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Regular Season, Updated: 9/7/2010
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Adrian Peterson, MIN (Bye: 4) |
1 | Height: 6’1” Weight: 217 DOB: 1985-03-21 Age: 40
College: Oklahoma Draft: 2007 Round 1 (7) |
Season | Team | Game | Att |
Yard |
TD | Rec |
Yard |
TD | FPts | FPts/G | 2007 | MIN | 14 | 238 |
1,341 |
12 |
19 |
268 |
1 |
238.9 |
17.1 |
2008 | MIN | 16 | 364 |
1,757 |
10 |
21 |
125 |
0 |
248.2 |
15.5 |
2009 | MIN | 16 | 315 |
1,389 |
18 |
43 |
436 |
0 |
290.5 |
18.2 |
2010 (Projected) | MIN | | 309 |
1,576 |
14 |
35 |
356 |
1 |
283.2 |
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Outlook: Peterson was a bit of a disappointment in 2009 with 1,819 total yards and 18 touchdowns. Furthermore, his 1,383 rushing yards were significantly lower than his 2008 output, when he finished with 1,760 yards on the ground. While he may not be the consensus top-ranked running back for fantasy purposes, he does remain the best bet to land within the top three fantasy running backs in 2010, considering his size and the Vikings powerful offense. His ranking would have received a blow had the Vikings taken a solid pass-catching back, such as Jahvid Best, in the draft. However, second round pick Toby Gerhart isn’t such a threat because he is a very similar player to Peterson. There is also speculation that wide receiver Percy Harvin could see time as a pass-catching threat out of the backfield. There seems to be a developing concern that Peterson’s propensity to fumble the ball (seven times last year plus two in the playoffs) will cost him touches, but that is unlikely to happen. Simply put, Peterson is the top offensive talent on the Vikings, and that will translate into an average of over 20 touches per game.
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Chris Johnson, TEN (Bye: 9) |
2 | Height: 5’11” Weight: 191 DOB: 1985-09-23 Age: 39
College: East Carolina Draft: 2008 Round 1 (24) |
Season | Team | Game | Att |
Yard |
TD | Rec |
Yard |
TD | FPts | FPts/G | 2008 | TEN | 15 | 251 |
1,228 |
9 |
43 |
260 |
1 |
208.8 |
13.9 |
2009 | TEN | 16 | 358 |
2,006 |
14 |
50 |
503 |
2 |
346.9 |
21.7 |
2010 (Projected) | TEN | | 294 |
1,472 |
12 |
60 |
466 |
2 |
277.8 |
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Outlook: Johnson is coming off a monstrous 2009 season in which he became only the sixth running back in NFL history to top 2,000 yards rushing (finishing with a total of 2,006). He also added 503 receiving yards, and his 2,509 combined total was the most yards from scrimmage in NFL history. The Titans return four of five starters along the offensive line, and the trade of LenDale White makes Johnson a sure workhorse back in 2010. However, if history is any indication, Johnson’s 2010 production will not approach what he accomplished last year. None of the previous five running backs to top 2,000 yards came close to hitting the milestone in the following season. However, look for Johnson to top 2,000 total yards and maintain a touchdown–per-game pace, which should please any of his fantasy owners. He will enter the season as the near-unanimous choice as the top fantasy running back.
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Maurice Jones-Drew, JAC (Bye: 9) |
3 | Height: 5’7” Weight: 210 DOB: 1985-03-23 Age: 40
College: UCLA Draft: 2006 Round 2 (28) |
Season | Team | Game | Att |
Yard |
TD | Rec |
Yard |
TD | FPts | FPts/G | 2007 | JAC | 15 | 167 |
768 |
9 |
40 |
407 |
0 |
171.5 |
11.4 |
2008 | JAC | 16 | 197 |
824 |
12 |
62 |
565 |
2 |
222.9 |
13.9 |
2009 | JAC | 16 | 312 |
1,391 |
15 |
53 |
374 |
1 |
272.5 |
17.0 |
2010 (Projected) | JAC | | 250 |
1,298 |
14 |
50 |
444 |
2 |
270.2 |
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Outlook: With Fred Taylor having signed with New England, the concern for the Jaguars entering 2009 was whether Jones-Drew would be able to shoulder the lead back role without a proven backup. He removed those concerns by remaining injury-free over 16 games despite accumulating 365 touches. There were some rumors that the Jaguars would use the tenth pick in the draft on C.J. Spiller, but that didn’t happen; so Jones-Drew will remain a workhorse runner in 2010. Look for Jones-Drew to top 1,700 total yards and average a touchdown per game again this year. He is a top three selection in standard leagues and worthy of consideration as the first overall pick in PPR leagues.
