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In 2023, Garrett Wilson saw substantial volume in a struggling Jets offense but lacked the efficiency to make a significant impact. He finished fourth in the league with 168 targets, accounting for over 30 percent of the team's target share. While he accumulated a high number of total air yards due to his volume of targets, his average target distance ranked outside the top 60, leading to poor per-target efficiency. Additionally, the Jets' quarterbacks struggled with accuracy, further contributing to Wilson's inefficiency.
Despite playing in all 34 games over his two professional seasons, Wilson has finished as WR24 and WR21. The Jets' quarterback situation has been one of the worst in the league during Wilson's tenure, so the arrival of Aaron Rodgers should be a significant improvement. However, Wilson's projected breakout as a WR1 is already being factored into his draft position, as he is often selected near the beginning of the second round in most drafts, making him an expected top-12 player at his position despite not having achieved such numbers previously.
Wilson has demonstrated excellent skills early in his career, but he remains a somewhat risky draft pick. The uncertainty lies in not knowing which version of Aaron Rodgers will be on the field or whether he and Wilson will develop an immediate connection.
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