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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer


DFS Targets for Week 9
11/2/18
Cam Newton

Tampa Bay is the only defense ranked in the bottom five in points allowed to QBs, RBs, and WRs.


Note: Salary amounts are Draftkings pricing

Quarterbacks

H2H/Cash - Cam Newton vs. Tampa Bay - $6,600

Newton has been a solid cash game quarterback all season long and gets arguably his best matchup of the season against a Tampa Bay team that is the only defense ranked in the bottom five in points allowed to QBs, WR, and RB. Newtonís floor from his running stats provides a nice comfort blanket, and his passing stats in what could be a shootout makes him a must-play. For owners who like to do a cash stack, consider playing Newton along with Greg Olsen.

Other options to consider - Jared Goff @ New Orleans & Patrick Mahomes @ Cleveland

GPP - Ryan Fitzpatrick @ Carolina - $5,500

The Fitzmagic was back, at least for a half or so last week against the Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. Will that magic continue this week on the road against the Panthers, a team that allows the 16th-most points to opposing quarterbacks? Iím not super confident it will, but if it does, Fitzpatrick could be the top performer of the week, and that is precisely what GPP players need to get into the green. I find myself pairing Fitz with Chris Godwin ($4,400) in tournament stacks.

Other options to consider - Mitchell Trubisky @ Buffalo & Baker Mayfield vs. Kansas City

Fade - Ben Roethlisberger @ Baltimore - $5,700

Although Big Ben is on pace to set a career-mark in passing yards, passing touchdowns and fantasy points per game, he does not fare well lately playing on the road against the Ravens, Some may view this as a contrarian play with low ownership potential, but I would rather spend my money elsewhere and pay up for Newton or Goff.

Running Backs

H2H/Cash - Adrian Peterson vs. Atlanta - $6,000

The ageless one continues to impress in Washington with 50 carries in his previous two games for 248 yards and two total touchdowns. The Redskins will look to shorten the game and keep the ball out of Matt Ryanís hands by running the ball and playing a ball control offense. It also doesnít hurt that the Falcons lead the league in most points allowed to running backs and Chris Thompson is out once again with an injury.

Other options to consider - Todd Gurley @ New Orleans & Kareem Hunt @ Cleveland

GPP - Nick Chubb vs. Kansas City - $4,500

The Nick Chubb era as the starter for the Cleveland Browns has been somewhat underwhelming with only one game over 10 fantasy points and only one rising touchdown since Week 4. Look for that to change this week with the Browns hosting Kansas City, a team that allows the second-most points to opposing running backs. Game script could negate Chubbís usage in favor of Duke Johnson, but at his $4,500 price tag, Chubb is worth the multi-touchdown upside for GPP.

Other options to consider - Austin Ekeler @ Seattle & Jordan Howard @ Buffalo

Fade - Melvin Gordon @ Seattle - $8,200

Gordonís lingering hamstring injury is a concern to the point that I canít see spending a premium on a guy who may get limited touches. The matchup is not bad against the Seahawks and Gordon is always a threat for a big game, but I would rather pay $500 less for Kareem Hunt.

Wide Receivers

H2H/Cash - Robert Woods @ New Orleans - $7,000

There are more than a handful of cash game wide receivers that I am targeting this week, and starting in a game with an over under of nearly 60-points like the Saints/Rams game is an excellent idea. Both Brandin Cooks and Woods are outstanding plays, especially with Cooper Kupp likely returning to the field. While some may focus on the ďrevenge gameĒ narrative for Cooks, I prefer to go with the seven-target floor of Woods lining up against Eli Apple.

Other options to consider - Jarvis Landry vs. Kansas City & Adam Thielen vs. Detroit

GPP - Josh Doctson vs. Atlanta - $4,200

Doctson has been a colossal disappointment over his brief NFL career and has not come close to living up to his first-round draft stock. Injuries and inconsistent play have plagued Doctson over the past few years, while the change at quarterback from Kirk Cousins to Alex Smith proved to be a massive knock in his value. Why would I recommend playing a player like Doctson if I am so down on him? The Falcons allow the third-most points to opposing wide receivers, and outside of Doctson and his tight ends (Jamison Crowder is out, and Paul Richardson is questionable), Alex Smith will need to throw the ball to someone. It also doesnít hurt that Doctsonís ownership level will be quite low.

Other options to consider Ė Rashard Higgins vs. Kansas City & Chris Conley vs. Cleveland

Fade - Keenan Allen @ Seattle - $7,300

The Seahawks have been relatively tough against wide receivers this season, allowing the 16th-fewest points to the position. Although the Charges have had a full bye week to heal and prepare for Seattle, playing on the road at the Link can be tough. Instead of gambling on a player who hasnít caught a touchdown since Week 1, Iíd rather use that $7,300 to pay up for Gurley and take a lower cost wide receiver.

Tight End

H2H/Cash - Greg Olsen vs. Tampa Bay - $4,700

In a week where there are not a ton of cash game tight ends that stick out, Iíve decided to play it safe with Greg Olsen on my cash tickets. He is not sexy and the days of double-digit targets from Cam Newton are likely a thing of the past. But with touchdowns in each of his last two games and a home matchup against a team that allows the third-most points to tight ends, playing Olsen makes a ton of sense, especially at a relatively low price of $4,700.

Other options to consider - O.J. Howard @ Carolina & Kyle Rudolph vs. Detroit

GPP - David Njoku vs. Kansas City - $4,600

It takes a bit of intestinal fortitude to go back into the fire and play a guy who goosed his owners last week with a big fat zero. The only time I would consider doing it is if said player has been a target monster before the goose egg, and he has an excellent home matchup against a team that is easy to score on in what should be a high-scoring game. Njoku ticks all the boxes required to fire up and play again, and I am going with him in GPP.

Other options to consider - Ed Dickson vs. LA Chargers & Vernon Davis vs. Atlanta

Fade - Trey Burton @ Buffalo - $4,500

Burton’s volume and usage in the passing game are beyond frustrating for his season-long owners. With 11 targets sandwiched between two games with a paltry four, it is tough to know when the big games will come for the former Eagle. I am trying to avoid all players in this game not named Mitchell Trubisky, as I anticipate a low-scoring game that could have a massive negative game script created by the Bears defense vs. Nate “Pick Six” Peterman.

Defense & Special Teams

High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost: Bears ($4,100) @ Bills

Well Priced with Upside: Broncos ($2,300) vs. Texans