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Ray Rice, BAL (Bye: 8) |
4 | Height: 5’8” Weight: 212 DOB: 1987-01-22 Age: 38
College: Rutgers Draft: 2008 Round 2 (24) |
Season | Team | Game | Att |
Yard |
TD | Rec |
Yard |
TD | FPts | FPts/G | 2008 | BAL | 13 | 107 |
454 |
0 |
33 |
273 |
0 |
72.7 |
5.6 |
2009 | BAL | 16 | 254 |
1,339 |
7 |
78 |
702 |
1 |
252.1 |
15.8 |
2010 (Projected) | BAL | | 264 |
1,265 |
8 |
73 |
602 |
2 |
246.7 |
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Outlook: Rice literally took the ball and ran with it in 2009, bursting onto the fantasy scene with 2,041 total yards and eight touchdowns. His 78 receptions were an added bonus in PPR leagues. The consensus for 2009 seems to be that the diminutive Rice is the fourth-ranked running back, though in a tier (perhaps by himself) behind Chris Johnson, Adrian Peterson, and Maurice Jones-Drew. Here’s a little tip to consider: During the last 12 weeks of the 2009 season, Rice had 42 red zone touches while Willis McGahee had 16.
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Rashard Mendenhall, PIT (Bye: 5) |
5 | Height: 5’10” Weight: 225 DOB: 1987-06-19 Age: 37
College: Illinois Draft: 2008 Round 1 (23) |
Season | Team | Game | Att |
Yard |
TD | Rec |
Yard |
TD | FPts | FPts/G | 2008 | PIT | 4 | 19 |
58 |
0 |
2 |
17 |
0 |
7.5 |
1.9 |
2009 | PIT | 16 | 242 |
1,108 |
7 |
25 |
261 |
1 |
184.9 |
11.6 |
2010 (Projected) | PIT | | 306 |
1,225 |
11 |
39 |
256 |
1 |
220.1 |
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Outlook: From a fantasy perspective, the biggest winner from Ben Roethlisberger’s suspension is Mendenhall. The Steelers were expected to utilize the running game more in 2010 anyway, but Mendenhall now figures to be used even more heavily with Roethlisberger out of the lineup. Mendenhall is a reasonably shifty runner who is a decent receiver (25 receptions last year), and he has impressive size, though he doesn’t always use it to maximum advantage. If he becomes a more physical runner, he has a chance for a true breakout fantasy season in 2010. Once he was moved into the starting lineup in Week 4 last season, Mendenhall averaged a very impressive 13.8 fantasy points per game. Amongst running backs in 2010, Mendenhall is in the tier below the consensus top four running backs, and there is a decent chance he will be at the head of that tier by season’s end.
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Steven Jackson, STL (Bye: 9) |
6 | Height: 6’2” Weight: 240 DOB: 1983-07-22 Age: 41
College: Oregon State Draft: 2004 Round 1 (24) |
Season | Team | Game | Att |
Yard |
TD | Rec |
Yard |
TD | FPts | FPts/G | 2007 | STL | 12 | 237 |
1,002 |
5 |
38 |
271 |
1 |
163.3 |
13.6 |
2008 | STL | 12 | 254 |
1,043 |
7 |
40 |
379 |
1 |
190.2 |
15.9 |
2009 | STL | 15 | 325 |
1,424 |
4 |
50 |
314 |
0 |
197.8 |
13.2 |
2010 (Projected) | STL | | 301 |
1,265 |
7 |
41 |
345 |
2 |
215.0 |
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Outlook: Jackson is coming off another solid yet injury-plagued season. A back injury kept him out of one game and forced him to miss several weeks worth of practices. Despite the injury, Jackson racked up some impressive numbers (1424 rushing, 314 receiving) considering the Rams anemic offense was without starting quarterback Marc Bulger for much of the year. Opposing defenses used nine men in the box against Jackson on a regular basis, even on third-and-long. His mere four touchdowns marred an otherwise solid season. One of the league’s most talented backs, Jackson figures to match his 2009 production if he remains healthy in 2010. However, he had to undergo back surgery in April, which is a worrisome sign given his injury history. Nonetheless, he should be in consideration as the fifth running back off the board in most fantasy formats.
