Final Score Prediction
Patriots 27, Colts 20
| Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger |
| Indianapolis Colts |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 8 |
Peyton Manning |
Pass: 270, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 33 |
Donald Brown |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 51 |
Javarris James |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 10 |
Reggie Wayne  |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
| WR 39 |
Pierre Garcon |
Rec: 5-70, 0 TD |
 WR 51 |
Austin Collie |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| TE 1 |
Jacob Tamme |
Rec: 7-70, 1 TD |
| K 8 |
Adam Vinatieri |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 27 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 9 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 270, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 22 |
BenJarvus Green-Ellis |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| RB 34 |
Danny Woodhead |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
| WR 28 |
Deion Branch |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
| WR 40 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 5-60, 0 TD |
| WR 62 |
Brandon Tate |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| TE 12 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 3-30, 1 TD |
| TE 17 |
Aaron Hernandez |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| K 7 |
Shayne Graham |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 12 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
The past 5 meetings decided by 7 pts. or fewer, incl. 2006 AFC Championship.
 Colts Club aims for 3rd consecutive win at NE... In past 6 against NE (incl. postseason), QB Peyton Manning has 5-1 record & has completed 140 of 220 passes (63.6 pct.) for 1,802 yards w/ 13 TDs vs. 6 INTs & 97.6 passer rating. Manning has 300+ passing yards in 4 of 5 on road in '10 & has 11 TDs vs. 3 INT & 98.0 passer rating in those 5. Has 118.2 4th-quarter passer rating in past 3 vs. NE... Rookie RB Javarris James (undrafted free agent) has 3 rush TDs in past 2 games... WR Reggie Wayne had 10 rec. for 126 yards (12.6 avg.) w/ 2 TDs in last game vs. Patriots. Manning & Wayne have combined for 64 TDs & can tie JIM KELLY & ANDRE REED (65) for 4th-most TDs by QB-WR in NFL history. WR Pierre Garcon had TD catch in last meeting vs. Patriots... TE Jacob Tamme leads NFL TEs in rec. (24) & receiving yards (245) in November... Colts had season-high 3 INTs last week... DE Robert Mathis has 4 sacks in past 3 against NE. Aims for 3rd consecutive game with sack.
 Patriots Since 2000, (incl. postseason), NE has 5-2 record at home against Colts... Incl. playoffs, QB Tom Brady has 7-4 record against Colts & has completed 234 of 356 passes (65.7 pct.) for 2,650 yards w/ 20 TDs vs. 12 INTs & 92.6 passer rating. Brady has won 24 consecutive regular-season games at home as starter, 2nd-longest streak by QB in NFL history (BRETT FAVRE, 25 in 1995-98)... RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis averages 93.3 rush yards per game when he has 15+ att. in '10 (373 total in 4 games)... WR Wes Welker had 9 rec. for 94 yards (10.4 avg.) in last game vs. Colts. Welker tied season-high with 8 rec. last week & season-best 89 rec. yards. WR-KR Brandon Tate averages 16.7 yards per catch (18 rec., 301 yards) in '10... Last week, rookie TE Rob Gronkowski (2nd round, No. 42) became 1st rookie TE w/ 3 TD catches in game in 20 years (Steelers' ERIC GREEN on 10/14/90)... DT Mike Wright had season-high 1.5 sacks last week & has career-best 5.5 sacks in '10.
