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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


Daily: Week 4 Walkthrough
10/3/17
For every great call a fantasy football writer makes, there are an equal, and perhaps greater number of misses. In the case of Deshaun Watson at home against the Titans, I must admit that I missed when I recommended fading the rookie in a matchup against Dick Lebeauís complex blitz scheme. Sure, Watson was impressive Week 3 against the Patriots, but everyone and their mother have been able to put up points against New England, and I predicted Watson would have a bit of a letdown against the Titans.

I also anticipated that he would be owned by a large number of people in GPP looking for an inexpensive play, when Philip Rivers at home against the Chargers or Trevor Siemian at home against the Raiders seemed like better plays. Watson, of course, was fantastic, while Siemian was a disappointment and Rivers delivered an ok, but not a stellar day.

I can tell you one thing, Watson looked impressive and will certainly be on more than a few of my tickets going forward, especially next week when the Texans take on the Browns.

The following lineup review is from a $30 winning ticket in the Sunday Millionaire Maker contest on DraftKings.

Quarterback: Philip Rivers
DraftKings Points: 20.96
Grade: A

After a slow start, which included a sack-fumble on a comical attempt to evade an Eagle defender, Philip Rivers bounced back with a respectable 347-yard, two passing touchdown performance against Philadelphia.

Initially, my Rivers/Allen stack looked like it would backfire, but Rivers managed to settle down and pepper Allen with five catches for 138 yards. It would have been nice for one of those two passing TDís to go to Allen, but overall the stack worked out well. Targeting the injury-depleted Eagles is a smart play regardless of matchup, as the birds have given up big games on consecutive weeks to Eli Manning and Rivers. Carson Palmer and Jaron Brown are attractive options this week if the Eagles continue to be limited by injuries on defense.

Running Backs: Leonard Fournette & Joe Mixon
Combined DraftKings Points: 33.3
Grade: C

I went with a stable of two relatively inexpensive rookie running backs this week, both of whom had attractive matchups against teams that struggle against the run, and both of who looked like they would see a significant amount of work.

Fournette came up big with 24.5 points on 145 combined yards and a score and was close to having a monster game with a touchdown reception called back on a holding penalty. Mixon got the volume we all were hoping for after starting off slow in 2017, but he was pitiful with 29 rushing yards on 17 attempts. I expected a huge game for Mixon against the Browns, a breakout game that would cement his place atop the Cinci depth chart. Not so much.

Wide Receivers: Keenan Allen, Larry Fitzgerald, & Marqise Lee
Combined DraftKings Points:
Grade: D

My goal each week is to get at least 60 points from my three receivers, with the hope of at least one WR breaking out with a big game. Allen came through with a nice yardage game, but he was somewhat of a disappointment in the fact that he only got five receptions. You should always target volume wide receivers in a PPR format like DraftKings, as you can still have a solid game without catching a touchdown.

The fact that I only got 11 combined receptions from three wide receivers I deemed to be target monsters was disappointing, especially considering the fact that I hit on both my tight end and flex play. This could have been a great week for me a nice payout, but instead, I managed just 152.68 points and a $10 profit.

Tight End: Cameron Brate
DraftKings Points: 18
Grade: A

I am shocked to see that Cameron Brate had only a 6% ownership rate because he was relatively cheap at $3,800, and the Giants have allowed a touchdown each week to an opposing tight end.

The receiving touchdown looked like a foregone conclusion for Brate, and the 80 yards on four catches was a nice bonus.

Another reason why I started Brate is the fact that my opponent in my season-long league of record started him against me. Check out my theory on hedging your bet in DFS and season-long leagues from my Week 4 preview piece to learn why this might be a great strategy for you.

Flex: DeAndre Hopkins
DraftKings Points: 29.7
Grade: A+

For some reason, the salary makers at DraftKings have not bought into the fact that Hopkins leads the league in targets and continues to be the favorite option for Watson. At just $6,400 Hopkins was the must start wide receiver of the week and he did not disappoint.

Defense: Broncos
DraftKings Points: 9
Grade: B

The Broncos at home are always a good play. Going against a Raider team that is struggling to move the ball makes them even more attractive, ad a middle-tier salary of just $3000 made them a must-start for me. Miller and the Broncos came through with three sacks and a pick, but a defensive TD would have been nice here.