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Frank Gore, SF (Bye: 9) |
7 | Height: 5’9” Weight: 217 DOB: 1983-05-14 Age: 41
College: - Draft: 2005 Round 3 (1) |
Season | Team | Game | Att |
Yard |
TD | Rec |
Yard |
TD | FPts | FPts/G | 2007 | SF | 15 | 260 |
1,102 |
5 |
53 |
436 |
1 |
189.8 |
12.7 |
2008 | SF | 14 | 240 |
1,036 |
6 |
43 |
373 |
2 |
188.9 |
13.5 |
2009 | SF | 14 | 229 |
1,120 |
10 |
52 |
406 |
3 |
230.6 |
16.5 |
2010 (Projected) | SF | | 272 |
1,195 |
9 |
46 |
385 |
2 |
224.0 |
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Outlook: Once again, Gore shapes up as a top ten running back in all fantasy formats for 2010 because of his ability to catch the ball out of the backfield. Since his breakout campaign of 2006, when he accumulated 1,695 rushing yards, 485 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, Gore has been solid. While his talent is undeniable, he hasn’t approached his 2006 production because of either injuries (2008 and 2009), inconsistent use (2009), or a lack of talent around him (2007). While this may be the year he finally regains his 2006 fantasy form, the better bet based on his history is that Gore will tantalize his owners again, giving them solid but unspectacular production. With Alex Smith under center, the 49ers will employ the spread offense more in 2010 than last year, which figures to reduce Gore’s touches. While Gore has upside given the upgrades to the offensive line and the talent surrounding him, he doesn’t rate with the consensus top four backs for fantasy purposes. Put it this way: He’s closer to Steven Jackson than he is to the big four.
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Ryan Mathews, SD (Bye: 10) |
8 | Height: 6’0” Weight: 218 DOB: 1987-10-10 Age: 37
College: Fresno State Draft: 2010 Round 1 (12) |
Season | Team | Game | Att |
Yard |
TD | Rec |
Yard |
TD | FPts | FPts/G | 2010 (Projected) | SD | | 286 |
1,289 |
11 |
30 |
199 |
1 |
220.8 |
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Outlook: Mathews lucks out in going to the high-powered Chargers offense. The rookie first round pick figures to get plenty of touches and touchdown opportunities in his first year with the team. Mathews will start on opening day, with Darren Sproles serving as the pass-catching, change-of-pace option. Look for Mathews to get 15-20 touches a game, including goal line work. At close to 220 pounds, Mathews has the stature to be a feature back, and with the Chargers expected to dominate the AFC West in 2010, he should see plenty of fourth quarter, closing-time work. It’s hard to imagine a better fantasy situation for a rookie rusher. Pencil him in as an RB1, but monitor how he is used in the preseason and how much work he gets as the season progresses. As with all rookie runners, there is a risk of him hitting the wall late in the season.
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Michael Turner, ATL (Bye: 8) |
9 | Height: 5’10” Weight: 244 DOB: 1982-02-13 Age: 43
College: Northern Illinois Draft: 2004 Round 5 (22) |
Season | Team | Game | Att |
Yard |
TD | Rec |
Yard |
TD | FPts | FPts/G | 2007 | SD | 16 | 71 |
316 |
1 |
4 |
16 |
0 |
39.2 |
2.5 |
2008 | ATL | 16 | 377 |
1,699 |
17 |
6 |
41 |
0 |
276.0 |
17.3 |
2009 | ATL | 11 | 178 |
871 |
10 |
5 |
35 |
0 |
150.6 |
13.7 |
2010 (Projected) | ATL | | 285 |
1,255 |
13 |
11 |
77 |
0 |
211.2 |
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Outlook: After a superb run in 2008, Turner fell back to earth in 2009. Poor conditioning and an ankle injury that forced him to miss five games and likely hampered his ability in three more were the often-cited reasons for his dropoff. He’s dropped fifteen pounds this offseason and expects to get out of the gate strong—something he failed to do in 2009. However, don’t expect the Falcons to stick the ball in his gut 376 times like they did two seasons ago. Reports out of Atlanta indicate that the Falcons plan to monitor his touches, and with quality backups in Jason Snelling and Jerious Norwood, expect that to happen. Nonetheless, don’t be shocked if Turner is a top ten fantasy runner in 2010. Knock him down a notch in PPR leagues given his utter lack of ability in the passing game (22 receptions in six years).