Results and Schedule
| Indianapolis Colts |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2010-09-12 |
HOU |
A |
L 24-34 |
-10 |
| 2 |
2010-09-19 |
NYG |
H |
W 38-14 |
+24 |
| 3 |
2010-09-26 |
DEN |
A |
W 27-13 |
+14 |
| 4 |
2010-10-03 |
JAC |
A |
L 28-31 |
-3 |
| 5 |
2010-10-10 |
KC |
H |
W 19-9 |
+10 |
| 6 |
2010-10-17 |
WAS |
A |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
| 7 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 8 |
2010-11-01 |
HOU |
H |
W 30-17 |
+13 |
| 9 |
2010-11-07 |
PHI |
A |
L 24-26 |
-2 |
| 10 |
2010-11-14 |
CIN |
H |
W 23-17 |
+6 |
| 11 |
2010-11-21 |
NE |
A |
L 28-31 |
-3 |
| 12 |
2010-11-28 |
SD |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2010-12-05 |
DAL |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2010-12-09 |
TEN |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2010-12-19 |
JAC |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2010-12-26 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2011-01-02 |
TEN |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2010-09-12 |
CIN |
H |
W 38-24 |
+14 |
| 2 |
2010-09-19 |
NYJ |
A |
L 14-28 |
-14 |
| 3 |
2010-09-26 |
BUF |
H |
W 38-30 |
+8 |
| 4 |
2010-10-04 |
MIA |
A |
W 41-14 |
+27 |
| 5 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 6 |
2010-10-17 |
BAL |
H |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
| 7 |
2010-10-24 |
SD |
A |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
| 8 |
2010-10-31 |
MIN |
H |
W 28-18 |
+10 |
| 9 |
2010-11-07 |
CLE |
A |
L 14-34 |
-20 |
| 10 |
2010-11-14 |
PIT |
A |
W 39-26 |
+13 |
| 11 |
2010-11-21 |
IND |
H |
W 31-28 |
+3 |
| 12 |
2010-11-25 |
DET |
A |
|
|
| 13 |
2010-12-06 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2010-12-12 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2010-12-19 |
GB |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2010-12-26 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2011-01-02 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
IND
Offense |
NE
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
24.7 |
24.7 |
23.4 |
- |
| Rushing yards |
93.3 |
97.7 |
113.2 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.97 |
3.96 |
4.17 |
IND |
| Completion % |
59.5% |
60.3% |
60.6% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
259.7 |
240.7 |
235.0 |
IND |
| Passing yards per completion |
9.83 |
10.81 |
11.09 |
NE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
5.85 |
6.52 |
6.72 |
NE |
| Interceptions |
0.3 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
- |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
- |
| Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
- |
| 3rd down conversions |
41.4% |
32.8% |
38.2% |
IND |
| 4th down conversions |
33.3% |
60.0% |
49.7% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
30:06 |
27:32 |
30:24 |
IND |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
IND
Defense |
NE
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
19.3 |
22.0 |
23.4 |
IND |
| Rushing yards |
111.3 |
100.0 |
113.2 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
5.01 |
4.03 |
4.17 |
NE |
| Completion % |
62.8% |
68.6% |
60.6% |
IND |
| Passing yards |
204.0 |
296.0 |
235.0 |
IND |
| Passing yards per completion |
8.95 |
10.77 |
11.09 |
IND |
| Passing yards per attempt |
5.62 |
7.39 |
6.72 |
IND |
| INT return |
1.0 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
IND |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
IND |
| Sacks |
3.0 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
IND |
| 3rd down conversions |
32.3% |
41.8% |
38.2% |
IND |
| 4th down conversions |
40.0% |
75.0% |
49.7% |
IND |
| Time of possession |
29:54 |
35:49 |
30:24 |
IND |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
IND |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
7.4 |
10.7 |
10.1 |
NE |
| Yards per kick return |
19.5 |
14.0 |
22.7 |
IND |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
5.9 |
8.3 |
10.1 |
IND |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
24.8 |
23.0 |
22.7 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
IND |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
5.7 |
7.3 |
6.6 |
IND |
| Penalty yards |
49.7 |
58.7 |
55.4 |
IND |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 5 to 10 of the 2010 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 5 to 10 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
6 |
2000-10-08 |
IND |
NE |
16-24 |
NE |
| 2000 |
8 |
2000-10-22 |
NE |
IND |
23-30 |
IND |
| 2001 |
3 |
2001-09-30 |
IND |
NE |
13-44 |
NE |
| 2001 |
6 |
2001-10-21 |
NE |
IND |
38-17 |
NE |
| 2003 |
13 |
2003-11-30 |
NE |
IND |
38-34 |
NE |
| 2004 |
1 |
2004-09-09 |
IND |
NE |
24-27 |
NE |
| 2004 |
DP |
2005-01-16 |
IND |
NE |
3-20 |
NE |
| 2005 |
9 |
2005-11-07 |
IND |
NE |
40-21 |
IND |
| 2006 |
9 |
2006-11-05 |
IND |
NE |
27-20 |
IND |
| 2006 |
CF |
2007-01-21 |
NE |
IND |
34-38 |
IND |
| 2007 |
9 |
2007-11-04 |
NE |
IND |
24-20 |
NE |
| 2008 |
9 |
2008-11-02 |
NE |
IND |
15-18 |
IND |
| 2009 |
10 |
2009-11-15 |
NE |
IND |
34-35 |
IND |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2009 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff CF = Conference Final
|
