-10	BAL	A	L 17-31	-14
6	2010-10-17	NYJ	H	L 20-24	-4
7	2010-10-24	OAK	H	L 14-59	-45
8	2010-10-31	SF	A	L 16-24	-8
9		Bye
10	2010-11-14	KC	H	W 49-29	+20
11	2010-11-22	SD	A	L 14-35	-21
12	2010-11-28	STL	H	L 33-36	-3
13	2010-12-05	KC	A	L 6-10	-4
14	2010-12-12	ARI	A	L 13-43	-30
15	2010-12-19	OAK	A	L 23-39	-16
16	2010-12-26	HOU	H	W 24-23	+1
17	2011-01-02	SD	H	L 28-33	-5

Injury Report

San Diego Chargers
Doubtful	WR Patrick Crayton (Wrist) OLB Larry English (Foot) FB Jacob Hester (Knee)
Questionable	OG Scott Mruczkowski (Ankle)
Probable	WR Malcom Floyd (Hamstring) ILB Brandon Siler (Ribs)
IR	LS Ian Beckles (Knee) LS David Binn (Hamstring) ILB Donald Butler (Achilles) ILB Stephen Cooper (Knee) WR Craig Davis (Groin) LS James Dearth (Foot) TE Antonio Gates (Toe) RB Mike Tolbert (Neck, Shoulder) OLB Jyles Tucker (Pectoral)

Denver Broncos
Questionable	CB Champ Bailey (Ankle) SS David Bruton (Ribs) SS Brian Dawkins (Knee) OLB Mario Haggan (Quadriceps) FS Darcel McBath (Quadriceps) RB Knowshon Moreno (Ribs) QB Kyle Orton (Ribs) WR Eddie Royal (Groin)
Probable	WR Eric Decker (Ankle) QB Tim Tebow (Ankle) WR Demaryius Thomas (Ankle)
IR	OLB Elvis Dumervil (Pectoral) FB Spencer Larsen (Ankle) ILB Joe Mays (Left Knee) K Matt Prater (Right Groin) RB LenDale White (Achilles)

Offense Stats Comparison

	SD Offense	DEN Offense	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Points for	30.0	18.5	22.5	SD
Rushing yards	112.0	120.8	118.5	DEN
Rushing yards per attempt	3.63	4.62	4.32	DEN
Completion %	68.9%	51.8%	60.4%	SD
Passing yards	246.5	190.5	214.4	SD
Passing yards per completion	11.67	11.78	10.80	DEN
Passing yards per attempt	8.05	6.10	6.52	SD
Interceptions	0.8	0.5	1.0	DEN
Fumbles lost	0.5	1.0	0.6	SD
Sacks allowed	1.5	2.5	2.2	SD
3rd down conversions	45.9%	21.1%	38.2%	SD
4th down conversions	40.0%	50.0%	54.2%	DEN
Time of possession	34:08	26:56	30:09	SD

Defense Stats Comparison

	SD Defense	DEN Defense	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Points against	15.8	33.3	22.5	SD
Rushing yards	68.5	166.5	118.5	SD
Rushing yards per attempt	3.66	4.89	4.32	SD
Completion %	63.4%	56.5%	60.4%	DEN
Passing yards	172.3	243.3	214.4	SD
Passing yards per completion	9.06	13.23	10.80	SD
Passing yards per attempt	5.74	7.48	6.52	SD
INT return	0.5	0.5	1.0	-
Fumble recoveries	0.5	0.5	0.6	-
Sacks	2.8	0.8	2.2	SD
3rd down conversions	28.9%	32.9%	38.2%	SD
4th down conversions	54.5%	80.0%	54.2%	SD
Time of possession	25:53	33:05	30:09	SD

Special Teams Stats Comparison

	SD	DEN	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Yards per punt return	10.1	11.3	9.5	DEN
Yards per kick return	22.9	21.4	21.5	SD
Yards allowed per punt return	12.8	8.4	9.5	DEN
Yards allowed per kick return	17.8	22.9	21.5	SD

Misc Stats Comparison

	SD	DEN	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Penalties	4.0	6.5	5.6	SD
Penalty yards	33.5	54.3	46.4	SD

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 11 to 16 of the 2010 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 11 to 16 with no adjustment.

Weather

Team vs. Team History

San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos
Season	Week	Date	Vis	Home	Score	Winner
2000	6	2000-10-08	DEN	SD	21-7	DEN
2000	12	2000-11-19	SD	DEN	37-38	DEN
2001	6	2001-10-21	DEN	SD	10-27	SD
2001	9	2001-11-11	SD	DEN	16-26	DEN
2002	5	2002-10-06	SD	DEN	9-26	DEN
2002	13	2002-12-01	DEN	SD	27-30	SD
2003	2	2003-09-14	DEN	SD	37-13	DEN
2003	11	2003-11-16	SD	DEN	8-37	DEN
2004	3	2004-09-26	SD	DEN	13-23	DEN
2004	13	2004-12-05	DEN	SD	17-20	SD
2005	2	2005-09-18	SD	DEN	17-20	DEN
2005	17	2005-12-31	DEN	SD	23-7	DEN
2006	11	2006-11-19	SD	DEN	35-27	SD
2006	14	2006-12-10	DEN	SD	20-48	SD
2007	5	2007-10-07	SD	DEN	41-3	SD
2007	16	2007-12-24	DEN	SD	3-23	SD
2008	2	2008-09-14	SD	DEN	38-39	DEN
2008	17	2008-12-28	DEN	SD	21-52	SD
2009	6	2009-10-19	DEN	SD	34-23	DEN
2009	11	2009-11-22	SD	DEN	32-3	SD
2010	11	2010-11-22	DEN	SD	14-35	SD

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2009 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.

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