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Shonn Greene, NYJ (Bye: 7) |
10 | Height: 5’11” Weight: 226 DOB: 1985-08-21 Age: 39
College: Iowa Draft: 2009 Round 3 (1) |
Season | Team | Game | Att |
Yard |
TD | Rec |
Yard |
TD | FPts | FPts/G | 2009 | NYJ | 14 | 109 |
541 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66.1 |
4.7 |
2010 (Projected) | NYJ | | 256 |
1,256 |
11 |
16 |
114 |
0 |
203.0 |
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Outlook: Last year, Greene was an up and coming rookie playing behind Thomas Jones, who had a career year. The two backs combined for 1,942 yards and 16 touchdowns on the ground. This year, the team returns all of its key starters on offense except for left guard Alan Faneca and the addition of wide receiver Santonio Holmes figures to make the offense more explosive. Greene takes over the feature role with an aging LaDainian Tomlinson in reserve and the likelihood is that he will handle more of the workload in 2010 than Jones did in 2009. Look for Greene to approach Jones’ 1,400 rushing yards with more touchdowns, production that will put him just outside the top five running backs for fantasy purposes.
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DeAngelo Williams, CAR (Bye: 6) |
11 | Height: 5’9” Weight: 217 DOB: 1983-04-25 Age: 42
College: Memphis Draft: 2006 Round 1 (27) |
Season | Team | Game | Att |
Yard |
TD | Rec |
Yard |
TD | FPts | FPts/G | 2007 | CAR | 16 | 144 |
717 |
4 |
23 |
177 |
1 |
119.4 |
7.5 |
2008 | CAR | 16 | 274 |
1,518 |
18 |
22 |
121 |
2 |
283.9 |
17.7 |
2009 | CAR | 13 | 216 |
1,117 |
7 |
29 |
252 |
0 |
178.9 |
13.8 |
2010 (Projected) | CAR | | 246 |
1,156 |
10 |
36 |
286 |
1 |
210.2 |
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Outlook: Injuries held Williams back in 2009, otherwise he would have been in the top 10 of fantasy running backs for the second year in a row. His production last year didn’t match his breakout season of 2008 when he finished with 1,639 total yards and 20 touchdowns, but that can hardly be blamed entirely on Williams. The Panthers suffered through poor quarterback play for much of 2009, and the offensive line, though still a solid unit, suffered a bit of a dropoff. For some reason, Williams fantasy status has taken a hit, perhaps more than it should have. He missed three games with an ankle injury last year after playing 16 games in 2007 and 2008. Although Williams has done nothing to lose his starting role, the consensus seems to be that standout backup Jonathan Stewart has a solid chance of supplanting Williams in 2010. Look for Williams to hold off Stewart and challenge for top 10 fantasy status again this year.
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Ryan Grant, GB (Bye: 10) |
12 | Height: 6’1” Weight: 222 DOB: 1982-12-09 Age: 42
College: Notre Dame Draft: - |
Season | Team | Game | Att |
Yard |
TD | Rec |
Yard |
TD | FPts | FPts/G | 2007 | GB | 15 | 188 |
956 |
8 |
30 |
147 |
0 |
158.3 |
10.6 |
2008 | GB | 16 | 312 |
1,203 |
4 |
18 |
116 |
1 |
161.9 |
10.1 |
2009 | GB | 16 | 282 |
1,253 |
11 |
25 |
197 |
0 |
211.0 |
13.2 |
2010 (Projected) | GB | | 285 |
1,195 |
9 |
35 |
225 |
1 |
202.0 |
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Outlook: Grant is coming off a solid 2009 campaign where he finished with a flurry, scoring six touchdowns and gaining 322 rushing yards over the final four games of the season. He topped 1,000 yards for the second year in a row, finishing with a career-high 1,253. While Grant has put up solid production during his three years in Green Bay, he remains undervalued for fantasy purposes, and there is a lingering concern that the Packers would like a more explosive player at the position. While both issues may be true, the bottom line is that he’s put up 3,412 rushing yards and 23 touchdowns in what amounts to two and a half seasons in Green Bay. That means he’s productive. Brandon Jackson has been a disappointment, and the team waited until the sixth round before drafting James Starks. That should translate into opportunity for Grant. Throw in the fact that the Packers should be a top five offense in 2010 and there’s not much more you can ask for. Grant is a borderline top 10 back with little risk.
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